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León v Necaxa : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Mar, 01:00 BST, Estadio León, León de los Aldamas

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Liga MX, and Marcos Ignacio Ambriz Espinoza’s León will have the joy of it on Sunday morning. Martín Varini Di Zioli’s Necaxa are their visitors to the Estadio León. Below you'll find unique statistics for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Necaxa and Leon supporters may have some reason for celebration ahead as their sides go head-to-head, with our prediction of both teams to score looking a far stronger pick than any bet on the full time result market. The two sides have plenty in attack, as is borne out by the stats and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookies odds are not finding much to pick between the sides, with equal threat among their respective squads. Both teams to score is the way to go here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leon
46%
6/5-
Draw
22%
5/2-
Necaxa
32%
9/5-
Draw 1-1
10%
6/1-
Leon 2-1
9%
17/2-
Necaxa 2-1
7%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
7%
12/1-
Leon 1-0
6%
17/2-
Leon 2-0
6%
11/1-
Leon 3-1
6%
16/1-
Necaxa 1-0
5%
10/1-
Leon 3-2
4%
22/1-
Necaxa 2-0
4%
14/1-
Necaxa 3-1
4%
20/1-
Leon 3-0
4%
20/1-
Necaxa 3-2
3%
25/1-
Draw 0-0
3%
12/1-
Leon 4-1
3%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
3/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
21/20-
Home 1st Goal
51%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
47%
21/20-
No 1st Goal
2%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
66%
8/13-
BTTS - No
34%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
4/1-
Home/draw
68%
2/5-
Away/draw
54%
8/13-
Home/away
78%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
12/1-
Home DNB
61%
4/6-
Away DNB
47%
11/10-
Leon win to nil
18%
10/3-
Necaxa win to nil
12%
9/2-
Leon / Leon
22%
11/4-
Leon / Necaxa
3%
25/1-
Leon / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Leon
14%
5/1-
Draw / Necaxa
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Necaxa / Leon
4%
22/1-
Necaxa / Necaxa
17%
15/4-
Necaxa / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win form
Leon 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon1 - 2Tigres
Leon2 - 1Cruz Azul
Leon1 - 2Puebla
Leon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Leon2 - 4Toluca
Leon2 - 2Mazatlan
Leon3 - 0Queretaro
Leon1 - 1Pachuca
Leon1 - 3Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Guadalajara
Leon0 - 1A. San Luis
Leon2 - 3Cruz Azul
Leon0 - 2Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Puebla
Leon1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Leon2 - 1Tijuana
Leon1 - 0Tigres
Leon3 - 3Toluca
Leon2 - 1Guadalajara
Leon1 - 0Juarez
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeon0 - 1Monterrey
ALeon0 - 2Queretaro
HLeon1 - 2Tigres
ALeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 2Pachuca
HLeon2 - 1Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 2Puebla
ALeon0 - 2America
HLeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon0 - 2Atlas
ALeon0 - 2S. Laguna
HLeon2 - 4Toluca
ALeon0 - 2Juarez
HLeon2 - 2Mazatlan
ALeon0 - 5Tijuana
ALeon0 - 0Tigres
HLeon3 - 0Queretaro
HLeon1 - 1Pachuca
ALeon1 - 0Necaxa
HLeon1 - 3Monterrey
Necaxa 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juarez1 - 2Necaxa
America2 - 0Necaxa
S. Laguna1 - 3Necaxa
Mazatlan1 - 1Necaxa
A. San Luis3 - 4Necaxa
Tigres5 - 3Necaxa
Atlas3 - 2Necaxa
Guadalajara3 - 1Necaxa
Tijuana3 - 0Necaxa
Monterrey3 - 0Necaxa
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Necaxa
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Tigres2 - 2Necaxa
Puebla0 - 1Necaxa
Juarez2 - 2Necaxa
Tijuana1 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Atlas0 - 4Necaxa
America2 - 3Necaxa
Monterrey1 - 0Necaxa
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANecaxa2 - 1Juarez
HNecaxa4 - 1A. San Luis
ANecaxa0 - 2America
HNecaxa0 - 1Atlas
HNecaxa0 - 2Monterrey
ANecaxa3 - 1S. Laguna
ANecaxa1 - 1Mazatlan
HNecaxa4 - 1S. Laguna
ANecaxa4 - 3A. San Luis
HNecaxa1 - 1Cruz Azul
ANecaxa3 - 5Tigres
HNecaxa0 - 1Pachuca
ANecaxa2 - 3Atlas
ANecaxa1 - 3Guadalajara
HNecaxa1 - 0Puebla
HNecaxa1 - 1Juarez
ANecaxa0 - 3Tijuana
ANecaxa0 - 3Monterrey
HNecaxa0 - 1Leon
ANecaxa1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Leon have not lost to Necaxa in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Necaxa
Goals: Scored
14
6
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
LEO
5
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leon2 - 1
Leon3 - 0
Leon3 - 1
Leon2 - 1
Leon2 - 1
League games at Necaxa since 2018
Necaxa
Leon
Goals: Scored
8
15
Games: Scored
4 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
4 / 8
LEO
6
NEC
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
0 - 1Leon
Necaxa2 - 1
1 - 2Leon
Necaxa3 - 2
0 - 1Leon
0 - 2Leon
2 - 4Leon
0 - 2Leon
Goal Statistics

León's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Necaxa have conceded in each of their last 14 Liga MX games. A PG of 1.9 for M. Ambriz Espinoza's side suggests that run should continue.

Leon 17th Necaxa 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Leon will score 1 or more goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Necaxa will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Leon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+27
Necaxa have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Leon
PG (predicted goals)
Necaxa
1.9
1.5
Attack rating
LEO
NEC
22%
better
view stats
Games scored14
16
Failed to score9
7
Scored first7
7
Goals scored19
33
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal11
8
Conversion rate for9
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
15%
better
LEO
NEC
view stats
Games conceded19
22
Clean sheets4
1
Conceded first15
16
Goals conceded40
40
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded13
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+15%

Leon v Necaxa Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22639
R EcheverríaI DíazI MorenoS Barreiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Moreno DEF2213
3
-
R Echeverría MID22
6
-
S Barreiro DEF21
8
1
S Chávez DEF212
4
-
F Beltran MID2112
3
-
O García GLK19
1
-
J Cortizo FWD18
4
-
A Alvarado FWD172
1
-
I Díaz FWD1661
-
R Mori FWD161
1
-
D Ramírez DEF15
2
-
M Rodriguez FWD14
-
D Arcila MID101
1
-
?. Estrada Meza MID10
-
P Bellón DEF8
2
-
V. Gauthier Pereira Brasil DEF8
1
1
B Colula DEF611
1
-
I Rodríguez MID6
1
-
D Cambindo FWD62
1
-
J Domínguez FWD6
-
S Vegas DEF5
2
1
Óscar Jiménez GLK3
-
J Vallejo FWD2
-
J. García Bonnet GLK1
-
A Villegas DEF1
-
G. García Bernal FWD1
-
Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23544
E UnsainT BadaloniF. Rossano ErchukK Rosero 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Unsain GLK23
2
-
K Rosero  FWD2323
4
-
T Badaloni FWD2352
1
-
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF214
2
-
R Monreal FWD2131
2
1
C Calderón DEF1911
4
-
A Peña DEF191
-
A Oliveros DEF131
1
-
R Pineda FWD10
1
-
E Lara DEF9
2
-
D Leyva MID61
-
L Faravelli MID6
1
-
E González DEF5
-
K Gutiérrez MID5
1
1
A Almendra MID5
-
J Carranza FWD53
2
1
R Ruiz DEF3
-
F. Méndez Lara DEF1
-
J. Ruiz MID11
-