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Toluca v Monterrey : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 02:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

Martín Gastón Demichelis is aiming for a precious away win in the Liga MX on Sunday morning, as he takes his Monterrey side to the Estadio Nemesio Díez to visit Toluca and Patrick Glockner. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
51%
--
Draw
22%
--
Monterrey
27%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Toluca 2-1
9%
--
Toluca 1-0
7%
--
Toluca 2-0
7%
--
Monterrey 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Toluca 3-1
6%
--
Monterrey 1-0
5%
--
Toluca 3-0
5%
--
Toluca 3-2
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Monterrey 2-0
3%
--
Toluca 4-1
3%
--
Monterrey 3-1
3%
--
Monterrey 3-2
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
64%
--
BTTS - No
36%
--
BTTS - Home Win
30%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
49%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
67%
--
Away DNB
42%
--
Toluca win to nil
22%
--
Monterrey win to nil
10%
--
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Win / draw / win form
8
Toluca have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca3 - 2Pachuca
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 0Queretaro
Toluca2 - 1Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tigres
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
Toluca0 - 2America
Toluca4 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Leon
Toluca5 - 0Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca4 - 0Tijuana
Toluca2 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca3 - 0Mazatlan
Toluca3 - 2Juarez
Toluca0 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
AToluca1 - 0A. San Luis
AToluca3 - 2Atlas
HToluca2 - 1S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 2Pachuca
AToluca3 - 0Puebla
HToluca5 - 2Necaxa
AToluca0 - 3America
HToluca5 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 0Juarez
HToluca2 - 1Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 3Leon
HToluca1 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca1 - 2Mazatlan
HToluca1 - 1Monterrey
AToluca4 - 2Tijuana
HToluca0 - 2America
AToluca0 - 2America
HToluca4 - 0America
Monterrey 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon0 - 2Monterrey
Tigres2 - 1Monterrey
Pumas UNAM1 - 3Monterrey
Cruz Azul1 - 1Monterrey
Mazatlan1 - 0Monterrey
Queretaro2 - 4Monterrey
Juarez2 - 1Monterrey
Atlas3 - 3Monterrey
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
America2 - 1Monterrey
A. San Luis2 - 1Monterrey
Pumas UNAM3 - 5Monterrey
America2 - 1Monterrey
A. San Luis1 - 0Monterrey
Guadalajara1 - 1Monterrey
S. Laguna0 - 2Monterrey
Tijuana2 - 2Monterrey
Puebla1 - 2Monterrey
Necaxa0 - 1Monterrey
Pachuca0 - 1Monterrey
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMonterrey2 - 0Pumas UNAM
HMonterrey1 - 2Pachuca
AMonterrey2 - 0Leon
HMonterrey1 - 0America
AMonterrey1 - 2Tigres
HMonterrey3 - 1Guadalajara
HMonterrey1 - 2Tijuana
AMonterrey3 - 1Pumas UNAM
AMonterrey1 - 1Cruz Azul
HMonterrey4 - 2S. Laguna
AMonterrey0 - 1Mazatlan
HMonterrey3 - 1A. San Luis
AMonterrey4 - 2Queretaro
AMonterrey1 - 2Juarez
HMonterrey1 - 0Necaxa
AMonterrey3 - 3Atlas
HMonterrey2 - 3Pachuca
AMonterrey1 - 1Toluca
HMonterrey1 - 1Puebla
HMonterrey1 - 1America
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Monterrey
Goals: Scored
13
7
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
TOL
3
D
3
MON
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Monterrey
Toluca2 - 0
Toluca5 - 1
League games at Monterrey since 2018
Monterrey
Toluca
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
TOL
1
D
1
MON
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monterrey
1 - 2Toluca
Draw0 - 0Draw
Monterrey2 - 1
Monterrey2 - 0
Monterrey3 - 1
Monterrey2 - 0
Monterrey2 - 1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Toluca in their meeting with Monterrey, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 35 consecutive Liga MX games.

Toluca 2nd Monterrey 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Monterrey will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Toluca have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+22
Monterrey have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/302778/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Monterrey
2
1.4
Attack rating
3%
better
TOL
MON
view stats
Games scored31
37
Failed to score5
5
Scored first24
27
Goals scored79
75
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.8
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
16
Avg. XG for1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
10%
better
TOL
MON
view stats
Games conceded25
31
Clean sheets11
11
Conceded first11
13
Goals conceded42
53
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%

Toluca v Monterrey Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34251110
M RuízPaulinhoA VegaM Ruíz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Vega FWD361211
6
-
M Ruíz MID3537
10
-
J Uriarte MID3488
1
-
Paulinho FWD34257
6
-
J Gallardo DEF3377
6
-
Luan DEF302
3
-
J Domínguez FWD3013
2
-
I Violante FWD2764
5
-
F Pereira DEF251
6
1
B García DEF2511
3
-
B Méndez DEF21
1
1
Helinho  MID213
2
-
V Camarena MID21
4
1
I López FWD211
-
R Morales FWD1731
-
F Amaya MID152
1
-
D Barbosa DEF141
2
-
F Romero MID13
3
-
E López DEF12
2
-
H Herrera MID122
2
-
P López GLK10
2
-
L García GLK5
-
A Briseño DEF51
-
K. Castillo MID2
-
L. Navarrete Torres DEF1
-
Monterrey Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3619129
J RodríguezG BerterameS CanalesS Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Medina DEF391
9
-
G Arteaga DEF3821
5
-
J Rodríguez MID371
6
-
S Canales MID371612
4
-
G Berterame FWD36191
4
2
Óliver Torres MID3462
3
1
Tecatito FWD33210
2
-
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID3241
3
-
R Rosa FWD3213
-
F Ambríz MID281
2
-
V Guzmán DEF27
2
-
E Andrada GLK26
6
-
L Ocampos FWD2625
2
1
J Cortizo FWD2521
5
-
H Moreno DEF24
3
-
Érick Aguirre DEF213
4
-
N Deossa MID1941
2
-
L Cárdenas GLK16
-
R Chávez DEF1621
4
-
A Alvarado FWD131
-
S Ramos DEF83
2
1
L Reyes DEF6
2
-
A Leone DEF3
-