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Monterrey v Pachuca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio BBVA Bancomer, Guadalupe

Monterrey are in Liga MX action on Monday morning, as Martín Gastón Demichelis looks to get one over on Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves and his Pachuca side at the Estadio BBVA Bancomer. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across every major market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Liga MX clash.

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Monterrey's next match is v Toluca at 02:00 on Sunday 11th May
Pachuca's next match is v America at 04:10 on Sunday 11th May
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Monterrey and Pachuca was on Monday 28th April 2025
Mexican Liga MX
April 28th 2025
Monterrey 1
2 Pachuca
 
G. Berterame 51'82' E. dos Santos Bauermann
87' J. Rondón Giménez
 
MON
PAC
Shots On
5
8
Shots Off
4
9
Corners
5
8
Possession
45%
55%
Fouls
12
16
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
MonterreyPachuca
 
E. Andrada
J. Medina Ramírez
R. Chávez Soto
G. Arteaga Zamora
V. Guzmán Olmedo
N. Deossa Suárez
J. Rodriguez (F. Ambríz 72')
I. Fimbres Ochoa (J. Alvarado Pérez 90')
J. Corona Ruíz (J. Cortizo de la Piedra 62')
G. Berteramefootball icon
R. De La Rosa González (L. Ocampos 71')
C. Moreno
D. Aceves Patiño
B. González
(C. Sánchez Nava 65') J. Berlanga
football iconE. dos Santos Bauermann
E. Montiel
(S. Homenchenko Bianchi 85') P. Pedraza Reyna
(J. Kennedy Batista de Souza 65') A. Bautista Gutiérrez
football iconJ. Rondón Giménez
(G. Cabral Cáceres 90') O. Idrissi
(A. Domínguez Figueroa 65') J. Sigala García

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Liga MX tie will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their recent form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monterrey are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monterrey
51%
1/1
8%
-
Draw
22%
5/2
5%
-
Pachuca
28%
27/10
6%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
11/2
13%
-
Monterrey 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Pachuca 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1-
Monterrey 1-0
7%
8/1
10%
-
Monterrey 2-0
6%
10/1-
Monterrey 3-1
6%
14/1
15%
-
Pachuca 1-0
5%
12/1
13%
-
Monterrey 3-2
4%
20/1-
Monterrey 3-0
4%
18/1
12%
-
Pachuca 2-0
3%
20/1-
Draw 0-0
3%
12/1
24%
-
Pachuca 3-1
3%
25/1-
Pachuca 3-2
3%
28/1-
Monterrey 4-1
3%
28/1
12%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
7/10
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
11/10
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/13
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
7/5-
No 1st Goal
2%
12/1
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
66%
8/13
3%
-
BTTS - No
34%
6/5
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
30%
11/4
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
11/2
8%
-
Home/draw
72%
2/7
3%
-
Away/draw
49%
4/5-
Home/away
78%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/5
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
10/3
4%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
13/8
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
4/9
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
4/1
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
1/6
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
9/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/16
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/25
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
12/1
24%
-
Home DNB
66%
4/9-
Away DNB
43%
13/8-
Monterrey win to nil
21%
11/4-
Pachuca win to nil
10%
6/1
13%
-
Monterrey / Monterrey
26%
11/5
7%
-
Monterrey / Pachuca
3%
28/1-
Monterrey / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Monterrey
15%
9/2
10%
-
Draw / Pachuca
11%
7/1
6%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
-
Pachuca / Monterrey
4%
20/1-
Pachuca / Pachuca
14%
5/1-
Pachuca / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Monterrey 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monterrey1 - 0America
Monterrey3 - 1Guadalajara
Monterrey1 - 2Tijuana
Monterrey4 - 2S. Laguna
Monterrey3 - 1A. San Luis
Monterrey1 - 0Necaxa
Monterrey2 - 3Pachuca
Monterrey1 - 1Puebla
Monterrey1 - 1America
Monterrey5 - 1A. San Luis
Monterrey1 - 0Pumas UNAM
Monterrey2 - 1Leon
Monterrey4 - 0Atlas
Monterrey0 - 0Pumas UNAM
Monterrey4 - 2Tigres
Monterrey0 - 0Mazatlan
Monterrey3 - 2Juarez
Monterrey1 - 2Toluca
Monterrey2 - 1Queretaro
Monterrey0 - 4Cruz Azul
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMonterrey2 - 0Leon
HMonterrey1 - 0America
AMonterrey1 - 2Tigres
HMonterrey3 - 1Guadalajara
HMonterrey1 - 2Tijuana
AMonterrey3 - 1Pumas UNAM
AMonterrey1 - 1Cruz Azul
HMonterrey4 - 2S. Laguna
AMonterrey0 - 1Mazatlan
HMonterrey3 - 1A. San Luis
AMonterrey4 - 2Queretaro
AMonterrey1 - 2Juarez
HMonterrey1 - 0Necaxa
AMonterrey3 - 3Atlas
HMonterrey2 - 3Pachuca
AMonterrey1 - 1Toluca
HMonterrey1 - 1Puebla
HMonterrey1 - 1America
AMonterrey1 - 2America
HMonterrey5 - 1A. San Luis
Pachuca 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A. San Luis2 - 1Pachuca
Necaxa3 - 5Pachuca
Toluca3 - 2Pachuca
Juarez2 - 2Pachuca
Guadalajara2 - 1Pachuca
Cruz Azul2 - 1Pachuca
Queretaro0 - 1Pachuca
Monterrey2 - 3Pachuca
America2 - 1Pachuca
Tigres2 - 1Pachuca
S. Laguna1 - 1Pachuca
Tijuana2 - 1Pachuca
Puebla2 - 3Pachuca
Atlas2 - 0Pachuca
Mazatlan3 - 0Pachuca
Pumas UNAM2 - 0Pachuca
Leon0 - 0Pachuca
America1 - 1Pachuca
S. Laguna0 - 2Pachuca
Tigres0 - 3Pachuca
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APachuca1 - 2A. San Luis
HPachuca0 - 0Tigres
APachuca5 - 3Necaxa
HPachuca1 - 0America
APachuca2 - 3Toluca
HPachuca4 - 1Tijuana
HPachuca1 - 1Mazatlan
APachuca2 - 2Juarez
HPachuca2 - 1Puebla
APachuca1 - 2Guadalajara
HPachuca2 - 1Pumas UNAM
APachuca1 - 2Cruz Azul
HPachuca1 - 2Leon
HPachuca0 - 0Atlas
APachuca1 - 0Queretaro
APachuca3 - 2Monterrey
HPachuca2 - 1S. Laguna
HPachuca0 - 1Juarez
APachuca1 - 2America
HPachuca6 - 2Necaxa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Monterrey since 2019
Monterrey
Pachuca
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
MON
3
D
1
PAC
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monterrey
2 - 3Pachuca
Monterrey3 - 2
0 - 1Pachuca
Draw0 - 0Draw
Monterrey3 - 1
0 - 1Pachuca
Monterrey5 - 0
League games at Pachuca since 2018
Pachuca
Monterrey
Goals: Scored
12
12
Games: Scored
5 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
3 / 8
MON
5
D
1
PAC
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pachuca
0 - 1Monterrey
0 - 2Monterrey
1 - 2Monterrey
Pachuca5 - 2
Pachuca3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Monterrey
0 - 1Monterrey
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Monterrey in their meeting with Pachuca, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 26 consecutive Liga MX matches.

Monterrey 5th Pachuca 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Monterrey will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Pachuca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Monterrey’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+15
Pachuca have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/302691/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Monterrey
PG (predicted goals)
Pachuca
2
1.4
Attack rating
28%
better
MON
PAC
view stats
Games scored35
25
Failed to score5
9
Scored first25
13
Goals scored72
49
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
12
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
14%
better
MON
PAC
view stats
Games conceded30
28
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first13
18
Goals conceded51
52
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+14%

Monterrey v Pachuca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Monterrey Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3720109
J RodríguezG BerterameTecatitoS Medina
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Andrada GLK27
6
-
R Chávez DEF1721
4
-
S Medina DEF403
9
-
V Guzmán DEF28
2
-
G Arteaga DEF3921
5
-
N Deossa MID2051
3
-
J Rodríguez MID381
6
-
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID3341
4
-
Tecatito FWD34210
2
-
R Rosa FWD3313
-
G Berterame FWD37201
4
2
Subs
L Cárdenas GLK16
-
H Moreno DEF24
3
-
L Reyes DEF6
2
-
F Ambríz MID291
2
-
J Cortizo MID2621
5
-
L Ocampos MID2725
2
1
A Leone MID3
-
O. Soto MID
-
A Alvarado FWD131
-
J. Moxica Chapa FWD2
-
Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3315910
C MorenoS RondónO IdrissiO Idrissi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Moreno GLK331
5
-
J Berlanga DEF171
4
1
E Bauermann DEF1611
4
1
A Aceves DEF18
2
-
B González DEF311
2
2
E Montiel MID2822
3
1
P Reyna MID311
8
-
J. Sigala García MID61
-
A Gutiérrez MID2311
-
O Idrissi MID3339
9
1
S Rondón FWD31155
3
1
Subs
J Téllez GLK2
-
G Cabral DEF15
3
1
L Rodríguez DEF231
3
-
C. Sánchez Nava DEF2314
2
-
A Figueroa MID9
1
-
S Homenchenko MID111
3
-
A González MID1941
1
1
O. de Jesús González Ojeda MID2212
2
-
I Hernández FWD41
-
J Kennedy FWD1892
3
-