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Toluca v Mazatlán : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 28th Sep, 02:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

Patrick Glockner welcomes Carlos Leonardo Barra Díaz to the Estadio Nemesio Díez on Sunday morning, as their Toluca and Mazatlán teams do battle in the Liga MX. Liga MX stats are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toluca 58%	-	-
Draw 22%	-	-
Mazatlan 19%	-	-
Toluca 1-0 11%	-	-
Draw 1-1 11%	-	-
Toluca 2-0 10%	-	-
Toluca 2-1 10%	-	-
Toluca 3-0 6%	-	-
Toluca 3-1 6%	-	-
Draw 0-0 6%	-	-
Mazatlan 1-0 6%	-	-
Mazatlan 2-1 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Toluca 3-2 3%	-	-
Toluca 4-0 3%	-	-
Toluca 4-1 3%	-	-
Mazatlan 2-0 3%	-	-
Mazatlan 3-1 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 56%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	-	-
BTTS - No 47%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 27%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 10%	-	-
Home/draw 81%	-	-
Away/draw 42%	-	-
Home/away 78%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	-	-
Home DNB 74%	-	-
Away DNB 35%	-	-
Toluca win to nil 32%	-	-
Mazatlan win to nil 9%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Toluca	3 - 4	Tigres
Toluca	3 - 1	Necaxa
Toluca	2 - 0	America
Toluca	3 - 0	Tigres
Toluca	2 - 1	Monterrey
Toluca	2 - 2	Cruz Azul
Toluca	2 - 1	S. Laguna
Toluca	3 - 2	Pachuca
Toluca	5 - 2	Necaxa
Toluca	5 - 0	Queretaro
Toluca	2 - 1	Guadalajara
Toluca	1 - 0	Tigres
Toluca	1 - 1	Monterrey
Toluca	0 - 2	America
Toluca	4 - 0	America
Toluca	2 - 2	Leon
Toluca	5 - 0	Puebla
Toluca	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Toluca	4 - 1	Atlas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Toluca	3 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Toluca	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Toluca	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Toluca	2 - 0	Juarez
H	Toluca	3 - 4	Tigres
A	Toluca	4 - 2	S. Laguna
H	Toluca	3 - 1	Necaxa
H	Toluca	2 - 0	America
A	Toluca	0 - 0	America
H	Toluca	3 - 0	Tigres
A	Toluca	1 - 1	Tigres
H	Toluca	2 - 1	Monterrey
A	Toluca	2 - 3	Monterrey
H	Toluca	2 - 2	Cruz Azul
A	Toluca	1 - 0	A. San Luis
A	Toluca	3 - 2	Atlas
H	Toluca	2 - 1	S. Laguna
H	Toluca	3 - 2	Pachuca
A	Toluca	3 - 0	Puebla
H	Toluca	5 - 2	Necaxa

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

14 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juarez	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Monterrey	3 - 2	Mazatlan
Pachuca	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Cruz Azul	0 - 0	Mazatlan
America	5 - 0	Mazatlan
A. San Luis	2 - 1	Mazatlan
Queretaro	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Pachuca	1 - 1	Mazatlan
Necaxa	3 - 1	Mazatlan
Pumas UNAM	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Puebla	0 - 1	Mazatlan
Tigres	2 - 1	Mazatlan
Leon	0 - 0	Mazatlan
S. Laguna	0 - 0	Mazatlan
Atlas	0 - 0	Mazatlan
Tijuana	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Monterrey	0 - 0	Mazatlan
Juarez	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Mazatlan
Toluca	3 - 0	Mazatlan

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mazatlan	1 - 4	Pumas UNAM
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Juarez
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tigres
A	Mazatlan	2 - 3	Monterrey
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tijuana
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Pachuca
H	Mazatlan	2 - 1	Puebla
A	Mazatlan	0 - 0	Cruz Azul
A	Mazatlan	0 - 5	America
H	Mazatlan	0 - 2	Tijuana
H	Mazatlan	1 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Mazatlan	1 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Mazatlan	3 - 2	Atlas
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Queretaro
A	Mazatlan	1 - 1	Pachuca
H	Mazatlan	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Mazatlan	1 - 0	Monterrey
A	Mazatlan	1 - 3	Necaxa
H	Mazatlan	1 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toluca

Mazatlan

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

0 / 5

TOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca	3 - 0
Toluca	4 - 1
Toluca	4 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Toluca	4 - 1

Mazatlan

Toluca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

0 / 5

TOL

MAZ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mazatlan
Mazatlan	2 - 1
Mazatlan	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Toluca
Mazatlan	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Toluca 5th	Mazatlan 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Mazatlan scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+23 Toluca have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted	-59 Mazatlan have scored 59% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.6 average goals scored	0.4 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

better

TOL

MAZ

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

TOL

MAZ

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Toluca v Mazatlan Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	3	4	3
F Pereira	R Morales	N Castro	J Gallardo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Pereira DEF	7			1 -
N Castro MID	7		4	1 -
J Domínguez FWD	7	1	1	2 -
D Barbosa DEF	6			1 -
H Herrera MID	6			-
F Romero MID	6			2 -
Paulinho FWD	6	2	1	-
H González GLK	5			1 -
J Gallardo DEF	5	1		3 -
B Méndez DEF	5			1 -
E López DEF	5			1 -
M Ruíz MID	5	2	1	2 -
J Uriarte MID	5	2		-
O. Virgen FWD	5		1	1 -
R Morales FWD	5	3	1	-
A Vega FWD	5	1	3	1 -
Helinho FWD	4	3	2	1 -
L García GLK	3			-
F Arce MID	3			-
M Isaís DEF	2			-
A Briseño DEF	2			-
Luan DEF	1			-
S Simón MID	1			-
V Camarena MID	1			-
A Bermúdez FWD	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	4	4
R Morales	Paulinho	N Castro	N Castro

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Morales FWD	3	4	1	1
Helinho FWD	3	5	2	2
Paulinho FWD	2	6	1	2
M Ruíz MID	2	4	1	3
J Uriarte MID	2	4		1
J Domínguez FWD	1	2	1	3
J Gallardo DEF	1	3		2
A Vega FWD	1	3	3	4
N Castro MID		3	4	4
H Herrera MID		1
B Méndez DEF		1		1
O. Virgen FWD		2	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
387	17	35
F Pereira	D Barbosa	F Pereira

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Pereira DEF	387	14	35
F Romero MID	279	10	15
M Ruíz MID	259	7	32
N Castro MID	221	5	18
J Gallardo DEF	195	8	25
B Méndez DEF	192	3	12
D Barbosa DEF	188	17	33
E López DEF	158	2	9
H Herrera MID	154	4	8
H González GLK	128		3
J Uriarte MID	127	9	17
A Vega FWD	117	1	20
J Domínguez FWD	116	5	16
Helinho FWD	110	4	15
Paulinho FWD	69	4	11
Luan DEF	69	1	4
L García GLK	55		1
A Briseño DEF	54		8
R Morales FWD	45	4	8
M Isaís DEF	36	5	10
V Camarena MID	30
S Simón MID	26	2	4
O. Virgen FWD	14	1	3
F Arce MID	7	1	2
A Bermúdez FWD	3	2	3

Mazatlan Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	2	1	3
R Gutiérrez	N Benedetti	N Benedetti	N Benedetti

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Gutiérrez GLK	8			1 -
F Almada DEF	8	1		2 -
J Sierra MID	8	1		-
N Benedetti FWD	8	2	1	3 -
B Colula DEF	7			1 1
L Merolla DEF	7		1	1 -
S González MID	7			2 -
J Esquivel DEF	6	1		1 -
M Laínez MID	6			1 -
F Gomes FWD	6	2		1 -
Dudu FWD	6		1	-
J Casiano FWD	6			-
J García DEF	5			-
A Duarte FWD	5			1 -
O Villegas FWD	5	1	1	1 -
Y Bárcenas MID	4			-
Ángel Saavedra MID	4		1	2 -
J Vázquez DEF	3			1 -
S Caetano DEF	3			1 -
R Meraz MID	3			-
A Herrera MID	3	1		1 -
?. Leyva DEF	2			-
M Zaleta MID	2			-
Iván Mauricio González Cataño FWD	2			1 -
S Rodriguez DEF	1			-
J Intriago MID	1			-
A Torres MID	1			-
G López FWD	1			-
A. Ben Rhouma Torres FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	1	2
N Benedetti	N Benedetti	N Benedetti	A Duarte

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Benedetti FWD	2	5	1	1
F Gomes FWD	2	5
F Almada DEF	1	2
J Sierra MID	1	3
J Esquivel DEF	1	1
O Villegas FWD	1	2	1
A Herrera MID	1	1
B Colula DEF		1		1
L Merolla DEF			1	1
Dudu FWD			1	1
A Duarte FWD		1		2
Y Bárcenas MID		1
Ángel Saavedra MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
356	13	43
F Almada	N Benedetti	N Benedetti

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Almada DEF	356	11	24
N Benedetti FWD	241	13	43
J Sierra MID	239	12	28
R Gutiérrez GLK	231	2	5
B Colula DEF	229	11	23
L Merolla DEF	213	9	26
J Esquivel DEF	136	8	16
J Casiano FWD	133	1	12
S González MID	116	5	14
Y Bárcenas MID	105	6	17
M Zaleta MID	78	6	11
A Herrera MID	75	8	12
F Gomes FWD	74		19
S Caetano DEF	72	3	12
Dudu FWD	66	5	12
J Vázquez DEF	57	6	9
J García DEF	52	5	7
A Duarte FWD	50	5	22
M Laínez MID	41	5	11
O Villegas FWD	37	5	7
Ángel Saavedra MID	23	8	11
?. Leyva DEF	23	1	2
Iván Mauricio González Cataño FWD	21	1	5
R Meraz MID	19	1	2
A Torres MID	7
J Intriago MID	4
S Rodriguez DEF	1	1	1
A. Ben Rhouma Torres FWD	1