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Toluca v Monterrey : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 01:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

We’ve Liga MX action to enjoy on Saturday morning, as Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich and his Toluca side host Domènec Torrent Font’s Monterrey at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. Form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and the best odds are all published below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We're tipping , but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
60%
--
Draw
19%
--
Monterrey
21%
--
Toluca 2-1
9%
--
Draw 1-1
8%
--
Toluca 3-1
7%
--
Toluca 2-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Toluca 1-0
5%
--
Monterrey 2-1
5%
--
Toluca 3-0
5%
--
Toluca 3-2
5%
--
Toluca 4-1
4%
--
Monterrey 1-0
3%
--
Toluca 4-0
3%
--
Toluca 4-2
3%
--
Monterrey 3-2
3%
--
Monterrey 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
--
Home 1st Goal
54%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
1%
--
BTTS - Yes
68%
--
BTTS - No
32%
--
BTTS - Home Win
37%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
79%
--
Away/draw
40%
--
Home/away
81%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
52%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
48%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
67%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
--
Home DNB
73%
--
Away DNB
34%
--
Toluca win to nil
23%
--
Monterrey win to nil
7%
--
Win / draw / win form
3
Monterrey have lost 3 consecutive away league games
8
Toluca have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
5
Monterrey have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Toluca 3RD
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Monterrey 5TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Monterrey
Goals: Scored
21
10
Games: Scored
9 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
0 / 9
TOL
5
D
3
MON
1
League games at Monterrey since 2018
Monterrey
Toluca
Goals: Scored
15
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
TOL
1
D
1
MON
6
Goal Statistics
Toluca 3rd Monterrey 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
22%
There is a 69% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Monterrey will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+27
Toluca have scored 27% more goals at home than predicted
+14
Monterrey have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Monterrey
2.4
1.4
Attack rating
%
better
TOL
MON
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
TOL
MON
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Toluca v Monterrey Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1713106
N CastroPaulinhoA VegaJ Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Castro MID1937
1
-
F Pereira DEF181
4
-
F Romero MID181
2
-
M Ruíz MID1722
4
-
J Uriarte MID1754
-
H Herrera MID171
1
R Morales FWD1733
-
J Gallardo DEF1641
6
-
Paulinho FWD16132
1
-
D Barbosa DEF151
3
-
B Méndez DEF141
1
1
J Domínguez FWD1411
3
-
A Vega FWD13410
3
-
H González GLK12
1
-
E López DEF12
1
-
A Briseño DEF1011
-
S Simón MID102
1
-
L García GLK8
1
-
Helinho  FWD842
1
-
O. Virgen FWD811
1
-
F Arce MID6
-
M Isaís DEF4
1
-
A Bermúdez FWD2
1
-
Luan DEF1
-
V Camarena MID1
-
Monterrey Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191068
G BerterameG BerterameL OcamposS Ramos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Berterame FWD19103
-
G Arteaga DEF1811
1
-
J Rodríguez MID18
4
2
S Ramos DEF172
8
-
Óliver Torres MID1714
4
1
Tecatito FWD1712
2
-
S Medina DEF16
3
-
S Canales MID16104
2
-
S Mele GLK15
2
-
F Ambríz MID152
1
-
R Chávez DEF1411
5
1
L Ocampos FWD1456
3
-
V Guzmán DEF131
-
Érick Aguirre DEF121
1
-
A Martial FWD11
-
L Reyes DEF101
1
-
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID9
1
-
R Rosa FWD81
-
H Moreno DEF6
-
L Cárdenas GLK4
-
C Salcedo DEF4
1
-
M Rodríguez FWD4
-
A Leone DEF2
-