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Pumas UNAM v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 4th Mar, 03:00 BST, Estadio Olímpico de Universitari, Mexico City

Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich pays counterpart Efraín Juárez Váldez a visit on Wednesday morning in the Liga MX, as their Toluca and Pumas UNAM sides go head to head at the Estadio Olímpico de Universitari. All of the important stats for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds across seventeen major markets are included in this betting preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Pumas UNAM
33%
--
Draw
31%
--
Toluca
36%
--
Draw 0-0
14%
--
Toluca 1-0
14%
--
Pumas UNAM 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
14%
--
Toluca 2-0
7%
--
Toluca 2-1
7%
--
Pumas UNAM 2-0
6%
--
Pumas UNAM 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
3%
--
Toluca 3-0
2%
--
Toluca 3-1
2%
--
Pumas UNAM 3-0
2%
--
Pumas UNAM 3-1
2%
--
Toluca 3-2
1%
--
Pumas UNAM 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
--
Home 1st Goal
44%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
10%
--
BTTS - Yes
39%
--
BTTS - No
61%
--
BTTS - Home Win
10%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
64%
--
Away/draw
67%
--
Home/away
69%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
58%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
42%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
--
Home DNB
55%
--
Away DNB
58%
--
Pumas UNAM win to nil
23%
--
Toluca win to nil
24%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Pumas UNAM 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pumas UNAM4 - 0S. Laguna
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Leon
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Queretaro
Pumas UNAM4 - 1Tijuana
Pumas UNAM0 - 1A. San Luis
Pumas UNAM1 - 2Guadalajara
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Tigres
Pumas UNAM1 - 0Atlas
Pumas UNAM0 - 0Puebla
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Necaxa
Pumas UNAM2 - 3Pachuca
Pumas UNAM2 - 0S. Laguna
Pumas UNAM0 - 0Juarez
Pumas UNAM1 - 3Monterrey
Pumas UNAM0 - 1Guadalajara
Pumas UNAM0 - 2America
Pumas UNAM1 - 0Mazatlan
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Toluca
Pumas UNAM0 - 0Atlas
Pumas UNAM2 - 1Necaxa
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APumas UNAM3 - 2Puebla
APumas UNAM2 - 2Atlas
HPumas UNAM4 - 0S. Laguna
HPumas UNAM1 - 1Leon
APumas UNAM1 - 0Tigres
HPumas UNAM1 - 1Queretaro
APumas UNAM1 - 3Pachuca
APumas UNAM3 - 2Cruz Azul
HPumas UNAM4 - 1Tijuana
APumas UNAM1 - 1Leon
HPumas UNAM0 - 1A. San Luis
APumas UNAM1 - 1Monterrey
HPumas UNAM1 - 2Guadalajara
APumas UNAM1 - 4America
APumas UNAM1 - 3Juarez
HPumas UNAM1 - 1Tigres
APumas UNAM4 - 1Mazatlan
HPumas UNAM1 - 0Atlas
HPumas UNAM0 - 0Puebla
APumas UNAM1 - 1Toluca
Toluca 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla0 - 0Toluca
Tigres0 - 0Toluca
Monterrey0 - 1Toluca
Tigres1 - 0Toluca
Monterrey1 - 0Toluca
Juarez1 - 2Toluca
Atlas0 - 0Toluca
Tijuana0 - 0Toluca
Leon2 - 4Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 3Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 3Toluca
Cruz Azul1 - 0Toluca
Juarez0 - 2Toluca
S. Laguna2 - 4Toluca
America0 - 0Toluca
Tigres1 - 1Toluca
Monterrey3 - 2Toluca
A. San Luis0 - 1Toluca
Atlas2 - 3Toluca
Puebla0 - 3Toluca
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca1 - 0Tijuana
HToluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
AToluca0 - 0Puebla
AToluca0 - 0Tigres
HToluca3 - 1S. Laguna
AToluca1 - 0Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1Tigres
AToluca0 - 1Tigres
HToluca3 - 2Monterrey
AToluca0 - 1Monterrey
HToluca0 - 0Juarez
AToluca2 - 1Juarez
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0Atlas
HToluca2 - 2Pachuca
AToluca0 - 0Tijuana
HToluca4 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 2Leon
HToluca3 - 1Mazatlan
HToluca6 - 2Monterrey
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Pumas UNAM have drawn with Toluca in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Pumas UNAM have not lost to Toluca in 7 consecutive home league meetings
5
Toluca have not lost to Pumas UNAM in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Pumas UNAM since 2019
Pumas UNAM
Toluca
Goals: Scored
15
6
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
PUM
4
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pumas UNAM
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Pumas UNAM3 - 1
Pumas UNAM5 - 0
Pumas UNAM1 - 0
Pumas UNAM2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Pumas UNAM
Goals: Scored
13
11
Games: Scored
8 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
1 / 9
PUM
3
D
3
TOL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca1 - 0
2 - 3Pumas UNAM
0 - 1Pumas UNAM
Goal Statistics

Toluca's defensive record is to be admired, A. Mohamed Matijevich's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Liga MX matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Pumas UNAM makes sense in this context.

Pumas UNAM 10th Toluca 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Pumas UNAM scoring 1 goal or less
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Toluca scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Pumas UNAM have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
-12
Toluca have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Pumas UNAM
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1
1
Attack rating
8%
better
PUM
TOL
view stats
Games scored21
21
Failed to score3
8
Scored first16
14
Goals scored37
56
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.9
Avg. shots per game8
13
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.8
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
PUM
TOL
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
18
Clean sheets5
11
Conceded first7
10
Goals conceded34
26
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against14%
11%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.9
KickOff rating
+17%

Pumas UNAM v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Pumas UNAM Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24549
N SilvaG MartínezA CarrasquillaR Duarte
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Silva DEF24
4
-
K Navas GLK22
1
-
A Carrasquilla MID2224
7
-
R Lopez MID2112
-
P Vite MID213
1
-
Álvaro Angulo DEF2032
3
2
P Bennevendo DEF201
3
-
R Duarte DEF2021
9
-
A Medina FWD1943
1
-
G Martínez FWD155
3
-
?. Azuaje García DEF14
2
-
S Trigos MID14
3
-
J Guzmán FWD1142
-
S. López López FWD91
1
-
P Reyes DEF8
3
-
C. Garza Cantu MID6
3
-
Juninho FWD632
-
R Morales FWD621
-
?. Rico Reyes MID5
-
J Rodriguez FWD521
1
-
J Rivas DEF4
1
-
U Rivas MID4
1
-
U Antuna FWD31
1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26171010
F PereiraPaulinhoA VegaJ Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Pereira DEF282
7
-
N Castro MID2838
1
-
J Uriarte MID2754
1
-
F Romero MID272
3
-
M Ruíz MID2633
7
-
J Gallardo DEF2542
10
-
Paulinho FWD25172
3
-
D Barbosa DEF231
6
-
E López DEF21
1
-
S Simón DEF203
3
-
B Méndez DEF201
2
1
H González GLK19
2
-
Helinho  FWD1585
4
-
A Vega FWD14410
3
-
A Briseño DEF1311
-
L García GLK11
1
-
O. Virgen FWD1111
1
-
F Arce MID8
1
-
P Pérez FWD6
-
M Isaís DEF5
1
-
S Córdova MID5
1
-
J Price MID4
-
A Bermúdez FWD3
1
-
Luan DEF2
-
F. Rossi Donazar FWD2
-
V Camarena MID1
-