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Pachuca v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 23:00 BST, Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

Sunday night at the Estadio Hidalgo, and it’s a Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Toluca. Esteban Andrés Solari Poggio and Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich going all-out to claim victory. This preview has odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you explore. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall records can be viewed, while there's also head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Pachuca
38%
--
Draw
30%
--
Toluca
32%
--
Pachuca 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
13%
--
Toluca 1-0
12%
--
Pachuca 2-0
7%
--
Pachuca 2-1
7%
--
Toluca 2-1
7%
--
Toluca 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Pachuca 3-0
3%
--
Pachuca 3-1
3%
--
Toluca 3-1
2%
--
Toluca 3-0
2%
--
Pachuca 3-2
1%
--
Toluca 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
--
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
9%
--
BTTS - Yes
41%
--
BTTS - No
59%
--
BTTS - Home Win
13%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
68%
--
Away/draw
62%
--
Home/away
70%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
--
Home DNB
59%
--
Away DNB
53%
--
Pachuca win to nil
25%
--
Toluca win to nil
21%
--
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Win / draw / win form
4
Pachuca have won 4 consecutive home league games
7
Pachuca have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
5
Toluca have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games
Pachuca 9TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca2 - 1Puebla
Pachuca2 - 1Necaxa
Pachuca3 - 1Atlas
Pachuca2 - 0Juarez
Pachuca0 - 0America
Pachuca2 - 1Leon
Pachuca3 - 1Pumas UNAM
Pachuca0 - 1Guadalajara
Pachuca1 - 2Tigres
Pachuca2 - 1A. San Luis
Pachuca0 - 2Queretaro
Pachuca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Pachuca0 - 2Tijuana
Pachuca1 - 0Mazatlan
Pachuca3 - 0Monterrey
Pachuca0 - 0America
Pachuca0 - 0Tigres
Pachuca1 - 0America
Pachuca4 - 1Tijuana
Pachuca1 - 1Mazatlan
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPachuca2 - 1Puebla
HPachuca2 - 1Necaxa
APachuca0 - 1Mazatlan
APachuca2 - 1Tigres
HPachuca3 - 1Atlas
HPachuca2 - 0Juarez
APachuca0 - 0Queretaro
HPachuca0 - 0America
HPachuca2 - 1Leon
APachuca0 - 2Guadalajara
APachuca1 - 2Juarez
HPachuca3 - 1Pumas UNAM
APachuca0 - 1S. Laguna
HPachuca0 - 1Guadalajara
APachuca2 - 2Toluca
HPachuca1 - 2Tigres
APachuca2 - 2Juarez
APachuca1 - 0Necaxa
HPachuca2 - 1A. San Luis
APachuca2 - 2Puebla
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pumas UNAM2 - 3Toluca
Necaxa0 - 3Toluca
Puebla0 - 0Toluca
Tigres0 - 0Toluca
Monterrey0 - 1Toluca
Tigres1 - 0Toluca
Monterrey1 - 0Toluca
Juarez1 - 2Toluca
Atlas0 - 0Toluca
Tijuana0 - 0Toluca
Leon2 - 4Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 3Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 3Toluca
Cruz Azul1 - 0Toluca
Juarez0 - 2Toluca
S. Laguna2 - 4Toluca
America0 - 0Toluca
Tigres1 - 1Toluca
Monterrey3 - 2Toluca
A. San Luis0 - 1Toluca
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca3 - 1Juarez
AToluca3 - 2Pumas UNAM
HToluca2 - 0Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 0Necaxa
HToluca1 - 0Tijuana
HToluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
AToluca0 - 0Puebla
AToluca0 - 0Tigres
HToluca3 - 1S. Laguna
AToluca1 - 0Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1Tigres
AToluca0 - 1Tigres
HToluca3 - 2Monterrey
AToluca0 - 1Monterrey
HToluca0 - 0Juarez
AToluca2 - 1Juarez
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0Atlas
HToluca2 - 2Pachuca
AToluca0 - 0Tijuana
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Toluca have not lost to Pachuca in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Pachuca since 2019
Pachuca
Toluca
Goals: Scored
12
12
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
PAC
2
D
2
TOL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pachuca
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Toluca
1 - 2Toluca
Pachuca3 - 1
1 - 2Toluca
Draw0 - 0Draw
Pachuca3 - 2
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Pachuca
Goals: Scored
16
19
Games: Scored
7 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
2 / 9
PAC
4
D
1
TOL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw2 - 2Draw
Toluca3 - 2
Toluca5 - 0
1 - 5Pachuca
1 - 4Pachuca
0 - 3Pachuca
0 - 2Pachuca
Toluca2 - 0
Toluca2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Pachuca's defensive record is very strong, E. Solari Poggio's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Liga MX matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Toluca makes sense in this context.

Pachuca 9th Toluca 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Pachuca will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Toluca scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Pachuca have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
Toluca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Pachuca
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.1
1
Attack rating
PAC
TOL
26%
better
view stats
Games scored19
25
Failed to score10
8
Scored first12
17
Goals scored38
67
Avg. goals scored1.3
2
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
PAC
TOL
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
20
Clean sheets7
13
Conceded first15
11
Goals conceded32
29
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against12%
11%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+17%

Pachuca v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28569
C MorenoO IdrissiV GuzmánE Bauermann
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Moreno GLK28
7
1
L Quiñones FWD282
5
1
S Barreto DEF2711
6
1
E Bauermann DEF27
8
1
A Gutiérrez MID2722
5
1
B García DEF2613
1
V Guzmán MID2616
1
O Idrissi FWD2452
4
1
Kenedy FWD235
1
-
C. Sánchez Nava DEF19
5
1
P Reyna MID19
7
-
A Figueroa FWD1922
2
-
E Valencia FWD1351
-
E Montiel MID1113
1
-
C Rivera MID1011
2
-
S Rondón FWD104
-
J Berlanga DEF9
4
-
W Carvalho MID9
-
I Luna MID6
-
L Rodríguez DEF4
-
R Aburto DEF3
-
A Mozo DEF3
1
-
J Téllez GLK1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29211012
F PereiraPaulinhoA VegaJ Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Pereira DEF323
8
-
N Castro MID3038
1
-
J Uriarte MID3064
2
-
F Romero MID302
4
-
J Gallardo DEF2953
12
-
M Ruíz MID2934
9
-
Paulinho FWD29213
3
-
D Barbosa DEF2711
8
-
E López DEF23
1
-
S Simón DEF223
3
-
B Méndez DEF221
3
1
H González GLK20
2
-
Helinho  FWD1896
4
-
A Briseño DEF1521
-
A Vega FWD15410
3
-
L García GLK14
1
-
O. Virgen FWD1111
1
-
F Arce MID10
1
-
P Pérez FWD101
-
M Isaís DEF7
1
-
J Price MID712
-
S Córdova MID72
1
-
Luan DEF6
-
F. Rossi Donazar FWD4
-
A Bermúdez FWD3
1
-
V Camarena MID1
-