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Juárez v Atlas : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Feb, 03:00 BST, Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez

Home advantage makes a difference in the Liga MX, and Pedro Miguel Faria Caixinha’s Juárez will have the joy of it on Saturday morning. Diego Martín Cocca Pera’s Atlas are their visitors to the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. This preview has odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you explore. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be explored, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Juarez and Atlas will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Pedro Miguel Faria Caixinha or Diego Martín Cocca Pera has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.33 equating to about a 81% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Juarez are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.96.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Juarez 51%	24/25	-
Draw 23%	12/5	-
Atlas 26%	13/5	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	-
Juarez 2-1 10%	8/1	-
Juarez 1-0 9%	6/1	-
Juarez 2-0 8%	17/2	-
Atlas 2-1 7%	11/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	-
Atlas 1-0 6%	9/1	-
Juarez 3-1 6%	16/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	17/2	-
Juarez 3-0 5%	18/1	-
Atlas 2-0 4%	16/1	-
Juarez 3-2 4%	28/1	-
Atlas 3-1 3%	28/1	-
Juarez 4-1 3%	40/1	-
Atlas 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	21/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	3/4	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	8/11	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	13/10	-
No 1st Goal 3%	17/2	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	4/5	-
BTTS - No 41%	19/20	-
BTTS - Home Win 26%	10/3	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	6/1	-
Home/draw 74%	2/7	-
Away/draw 49%	4/5	-
Home/away 77%	3/10	-
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1/3	-
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	9/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	5/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	2/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	7/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1/12	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	16/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/40	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	17/2	-
Home DNB 67%	1/2	-
Away DNB 42%	6/4	-
Juarez win to nil 24%	12/5	-
Atlas win to nil 12%	5/1	-
Juarez / Juarez 25%	9/4	-
Juarez / Atlas 2%	33/1	-
Juarez / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Juarez 16%	4/1	-
Draw / Atlas 11%	13/2	-
Draw / Draw 16%	4/1	-
Atlas / Juarez 4%	22/1	-
Atlas / Atlas 14%	5/1	-
Atlas / Draw 5%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Juarez have lost 4 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juarez	1 - 2	Necaxa
Juarez	3 - 4	Cruz Azul
Juarez	0 - 1	Guadalajara
Juarez	1 - 2	Toluca
Juarez	2 - 1	Pachuca
Juarez	1 - 2	Queretaro
Juarez	4 - 4	Puebla
Juarez	2 - 2	Pachuca
Juarez	2 - 0	Leon
Juarez	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Juarez	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Juarez	2 - 1	S. Laguna
Juarez	0 - 2	Toluca
Juarez	1 - 1	America
Juarez	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Juarez	0 - 2	Queretaro
Juarez	2 - 2	Necaxa
Juarez	2 - 0	Puebla
Juarez	1 - 1	Guadalajara
Juarez	2 - 2	Pachuca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Juarez	1 - 2	Necaxa
A	Juarez	0 - 2	Pachuca
H	Juarez	3 - 4	Cruz Azul
A	Juarez	2 - 2	S. Laguna
H	Juarez	0 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Juarez	2 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Juarez	0 - 0	Toluca
H	Juarez	1 - 2	Toluca
H	Juarez	2 - 1	Pachuca
A	Juarez	1 - 3	Tijuana
H	Juarez	1 - 2	Queretaro
A	Juarez	2 - 1	A. San Luis
H	Juarez	4 - 4	Puebla
A	Juarez	2 - 4	Monterrey
H	Juarez	2 - 2	Pachuca
A	Juarez	1 - 3	Atlas
H	Juarez	2 - 0	Leon
H	Juarez	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Juarez	2 - 3	Cruz Azul
A	Juarez	1 - 1	Necaxa

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca	3 - 1	Atlas
Necaxa	0 - 1	Atlas
Cruz Azul	2 - 0	Atlas
Tijuana	2 - 0	Atlas
Guadalajara	4 - 1	Atlas
A. San Luis	2 - 0	Atlas
Tigres	2 - 0	Atlas
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Atlas
Pumas UNAM	1 - 0	Atlas
Queretaro	3 - 3	Atlas
Monterrey	3 - 1	Atlas
Puebla	2 - 3	Atlas
Queretaro	1 - 2	Atlas
Mazatlan	3 - 2	Atlas
Tijuana	3 - 4	Atlas
S. Laguna	2 - 0	Atlas
Tigres	2 - 1	Atlas
Pachuca	0 - 0	Atlas
Pumas UNAM	0 - 0	Atlas
Cruz Azul	1 - 1	Atlas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Atlas	1 - 3	Pachuca
H	Atlas	2 - 2	Pumas UNAM
H	Atlas	1 - 0	Mazatlan
A	Atlas	1 - 0	Necaxa
A	Atlas	0 - 2	Cruz Azul
H	Atlas	1 - 0	Puebla
A	Atlas	0 - 2	Tijuana
H	Atlas	0 - 0	Toluca
A	Atlas	1 - 4	Guadalajara
H	Atlas	2 - 0	Leon
A	Atlas	0 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Atlas	3 - 1	Juarez
H	Atlas	3 - 2	Necaxa
A	Atlas	0 - 2	Tigres
A	Atlas	1 - 1	Mazatlan
H	Atlas	2 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Atlas	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Atlas	2 - 4	America
A	Atlas	3 - 3	Queretaro
H	Atlas	0 - 3	Pachuca

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Atlas have not lost to Juarez in 6 consecutive league meetings

Juarez

Atlas

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

1 / 5

ATL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Juarez
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Atlas
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Atlas
	0 - 1	Atlas

Atlas

Juarez

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

1 / 7

JUA

ATL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlas
Atlas	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Atlas	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Juarez
Atlas	2 - 0
Atlas	2 - 0
Atlas	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Juarez 15th	Atlas 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Juarez will score 1 or more goals	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Atlas will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+2 Juarez’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-6 Atlas’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

14%

better

JUA

ATL

view stats

Games scored	22		16
Failed to score	5		7
Scored first	13		9
Goals scored	39		30
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.3
Avg. shots per game	10		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		17
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+14%

JUA

ATL

better

view stats

Games conceded	24		18
Clean sheets	3		5
Conceded first	13		13
Goals conceded	46		42
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.8
KickOff rating		+9%

Juarez v Atlas Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Juarez Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	11	6	10
S Roca	Óscar Estupiñán	J Francis	H Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Roca GLK	27			-
D García MID	27	2	1	4 -
J Francis FWD	27	3	6	5 -
R Pizarro MID	26	4	1	3 -
H Martínez MID	24		1	10 -
A Mayorga DEF	23		3	7 1
G Castilho MID	23	4	2	7 -
Óscar Estupiñán FWD	23	11	2	5 -
R Fulgencio MID	22	1	2	2 -
R. Oliveira António FWD	20	1	1	2 1
Madson FWD	20	3	1	2 -
J Murillo DEF	19	2	1	6 -
M Mosquera DEF	19			2 -
J Manríquez DEF	18			-
F Nevárez DEF	10	1		1 -
E. López Castro DEF	8			1 -
D. Ochoa DEF	7		1	1 -
J Torres FWD	7	1	1	2 1
J Aquino DEF	4			-
J González MID	4			1 -
E Ayon FWD	4			-
L Dupuy FWD	3			-
Monchu MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	17	6	9
Óscar Estupiñán	Óscar Estupiñán	J Francis	A Mayorga

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Óscar Estupiñán FWD	11	17	2
R Pizarro MID	4	8	1	3
G Castilho MID	4	12	2	3
J Francis FWD	3	13	6	8
Madson FWD	3	12	1	1
D García MID	2	7	1	4
J Murillo DEF	2	5	1	2
R Fulgencio MID	1	1	2	5
R. Oliveira António FWD	1	6	1	2
F Nevárez DEF	1	1		1
J Torres FWD	1	1	1	1
H Martínez MID		5	1	1
A Mayorga DEF		3	3	9
M Mosquera DEF		2
J Manríquez DEF		1
E. López Castro DEF				2
D. Ochoa DEF			1	1
E Ayon FWD		1
L Dupuy FWD		2		1
Monchu MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1092	58	120
A Mayorga	D García	J Francis

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Mayorga DEF	1092	46	111
D García MID	1015	58	108
M Mosquera DEF	934	21	81
J Murillo DEF	849	18	63
H Martínez MID	758	42	70
S Roca GLK	749	2	12
J Francis FWD	664	24	120
J Manríquez DEF	649	13	49
G Castilho MID	571	41	78
R Pizarro MID	570	26	104
Madson FWD	365	22	100
Óscar Estupiñán FWD	290	8	83
R Fulgencio MID	279	5	18
F Nevárez DEF	270	25	46
R. Oliveira António FWD	260	15	44
D. Ochoa DEF	202	9	17
E. López Castro DEF	198	16	25
J Aquino DEF	136	5	14
J Torres FWD	83	2	13
J González MID	47	2	5
Monchu MID	45	3	5
E Ayon FWD	10		7
L Dupuy FWD	6	1	8

Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	5	6	5
G Ferrareis	D Alcaraz	D Alcaraz	A Rocha

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Ferrareis DEF	23		3	1 -
G Aguirre DEF	22	1	1	4 -
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	21			4 -
D Alcaraz FWD	21	5	6	3 -
C Vargas GLK	20		1	2 -
A Rocha MID	18		2	4 1
A González FWD	18	2		-
S. Hernández Flores MID	17		1	1 -
E Lara FWD	17	1	2	2 -
A Mora DEF	15	2		3 -
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	15	1		2 1
M García FWD	15	3	1	1 -
G Prete FWD	11	2	1	1 -
J Lozano DEF	9	1	1	3 1
R Schlegel DEF	6		1	1 -
M Capasso DEF	6	1		1 -
C Orrantía DEF	6			-
J Rodríguez DEF	5			-
R Pier DEF	5		1	-
E Zaldívar MID	5			-
A Sánchez GLK	2			1 -
C Becerra GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	13	6	9
D Alcaraz	D Alcaraz	D Alcaraz	D Alcaraz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Alcaraz FWD	5	13	6	9
M García FWD	3	8	1	1
A González FWD	2	6
A Mora DEF	2	4
G Prete FWD	2	3	1
G Aguirre DEF	1	1	1	1
E Lara FWD	1	5	2	1
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	1	3		1
J Lozano DEF	1	1	1	2
M Capasso DEF	1	1
G Ferrareis DEF		6	3	4
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID		3
C Vargas GLK			1	1
A Rocha MID			2	1
S. Hernández Flores MID		3	1	1
R Schlegel DEF		1	1	1
R Pier DEF		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
835	45	96
G Aguirre	G Aguirre	D Alcaraz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Aguirre DEF	835	45	94
A Rocha MID	768	20	53
G Ferrareis DEF	673	33	89
C Vargas GLK	648	1	4
D Alcaraz FWD	519	21	96
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	506	36	80
A Mora DEF	424	24	51
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	420	21	41
M García FWD	389	19	59
M Capasso DEF	323	4	19
R Schlegel DEF	316	10	25
S. Hernández Flores MID	310	30	66
A González FWD	295	13	32
R Pier DEF	204	1	6
E Lara FWD	176	13	49
G Prete FWD	133	5	22
J Lozano DEF	131	10	38
E Zaldívar MID	82	1	1
J Rodríguez DEF	68	4	12
A Sánchez GLK	61		1
C Orrantía DEF	45	3	5
C Becerra GLK	29		1