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Toluca v Monterrey : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 25th Sep, 03:05 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

Monterrey are away from home on Thursday morning, as manager Domenec Torrent Font takes his men to visit Toluca and Patrick Glockner at the Estadio Nemesio Díez in the Liga MX. We've got predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head stats across all the main betting markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Liga MX clash.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toluca 45%	-	-
Draw 21%	-	-
Monterrey 33%	-	-
Toluca 2-1 8%	-	-
Draw 1-1 8%	-	-
Draw 2-2 7%	-	-
Monterrey 2-1 7%	-	-
Toluca 3-1 6%	-	-
Toluca 2-0 5%	-	-
Toluca 1-0 5%	-	-
Toluca 3-2 5%	-	-
Monterrey 1-0 4%	-	-
Monterrey 3-2 4%	-	-
Monterrey 3-1 4%	-	-
Monterrey 2-0 4%	-	-
Toluca 3-0 3%	-	-
Toluca 4-1 3%	-	-
Draw 3-3 3%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 72%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 28%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	-	-
No 1st Goal 1%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 71%	-	-
BTTS - No 29%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 30%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 22%	-	-
Home/draw 67%	-	-
Away/draw 55%	-	-
Home/away 79%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 89%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 11%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 51%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 49%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 32%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 68%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 17%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 83%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	-	-
Home DNB 60%	-	-
Away DNB 48%	-	-
Toluca win to nil 16%	-	-
Monterrey win to nil 11%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Toluca	3 - 4	Tigres
Toluca	3 - 1	Necaxa
Toluca	2 - 0	America
Toluca	3 - 0	Tigres
Toluca	2 - 1	Monterrey
Toluca	2 - 2	Cruz Azul
Toluca	2 - 1	S. Laguna
Toluca	3 - 2	Pachuca
Toluca	5 - 2	Necaxa
Toluca	5 - 0	Queretaro
Toluca	2 - 1	Guadalajara
Toluca	1 - 0	Tigres
Toluca	1 - 1	Monterrey
Toluca	0 - 2	America
Toluca	4 - 0	America
Toluca	2 - 2	Leon
Toluca	5 - 0	Puebla
Toluca	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Toluca	4 - 1	Atlas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Toluca	3 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Toluca	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Toluca	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Toluca	2 - 0	Juarez
H	Toluca	3 - 4	Tigres
A	Toluca	4 - 2	S. Laguna
H	Toluca	3 - 1	Necaxa
H	Toluca	2 - 0	America
A	Toluca	0 - 0	America
H	Toluca	3 - 0	Tigres
A	Toluca	1 - 1	Tigres
H	Toluca	2 - 1	Monterrey
A	Toluca	2 - 3	Monterrey
H	Toluca	2 - 2	Cruz Azul
A	Toluca	1 - 0	A. San Luis
A	Toluca	3 - 2	Atlas
H	Toluca	2 - 1	S. Laguna
H	Toluca	3 - 2	Pachuca
A	Toluca	3 - 0	Puebla
H	Toluca	5 - 2	Necaxa

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla	2 - 4	Monterrey
Leon	1 - 3	Monterrey
A. San Luis	0 - 1	Monterrey
Pachuca	3 - 0	Monterrey
Toluca	2 - 1	Monterrey
Leon	0 - 2	Monterrey
Tigres	2 - 1	Monterrey
Pumas UNAM	1 - 3	Monterrey
Cruz Azul	1 - 1	Monterrey
Mazatlan	1 - 0	Monterrey
Queretaro	2 - 4	Monterrey
Juarez	2 - 1	Monterrey
Atlas	3 - 3	Monterrey
Toluca	1 - 1	Monterrey
America	2 - 1	Monterrey
A. San Luis	2 - 1	Monterrey
Pumas UNAM	3 - 5	Monterrey
America	2 - 1	Monterrey
A. San Luis	1 - 0	Monterrey
Guadalajara	1 - 1	Monterrey

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Monterrey	4 - 2	Puebla
H	Monterrey	3 - 0	Necaxa
H	Monterrey	3 - 2	Mazatlan
A	Monterrey	3 - 1	Leon
H	Monterrey	3 - 1	Atlas
A	Monterrey	1 - 0	A. San Luis
A	Monterrey	0 - 3	Pachuca
A	Monterrey	1 - 2	Toluca
H	Monterrey	3 - 2	Toluca
H	Monterrey	2 - 0	Pumas UNAM
H	Monterrey	1 - 2	Pachuca
A	Monterrey	2 - 0	Leon
H	Monterrey	1 - 0	America
A	Monterrey	1 - 2	Tigres
H	Monterrey	3 - 1	Guadalajara
H	Monterrey	1 - 2	Tijuana
A	Monterrey	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Monterrey	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Monterrey	4 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Monterrey	0 - 1	Mazatlan

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toluca have not lost to Monterrey in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Toluca

Monterrey

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

0 / 8

TOL

MON

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Toluca	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Monterrey
Toluca	2 - 0
Toluca	5 - 1

Monterrey

Toluca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

1 / 8

TOL

MON

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monterrey
Monterrey	3 - 2
	1 - 2	Toluca
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Monterrey	2 - 1
Monterrey	2 - 0
Monterrey	3 - 1
Monterrey	2 - 0
Monterrey	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Monterrey have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Liga MX matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Toluca on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Toluca 5th	Monterrey 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 13% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 15% There is a 60% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Monterrey will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+23 Toluca have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted	+29 Monterrey have scored 29% more goals when away than predicted
	2.6 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

45%

better

TOL

MON

view stats

Games scored	3		2
Failed to score	0		1
Scored first	1		1
Goals scored	10		4
Avg. goals scored	1.4		0.6
Avg. shots per game	7		6
Avg. shots per goal	5		10
Conversion rate for	22		10
Avg. XG for	2		1.8
KickOff rating		+45%

TOL

MON

36%

better

view stats

Games conceded	3		2
Clean sheets	0		1
Conceded first	2		2
Goals conceded	7		4
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	3		3
Avg. shots/goal conceded	3		5
Conversion rate against	29%		19%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.1
KickOff rating		+36%

Toluca v Monterrey Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	3	4	3
F Pereira	R Morales	N Castro	J Gallardo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Pereira DEF	7			1 -
N Castro MID	7		4	1 -
J Domínguez FWD	7	1	1	2 -
D Barbosa DEF	6			1 -
H Herrera MID	6			-
F Romero MID	6			2 -
Paulinho FWD	6	2	1	-
H González GLK	5			1 -
J Gallardo DEF	5	1		3 -
B Méndez DEF	5			1 -
E López DEF	5			1 -
M Ruíz MID	5	2	1	2 -
J Uriarte MID	5	2		-
O. Virgen FWD	5		1	1 -
R Morales FWD	5	3	1	-
A Vega FWD	5	1	3	1 -
Helinho FWD	4	3	2	1 -
L García GLK	3			-
F Arce MID	3			-
M Isaís DEF	2			-
A Briseño DEF	2			-
Luan DEF	1			-
S Simón MID	1			-
V Camarena MID	1			-
A Bermúdez FWD	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	4	4
R Morales	Paulinho	N Castro	N Castro

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Morales FWD	3	4	1	1
Helinho FWD	3	5	2	2
Paulinho FWD	2	6	1	2
M Ruíz MID	2	4	1	3
J Uriarte MID	2	4		1
J Domínguez FWD	1	2	1	3
J Gallardo DEF	1	3		2
A Vega FWD	1	3	3	4
N Castro MID		3	4	4
H Herrera MID		1
B Méndez DEF		1		1
O. Virgen FWD		2	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
387	17	35
F Pereira	D Barbosa	F Pereira

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Pereira DEF	387	14	35
F Romero MID	279	10	15
M Ruíz MID	259	7	32
N Castro MID	221	5	18
J Gallardo DEF	195	8	25
B Méndez DEF	192	3	12
D Barbosa DEF	188	17	33
E López DEF	158	2	9
H Herrera MID	154	4	8
H González GLK	128		3
J Uriarte MID	127	9	17
A Vega FWD	117	1	20
J Domínguez FWD	116	5	16
Helinho FWD	110	4	15
Paulinho FWD	69	4	11
Luan DEF	69	1	4
L García GLK	55		1
A Briseño DEF	54		8
R Morales FWD	45	4	8
M Isaís DEF	36	5	10
V Camarena MID	30
S Simón MID	26	2	4
O. Virgen FWD	14	1	3
F Arce MID	7	1	2
A Bermúdez FWD	3	2	3

Monterrey Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	5	3	5
S Mele	S Canales	L Ocampos	S Ramos

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Mele GLK	7			1 -
S Ramos DEF	7	1		5 -
G Arteaga DEF	7			-
Óliver Torres MID	7		2	2 -
J Rodríguez MID	7			1 -
G Berterame FWD	7	4	1	-
Tecatito FWD	7	1	1	1 -
F Ambríz MID	6			-
S Canales MID	6	5	2	2 -
S Medina DEF	5			1 -
R Chávez DEF	5	1		4 1
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID	5			-
L Ocampos FWD	5	4	3	1 -
L Reyes DEF	4		1	-
V Guzmán DEF	4	1		-
Érick Aguirre DEF	4			-
H Moreno DEF	3			-
R Rosa FWD	3			-
M Rodríguez FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	12	3	1
S Canales	G Berterame	L Ocampos	S Ramos

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Canales MID	5	9	2	1
G Berterame FWD	4	12	1
L Ocampos FWD	4	5	3	1
S Ramos DEF	1	3		1
Tecatito FWD	1	3	1	1
R Chávez DEF	1	2
V Guzmán DEF	1	2
G Arteaga DEF		1
Óliver Torres MID		1	2	1
J Rodríguez MID				1
S Medina DEF		1
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID				1
L Reyes DEF			1
Érick Aguirre DEF		2
R Rosa FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
529	17	31
S Ramos	J Rodríguez	J Rodríguez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Ramos DEF	529	3	26
Óliver Torres MID	385	11	27
S Canales MID	290	6	29
S Medina DEF	260	4	15
J Rodríguez MID	246	17	31
S Mele GLK	219		4
R Chávez DEF	198	4	19
G Arteaga DEF	196	6	11
Tecatito FWD	193	2	24
V Guzmán DEF	154	3	9
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID	130	2	4
L Reyes DEF	128	4	10
L Ocampos FWD	124	10	26
F Ambríz MID	124	8	17
G Berterame FWD	122	5	26
H Moreno DEF	108	2	3
Érick Aguirre DEF	92	6	14
R Rosa FWD	11		1
M Rodríguez FWD	3