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Stal Mielec v KS Rakow Czestochowa : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 13:45 BST, Stadion Stali Mielec, Mielec

Marek Papszun is aiming for a vital away win in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his KS Rakow Czestochowa side to the Stadion Stali Mielec to visit Stal Mielec and Dzenan Uscuplic. Analysing both sides' last 20 Ekstraklasa matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Stal Mielec and Rakow have served up plenty of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Rakow coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stal Mielec
24%
10/3
4%
-
Draw
26%
13/5-
Rakow
50%
7/10
2%
-
Rakow 1-0
13%
11/2
7%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Rakow 2-0
10%
7/1-
Rakow 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
9%
9/1-
Stal Mielec 1-0
8%
11/1-
Stal Mielec 2-1
6%
14/1-
Rakow 3-0
5%
12/1-
Rakow 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Stal Mielec 2-0
4%
22/1-
Rakow 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
-
Stal Mielec 3-1
2%
40/1-
Rakow 4-0
2%
28/1
12%
-
Rakow 4-1
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
1/1
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
4/5
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
42%
15/8
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
1/2
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - No
52%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
8/1
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
3/1
7%
-
Home/draw
50%
1/1-
Away/draw
76%
2/11
1%
-
Home/away
74%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
3/10
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
12/5
3%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
5/2
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/7
1%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/10
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1-
Home DNB
42%
12/5
3%
-
Away DNB
68%
3/10
1%
-
Stal Mielec win to nil
14%
7/1-
Rakow win to nil
30%
7/4-
Stal Mielec / Stal Mielec
10%
7/1-
Stal Mielec / Rakow
4%
22/1-
Stal Mielec / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Stal Mielec
9%
17/2
5%
-
Draw / Rakow
19%
7/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Rakow / Stal Mielec
2%
33/1
17%
-
Rakow / Rakow
30%
7/4
5%
-
Rakow / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Stal Mielec have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 8 and won 6. Stal Mielec have conceded 42 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stal Mielec have played 15 games at home, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Rakow lay in 1st place on 62 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored 45 goals and kept 16 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Rakow have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Rakow have played 15 away games, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stal Mielec
Rakow
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Rakow Away3018842662 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
-
-
2
Lech Poznan3019382860 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
3
Jagiellonia3016771355 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
May 10
d
 
2-2F
4
MKS Pogon3016591853 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
5
L. Warsaw3014881650 
d
 
2-2A
May 24
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
6
Cracovia301299545 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
7
Motor Lublin3012711-743 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
8
Gornik Z.3012612442 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
9
Katowice3012612142 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
10
Korona30101010-840 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 17
11
P.Gliwice3091110-338 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
12
W Lodz3010713-937 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
May 24
w
 
2-3A
13
RKS3010614-536 
May 16
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
14
Zaglebie 309615-1533 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-2F
15
L.Gdansk308616-1730 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
16
Puszcza306915-1627 
w
 
2-0F
May 12
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
17
Stal Mielec H306816-1626 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 3
18
S.Wroclaw3051015-1525 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
10
Stal Mielec have not won in 10 consecutive league games
Stal Mielec 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
10
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stal Mielec0 - 0Gornik Z.
Stal Mielec1 - 1Cracovia
Stal Mielec1 - 4S.Wroclaw
Stal Mielec0 - 1Korona
Stal Mielec1 - 2MKS Pogon
Stal Mielec2 - 1Jagiellonia
Stal Mielec2 - 2L. Warsaw
Stal Mielec2 - 0Puszcza
Stal Mielec2 - 2Zaglebie
Stal Mielec2 - 1L.Gdansk
Stal Mielec1 - 0Motor Lublin
Stal Mielec0 - 2Lech Poznan
Stal Mielec2 - 0P.Gliwice
Stal Mielec0 - 1Katowice
Stal Mielec1 - 1W Lodz
Stal Mielec0 - 0MKS Pogon
Stal Mielec3 - 2Jagiellonia
Stal Mielec1 - 3L. Warsaw
Stal Mielec0 - 0W Lodz
Stal Mielec0 - 0Lech Poznan
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStal Mielec2 - 2Zaglebie
HStal Mielec0 - 0Gornik Z.
AStal Mielec2 - 3L.Gdansk
HStal Mielec1 - 1Cracovia
AStal Mielec1 - 4Motor Lublin
HStal Mielec1 - 4S.Wroclaw
AStal Mielec1 - 3Lech Poznan
HStal Mielec0 - 1Korona
AStal Mielec2 - 2P.Gliwice
HStal Mielec1 - 2MKS Pogon
HStal Mielec2 - 1Jagiellonia
AStal Mielec0 - 1Katowice
AStal Mielec1 - 2W Lodz
HStal Mielec2 - 2L. Warsaw
AStal Mielec2 - 1RKS
HStal Mielec2 - 0Puszcza
AStal Mielec0 - 1Rakow
HStal Mielec2 - 2Zaglebie
AStal Mielec1 - 2S.Wroclaw
AStal Mielec1 - 3Gornik Z.
Rakow 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
MKS Pogon1 - 0Rakow
Puszcza1 - 1Rakow
Zaglebie 0 - 2Rakow
P.Gliwice0 - 3Rakow
Lech Poznan0 - 1Rakow
Cracovia0 - 0Rakow
W Lodz2 - 3Rakow
Jagiellonia2 - 2Rakow
S.Wroclaw0 - 0Rakow
RKS0 - 2Rakow
L. Warsaw0 - 1Rakow
L.Gdansk1 - 2Rakow
Gornik Z.0 - 0Rakow
Katowice0 - 1Rakow
Motor Lublin0 - 2Rakow
Cracovia2 - 0Rakow
Zaglebie 2 - 0Rakow
W Lodz0 - 1Rakow
RKS2 - 1Rakow
LKS Lodz1 - 1Rakow
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRakow3 - 0S.Wroclaw
ARakow0 - 1MKS Pogon
HRakow2 - 1RKS
ARakow1 - 1Puszcza
ARakow2 - 0Zaglebie
HRakow3 - 2L. Warsaw
ARakow3 - 0P.Gliwice
HRakow3 - 1L.Gdansk
HRakow1 - 0Gornik Z.
ARakow1 - 0Lech Poznan
HRakow1 - 2Katowice
ARakow0 - 0Cracovia
HRakow2 - 2Motor Lublin
ARakow3 - 2W Lodz
HRakow1 - 1Korona
ARakow2 - 2Jagiellonia
HRakow1 - 0Stal Mielec
ARakow0 - 0S.Wroclaw
HRakow1 - 0MKS Pogon
ARakow2 - 0RKS
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Rakow have not lost to Stal Mielec in 9 consecutive league meetings
4
Rakow have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Stal Mielec
League games at Stal Mielec since 2021
Stal Mielec
Rakow
Goals: Scored
0
4
Games: Scored
0 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
4 / 4
D
2
RAK
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stal Mielec
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Rakow
0 - 1Rakow
League games at Rakow since 2020
Rakow
Stal Mielec
Goals: Scored
10
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
RAK
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rakow
Rakow1 - 0
Rakow2 - 0
Rakow3 - 2
Rakow2 - 1
Rakow2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Stal Mielec 17th Rakow 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Stal Mielec scoring 1 goal or less
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Rakow will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Stal Mielec have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
Rakow have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277216/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Stal Mielec
PG (predicted goals)
Rakow
0.9
1.5
Attack rating
STM
RAK
22%
better
view stats
Games scored22
23
Failed to score8
7
Scored first10
19
Goals scored32
45
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
15
Avg. XG for2.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
STM
RAK
51%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
14
Clean sheets4
16
Conceded first19
7
Goals conceded48
19
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
13
Conversion rate against15%
8%
Avg. XG against2
1.1
KickOff rating
+51%

Stal Mielec v Rakow Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Stal Mielec Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26947
J MadrzykP WlazloM GuillaumierP Wlazlo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Domanski MID2912
2
-
A Jaunzems MID2911
3
-
M Matras DEF271
4
-
M Guillaumier MID2714
4
-
J Madrzyk GLK26
1
-
K Getinger MID2613
2
-
L Wolsztynski FWD2642
2
-
M Senger DEF251
5
1
B Esselink DEF25
4
1
P Wlazlo MID259
4
3
R Dadok MID2433
4
-
R. Assayag FWD221
1
-
F Gerbowski MID181
3
-
D Tkacz MID17
1
-
K. Wołkowicz MID1711
2
-
S Krykun FWD171
-
P Hannola MID10
-
K Knap MID9
2
-
D Kadzior FWD8
1
1
A Bukowski DEF71
1
-
J Beauguel FWD5
-
Rakow Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301169
K TrelowskiJ BrunesI López G Berggren
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Trelowski GLK301
1
-
V Kochergin MID3055
3
-
J Silva  MID2951
4
-
G Berggren MID2825
8
1
F Tudor MID273
5
-
J Brunes FWD2711
5
-
A. Amorim Santos MID261
2
-
E Otieno MID2614
1
1
S Svarnas DEF252
8
-
M Rodin DEF231
3
1
I López  MID2376
3
-
P Makuch FWD2322
1
-
P Baráth MID2111
5
-
J. Díaz Gómez MID201
1
-
Z Arsenic DEF1611
1
-
M Ameyaw MID123
-
M Rundic DEF11
1
-
L Rocha FWD1112
-
A Mosór DEF101
2
-
S Plavsic MID6
1
-
B Lederman MID5
-
B Racovitan DEF3
1
-
I. Seck MID1
-