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Toluca v Tijuana : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 03:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Diez,

It's an away trip for Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo's Tijuana side on Saturday morning, as they travel to the Estadio Nemesio Diez for a Liga MX tie with Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich's Toluca. We've got odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head-to-head data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toluca 67%	-	-
Draw 17%	-	-
Tijuana 15%	-	-
Toluca 2-1 9%	-	-
Toluca 2-0 8%	-	-
Toluca 3-1 8%	-	-
Draw 1-1 7%	-	-
Toluca 3-0 7%	-	-
Toluca 1-0 7%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Toluca 4-1 5%	-	-
Toluca 3-2 4%	-	-
Toluca 4-0 4%	-	-
Tijuana 2-1 4%	-	-
Tijuana 1-0 3%	-	-
Toluca 4-2 3%	-	-
Draw 0-0 3%	-	-
Toluca 5-1 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 70%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 30%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 57%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	-	-
No 1st Goal 1%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 62%	-	-
BTTS - No 38%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 38%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 15%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 10%	-	-
Home/draw 85%	-	-
Away/draw 33%	-	-
Home/away 83%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 88%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 12%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 49%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 51%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 30%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 70%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 16%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 84%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	-	-
Home DNB 79%	-	-
Away DNB 28%	-	-
Toluca win to nil 30%	-	-
Tijuana win to nil 6%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca	3 - 1	S. Laguna
Toluca	2 - 1	Tigres
Toluca	3 - 2	Monterrey
Toluca	0 - 0	Juarez
Toluca	2 - 0	America
Toluca	2 - 2	Pachuca
Toluca	4 - 0	Queretaro
Toluca	3 - 1	Mazatlan
Toluca	6 - 2	Monterrey
Toluca	3 - 1	Puebla
Toluca	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Toluca	3 - 4	Tigres
Toluca	3 - 1	Necaxa
Toluca	2 - 0	America
Toluca	3 - 0	Tigres
Toluca	2 - 1	Monterrey
Toluca	2 - 2	Cruz Azul
Toluca	2 - 1	S. Laguna
Toluca	3 - 2	Pachuca
Toluca	5 - 2	Necaxa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Puebla
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Tigres
H	Toluca	3 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Toluca	1 - 0	Monterrey
H	Toluca	2 - 1	Tigres
A	Toluca	0 - 1	Tigres
H	Toluca	3 - 2	Monterrey
A	Toluca	0 - 1	Monterrey
H	Toluca	0 - 0	Juarez
A	Toluca	2 - 1	Juarez
H	Toluca	2 - 0	America
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Atlas
H	Toluca	2 - 2	Pachuca
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Tijuana
H	Toluca	4 - 0	Queretaro
A	Toluca	4 - 2	Leon
H	Toluca	3 - 1	Mazatlan
H	Toluca	6 - 2	Monterrey
A	Toluca	3 - 0	Guadalajara
H	Toluca	3 - 1	Puebla

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Queretaro	1 - 2	Tijuana
Tigres	5 - 0	Tijuana
Pumas UNAM	4 - 1	Tijuana
Tigres	2 - 0	Tijuana
Puebla	4 - 3	Tijuana
S. Laguna	1 - 0	Tijuana
A. San Luis	1 - 1	Tijuana
Pachuca	0 - 2	Tijuana
Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tijuana
America	3 - 1	Tijuana
S. Laguna	0 - 4	Tijuana
Mazatlan	0 - 2	Tijuana
Monterrey	1 - 2	Tijuana
Pachuca	4 - 1	Tijuana
Leon	2 - 1	Tijuana
Puebla	2 - 0	Tijuana
Guadalajara	2 - 1	Tijuana
Tigres	4 - 0	Tijuana
America	1 - 1	Tijuana
Cruz Azul	3 - 0	Tijuana

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Tijuana	1 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Tijuana	2 - 1	Queretaro
H	Tijuana	0 - 0	America
A	Tijuana	0 - 5	Tigres
H	Tijuana	3 - 0	Tigres
H	Tijuana	3 - 1	Juarez
H	Tijuana	2 - 0	Atlas
A	Tijuana	1 - 4	Pumas UNAM
A	Tijuana	0 - 2	Tigres
H	Tijuana	0 - 0	Toluca
A	Tijuana	3 - 4	Puebla
H	Tijuana	2 - 2	Monterrey
H	Tijuana	2 - 0	Cruz Azul
A	Tijuana	0 - 1	S. Laguna
H	Tijuana	5 - 0	Leon
A	Tijuana	1 - 1	A. San Luis
H	Tijuana	3 - 0	Necaxa
H	Tijuana	3 - 3	Guadalajara
A	Tijuana	2 - 0	Pachuca
A	Tijuana	2 - 2	Mazatlan

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toluca

Tijuana

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 7

2 / 7

Clean sheets

5 / 7

0 / 7

TOL

TIJ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca	4 - 0
Toluca	2 - 0
Toluca	3 - 1
	1 - 2	Tijuana
Toluca	2 - 0
Toluca	2 - 0
Toluca	3 - 0

Tijuana

Toluca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

TOL

TIJ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tijuana
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 4	Toluca
Tijuana	2 - 1
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 2	Toluca
Tijuana	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Tijuana	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Toluca's defensive record is to be admired, A. Mohamed Matijevich's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Liga MX outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Tijuana makes sense in this context.

	Toluca 3rd	Tijuana 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.5 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 8% 1 21% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 24% There is a 71% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Tijuana will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+25 Toluca have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted	+8 Tijuana’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.7 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

better

TOL

TIJ

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

TOL

TIJ

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Toluca v Tijuana Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	15	10	9
N Castro	Paulinho	A Vega	J Gallardo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Castro MID	26	3	8	1 -
F Pereira DEF	25	2		7 -
J Uriarte MID	24	5	4	1 -
F Romero MID	24		2	3 -
M Ruíz MID	23	3	2	5 -
J Gallardo DEF	22	4	1	9 -
Paulinho FWD	22	15	2	3 -
D Barbosa DEF	21		1	6 -
E López DEF	19			1 -
H González GLK	17			2 -
B Méndez DEF	17	1		1 1
S Simón DEF	17		3	2 -
Helinho FWD	15	8	5	4 -
A Vega FWD	14	4	10	3 -
A Briseño DEF	13	1	1	-
L García GLK	10			1 -
O. Virgen FWD	10	1	1	1 -
F Arce MID	8			1 -
M Isaís DEF	5			1 -
P Pérez FWD	3			-
A Bermúdez FWD	3			1 -
J Price MID	2			-
S Córdova MID	2			1 -
Luan DEF	1			-
V Camarena MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	27	10	11
Paulinho	Paulinho	A Vega	Helinho

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Paulinho FWD	15	27	2	5
Helinho FWD	8	15	5	11
J Uriarte MID	5	13	4	8
J Gallardo DEF	4	10	1	6
A Vega FWD	4	9	10	9
N Castro MID	3	24	8	8
M Ruíz MID	3	14	2	6
F Pereira DEF	2	6		2
B Méndez DEF	1	3		2
A Briseño DEF	1	1	1	1
O. Virgen FWD	1	3	1
F Romero MID		1	2	1
D Barbosa DEF		2	1	2
E López DEF		2
S Simón DEF			3	3
F Arce MID		2
J Price MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1435	55	165
F Pereira	D Barbosa	M Ruíz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Pereira DEF	1435	27	115
F Romero MID	1237	48	77
M Ruíz MID	1199	53	165
N Castro MID	1002	31	96
J Gallardo DEF	969	36	93
E López DEF	727	11	30
J Uriarte MID	669	19	51
B Méndez DEF	659	13	43
S Simón DEF	568	25	50
D Barbosa DEF	487	55	91
H González GLK	472	2	10
A Vega FWD	440	8	70
Helinho FWD	376	11	54
A Briseño DEF	302	7	34
L García GLK	276		2
Paulinho FWD	270	11	47
F Arce MID	107	10	17
M Isaís DEF	106	8	18
Luan DEF	69	1	4
P Pérez FWD	66	3	9
O. Virgen FWD	40	3	7
V Camarena MID	30
A Bermúdez FWD	29	6	7
J Price MID	21	1	5
S Córdova MID	20

Tijuana Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	7	6	7
A Rodríguez	K Castañeda	K Castañeda	J Porozo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rodríguez GLK	23			1 -
K Castañeda MID	23	7	6	1 -
A Preciado FWD	23	3	2	4 -
A Gómez DEF	22	1		4 -
J Porozo DEF	22	2		7 -
J Grijalva DEF	22		6	4 -
R Zárate MID	22	1	5	5 -
I Olmeda MID	22			7 -
R Fernández DEF	20	1	2	7 -
D Blanco FWD	19	1	1	1 1
G. Mora Zambrano MID	16	5	1	1 -
U Bilbao DEF	15	2		2 -
F Boya MID	15	6		3 -
M Ghezouani FWD	15	4		3 1
Vitinho FWD	9			-
S Nicholson FWD	9	1		-
P Ortíz DEF	8		1	1 -
K Escamilla MID	7			1 -
I Rivero MID	3			1 -
Ángel Zapata MID	2			-
J Martínez FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	21	6	10
K Castañeda	K Castañeda	K Castañeda	K Castañeda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Castañeda MID	7	21	6	10
F Boya MID	6	10		4
G. Mora Zambrano MID	5	10	1	4
M Ghezouani FWD	4	6
A Preciado FWD	3	9	2	4
J Porozo DEF	2	2
U Bilbao DEF	2	4
A Gómez DEF	1	2
R Zárate MID	1	7	5	8
R Fernández DEF	1	2	2	3
D Blanco FWD	1	4	1	1
S Nicholson FWD	1	7		2
J Grijalva DEF		3	6	4
I Olmeda MID		3
Vitinho FWD		1
P Ortíz DEF			1	1
I Rivero MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1108	53	107
I Olmeda	R Fernández	R Fernández

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Olmeda MID	1108	46	78
A Rodríguez GLK	917	2	12
J Porozo DEF	913	32	92
A Gómez DEF	863	38	85
R Fernández DEF	707	53	107
U Bilbao DEF	700	27	65
K Castañeda MID	696	18	69
J Grijalva DEF	558	38	66
G. Mora Zambrano MID	356	10	51
R Zárate MID	314	26	69
F Boya MID	298	22	92
A Preciado FWD	272	28	106
M Ghezouani FWD	202	12	89
P Ortíz DEF	160	11	21
D Blanco FWD	119	17	48
I Rivero MID	100	4	10
Vitinho FWD	78	6	11
K Escamilla MID	58	1	3
S Nicholson FWD	55		28
Ángel Zapata MID	8	1	1
J Martínez FWD	6		2