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Necaxa v Guadalajara : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Apr, 04:00 BST, Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient, Aguascalientes

Home advantage makes a difference in the Liga MX, and Martín Varini Di Zioli’s Necaxa will have the joy of it on Thursday morning. Gabriel Alejandro Milito’s Guadalajara are their visitors to the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient. You'll see statistics supporting our top of below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we're covering too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Liga MX performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Necaxa 39%	-	-
Draw 26%	-	-
Guadalajara 36%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Necaxa 1-0 9%	-	-
Guadalajara 1-0 9%	-	-
Necaxa 2-1 8%	-	-
Guadalajara 2-1 8%	-	-
Draw 0-0 7%	-	-
Necaxa 2-0 6%	-	-
Guadalajara 2-0 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 6%	-	-
Necaxa 3-1 4%	-	-
Guadalajara 3-1 4%	-	-
Necaxa 3-0 3%	-	-
Necaxa 3-2 3%	-	-
Guadalajara 3-0 3%	-	-
Guadalajara 3-2 3%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	-	-
No 1st Goal 4%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	-	-
BTTS - No 45%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 18%	-	-
Home/draw 64%	-	-
Away/draw 62%	-	-
Home/away 74%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	-	-
Home DNB 56%	-	-
Away DNB 54%	-	-
Necaxa win to nil 20%	-	-
Guadalajara win to nil 18%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Necaxa	2 - 1	Mazatlan
Necaxa	3 - 0	Tijuana
Necaxa	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Necaxa	0 - 3	Toluca
Necaxa	4 - 1	A. San Luis
Necaxa	0 - 1	Atlas
Necaxa	0 - 2	Monterrey
Necaxa	4 - 1	S. Laguna
Necaxa	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
Necaxa	0 - 1	Pachuca
Necaxa	1 - 0	Puebla
Necaxa	1 - 1	Juarez
Necaxa	0 - 1	Leon
Necaxa	1 - 1	America
Necaxa	3 - 1	Queretaro
Necaxa	0 - 0	Tigres
Necaxa	3 - 5	Pachuca
Necaxa	2 - 0	Queretaro
Necaxa	2 - 1	Leon
Necaxa	1 - 2	Tigres

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Necaxa	2 - 1	Mazatlan
H	Necaxa	3 - 0	Tijuana
A	Necaxa	0 - 0	Puebla
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Necaxa	1 - 2	Pachuca
A	Necaxa	1 - 2	Leon
H	Necaxa	0 - 3	Toluca
A	Necaxa	2 - 1	Juarez
H	Necaxa	4 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Necaxa	0 - 2	America
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Atlas
H	Necaxa	0 - 2	Monterrey
A	Necaxa	3 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Necaxa	1 - 1	Mazatlan
H	Necaxa	4 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Necaxa	4 - 3	A. San Luis
H	Necaxa	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Necaxa	3 - 5	Tigres
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Pachuca
A	Necaxa	2 - 3	Atlas

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monterrey	2 - 3	Guadalajara
Atlas	1 - 2	Guadalajara
Toluca	2 - 0	Guadalajara
Cruz Azul	2 - 1	Guadalajara
Mazatlan	1 - 2	Guadalajara
A. San Luis	2 - 3	Guadalajara
Juarez	0 - 1	Guadalajara
Cruz Azul	3 - 2	Guadalajara
Pachuca	0 - 1	Guadalajara
Queretaro	1 - 0	Guadalajara
Pumas UNAM	1 - 2	Guadalajara
Puebla	0 - 2	Guadalajara
America	1 - 2	Guadalajara
Tijuana	3 - 3	Guadalajara
S. Laguna	1 - 0	Guadalajara
Leon	1 - 0	Guadalajara
Atlas	1 - 1	Guadalajara
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Guadalajara
Monterrey	3 - 1	Guadalajara
Juarez	1 - 1	Guadalajara

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Guadalajara	2 - 2	Pumas UNAM
A	Guadalajara	3 - 2	Monterrey
H	Guadalajara	5 - 0	Leon
H	Guadalajara	3 - 0	S. Laguna
A	Guadalajara	2 - 1	Atlas
A	Guadalajara	0 - 2	Toluca
A	Guadalajara	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
H	Guadalajara	1 - 0	America
A	Guadalajara	2 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Guadalajara	3 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Guadalajara	2 - 1	Queretaro
A	Guadalajara	1 - 0	Juarez
H	Guadalajara	2 - 0	Pachuca
A	Guadalajara	2 - 3	Cruz Azul
H	Guadalajara	0 - 0	Cruz Azul
H	Guadalajara	4 - 2	Monterrey
A	Guadalajara	1 - 0	Pachuca
H	Guadalajara	4 - 1	Atlas
A	Guadalajara	0 - 1	Queretaro
H	Guadalajara	2 - 0	Mazatlan

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Necaxa

Guadalajara

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

2 / 6

NEC

GUA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
Necaxa	3 - 2
Necaxa	1 - 0
	0 - 4	Guadalajara
	0 - 1	Guadalajara
	1 - 2	Guadalajara
Draw	3 - 3	Draw

Guadalajara

Necaxa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

0 / 9

NEC

GUA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guadalajara
Guadalajara	3 - 1
Guadalajara	3 - 2
Guadalajara	2 - 0
Guadalajara	1 - 0
Guadalajara	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Guadalajara	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Necaxa
Guadalajara	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Necaxa 13th	Guadalajara 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Necaxa will score no more than 1 goal	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Guadalajara will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Necaxa have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	-2 Guadalajara’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

NEC

GUA

24%

better

view stats

Games scored	20		25
Failed to score	10		7
Scored first	10		18
Goals scored	40		58
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.8
Avg. shots per game	11		12
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	12		15
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.8
KickOff rating		+24%

NEC

GUA

27%

better

view stats

Games conceded	27		22
Clean sheets	3		10
Conceded first	19		12
Goals conceded	49		38
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	15%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1
KickOff rating		+27%

Necaxa v Guadalajara Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	6	4	5
E Unsain	T Badaloni	F. Rossano Erchuk	K Rosero

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Unsain GLK	30			3 -
T Badaloni FWD	30	6	2	1 -
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF	28		4	3 -
K Rosero FWD	28	2	3	4 1
R Monreal FWD	28	3	2	4 1
A Peña DEF	25	2		2 -
C Calderón DEF	25	1	1	5 -
A Oliveros DEF	20	2		2 -
E Lara DEF	15			5 -
D Leyva MID	13		2	1 -
L Faravelli MID	13		2	2 -
K Gutiérrez MID	12			2 1
R Pineda FWD	12			2 -
R Ruiz DEF	10			1 -
I. Tello Robles MID	9		1	-
J. Ruiz MID	8	5	1	-
A Almendra MID	7			-
J Carranza FWD	6	3		2 1
E González DEF	5			-
F. Méndez Lara DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	23	4	7
T Badaloni	T Badaloni	F. Rossano Erchuk	T Badaloni

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Badaloni FWD	6	23	2	7
J. Ruiz MID	5	8	1	1
R Monreal FWD	3	10	2	4
J Carranza FWD	3	5
K Rosero FWD	2	8	3	5
A Peña DEF	2	4		1
A Oliveros DEF	2	4		1
C Calderón DEF	1	6	1	2
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF		5	4	4
E Lara DEF		2		1
D Leyva MID		3	2	4
L Faravelli MID		4	2	2
K Gutiérrez MID		1
R Pineda FWD		1
R Ruiz DEF		1
I. Tello Robles MID		2	1
A Almendra MID				1
E González DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1048	37	117
A Peña	F. Rossano Erchuk	F. Rossano Erchuk

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Peña DEF	1048	18	72
A Oliveros DEF	922	17	71
E Unsain GLK	918	1	9
C Calderón DEF	745	32	84
K Rosero FWD	708	32	97
D Leyva MID	530	20	46
L Faravelli MID	518	21	39
E Lara DEF	453	28	48
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF	402	37	117
R Ruiz DEF	395	13	29
R Monreal FWD	391	28	96
K Gutiérrez MID	385	13	18
T Badaloni FWD	337	8	103
A Almendra MID	129		6
I. Tello Robles MID	100	10	19
J. Ruiz MID	95	6	34
R Pineda FWD	94	3	8
E González DEF	78	4	6
F. Méndez Lara DEF	37
J Carranza FWD	31	8	29

Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	24	8	11
J Rangel	A. González Alba	R Ledezma	R Ledezma

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Rangel GLK	32			3 -
B González DEF	32	4	4	2 -
E Álvarez MID	32	3	6	-
A. González Alba FWD	31	24	1	3 -
J Castillo DEF	30	1		1 -
R Ledezma DEF	29	1	8	10 1
R Hernández FWD	27	4	5	1 -
D Campillo DEF	26	1	2	5 -
S Loboa MID	25	3		3 -
L Romo MID	25	1	2	5 1
D Aguirre DEF	24	3	3	9 -
O Govea MID	23	1		7 -
F González MID	23			5 1
M Ortiz DEF	20		2	1 -
B Gutiérrez MID	13	1		2 -
Érick Gutiérrez MID	13		2	5 -
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD	13	3	1	2 -
M Tapias DEF	11		1	1 -
H. Camberos Figueroa FWD	11	1		1 -
G Sepúlveda DEF	10			3 -
R Sánchez FWD	10	1	2	-
J Sandoval FWD	8	1		-
A Pulido FWD	6			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
24	44	8	15
A. González Alba	A. González Alba	R Ledezma	E Álvarez

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. González Alba FWD	24	44	1	2
B González DEF	4	14	4	9
R Hernández FWD	4	19	5	8
E Álvarez MID	3	18	6	15
S Loboa MID	3	12		1
D Aguirre DEF	3	7	3	6
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD	3	10	1	2
J Castillo DEF	1	1		1
R Ledezma DEF	1	10	8	10
D Campillo DEF	1	4	2	2
L Romo MID	1	6	2	2
O Govea MID	1	3		1
B Gutiérrez MID	1	7		2
H. Camberos Figueroa FWD	1	1		2
R Sánchez FWD	1	4	2	2
J Sandoval FWD	1	1		3
J Rangel GLK				1
F González MID		1		4
M Ortiz DEF			2
Érick Gutiérrez MID			2	2
M Tapias DEF		1	1	1
G Sepúlveda DEF				1
A Pulido FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1616	51	161
L Romo	B González	B González

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Romo MID	1616	44	130
J Castillo DEF	1440	40	89
O Govea MID	1199	36	75
E Álvarez MID	1174	18	77
D Campillo DEF	1166	31	71
R Hernández FWD	1087	27	123
F González MID	1086	49	82
B González DEF	1065	51	161
D Aguirre DEF	987	30	77
J Rangel GLK	870		18
R Ledezma DEF	779	15	48
A. González Alba FWD	445	13	68
B Gutiérrez MID	410	17	33
Érick Gutiérrez MID	408	23	47
S Loboa MID	303	22	94
G Sepúlveda DEF	252	5	24
M Tapias DEF	232	8	16
M Ortiz DEF	184	19	37
H. Camberos Figueroa FWD	110	5	18
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD	97	3	37
A Pulido FWD	82	3	13
J Sandoval FWD	70	4	13
R Sánchez FWD	45	2	9