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Necaxa v Tijuana : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 01:00 BST, Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient, Aguascalientes

Saturday morning sees Martín Varini Di Zioli’s Necaxa and Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo’s Tijuana go up against one another in a Liga MX battle at the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient. Analysing both sides' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Necaxa
50%
--
Draw
24%
--
Tijuana
26%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Necaxa 1-0
10%
--
Necaxa 2-1
10%
--
Necaxa 2-0
8%
--
Tijuana 1-0
7%
--
Tijuana 2-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Necaxa 3-1
5%
--
Necaxa 3-0
5%
--
Tijuana 2-0
4%
--
Necaxa 3-2
3%
--
Tijuana 3-1
3%
--
Necaxa 4-1
2%
--
Tijuana 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
56%
--
BTTS - No
44%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
74%
--
Away/draw
50%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
67%
--
Away DNB
43%
--
Necaxa win to nil
25%
--
Tijuana win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Necaxa 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Necaxa0 - 1Pumas UNAM
Necaxa0 - 3Toluca
Necaxa4 - 1A. San Luis
Necaxa0 - 1Atlas
Necaxa0 - 2Monterrey
Necaxa4 - 1S. Laguna
Necaxa1 - 1Cruz Azul
Necaxa0 - 1Pachuca
Necaxa1 - 0Puebla
Necaxa1 - 1Juarez
Necaxa0 - 1Leon
Necaxa1 - 1America
Necaxa3 - 1Queretaro
Necaxa0 - 0Tigres
Necaxa3 - 5Pachuca
Necaxa2 - 0Queretaro
Necaxa2 - 1Leon
Necaxa1 - 2Tigres
Necaxa3 - 1Mazatlan
Necaxa3 - 2S. Laguna
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNecaxa0 - 1Pumas UNAM
ANecaxa1 - 2Pachuca
ANecaxa1 - 2Leon
HNecaxa0 - 3Toluca
ANecaxa2 - 1Juarez
HNecaxa4 - 1A. San Luis
ANecaxa0 - 2America
HNecaxa0 - 1Atlas
HNecaxa0 - 2Monterrey
ANecaxa3 - 1S. Laguna
ANecaxa1 - 1Mazatlan
HNecaxa4 - 1S. Laguna
ANecaxa4 - 3A. San Luis
HNecaxa1 - 1Cruz Azul
ANecaxa3 - 5Tigres
HNecaxa0 - 1Pachuca
ANecaxa2 - 3Atlas
ANecaxa1 - 3Guadalajara
HNecaxa1 - 0Puebla
HNecaxa1 - 1Juarez
Tijuana 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atlas2 - 1Tijuana
Toluca1 - 0Tijuana
Monterrey2 - 2Tijuana
Queretaro1 - 2Tijuana
Tigres5 - 0Tijuana
Pumas UNAM4 - 1Tijuana
Tigres2 - 0Tijuana
Puebla4 - 3Tijuana
S. Laguna1 - 0Tijuana
A. San Luis1 - 1Tijuana
Pachuca0 - 2Tijuana
Mazatlan2 - 2Tijuana
America3 - 1Tijuana
S. Laguna0 - 4Tijuana
Mazatlan0 - 2Tijuana
Monterrey1 - 2Tijuana
Pachuca4 - 1Tijuana
Leon2 - 1Tijuana
Puebla2 - 0Tijuana
Guadalajara2 - 1Tijuana
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HTijuana1 - 2S. Laguna
ATijuana1 - 2Atlas
HTijuana1 - 1Pumas UNAM
HTijuana1 - 1Mazatlan
ATijuana0 - 1Toluca
HTijuana0 - 0Puebla
ATijuana2 - 2Monterrey
HTijuana1 - 1A. San Luis
ATijuana2 - 1Queretaro
HTijuana0 - 0America
ATijuana0 - 5Tigres
HTijuana3 - 0Tigres
HTijuana3 - 1Juarez
HTijuana2 - 0Atlas
ATijuana1 - 4Pumas UNAM
ATijuana0 - 2Tigres
HTijuana0 - 0Toluca
ATijuana3 - 4Puebla
HTijuana2 - 2Monterrey
HTijuana2 - 0Cruz Azul
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Necaxa since 2019
Necaxa
Tijuana
Goals: Scored
12
8
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
NEC
3
D
2
TIJ
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
1 - 2Tijuana
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Necaxa3 - 0
Necaxa2 - 0
Necaxa3 - 2
1 - 2Tijuana
League games at Tijuana since 2018
Tijuana
Necaxa
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
NEC
2
D
2
TIJ
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tijuana
Tijuana3 - 0
1 - 2Necaxa
2 - 3Necaxa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Tijuana1 - 0
Tijuana1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Tijuana of late. It has been 5 Liga MX games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday morning against Necaxa.

Necaxa 16th Tijuana 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Necaxa will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Tijuana will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Necaxa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Tijuana have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Necaxa
PG (predicted goals)
Tijuana
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
NEC
TIJ
20%
better
view stats
Games scored18
23
Failed to score9
7
Scored first8
17
Goals scored35
44
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
NEC
TIJ
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
20
Clean sheets1
10
Conceded first19
10
Goals conceded48
40
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
13%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+32%

Necaxa v Tijuana Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27545
E UnsainT BadaloniF. Rossano ErchukR Monreal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Unsain GLK27
3
-
T Badaloni FWD2752
1
-
K Rosero  FWD2623
4
-
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF254
3
-
R Monreal FWD2531
4
1
A Peña DEF231
2
-
C Calderón DEF2211
5
-
A Oliveros DEF172
2
-
E Lara DEF13
4
-
D Leyva MID102
-
L Faravelli MID101
2
-
R Pineda FWD10
1
-
K Gutiérrez MID9
2
1
R Ruiz DEF7
1
-
A Almendra MID7
-
I. Tello Robles FWD71
-
J Carranza FWD63
2
1
E González DEF5
-
J. Ruiz MID52
-
F. Méndez Lara DEF1
-
Tijuana Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
299711
A RodríguezK CastañedaK CastañedaJ Porozo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rodríguez GLK30
2
-
K Castañeda MID3097
3
-
A Gómez DEF292
4
-
J Porozo DEF292
10
1
R Zárate MID2926
7
-
I Olmeda MID291
9
-
J Grijalva DEF286
4
-
A Preciado FWD2832
4
-
R Fernández DEF2712
8
-
D Blanco FWD2611
2
1
U Bilbao DEF222
5
-
M Ghezouani FWD224
4
1
F Boya MID186
4
-
G. Mora Zambrano MID1651
1
-
P Ortíz DEF121
3
-
I Rivero MID10
2
-
J Martínez FWD8
-
K Escamilla MID7
1
-
D Firenze FWD51
-
Ángel Zapata MID3
-