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León v Juárez : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Apr, 04:00 BST, Estadio León, León de los Aldamas

León and Juárez clash at the Estadio León on Sunday morning, with both Javier Marcelo Gandolfi and Pedro Miguel Faria Caixinha hoping for success in the Liga MX. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Both teams to score

Leon should have reason to feel positive ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Juarez. The bookmakers can't split them and neither can we – there's no clear winner in this fixture. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more reason to be certain. The form statistics, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leon
41%
6/5
7%
13/10
3%
Draw
24%
5/2
3%
12/5
3%
Juarez
35%
21/108/5
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
7%
11/2
Leon 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
Juarez 2-1
8%
10/18/1
6%
Leon 1-0
8%
10/1
16%
8/1
Juarez 1-0
7%
12/1
8%
17/2
6%
Draw 2-2
6%
10/1
8%
10/1
10%
Leon 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
Juarez 2-0
5%
16/111/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
Leon 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
13%
Juarez 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
14/1
Leon 3-2
3%
20/116/1
11%
Leon 3-0
3%
20/116/1
Juarez 3-2
3%
25/118/1
12%
Juarez 3-0
2%
33/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/68/13
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
23/2021/20
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5
4%
17/20
3%
Away 1st Goal
48%
21/20
2%
21/20
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
13%
11/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/15
3%
4/7
2%
BTTS - No
40%
11/8
6%
5/4
2%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/1
7%
3/1
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1
8%
16/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4/1
9%
7/2
4%
Home/draw
65%
4/114/9
3%
Away/draw
59%
8/13
5%
11/20
1%
Home/away
76%
2/72/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/52/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/329/10
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
13/86/4
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/92/5
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4/117/5
2%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/62/13
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/17/1
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/161/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
1/80
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
13%
10/1
Home DNB
58%
8/13
3%
3/4
3%
Away DNB
52%
6/5
2%
19/20
2%
Leon win to nil
19%
7/2
13%
-
Juarez win to nil
16%
11/2
8%
-
Leon / Leon
22%
13/5
6%
13/5
3%
Leon / Juarez
4%
25/118/1
Leon / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Leon
13%
5/1
9%
5/1
Draw / Juarez
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
Draw / Draw
14%
5/119/4
Juarez / Leon
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
Juarez / Juarez
18%
15/4
5%
3/1
3%
Juarez / Draw
7%
12/110/1
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Win / draw / win form
3
Leon have won 3 consecutive league games
Leon 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon2 - 0Atlas
Leon0 - 3Tijuana
Leon2 - 1Necaxa
Leon2 - 1S. Laguna
Leon1 - 2Tigres
Leon2 - 1Cruz Azul
Leon1 - 2Puebla
Leon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Leon2 - 4Toluca
Leon2 - 2Mazatlan
Leon3 - 0Queretaro
Leon1 - 1Pachuca
Leon1 - 3Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Guadalajara
Leon0 - 1A. San Luis
Leon2 - 3Cruz Azul
Leon0 - 2Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Puebla
Leon1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Leon2 - 1Tijuana
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeon1 - 0Puebla
HLeon2 - 0Atlas
ALeon2 - 1A. San Luis
ALeon0 - 5Guadalajara
HLeon0 - 3Tijuana
ALeon2 - 4Mazatlan
HLeon2 - 1Necaxa
HLeon2 - 1S. Laguna
ALeon0 - 1Monterrey
ALeon0 - 2Queretaro
HLeon1 - 2Tigres
ALeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 2Pachuca
HLeon2 - 1Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 2Puebla
ALeon0 - 2America
HLeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon0 - 2Atlas
ALeon0 - 2S. Laguna
HLeon2 - 4Toluca
Juarez 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Queretaro1 - 1Juarez
Puebla1 - 1Juarez
Toluca3 - 1Juarez
America1 - 2Juarez
Pachuca2 - 0Juarez
S. Laguna2 - 2Juarez
Mazatlan1 - 2Juarez
Toluca0 - 0Juarez
Tijuana3 - 1Juarez
A. San Luis1 - 2Juarez
Monterrey4 - 2Juarez
Atlas3 - 1Juarez
Cruz Azul3 - 2Juarez
Necaxa1 - 1Juarez
Guadalajara1 - 2Juarez
Tijuana1 - 1Juarez
Tigres1 - 0Juarez
Pumas UNAM0 - 0Juarez
Atlas1 - 1Juarez
A. San Luis1 - 0Juarez
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HJuarez1 - 2Tijuana
AJuarez1 - 1Queretaro
AJuarez1 - 1Puebla
HJuarez2 - 1Tigres
HJuarez2 - 2Monterrey
AJuarez1 - 3Toluca
AJuarez2 - 1America
HJuarez3 - 1Atlas
HJuarez1 - 2Necaxa
AJuarez0 - 2Pachuca
HJuarez3 - 4Cruz Azul
AJuarez2 - 2S. Laguna
HJuarez0 - 1Guadalajara
AJuarez2 - 1Mazatlan
AJuarez0 - 0Toluca
HJuarez1 - 2Toluca
HJuarez2 - 1Pachuca
AJuarez1 - 3Tijuana
HJuarez1 - 2Queretaro
AJuarez2 - 1A. San Luis
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Leon have beaten Juarez in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Juarez
Goals: Scored
9
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
LEO
5
JUA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Leon1 - 0
Leon2 - 1
Leon1 - 0
0 - 1Juarez
Leon2 - 0
Leon3 - 1
League games at Juarez since 2020
Juarez
Leon
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
LEO
3
D
3
JUA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Juarez
Juarez2 - 0
2 - 3Leon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Leon
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4Leon
Goal Statistics

León's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Juárez have conceded in each of their last 14 Liga MX games. A PG of 1.6 for J. Gandolfi's side suggests that run should continue.

Leon 17th Juarez 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Leon will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Juarez will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Leon have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-8
Juarez’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Leon
PG (predicted goals)
Juarez
1.6
1.4
Attack rating
LEO
JUA
31%
better
view stats
Games scored20
30
Failed to score11
5
Scored first11
15
Goals scored30
52
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for10
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
12%
better
LEO
JUA
view stats
Games conceded25
32
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first19
19
Goals conceded55
58
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+12%

Leon v Juarez Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
308411
R EcheverríaI DíazI MorenoS Barreiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Moreno DEF3014
5
-
R Echeverría MID30
7
-
S Chávez DEF282
6
-
S Barreiro DEF28
10
1
F Beltran MID2822
5
-
O García GLK25
1
-
I Díaz FWD2484
-
J Cortizo FWD231
4
1
R Mori FWD211
1
-
A Alvarado FWD202
1
-
D Ramírez DEF19
2
-
D Arcila MID183
2
-
M Rodriguez FWD181
-
D Cambindo FWD1461
2
-
J Domínguez FWD1411
-
I Rodríguez MID13
2
-
V. Gauthier Pereira Brasil DEF12
1
1
?. Estrada Meza MID12
-
S Vegas DEF11
4
1
B Colula DEF911
1
-
P Bellón DEF9
2
-
J Vallejo FWD7
-
J. García Bonnet GLK3
1
-
Óscar Jiménez GLK3
-
A Villegas DEF2
-
G. García Bernal FWD1
-
Juarez Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3514812
S RocaÓscar EstupiñánJ FrancisH Martínez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Roca GLK35
2
-
D García MID3532
5
-
R Pizarro MID3442
4
-
J Francis FWD3448
6
-
A Mayorga DEF313
8
1
Óscar Estupiñán FWD31143
5
-
G Castilho MID3072
7
-
H Martínez MID291
12
-
J Murillo DEF2621
7
1
M Mosquera  DEF26
3
-
R Fulgencio MID2612
2
-
J Manríquez DEF24
2
-
Madson FWD2341
3
-
R. Oliveira António FWD2111
2
1
F Nevárez DEF1611
3
-
J Torres FWD1532
4
1
J Aquino DEF11
-
L Dupuy FWD111
-
Monchu MID101
1
1
E Ayon FWD9
-
E. López Castro DEF8
1
-
D. Ochoa DEF71
1
-