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Fiorentina v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Jan, 14:00 BST, Artemio Franchi, Firenze

Milan, led by manager Massimiliano Allegri, visit Paolo Vanoli and his Fiorentina side at the Artemio Franchi on Sunday afternoon in the Serie A. Team form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for , but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fiorentina
27%
--
Draw
24%
--
Milan
49%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Milan 1-0
10%
--
Milan 2-1
10%
--
Milan 2-0
8%
--
Fiorentina 1-0
7%
--
Fiorentina 2-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Milan 3-1
5%
--
Milan 3-0
4%
--
Fiorentina 2-0
4%
--
Milan 3-2
3%
--
Fiorentina 3-1
3%
--
Milan 4-1
2%
--
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Home 1st Goal
44%
--
Away 1st Goal
52%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
56%
--
BTTS - No
45%
--
BTTS - Home Win
14%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
23%
--
Home/draw
51%
--
Away/draw
73%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
44%
--
Away DNB
66%
--
Fiorentina win to nil
13%
--
Milan win to nil
25%
--
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Fiorentina have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 6 and won 1. Fiorentina have conceded 28 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Fiorentina have played 8 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Milan lay in 2nd place on 35 points in the Serie A league table having played 16 matches. Milan are unbeaten away after 7 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 26 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Milan have played 7 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Fiorentina
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter1612042136 
Mar 22
l
 
3-0A
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
2
Milan1610511435 
Jan 11
l
 
2-1F
-
-
3
Napoli1611141134 
l
 
1-3A
Feb 1
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
4
Roma171106933 
l
 
1-2F
May 3
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
5
Juventus17953832 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
6
Como 1907167631027 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 15
Feb 8
Jan 15
7
Bologna167541026 
d
 
2-2A
Jan 18
w
 
1-0F
Feb 1
8
Lazio17665624 
Apr 12
Jan 7
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
9
Sassuolo17647122 
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
May 3
10
Udinese17647-1022 
w
 
5-1F
Mar 1
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
11
Atalanta17575122 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
May 10
d
 
1-1F
12
Cremonese17566-221 
Jan 4
Mar 15
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
13
Torino17557-1120 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
w
 
2-3A
14
Cagliari17467-518 
Jan 24
d
 
1-1F
May 24
Jan 2
15
Parma16457-717 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
Feb 22
d
 
2-2F
16
Lecce16448-1116 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
17
Genoa17359-1014 
May 10
d
 
2-2A
Jan 8
May 17
18
Verona16268-1212 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 4
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
19
Pisa17188-1211 
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
Feb 15
20
Fiorentina171610-119 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Jan 11
Win / draw / win form
Fiorentina 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina5 - 1Udinese
Fiorentina1 - 2Verona
Fiorentina1 - 1Juventus
Fiorentina0 - 1Lecce
Fiorentina2 - 2Bologna
Fiorentina1 - 2Roma
Fiorentina1 - 2Como 1907
Fiorentina1 - 3Napoli
Fiorentina3 - 2Bologna
Fiorentina2 - 1Empoli
Fiorentina0 - 0Parma
Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
Fiorentina3 - 0Juventus
Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Fiorentina0 - 2Como 1907
Fiorentina3 - 0Inter
Fiorentina2 - 1Genoa
Fiorentina1 - 1Torino
Fiorentina0 - 3Napoli
Fiorentina1 - 2Udinese
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFiorentina0 - 1Parma
HFiorentina5 - 1Udinese
HFiorentina1 - 2Verona
AFiorentina1 - 3Sassuolo
AFiorentina0 - 2Atalanta
HFiorentina1 - 1Juventus
AFiorentina2 - 2Genoa
HFiorentina0 - 1Lecce
AFiorentina0 - 3Inter
HFiorentina2 - 2Bologna
AFiorentina1 - 2Milan
HFiorentina1 - 2Roma
AFiorentina0 - 0Pisa
HFiorentina1 - 2Como 1907
HFiorentina1 - 3Napoli
AFiorentina0 - 0Torino
AFiorentina1 - 1Cagliari
AFiorentina3 - 2Udinese
HFiorentina3 - 2Bologna
AFiorentina1 - 2Venezia
Milan 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Torino2 - 3Milan
Inter0 - 1Milan
Parma2 - 2Milan
Atalanta1 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Udinese0 - 3Milan
Lecce0 - 2Milan
Roma3 - 1Milan
Genoa1 - 2Milan
Venezia0 - 2Milan
Udinese0 - 4Milan
Napoli2 - 1Milan
Lecce2 - 3Milan
Bologna2 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 1Milan
Empoli0 - 2Milan
Juventus2 - 0Milan
Como 19071 - 2Milan
Verona0 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan3 - 0Verona
HMilan2 - 2Sassuolo
AMilan3 - 2Torino
HMilan1 - 0Lazio
AMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 2Parma
HMilan1 - 0Roma
AMilan1 - 1Atalanta
HMilan2 - 2Pisa
HMilan2 - 1Fiorentina
AMilan0 - 0Juventus
HMilan2 - 1Napoli
AMilan3 - 0Udinese
HMilan1 - 0Bologna
AMilan2 - 0Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Cremonese
HMilan2 - 0Monza
AMilan1 - 3Roma
HMilan3 - 1Bologna
AMilan2 - 1Genoa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Fiorentina since 2015
Fiorentina
Milan
Goals: Scored
17
14
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
FIO
5
D
3
ACM
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Fiorentina2 - 1
1 - 2Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1
Fiorentina4 - 3
2 - 3Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Fiorentina2 - 0
Fiorentina2 - 1
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
21
11
Games: Scored
11 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
1 / 12
FIO
2
D
2
ACM
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Milan1 - 0
Milan2 - 1
Milan1 - 0
Milan2 - 0
1 - 3Fiorentina
0 - 1Fiorentina
Milan5 - 1
Milan2 - 1
Milan2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Milan have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Fiorentina on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Fiorentina 20th Milan 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Fiorentina’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
Milan have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.2
1.6
Attack rating
FIO
ACM
38%
better
view stats
Games scored11
15
Failed to score6
1
Scored first6
11
Goals scored17
27
Avg. goals scored1
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
FIO
ACM
48%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
8
Clean sheets2
8
Conceded first9
4
Goals conceded28
13
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against17%
10%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+48%

Fiorentina v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17526
D GeaR Mandragora N FagioliM Pongracic 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK17
-
Dodô DEF171
2
-
R Mandragora  MID175
4
-
M Kean FWD1641
2
-
L Ranieri DEF151
5
-
M Pongracic  DEF15
6
-
A Gudmundsson FWD1531
3
-
S Sohm MID141
2
-
N Fagioli MID142
2
-
R Piccoli FWD141
-
C Ndour MID131
1
-
N. Fortini DEF12
-
P. Comuzzo DEF11
-
E Dzeko FWD11
1
-
M Viti DEF10
2
1
R Gosens DEF101
1
-
P Marí DEF10
3
-
J Fazzini MID10
-
F Parisi DEF91
3
-
H Caviglia MID91
3
-
E. Kouadio DEF3
-
T Lamptey  DEF2
-
A Richardson MID2
-
C Kouamé FWD2
-
A Sabiri MID1
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16823
S PavlovicC PulisicL ModricF Tomori
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Pavlovic DEF1621
1
-
L Modric MID1612
2
-
A Saelemaekers MID1622
1
-
M Maignan  GLK15
1
-
M Gabbia DEF15
2
-
F Tomori DEF142
3
-
Y Fofana MID1411
3
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID1411
1
-
S Ricci MID1312
1
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF122
1
-
C Nkunku  FWD1222
-
C Pulisic FWD1182
-
R Leão FWD1051
1
-
Z. Athekame DEF91
2
-
K Winter DEF9
-
A Rabiot MID912
1
-
S Giménez FWD9
1
-
P Estupiñán DEF81
1
1
P Terracciano GLK2
-
A Jashari MID2
-
D Odogu DEF1
-