América's team badge Toluca's team badge

América v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 23rd May, 03:00 BST, Estadio Azteca, Mexico City

América and their boss André Soares Jardine will be aiming to beat Patrick Glockner and his Toluca side on Friday morning, as the pair go head to head at the Estadio Azteca in the Liga MX. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall records can be viewed, while there's also head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
America
55%
--
Draw
22%
--
Toluca
23%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
America 2-1
10%
--
America 1-0
9%
--
America 2-0
8%
--
America 3-1
6%
--
Toluca 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Toluca 1-0
5%
--
America 3-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
America 3-2
4%
--
Toluca 2-0
3%
--
America 4-1
3%
--
America 4-0
3%
--
Toluca 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Home 1st Goal
54%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--
BTTS - No
42%
--
BTTS - Home Win
28%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
77%
--
Away/draw
45%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
70%
--
Away DNB
38%
--
America win to nil
27%
--
Toluca win to nil
10%
--
Win / draw / win form
3
America have won 3 consecutive home league games
7
America have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
America 8TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
America have beaten Toluca in 3 consecutive league meetings
9
America have not lost to Toluca in 9 consecutive home league meetings
3
America have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Toluca
League games at America since 2018
America
Toluca
Goals: Scored
20
6
Games: Scored
9 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
0 / 9
AME
6
D
3
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
America
Goals: Scored
20
13
Games: Scored
8 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
2 / 10
AME
2
D
3
TOL
5
Goal Statistics

América's defensive record is to be admired, André Soares Jardine's men having conceded 1 or less in 14 consecutive Liga MX outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Toluca makes sense in this context.

America 8th Toluca 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that America will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Toluca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
America have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
+16
Toluca have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/302866/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
America
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.9
1.2
Attack rating
AME
TOL
15%
better
view stats
Games scored34
35
Failed to score11
5
Scored first25
27
Goals scored78
87
Avg. goals scored1.7
2.2
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
19
Avg. XG for1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
9%
better
AME
TOL
view stats
Games conceded27
28
Clean sheets18
12
Conceded first16
12
Goals conceded40
47
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against0.8
1
KickOff rating
+9%

America v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

America Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
40111210
L MalagónA ZendejasA ZendejasR Aguirre
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Malagón GLK40
1
-
Álvaro Fidalgo MID4089
2
-
I Reyes DEF392
1
-
A Zendejas FWD381112
8
-
Érick Sánchez MID3722
2
-
R Juárez DEF3521
7
-
C Calderón DEF341
6
-
H Martín FWD341110
-
C Borja DEF3231
2
-
K Álvarez DEF3213
2
1
A Campo MID321
1
-
B Rodríguez MID2998
2
-
J Santos MID29
5
-
R Aguirre FWD29111
9
1
V Dávila FWD278
3
-
D Valdés MID263
-
J Dilrosun FWD2513
4
-
S Ramos DEF23
1
-
N Araujo DEF192
1
-
D. Espinoza Acosta MID191
4
-
R Sánchez MID1822
1
M García DEF13
1
-
M Pérez MID71
1
-
R Cota GLK6
-
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF5
-
A. Álvarez Villar MID41
-
D. Arriaga García MID4
2
-
E Solana FWD41
-
P. Salas FWD3
-
P Villa DEF2
-
A. Arredondo Ángel MID21
-
W Portales FWD2
-
C Alatorre FWD2
1
-
I Lichnovsky DEF1
-
D. Alvarado MID1
-
Y. Shtrimling FWD1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
38271311
M RuízPaulinhoA VegaM Ruíz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Vega FWD401513
6
-
M Ruíz MID39310
11
-
J Uriarte MID3888
1
-
Paulinho FWD38277
9
-
J Gallardo DEF3777
7
-
Luan DEF343
3
-
J Domínguez FWD3413
4
-
F Pereira DEF291
7
1
I Violante FWD2964
5
-
B García DEF2611
3
-
B Méndez DEF25
1
1
Helinho  MID243
2
1
I López FWD2311
-
V Camarena MID21
4
1
R Morales FWD1931
-
D Barbosa DEF181
3
-
F Romero MID17
3
-
H Herrera MID162
2
-
F Amaya MID152
1
-
E López DEF12
2
-
P López GLK11
2
-
L García GLK8
-
A Briseño DEF61
1
K. Castillo MID2
-
L. Navarrete Torres DEF1
-
Mexican Liga MX match betting previews, predictions and odds