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Cruz Azul v Guadalajara : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Feb, 03:05 BST, Estadio Azteca, Mexico City

the Estadio Azteca is the stage on Sunday morning, as Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón's Cruz Azul host Gabriel Alejandro Milito's Guadalajara in the Liga MX. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Liga MX match data, including head-to-head performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Cruz Azul and Guadalajara will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón or Gabriel Alejandro Milito has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 80% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cruz Azul are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cruz Azul
40%
27/205/4
Draw
24%
12/59/4
Guadalajara
35%
15/817/10
Draw 1-1
11%
11/25/1
Cruz Azul 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Guadalajara 2-1
8%
10/18/1
Cruz Azul 1-0
8%
15/213/2
Guadalajara 1-0
7%
17/215/2
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Cruz Azul 2-0
6%
11/19/1
Guadalajara 2-0
5%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
5%
9/117/2
Cruz Azul 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Guadalajara 3-1
4%
22/116/1
Cruz Azul 3-2
3%
28/118/1
Cruz Azul 3-0
3%
22/116/1
Guadalajara 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Guadalajara 3-0
3%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
19/205/6
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
17/204/5
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/617/20
Away 1st Goal
48%
21/2011/10
No 1st Goal
3%
9/117/2
BTTS - Yes
60%
3/48/11
BTTS - No
40%
1/11/1
BTTS - Home Win
22%
15/47/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
19%
9/217/4
Home/draw
65%
2/52/5
Away/draw
60%
8/154/7
Home/away
76%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/71/4
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
5/29/4
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
12/521/10
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
3/103/10
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
11/219/4
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/91/11
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
14/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/331/80
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/161/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
9/18/1
Home DNB
57%
8/117/10
Away DNB
52%
1/121/20
Cruz Azul win to nil
19%
10/3-
Guadalajara win to nil
16%
4/1-
Cruz Azul / Cruz Azul
21%
3/113/5
Cruz Azul / Guadalajara
3%
28/120/1
Cruz Azul / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Cruz Azul
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Guadalajara
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Guadalajara / Cruz Azul
3%
25/120/1
Guadalajara / Guadalajara
18%
15/417/5
Guadalajara / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win form
3
Cruz Azul have won 3 consecutive home league games
3
Guadalajara have won 3 consecutive away league games
5
Cruz Azul have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Cruz Azul 3RD
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Guadalajara 6TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Cruz Azul have beaten Guadalajara in 4 consecutive home league meetings
6
Cruz Azul have not lost to Guadalajara in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Cruz Azul since 2019
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara
Goals: Scored
11
6
Games: Scored
6 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
2 / 8
CAZ
5
D
1
GUA
2
League games at Guadalajara since 2018
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul
Goals: Scored
6
10
Games: Scored
5 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
4 / 9
CAZ
5
D
2
GUA
2
Goal Statistics

Cruz Azul have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Liga MX games. Their PG of 1.5 against Guadalajara on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Cruz Azul 3rd Guadalajara 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Cruz Azul will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Guadalajara will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Cruz Azul’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
Guadalajara’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Cruz Azul
PG (predicted goals)
Guadalajara
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
13%
better
CAZ
GUA
view stats
Games scored24
19
Failed to score3
6
Scored first15
15
Goals scored48
42
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game13
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
CAZ
GUA
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
17
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded31
29
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+6%

Cruz Azul v Guadalajara Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Cruz Azul Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261067
W DittaG FernándezJ ParadelaW Ditta
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Ditta DEF27
7
-
J Paradela MID2776
3
-
C Rodríguez MID2755
3
-
E Lira MID26
4
-
C Rotondi FWD2533
5
-
L Romero FWD2422
1
1
G Piovi DEF232
5
-
J Márquez MID2331
4
-
O Campos DEF211
-
G Fernández FWD21106
2
1
K Mier GLK16
-
J Chiquete DEF1511
1
2
A Gudiño GLK12
2
-
M. Levy Mendaña FWD11
1
-
A. Morales Rosas FWD1011
-
A Moreno MID9
1
-
J. Rodarte Barragán DEF7
1
1
A Palavecino MID62
1
-
O Ebere FWD21
-
N Ibáñez FWD11
1
-
Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251769
J RangelA. González AlbaR LedezmaR Ledezma
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Rangel GLK25
3
-
B González DEF2532
1
-
E Álvarez MID2535
-
A. González Alba FWD24171
3
-
R Ledezma DEF2316
8
1
J Castillo DEF23
1
-
L Romo MID2312
4
1
S Loboa MID202
3
-
R Hernández FWD2044
-
D Campillo DEF1911
4
-
O Govea MID191
4
-
D Aguirre MID1832
5
-
M Ortiz DEF162
1
-
F González MID16
3
1
Érick Gutiérrez MID132
5
-
M Tapias DEF101
-
G Sepúlveda DEF9
2
-
H. Camberos Figueroa FWD8
1
-
B Gutiérrez MID6
-
A Pulido  FWD6
-
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD6
-
J Sandoval FWD51
-
R Sánchez FWD31
-