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Toluca v Santos Laguna : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

the Estadio Nemesio Díez crowd welcome Santos Laguna's supporters on Thursday morning, as Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich's Toluca take on Francisco Javier Rodríguez Vílchez's team in the Liga MX. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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Toluca's next match is v Puebla at 01:00 on Saturday 31st January
Santos Laguna's next match is v Pumas UNAM at 03:00 on Saturday 31st January
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Toluca and S. Laguna was on Thursday 15th January 2026
Mexican Liga MX
January 15th 2026
Toluca 3
1 S. Laguna
 
Ó. Ortega Gatica (OG) 50'21' F. Villalba Rodrigo
M. Ruiz Suárez 53'
H. Nunes de Castro 60'
 
TOL
STS
Shots On
9
2
Shots Off
9
1
Corners
5
1
Possession
73%
27%
Fouls
15
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
6/0
 
TolucaS. Laguna
 
A. Briseño Vázquez (E. López 46')
A. Pereira Castelnoble
F. Romero
N. Castro (P. Uriel Perez Hernandez 64')
J. Angulo Uriarte (J. Díaz Price 82')
H. Nunes de Castrofootball icon (F. Córdova Reyes 70')
M. Ruiz Suárezfootball icon
L. García Palomera
J. Gallardo Vasconcelos
J. Dias Fernandes
F. Pumpido Lazzarino (S. Simón 46')
C. Acevedo López
B. Amione
(A. López Vargas 57') J. Güemez López
(T. Jiménez Sánchez 64') E. Bullaude
C. Gruezo Arboleda
(S. Mariscal Murra 72') L. Di Yorio
E. Orona Zavala
football iconÓ. Ortega Gatica
football iconF. Villalba Rodrigo
(K. Palacios Salazar 57') R. Sordo
(C. Dájome Arboleda 46') K. Picón Álvarez

Best Tip: Toluca to win

We're predicting Toluca will claim victory after 90 mins on Thursday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Estadio Nemesio Díez.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 72% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.18.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
72%
19/1002/9
Draw
16%
6/15/1
S. Laguna
12%
9/17/1
Toluca 2-0
9%
17/27/1
Toluca 2-1
9%
9/115/2
Toluca 3-0
8%
17/27/1
Toluca 3-1
8%
9/18/1
Toluca 1-0
7%
12/110/1
Draw 1-1
7%
12/110/1
Toluca 4-0
5%
11/19/1
Toluca 4-1
5%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
18/114/1
Toluca 3-2
4%
20/114/1
S. Laguna 2-1
4%
25/118/1
Draw 0-0
3%
28/122/1
Toluca 5-0
3%
18/112/1
S. Laguna 1-0
3%
33/122/1
Toluca 5-1
3%
20/114/1
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
2/71/4
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
13/59/4
Home 1st Goal
59%
3/101/4
Away 1st Goal
40%
12/511/4
No 1st Goal
1%
28/122/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/64/6
BTTS - No
42%
11/1021/20
BTTS - Home Win
37%
5/413/10
BTTS - Draw
13%
13/26/1
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/110/1
Home/draw
88%
1/161/18
Away/draw
28%
3/129/10
Home/away
84%
1/101/10
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/141/16
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
8/16/1
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
8/117/10
Under 3.5 Goals
52%
1/119/20
Over 4.5 Goals
29%
13/86/4
Under 4.5 Goals
71%
4/94/9
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
10/33/1
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1/52/11
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/1001/1000
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
28/118/1
Home DNB
83%
1/121/14
Away DNB
23%
7/16/1
Toluca win to nil
35%
6/4-
S. Laguna win to nil
5%
20/1-
Toluca / Toluca
49%
4/613/20
Toluca / S. Laguna
2%
40/133/1
Toluca / Draw
4%
18/116/1
Draw / Toluca
18%
10/318/5
Draw / S. Laguna
4%
20/116/1
Draw / Draw
7%
11/110/1
S. Laguna / Toluca
5%
14/114/1
S. Laguna / S. Laguna
5%
18/111/1
S. Laguna / Draw
4%
20/116/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Toluca 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca2 - 1Tigres
Toluca3 - 2Monterrey
Toluca0 - 0Juarez
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Pachuca
Toluca4 - 0Queretaro
Toluca3 - 1Mazatlan
Toluca6 - 2Monterrey
Toluca3 - 1Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca3 - 4Tigres
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca3 - 0Tigres
Toluca2 - 1Monterrey
Toluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca3 - 2Pachuca
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 0Queretaro
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca1 - 0Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1Tigres
AToluca0 - 1Tigres
HToluca3 - 2Monterrey
AToluca0 - 1Monterrey
HToluca0 - 0Juarez
AToluca2 - 1Juarez
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0Atlas
HToluca2 - 2Pachuca
AToluca0 - 0Tijuana
HToluca4 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 2Leon
HToluca3 - 1Mazatlan
HToluca6 - 2Monterrey
AToluca3 - 0Guadalajara
HToluca3 - 1Puebla
AToluca3 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
HToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
S. Laguna 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
D
3
Lost
17
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Necaxa4 - 1S. Laguna
Mazatlan2 - 2S. Laguna
America3 - 0S. Laguna
Monterrey1 - 0S. Laguna
Atlas2 - 2S. Laguna
Juarez2 - 1S. Laguna
Cruz Azul3 - 2S. Laguna
Puebla1 - 0S. Laguna
Pumas UNAM2 - 0S. Laguna
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Tigres3 - 0S. Laguna
Monterrey4 - 2S. Laguna
Mazatlan1 - 1S. Laguna
Necaxa3 - 2S. Laguna
Juarez1 - 0S. Laguna
Pachuca2 - 1S. Laguna
Guadalajara1 - 0S. Laguna
Queretaro3 - 2S. Laguna
Cruz Azul2 - 0S. Laguna
America3 - 0S. Laguna
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Laguna1 - 3Necaxa
HS. Laguna1 - 0Pachuca
AS. Laguna1 - 4Necaxa
HS. Laguna3 - 1Queretaro
AS. Laguna2 - 2Mazatlan
HS. Laguna2 - 0Leon
AS. Laguna0 - 3America
AS. Laguna0 - 1Monterrey
HS. Laguna1 - 0Tijuana
HS. Laguna1 - 4A. San Luis
AS. Laguna2 - 2Atlas
HS. Laguna0 - 1Tigres
AS. Laguna1 - 2Juarez
AS. Laguna2 - 3Cruz Azul
HS. Laguna1 - 0Guadalajara
AS. Laguna0 - 1Puebla
HS. Laguna2 - 4Toluca
HS. Laguna3 - 0Pumas UNAM
HS. Laguna0 - 4Tijuana
AS. Laguna0 - 2Pumas UNAM
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Toluca have beaten S. Laguna in 5 consecutive home league meetings
5
Toluca have not lost to S. Laguna in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
S. Laguna
Goals: Scored
17
11
Games: Scored
8 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
0 / 8
TOL
6
D
1
STS
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca1 - 0
Toluca4 - 3
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca3 - 1
1 - 2S. Laguna
Draw2 - 2Draw
Toluca2 - 1
League games at S. Laguna since 2019
S. Laguna
Toluca
Goals: Scored
17
15
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
TOL
3
D
1
STS
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Laguna
2 - 4Toluca
S. Laguna2 - 0
S. Laguna3 - 1
0 - 5Toluca
1 - 2Toluca
Draw2 - 2Draw
S. Laguna3 - 1
S. Laguna4 - 0
Goal Statistics
Toluca 3rd S. Laguna 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4+
26%
There is a 27% probability that Toluca will score 4 or more goals in this match
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of S. Laguna scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+30
Toluca have scored 30% more goals at home than predicted
-10
S. Laguna’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.8
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
S. Laguna
2.6
1
Attack rating
15%
better
TOL
STS
view stats
Games scored18
14
Failed to score6
4
Scored first12
9
Goals scored51
23
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.3
Avg. shots per game13
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
13%
better
TOL
STS
view stats
Games conceded16
13
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first9
9
Goals conceded24
31
Avg. goals conceded1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
14
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1
1.9
KickOff rating
+13%

Toluca v S. Laguna Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231589
F PereiraPaulinhoN CastroJ Gallardo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L García GLK10
1
-
F. Pumpido Lazzarino DEF1
-
A Briseño DEF1311
-
F Pereira DEF252
7
-
J Gallardo DEF2241
9
-
M Ruíz MID2332
5
-
F Romero MID242
3
-
Helinho  MID1585
4
-
J Uriarte MID2454
1
-
N Castro MID2638
1
-
Paulinho FWD22152
3
-
Subs
H González GLK17
2
-
M Isaís DEF
-
E López DEF19
1
-
D Barbosa DEF211
6
-
S Córdova MID6
-
P Pérez MID3
-
S Simón MID173
2
-
F Arce MID8
1
-
J Price MID2
-
O. Virgen FWD1011
1
-
S. Laguna Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20437
C AcevedoC DájomeR SordoR Sordo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Acevedo GLK20
1
-
K Álvarez DEF1
1
-
H Ortega DEF1411
4
2
J Güemez DEF19
5
-
B Amione DEF2031
6
-
R Sordo MID1823
6
1
E Orona MID3
2
-
E Bullaude MID311
-
F Villalba MID1931
5
-
C Gruezo MID3
2
-
L Yorio FWD21
-
Subs
H Pérez GLK
-
E. Echeverría Mata DEF12
2
-
J. Pérez Sánchez DEF51
-
A López MID1921
-
S Murra MID12
2
-
D Medina MID91
-
K Palacios MID1821
2
-
C Dájome FWD194
5
-
J Ocejo FWD1832
1
1
T. Jiménez Sánchez FWD3
-