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Atlas v Mazatlán : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 31st Jan, 23:00 BST, Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

Mazatlán, led by manager Robert Dante Siboldi Badiola, visit Diego Martín Cocca Pera and his Atlas side at the Estadio Jalisco on Saturday night in the Liga MX. All of the important stats for the encounter, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 markets are included in this preview. It's all designed to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of Atlas and Mazatlan serving up a minimum of a couple of goals in this Liga MX tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it would appear that the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.22.

There should be plenty of goalmouth action in this one – we’re predicting that there’s a 55% chance of Atlas v Mazatlan having 3 goals or more. ‘Over 2.5 goals’ is the most probable outcome in this market, and is available at a best price of 1.85.

Discover the top tips from the communities best over/under tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Atlas 53%	1.66 9%	1.70
Draw 23%	3.60 7%	3.50
Mazatlan 24%	5.25 14%	4.20
Draw 1-1 11%	7.00 7%	6.50
Atlas 1-0 10%	7.50	6.00
Atlas 2-1 10%	8.50	7.50
Atlas 2-0 9%	8.00 6%	7.50
Mazatlan 1-0 6%	15.00 13%	10.00
Mazatlan 2-1 6%	17.00 12%	12.00
Atlas 3-1 6%	13.00 15%	12.00
Draw 0-0 6%	11.00 8%	9.00
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00	13.00
Atlas 3-0 5%	13.00 25%	11.00
Mazatlan 2-0 3%	26.00 21%	17.00
Atlas 3-2 3%	26.00	19.00
Atlas 4-1 3%	26.00 26%	19.00
Mazatlan 3-1 2%	41.00 17%	26.00
Atlas 4-0 2%	26.00 26%	19.00
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	1.85 3%	1.85
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	1.95 3%	1.75
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.57 3%	1.55
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.63 5%	2.75
No 1st Goal 3%	11.00 8%	9.00
BTTS - Yes 56%	1.80 3%	1.85
BTTS - No 45%	1.95 3%	1.83
BTTS - Home Win 25%	3.60 10%	3.70
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.75 5%	4.80
BTTS - Away Win 12%	9.50 11%	8.00
Home/draw 76%	1.17 4%	1.20
Away/draw 47%	2.10 11%	2.05
Home/away 77%	1.29 3%	1.25
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1.25 2%	1.29
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	3.75 6%	3.20
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	3.00 9%	3.10
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	1.36 3%	1.29
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	6.00 9%	5.75
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1.13 1%	1.09
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	13.00 18%	11.00
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1.04 1%	1.01
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1.05 1%	1.03
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	11.00 8%	8.50
Home DNB 69%	1.25 7%	1.29
Away DNB 40%	3.75 15%	3.25
Atlas win to nil 27%	3.00 18%	-
Mazatlan win to nil 12%	9.00 10%	-
Atlas / Atlas 31%	2.63 10%	2.60
Atlas / Mazatlan 3%	34.00 17%	29.00
Atlas / Draw 6%	15.00 13%	13.00
Draw / Atlas 18%	4.50 6%	4.50
Draw / Mazatlan 8%	10.00 14%	9.00
Draw / Draw 14%	6.00 8%	5.25
Mazatlan / Atlas 4%	21.00	19.00
Mazatlan / Mazatlan 11%	8.00 12%	7.00
Mazatlan / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Over / under 2.5 goals form

There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 consecutive Atlas league games

Atlas have not scored more than 1 goal for 6 consecutive league games

Atlas have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games

Mazatlan have not scored more than 1 goal for 5 consecutive league games

Mazatlan have conceded 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Avg: Scored

1.7

Conceded

1.9

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Over

Under

HOME FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Atlas	1 - 0	Puebla
Atlas	0 - 0	Toluca
Atlas	2 - 0	Leon
Atlas	3 - 1	Juarez
Atlas	3 - 2	Necaxa
Atlas	2 - 2	S. Laguna
Atlas	2 - 4	America
Atlas	0 - 3	Pachuca
Atlas	3 - 3	Cruz Azul
Atlas	1 - 1	Guadalajara
Atlas	2 - 3	Toluca
Atlas	1 - 1	Juarez
Atlas	1 - 3	America
Atlas	3 - 1	A. San Luis
Atlas	0 - 4	Necaxa
Atlas	3 - 2	Puebla
Atlas	3 - 3	Monterrey
Atlas	1 - 2	Leon
Atlas	2 - 2	Cruz Azul
Atlas	0 - 0	Tijuana

Avg: Scored

1.3

Conceded

1.9

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Over

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
A	Atlas	1 - 0	Necaxa
A	Atlas	0 - 2	Cruz Azul
H	Atlas	1 - 0	Puebla
A	Atlas	0 - 2	Tijuana
H	Atlas	0 - 0	Toluca
A	Atlas	1 - 4	Guadalajara
H	Atlas	2 - 0	Leon
A	Atlas	0 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Atlas	3 - 1	Juarez
H	Atlas	3 - 2	Necaxa
A	Atlas	0 - 2	Tigres
A	Atlas	1 - 1	Mazatlan
H	Atlas	2 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Atlas	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Atlas	2 - 4	America
A	Atlas	3 - 3	Queretaro
H	Atlas	0 - 3	Pachuca
A	Atlas	1 - 3	Monterrey
H	Atlas	3 - 3	Cruz Azul
A	Atlas	3 - 2	Puebla

Away

Overall

Avg: Scored

0.6

Conceded

1.5

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Over

Under

AWAY FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Puebla	2 - 1	Mazatlan
Queretaro	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Mazatlan
Toluca	3 - 1	Mazatlan
Leon	2 - 2	Mazatlan
Juarez	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Monterrey	3 - 2	Mazatlan
Pachuca	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Cruz Azul	0 - 0	Mazatlan
America	5 - 0	Mazatlan
A. San Luis	2 - 1	Mazatlan
Queretaro	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Pachuca	1 - 1	Mazatlan
Necaxa	3 - 1	Mazatlan
Pumas UNAM	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Puebla	0 - 1	Mazatlan
Tigres	2 - 1	Mazatlan
Leon	0 - 0	Mazatlan
S. Laguna	0 - 0	Mazatlan
Atlas	0 - 0	Mazatlan

Avg: Scored

1.2

Conceded

1.9

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Over

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
H	Mazatlan	1 - 5	Monterrey
A	Mazatlan	1 - 2	Puebla
H	Mazatlan	1 - 2	Juarez
H	Mazatlan	1 - 1	Necaxa
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Queretaro
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	America
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Mazatlan	0 - 2	Guadalajara
H	Mazatlan	2 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Mazatlan	1 - 3	Toluca
A	Mazatlan	2 - 2	Leon
H	Mazatlan	1 - 1	Atlas
H	Mazatlan	1 - 4	Pumas UNAM
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Juarez
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tigres
A	Mazatlan	2 - 3	Monterrey
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tijuana
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Pachuca
H	Mazatlan	2 - 1	Puebla
A	Mazatlan	0 - 0	Cruz Azul

Over / under 2.5 goals head to head (H2H)

Atlas

Mazatlan

Average goals:

1.0

1.4

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

Over

Under

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlas Over \| Under
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 3	Mazatlan
Atlas	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Mazatlan
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Mazatlan

Atlas

Average goals:

1.3

0.5

Games: Scored

5 / 6

2 / 6

Clean sheets

4 / 6

1 / 6

Over

Under

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mazatlan Over \| Under
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Mazatlan	3 - 2
Mazatlan	2 - 0
Mazatlan	1 - 0
Mazatlan	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Atlas's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Mazatlán have conceded in each of their last 19 Liga MX outings. A PG of 1.8 for D. Cocca Pera's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been a problem for Mazatlán of late. It has been 5 Liga MX games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Atlas.

	Atlas 14th	Mazatlan 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Atlas will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Mazatlan will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+13 Atlas have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted	-38 Mazatlan have scored 38% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	0.6 average goals scored
	1.9 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

better

ATL

MAZ

view stats

Games scored	13		15
Failed to score	7		5
Scored first	8		6
Goals scored	26		23
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.2
Avg. shots per game	7		7
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	18		16
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+1%

18%

better

ATL

MAZ

view stats

Games conceded	16		19
Clean sheets	4		1
Conceded first	11		13
Goals conceded	37		38
Avg. goals conceded	1.9		1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	15%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.9		2
KickOff rating		+18%

Atlas v Mazatlan Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	8	5	10
G Ferrareis	U Djurdjevic	D Alcaraz	U Djurdjevic

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Ferrareis DEF	20		3	1 -
G Aguirre DEF	19	1	1	4 -
U Djurdjevic FWD	19	8	1	10 -
D Alcaraz FWD	19	5	5	3 -
C Vargas GLK	18		1	2 -
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	18			5 -
A Rocha MID	15		2	4 1
A González FWD	15	1		-
A Mora DEF	14	2		3 -
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	14	1		2 1
E Lara FWD	14	1	1	1 -
M García FWD	12	2		1 -
J Lozano DEF	9	1	1	3 1
G Prete FWD	9	2	1	1 -
C Orrantía DEF	6			-
J Rodríguez DEF	5			-
R Pier DEF	5		1	-
R Schlegel DEF	3			-
M Capasso DEF	3			1 -
E Zaldívar MID	3			-
A Sánchez GLK	1			1 -
C Becerra GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	14	5	7
U Djurdjevic	U Djurdjevic	D Alcaraz	D Alcaraz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
U Djurdjevic FWD	8	14	1	3
D Alcaraz FWD	5	13	5	7
A Mora DEF	2	4
M García FWD	2	7
G Prete FWD	2	3	1
G Aguirre DEF	1	1	1	1
A González FWD	1	3
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	1	3
E Lara FWD	1	2	1	1
J Lozano DEF	1	1	1	2
G Ferrareis DEF		5	3	3
C Vargas GLK			1	1
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID		3
A Rocha MID			2	1
R Pier DEF		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
672	41	91
G Aguirre	G Aguirre	D Alcaraz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Aguirre DEF	672	41	86
C Vargas GLK	594	1	4
G Ferrareis DEF	559	30	81
A Rocha MID	559	18	48
D Alcaraz FWD	465	19	91
A Mora DEF	424	24	51
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	419	21	39
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	378	31	62
M García FWD	302	15	52
U Djurdjevic FWD	255	3	53
A González FWD	206	10	22
R Pier DEF	204	1	6
M Capasso DEF	136	2	8
J Lozano DEF	131	10	38
E Lara FWD	127	12	37
R Schlegel DEF	125	5	13
G Prete FWD	121	4	20
J Rodríguez DEF	68	4	11
C Orrantía DEF	45	3	5
C Becerra GLK	29		1
E Zaldívar MID	25
A Sánchez GLK	22		1

Mazatlan Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	5	2	5
F Almada	F Almada	M Laínez	L Merolla

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Almada DEF	20	5		2 -
J Sierra MID	17	3		2 -
M Laínez FWD	16		2	4 -
Y Bárcenas FWD	16		1	2 -
J Esquivel MID	15	1	1	3 -
Dudu FWD	15		1	1 1
J Casiano FWD	15		1	-
F Gomes FWD	15	3		2 -
L Merolla DEF	14		2	5 -
M Zaleta MID	13	1		1 -
J Vázquez DEF	11			3 -
?. Leyva DEF	11			3 1
S González MID	11			3 -
O Villegas FWD	10	1	1	1 -
Iván Mauricio González Cataño FWD	8		1	2 -
Ángel Saavedra FWD	7		1	2 -
J García MID	6			-
A Torres MID	4			-
R Rodríguez GLK	3			-
A Herrera MID	3	1		1 -
C. Castro Ramírez DEF	2			-
J Intriago MID	2			-
S Rodriguez DEF	1			-
S. Godínez MID	1			-
B Rubio FWD	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	10	2	3
F Almada	O Villegas	M Laínez	F Gomes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Almada DEF	5	7
J Sierra MID	3	5		1
F Gomes FWD	3	8		3
J Esquivel MID	1	2	1	2
M Zaleta MID	1	2
O Villegas FWD	1	10	1
A Herrera MID	1	1
M Laínez FWD		1	2	1
Y Bárcenas FWD		6	1	2
Dudu FWD		1	1	1
J Casiano FWD			1	2
L Merolla DEF		1	2	2
J Vázquez DEF		1
?. Leyva DEF		1
Iván Mauricio González Cataño FWD		1	1
Ángel Saavedra FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
927	30	70
F Almada	J Esquivel	F Almada

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Almada DEF	927	25	70
J Sierra MID	489	26	59
Y Bárcenas FWD	420	14	48
J Esquivel MID	365	30	50
L Merolla DEF	340	18	45
J Casiano FWD	288	9	46
?. Leyva DEF	271	10	36
J Vázquez DEF	259	16	29
M Zaleta MID	249	19	45
M Laínez FWD	246	20	40
F Gomes FWD	182	3	55
S González MID	149	6	16
Dudu FWD	130	8	37
O Villegas FWD	92	12	35
Iván Mauricio González Cataño FWD	88	6	15
R Rodríguez GLK	77	1	4
A Herrera MID	75	8	12
Ángel Saavedra FWD	67	11	18
A Torres MID	58	1	2
J García MID	54	5	8
S. Godínez MID	22
J Intriago MID	21		1
B Rubio FWD	3		2
C. Castro Ramírez DEF	2	1	3
S Rodriguez DEF	1	1	1