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Roma v Lazio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 01:00 BST, Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Gian Piero Gasperini's Roma side will have home backing in the Serie A on Sunday morning, as Maurizio Sarri's Lazio visit the Stadio Olimpico. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've sifted through our expansive database and pulled out the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 78% chance of Roma and Lazio 3 goals or less combined during this Serie A clash according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Roma are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Roma
55%
-4/6
Draw
24%
-14/5
Lazio
20%
-4/1
Roma 1-0
13%
-11/2
Draw 1-1
12%
-6/1
Roma 2-0
11%
-6/1
Roma 2-1
10%
-13/2
Draw 0-0
8%
-17/2
Lazio 1-0
7%
-10/1
Roma 3-0
6%
-10/1
Roma 3-1
5%
-10/1
Lazio 2-1
5%
-12/1
Draw 2-2
4%
-12/1
Lazio 2-0
3%
-18/1
Roma 4-0
2%
-18/1
Roma 3-2
2%
-20/1
Roma 4-1
2%
-20/1
Lazio 3-1
2%
-28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
-17/20
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
-17/20
Home 1st Goal
55%
-8/15
Away 1st Goal
40%
-19/10
No 1st Goal
5%
-8/1
BTTS - Yes
48%
-10/11
BTTS - No
52%
-5/6
BTTS - Home Win
23%
-13/5
BTTS - Draw
17%
-19/5
BTTS - Away Win
9%
-15/2
Home/draw
80%
-1/6
Away/draw
45%
-23/20
Home/away
76%
-1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
-2/7
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
-12/5
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
-21/10
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
-1/3
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
-19/4
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
-1/9
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
-10/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
-1/33
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
-1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
-17/2
Home DNB
72%
-1/4
Away DNB
37%
-13/5
Roma win to nil
33%
--
Lazio win to nil
11%
--
Roma / Roma
31%
-6/4
Roma / Lazio
3%
-28/1
Roma / Draw
6%
-12/1
Draw / Roma
17%
-17/5
Draw / Lazio
8%
-17/2
Draw / Draw
15%
-17/4
Lazio / Roma
5%
-16/1
Lazio / Lazio
10%
-13/2
Lazio / Draw
6%
-12/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Roma have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 1 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 16 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Roma have outscored their opponents by 52 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

Roma have played 18 games at home winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 31 goals, kept 10 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Lazio are in 8th position in the Serie A on 51 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 9 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 10 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Lazio have conceded 15 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Roma
Lazio
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3526455182 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-2A
May 9
l
 
2-0A
2
Napoli3521771970 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
3
Milan35191061967 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
4
Juventus35181162865 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
5
Roma35204112364 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
May 17
6
Como 190735171173162 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
7
Atalanta35141381555 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Lazio35131210551 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
-
-
9
Bologna3514714149 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
10
Sassuolo3514714-149 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
11
Udinese3513814-347 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1F
12
Parma35101213-1742 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
13
Torino3511816-1941 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
2-0A
14
Genoa35101015-840 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
15
Cagliari3591016-1337 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
16
Fiorentina3581314-1137 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
17
Lecce358819-2332 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
18
Cremonese3561019-2628 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
19
Verona3531121-3320 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
20
Pisa3521221-3818 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Roma 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Lazio 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Roma have not lost to Lazio in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Roma since 2015
Roma
Lazio
Goals: Scored
19
9
Games: Scored
10 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
1 / 11
RMA
7
D
2
LAZ
2
League games at Lazio since 2015
Lazio
Roma
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
8 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
4 / 12
RMA
4
D
4
LAZ
4
Goal Statistics

Roma have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Lazio on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Roma 5th Lazio 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Roma will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Lazio scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Roma have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
-21
Lazio have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Roma
PG (predicted goals)
Lazio
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
24%
better
RMA
LAZ
view stats
Games scored27
19
Failed to score7
15
Scored first21
16
Goals scored48
37
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
3%
better
RMA
LAZ
view stats
Games conceded19
19
Clean sheets15
15
Conceded first13
13
Goals conceded29
33
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
10
Conversion rate against11%
10%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+3%

Roma v Lazio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Roma Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351159
M SvilarD MalenM MalvanoG Mancini
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK35
-
B Cristante MID3421
6
-
G Mancini DEF3322
9
-
Z Celik DEF3112
2
1
M Malvano FWD3065
1
-
E Ndicka DEF293
5
-
Wesley DEF285
6
1
M Koné MID2723
2
-
M Hermoso DEF2432
7
-
L Pellegrini MID2442
2
-
N Aynaoui MID2212
5
-
N Pisilli MID2223
3
-
D Ghilardi DEF21
1
-
D Rensch DEF214
1
-
P Dybala FWD1923
-
K Tsimikas DEF18
1
-
S Shaarawy FWD182
3
-
J. Ziółkowski DEF16
2
-
E Ferguson FWD1632
1
-
D Malen FWD15112
1
-
A Dovbyk FWD1331
-
R. Vaz FWD111
-
L. Venturino FWD9
-
A Angeliño DEF7
2
-
B Zaragoza FWD41
1
-
Lazio Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29537
A MarusicG IsaksenD CataldiM Zaccagni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Marusic DEF3012
1
1
A Romagnoli DEF30
6
-
M Gila  DEF28
3
1
G Isaksen FWD2851
-
I Provedel GLK27
1
-
D Cataldi MID2733
6
-
T Noslin FWD2641
3
1
Pedro FWD2642
4
-
M Zaccagni FWD263
6
1
M Cancellieri FWD2642
4
-
B Dia FWD2412
1
-
O Provstgaard DEF23
3
-
L Pellegrini DEF221
7
-
N Tavares DEF22
4
-
F Dele-Bashiru MID21
-
M Lazzari  DEF20
2
-
T Basic MID2023
1
K Taylor MID1632
4
-
Patric DEF13
2
-
R Belahyane MID121
1
1
D Maldini MID1021
-
N Rovella MID91
2
-
E. Motta GLK8
1
-
P Ratkov FWD8
-
E Hysaj DEF5
-