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Arouca v Sporting Braga : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 1st Dec, 20:15 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Vasco César Freire De Seabra welcomes Carlos Vicens to the Estadio Municipal de Arouca on Monday night, as their Arouca and Sporting Braga sides go head to head in the Liga NOS. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the main markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 81% probability of Arouca and Braga serving up a minimum of two goals in this Liga NOS tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it would appear that the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 56% chance of Braga coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
22%
9/29/2
Draw
22%
14/53/1
Braga
56%
4/73/5
Draw 1-1
10%
13/213/2
Braga 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Braga 1-0
9%
15/213/2
Braga 2-0
9%
15/27/1
Braga 3-1
6%
11/19/1
Arouca 2-1
6%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
Braga 3-0
6%
11/110/1
Arouca 1-0
5%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/110/1
Braga 3-2
4%
20/116/1
Braga 4-1
3%
22/116/1
Arouca 2-0
3%
28/122/1
Braga 4-0
3%
22/116/1
Arouca 3-1
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/63/5
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
23/206/5
Home 1st Goal
43%
13/815/8
Away 1st Goal
54%
1/210/21
No 1st Goal
3%
12/110/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
7/104/6
BTTS - No
42%
21/2011/10
BTTS - Home Win
12%
8/17/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/419/5
BTTS - Away Win
29%
11/519/10
Home/draw
44%
5/413/10
Away/draw
78%
1/72/13
Home/away
78%
1/42/9
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/51/5
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/316/5
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
13/829/20
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/91/2
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4/116/5
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/61/5
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/17/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/161/14
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
Home DNB
38%
3/129/10
Away DNB
71%
2/92/9
Arouca win to nil
10%
10/1-
Braga win to nil
27%
2/1-
Arouca / Arouca
10%
15/27/1
Arouca / Braga
4%
20/116/1
Arouca / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Arouca
8%
10/19/1
Draw / Braga
18%
7/216/5
Draw / Draw
13%
11/219/4
Braga / Arouca
3%
33/128/1
Braga / Braga
33%
7/57/5
Braga / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Arouca have conceded 29 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 5 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Arouca have played 6 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Braga lay in 7th place on 16 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 11 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 15 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Braga have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Braga have played 5 away games, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Braga
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1110102131 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 1
Mar 22
l
 
2-1A
2
S. Lisbon119112128 
Jan 25
l
 
6-0A
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
3
Benfica117401725 
Mar 15
l
 
5-0A
Dec 28
May 9
4
Gil Vicente117221123 
Dec 28
May 9
l
 
0-1A
Feb 15
5
Famalicao11542619 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
Apr 18
Dec 6
6
Moreirense11605118 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
w
 
2-1F
Apr 3
7
Braga11443816 
Dec 1
Apr 11
-
-
8
V. Guimaraes11425-714 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
9
Estoril11344213 
Apr 3
l
 
4-3F
May 2
Dec 21
10
Nacional11335-412 
Feb 22
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
11
Rio Ave11263-512 
d
 
3-3F
Feb 1
Feb 8
d
 
2-2A
12
Estrela Amadora11254-111 
Apr 18
Dec 7
May 16
Jan 4
13
Santa Clara11326-411 
May 2
Dec 21
Dec 14
Apr 25
14
Alverca11326-711 
Dec 14
Apr 25
Jan 25
w
 
0-3F
15
Casa Pia11236-119 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
16
Arouca11236-179 
-
-
Apr 11
Dec 1
17
Tondela11137-146 
May 16
Jan 4
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
18
AVS11038-173 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 18
d
 
2-2F
Feb 1
Win / draw / win form
3
Arouca have lost 3 consecutive league games
5
Arouca have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Arouca 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Famalicao
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 1AVS
Arouca4 - 1Boavista
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 2Famalicao
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Arouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Santa Clara
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Arouca1 - 2Braga
Arouca1 - 1AVS
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca3 - 4Estoril
HArouca0 - 2Moreirense
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca1 - 1Famalicao
HArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca0 - 2Casa Pia
AArouca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 3Rio Ave
AArouca0 - 6S. Lisbon
HArouca3 - 1AVS
HArouca4 - 1Boavista
AArouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
HArouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AArouca0 - 2Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca2 - 2Benfica
HArouca1 - 2Famalicao
AArouca1 - 2Braga
HArouca1 - 1Estoril
Braga 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto2 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
Rio Ave2 - 2Braga
Alverca0 - 3Braga
Casa Pia2 - 1Braga
Famalicao1 - 1Braga
Estoril0 - 2Braga
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
Sporting Farense0 - 1Braga
Rio Ave2 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
Moreirense1 - 2Braga
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
Benfica1 - 2Braga
Santa Clara0 - 2Braga
AVS0 - 1Braga
Arouca1 - 2Braga
Porto2 - 1Braga
Nacional0 - 3Braga
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBraga2 - 1Moreirense
ABraga1 - 2Porto
HBraga4 - 0Casa Pia
ABraga1 - 1S. Lisbon
HBraga0 - 1Nacional
ABraga1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HBraga0 - 1Gil Vicente
ABraga2 - 2Rio Ave
HBraga2 - 2AVS
ABraga3 - 0Alverca
HBraga3 - 0Tondela
HBraga1 - 1Benfica
ABraga1 - 2Casa Pia
HBraga1 - 1Santa Clara
ABraga1 - 1Famalicao
ABraga2 - 0Estoril
HBraga4 - 1AVS
ABraga1 - 1S. Lisbon
HBraga2 - 1Arouca
ABraga1 - 0Sporting Farense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Braga have beaten Arouca in 4 consecutive away league meetings
6
Braga have not lost to Arouca in 6 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
Braga
Goals: Scored
2
16
Games: Scored
2 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
4 / 6
D
2
BRG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
1 - 2Braga
0 - 1Braga
0 - 6Braga
0 - 6Braga
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Braga since 2015
Braga
Arouca
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
ARO
1
D
1
BRG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
Braga2 - 1
0 - 3Arouca
Braga2 - 0
Braga1 - 0
Braga3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Sporting Braga have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Arouca on Monday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Arouca 16th Braga 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Braga will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Arouca have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
+6
Braga’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Braga
1.1
1.9
Attack rating
ARO
BRG
28%
better
view stats
Games scored6
9
Failed to score5
2
Scored first4
6
Goals scored13
19
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.7
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for0.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
ARO
BRG
48%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
8
Clean sheets0
3
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded30
11
Avg. goals conceded2.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
7
Conversion rate against25%
15%
Avg. XG against1.9
1
KickOff rating
+48%

Arouca v Braga Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10526
T FukuiN Djouahra A TrezzaJ Fontán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Fukui MID1111
2
-
A Trezza FWD1142
1
-
N Djouahra  FWD1151
-
T Esgaio DEF10
4
-
J Fontán DEF101
4
2
B Pinto MID10
3
-
Barbero FWD101
1
-
M Puche FWD101
2
-
J Valido GLK9
-
H. Lee MID92
1
-
B Mansilla FWD91
1
-
A Dante DEF8
-
A Solà DEF81
1
-
P Gozálbez MID8
1
-
B Popovic DEF71
1
-
D Nandin FWD7
1
1
A Pinto DEF5
1
-
P Santos MID5
-
E. van Ee MID41
-
M Rocha DEF3
1
-
O. Fayed DEF3
2
-
M. Flores Lozano MID3
-
N Mantl GLK2
-
R Jansonas FWD2
-
Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11445
L HornicekR Zalazar L LeloR Zalazar 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK11
1
-
L Lelo DEF114
-
V Gómez DEF111
1
-
Gorby MID11
3
-
G Lagerbielke DEF101
2
-
R Zalazar  MID1041
5
-
P Victor FWD101
-
G Martínez FWD102
2
-
J Moutinho MID9
1
-
R Horta FWD94
-
F Navarro FWD82
1
-
B Arrey-Mbi DEF7
1
-
A Ouazzani FWD72
-
G Salles MID6
-
M Dorgeles MID61
-
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID61
-
P Oliveira DEF5
1
-
S Niakaté DEF5
1
-
F Grillitsch  MID5
1
-
V Carvalho MID31
2
-
S. Rodrigues Vidigal FWD3
-
Y. da Rocha MID1
-