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Pachuca v Necaxa : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 4th Mar, 01:00 BST, Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

The Liga MX is the focus for both Pachuca and Necaxa on Wednesday morning, as managers Esteban Andrés Solari Poggio and Martín Varini Di Zioli battle it out at the Estadio Hidalgo. Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all via the tabs below.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Pachuca
51%
--
Draw
23%
--
Necaxa
27%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Pachuca 2-1
10%
--
Pachuca 1-0
8%
--
Pachuca 2-0
7%
--
Necaxa 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Pachuca 3-1
6%
--
Necaxa 1-0
6%
--
Pachuca 3-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Pachuca 3-2
4%
--
Necaxa 2-0
4%
--
Necaxa 3-1
3%
--
Pachuca 4-1
3%
--
Necaxa 3-2
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
61%
--
BTTS - No
39%
--
BTTS - Home Win
27%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
49%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
66%
--
Away DNB
43%
--
Pachuca win to nil
23%
--
Necaxa win to nil
11%
--
Win / draw / win form
5
Pachuca have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Pachuca 9TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Necaxa 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Pachuca have beaten Necaxa in 4 consecutive league meetings
7
Pachuca have not lost to Necaxa in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Pachuca since 2018
Pachuca
Necaxa
Goals: Scored
18
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
PAC
5
D
1
NEC
1
League games at Necaxa since 2019
Necaxa
Pachuca
Goals: Scored
12
16
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
PAC
4
D
3
NEC
1
Goal Statistics

Pachuca's fans will be hoping for goals on Wednesday morning, not least because Necaxa have conceded in each of their last 14 Liga MX games. A PG of 1.8 for E. Solari Poggio's side suggests that run should continue.

Pachuca's defensive record is to be admired, E. Solari Poggio's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga MX games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Necaxa makes sense in this context.

Pachuca 9th Necaxa 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Pachuca will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Necaxa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Pachuca have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
+27
Necaxa have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Pachuca
PG (predicted goals)
Necaxa
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
0%
better
PAC
NEC
view stats
Games scored16
16
Failed to score9
7
Scored first10
7
Goals scored32
33
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for12
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
30%
better
PAC
NEC
view stats
Games conceded18
22
Clean sheets7
1
Conceded first13
16
Goals conceded28
40
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+30%

Pachuca v Necaxa Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24458
C MorenoO IdrissiV GuzmánE Bauermann
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Moreno GLK24
5
1
L Quiñones FWD242
5
1
S Barreto DEF231
5
1
E Bauermann DEF23
7
1
A Gutiérrez MID2322
5
1
B García DEF221
1
V Guzmán MID225
1
O Idrissi FWD2042
4
1
P Reyna MID19
7
-
Kenedy FWD194
1
-
C. Sánchez Nava DEF15
3
-
A Figueroa FWD1512
2
-
E Montiel MID1113
1
-
E Valencia FWD1041
-
J Berlanga DEF9
4
-
W Carvalho MID9
-
C Rivera MID611
1
-
I Luna MID6
-
S Rondón FWD63
-
L Rodríguez DEF4
-
A Mozo DEF3
1
-
J Téllez GLK1
-
R Aburto DEF1
-
Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23544
E UnsainT BadaloniF. Rossano ErchukK Rosero 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Unsain GLK23
2
-
K Rosero  FWD2323
4
-
T Badaloni FWD2352
1
-
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF214
2
-
R Monreal FWD2131
2
1
C Calderón DEF1911
4
-
A Peña DEF191
-
A Oliveros DEF131
1
-
R Pineda FWD10
1
-
E Lara DEF9
2
-
D Leyva MID61
-
L Faravelli MID6
1
-
E González DEF5
-
K Gutiérrez MID5
1
1
A Almendra MID5
-
J Carranza FWD53
2
1
R Ruiz DEF3
-
F. Méndez Lara DEF1
-
J. Ruiz MID11
-