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CD Nacional v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 19th Dec, 17:00 BST, Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)),

CD Nacional are in Liga NOS action on Sunday evening, as Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido attempts to outsmart Roger Schmidt and his Benfica side at the Estadio da Madeira. You'll find stats supporting our top of Nacional to win below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Liga NOS performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

The stands should be full at Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)) on Sunday evening but, unfortunately, we predict most of those in attendance will be leaving the place 90 minutes later rather less happy than they arrived. The statistics below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, all point towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Benfica getting the better of hosts Nacional. It could be a bruising afternoon for home manager Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido but, in the meantime, we'd strongly recommend making the most of best bookmaker odds of 1.20 to back the away win.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
9%
17/2
6%
9/1
Draw
15%
11/25/1
Benfica
75%
1/4
4%
1/4
Benfica 2-0
12%
11/2
13%
5/1
14%
Benfica 3-0
10%
7/16/1
13%
Benfica 1-0
10%
7/1
20%
6/1
13%
Benfica 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
Benfica 3-1
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Draw 1-1
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
Benfica 4-0
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
9%
Benfica 4-1
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
26%
14/1
12%
Draw 2-2
3%
22/118/1
12%
Benfica 5-0
3%
20/1
11%
16/1
Nacional 1-0
3%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
Benfica 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
Nacional 2-1
3%
25/120/1
Benfica 5-1
2%
28/1
26%
20/1
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
8/15
13%
8/15
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
7/5
23%
11/8
12%
Home 1st Goal
36%
15/4
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
62%
2/11-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
26%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
1/1
11%
21/20
12%
BTTS - No
51%
3/4
10%
8/11
9%
BTTS - Home Win
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
BTTS - Draw
12%
7/16/1
BTTS - Away Win
32%
15/8
15%
15/8
15%
Home/draw
25%
11/4
6%
11/4
Away/draw
91%
1/14
1%
1/20
1%
Home/away
85%
1/9
1%
1/8
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/6
5%
1/6
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
4/1
23%
18/5
16%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
5/4
18%
13/10
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
4/7
13%
11/20
10%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
3/1
23%
29/10
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/9
8%
2/9
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
7/1
45%
6/1
22%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/12
5%
1/12
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
1/66
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
26%
14/1
12%
Home DNB
20%
7/113/2
Away DNB
86%
1/121/16
1%
Nacional win to nil
4%
16/1
11%
-
Benfica win to nil
43%
1/1
5%
-
Nacional / Nacional
5%
18/112/1
Nacional / Benfica
5%
18/1
12%
16/1
13%
Nacional / Draw
4%
20/1
9%
18/1
12%
Draw / Nacional
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Draw / Benfica
21%
11/4
6%
3/1
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
15%
7/1
6%
Benfica / Nacional
2%
50/140/1
Benfica / Benfica
45%
4/5
8%
3/4
Benfica / Draw
5%
18/1
10%
16/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Nacional
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Benfica
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-6A
Jan 26
 S. Lisbon88002524 
May 11
Dec 29
Jan 5
May 17
 Porto87011421 
Nov 10
Apr 6
Dec 19
Mar 9
 Benfica Away75111216 
-
-
Nov 4
Mar 30
 Santa Clara8503215 
w
 
4-1A
Feb 16
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
 Braga8422714 
Jan 5
May 17
May 4
Dec 22
 V. Guimaraes8422114 
Dec 8
Apr 19
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
 Famalicao8341513 
Jan 19
l
 
2-0A
Dec 15
Apr 27
 Moreirense8323-111 
Feb 9
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
Dec 8
 Gil Vicente8242-210 
w
 
5-1A
Mar 2
Jan 19
d
 
1-1F
 AVS8233-49 
Apr 27
Dec 15
Mar 16
Oct 25
 Casa Pia8224-58 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 26
May 11
Dec 29
 Rio Ave8224-78 
Oct 27
Mar 16
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
 Arouca8215-97 
Apr 13
Dec 1
Nov 30
Apr 13
 Boavista8134-56 
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
 Estoril8134-76 
Dec 22
May 4
Apr 6
Nov 10
 Estrela Amadora8125-85 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
-
-
 Nacional Home7124-85 
Mar 9
Dec 19
w
 
2-0F
Feb 9
 Sporting Farense8116-104 
Mar 30
Nov 2
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional0 - 3Braga
Nacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
Nacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 2Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 3Benfica
Nacional1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Nacional1 - 5Portimonense
Nacional1 - 2Maratimo
Nacional1 - 2Braga
Nacional2 - 3Sporting Farense
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional0 - 1Moreirense
Nacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
Nacional2 - 0Tondela
Nacional1 - 3Santa Clara
Nacional2 - 1Gil Vicente
Nacional1 - 1P. Ferreira
Nacional0 - 0Belenenses
Nacional3 - 3Boavista
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional0 - 0Famalicao
HNacional0 - 3Braga
ANacional0 - 1Estoril
HNacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
ANacional0 - 1Arouca
HNacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1AVS
HNacional1 - 2Rio Ave
ANacional0 - 3Famalicao
HNacional1 - 3Benfica
ANacional2 - 2Moreirense
ANacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional1 - 0V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 2Tondela
HNacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional1 - 5Santa Clara
HNacional1 - 5Portimonense
ANacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional1 - 2Maratimo
ANacional1 - 2P. Ferreira
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Boavista0 - 3Benfica
Moreirense1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Rio Ave1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 3Benfica
S. Lisbon2 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia0 - 1Benfica
Porto5 - 0Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Benfica
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Benfica
Arouca0 - 3Benfica
Braga0 - 1Benfica
Moreirense0 - 0Benfica
Chaves0 - 2Benfica
Estoril0 - 1Benfica
Portimonense1 - 3Benfica
Vizela1 - 2Benfica
Gil Vicente2 - 3Benfica
Boavista3 - 2Benfica
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica5 - 1Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 0Boavista
HBenfica4 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica1 - 1Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HBenfica3 - 0Casa Pia
ABenfica0 - 2Famalicao
ABenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 2Famalicao
HBenfica3 - 1Braga
ABenfica3 - 1Sporting Farense
HBenfica3 - 0Moreirense
ABenfica1 - 2S. Lisbon
HBenfica1 - 0Chaves
ABenfica1 - 0Casa Pia
HBenfica3 - 1Estoril
ABenfica0 - 5Porto
HBenfica4 - 0Portimonense
HBenfica6 - 1Vizela
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Benfica have beaten Nacional in 4 consecutive away league meetings
8
Benfica have not lost to Nacional in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Benfica
Goals: Scored
3
14
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
BEF
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
1 - 3Benfica
0 - 4Benfica
1 - 3Benfica
1 - 4Benfica
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Nacional
Goals: Scored
18
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
D
1
BEF
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Draw1 - 1Draw
Benfica10 - 0
Benfica3 - 0
Benfica4 - 1
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks set to be difficult for CD Nacional, with T. Carvalho Margarido's men having not found the back of the net in 3 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

Benfica's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Liga NOS outings. A PG of 2.5 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

Nacional 17th Benfica 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
2.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
0
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
24%
There is a 72% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Benfica’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
2.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285132/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
0.8
2.5
Attack rating
NAC
BEF
57%
better
view stats
Games scored3
6
Failed to score4
1
Scored first2
3
Goals scored4
17
Avg. goals scored0.6
2.4
Avg. shots per game10
13
Avg. shots per goal18
5
Conversion rate for6
19
Avg. XG for1.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+57%
Defence rating
NAC
BEF
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
4
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded12
5
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.4
KickOff rating
+29%

Nacional v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7113
L FrançaI TomichL EstevesZ Vitor
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK7
-
G García DEF7
1
-
Z Vitor DEF7
3
-
Ulisses DEF5
2
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF7
-
L Esteves MID71
1
-
M Dias MID71
2
-
D. Soumaré MID1
-
A Appiah FWD7
1
-
I Tomich FWD51
2
-
N Thomas FWD51
1
-
Subs
R Encarnação GLK
-
J Aurélio DEF
-
L Santos DEF3
1
-
B Costa MID6
-
D Penha MID61
-
A Sousa MID3
1
-
M Baeza MID51
-
R Macedo FWD6
-
A Butzke FWD61
2
-
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7233
A TrubinFlorentinoO KökcüÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK7
-
A Bah DEF51
-
T Araújo DEF5
-
N Otamendi DEF612
1
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF7
3
-
F Aursnes MID511
-
Florentino MID72
1
-
Ángel Di María MID611
-
O Kökcü MID723
3
-
K Aktürkoglu MID322
-
V Pavlidis FWD721
-
Subs
S Soares GLK
-
I Kaboré DEF1
-
J Beste DEF3
-
A Silva DEF511
1
-
L Barreiro MID6
1
-
G Prestianni FWD7
1
-
B Rollheiser FWD411
1
-
Z Amdouni FWD31
-
A Cabral FWD41
-