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CD Nacional v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 19th Dec, 17:00 BST, Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)),

CD Nacional are in Liga NOS action on Thursday evening, as Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido aims to beat Roger Schmidt and his Benfica side at the Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)). Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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The stands should be full at Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)) on Sunday evening but, unfortunately, we predict most of those in attendance will be leaving the place 90 minutes later rather less happy than they arrived. The statistics below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, all point towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Benfica getting the better of hosts Nacional. It could be a bruising afternoon for home manager Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido but, in the meantime, we'd strongly recommend making the most of best bookmaker odds of 1.20 to back the away win.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
21%
--
Draw
24%
--
Benfica
55%
--
Benfica 1-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Benfica 2-0
10%
--
Benfica 2-1
10%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Nacional 1-0
7%
--
Benfica 3-0
6%
--
Benfica 3-1
5%
--
Nacional 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Nacional 2-0
3%
--
Benfica 3-2
3%
--
Benfica 4-0
2%
--
Benfica 4-1
2%
--
Nacional 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Home 1st Goal
41%
--
Away 1st Goal
54%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
10%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
23%
--
Home/draw
45%
--
Away/draw
79%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
38%
--
Away DNB
72%
--
Nacional win to nil
11%
--
Benfica win to nil
32%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 12 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Nacional have conceded 16 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 5 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Benfica lay in 2nd place on 31 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 12 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 31 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Benfica have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Benfica have played 5 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1311023233 
l
 
1-6A
Jan 25
May 11
Dec 29
2
Benfica Away1210112431 
Dec 19
Mar 9
-
-
3
Porto1310122231 
Jan 3
May 17
w
 
4-1F
Apr 6
4
Santa Clara13904427 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 30
w
 
4-1A
Feb 16
5
Braga13733924 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
Jan 4
May 17
6
V. Guimaraes13634421 
May 4
Dec 23
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
7
Moreirense13625120 
Dec 14
Apr 27
Feb 9
d
 
1-1A
8
Famalicao13463218 
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 17
l
 
2-0A
9
Rio Ave13436-1015 
May 11
Dec 29
w
 
5-0F
Mar 16
10
Casa Pia13355-614 
Mar 16
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
Jan 25
11
Estoril13355-714 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
Dec 23
May 4
12
Gil Vicente13346-813 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
w
 
5-1A
Mar 2
13
Estrela Amadora13337-1012 
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
14
Boavista13256-811 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 13
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
15
AVS13256-1111 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1F
Apr 27
Dec 15
16
Nacional Home12237-109 
-
-
Mar 9
Dec 19
17
Sporting Farense13238-129 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 9
Mar 30
w
 
1-2A
18
Arouca13229-168 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
Apr 13
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional0 - 0Boavista
Nacional2 - 0Santa Clara
Nacional0 - 3Braga
Nacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
Nacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 2Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 3Benfica
Nacional1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Nacional1 - 5Portimonense
Nacional1 - 2Maratimo
Nacional1 - 2Braga
Nacional2 - 3Sporting Farense
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional0 - 1Moreirense
Nacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
Nacional2 - 0Tondela
Nacional1 - 3Santa Clara
Nacional2 - 1Gil Vicente
Nacional1 - 1P. Ferreira
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional0 - 0Boavista
ANacional0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HNacional2 - 0Santa Clara
ANacional0 - 1Casa Pia
ANacional0 - 0Famalicao
HNacional0 - 3Braga
ANacional0 - 1Estoril
HNacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
ANacional0 - 1Arouca
HNacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1AVS
HNacional1 - 2Rio Ave
ANacional0 - 3Famalicao
HNacional1 - 3Benfica
ANacional2 - 2Moreirense
ANacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional1 - 0V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 2Tondela
HNacional0 - 1Porto
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 2Benfica
Boavista0 - 3Benfica
Moreirense1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Rio Ave1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 3Benfica
S. Lisbon2 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia0 - 1Benfica
Porto5 - 0Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Benfica
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Benfica
Arouca0 - 3Benfica
Braga0 - 1Benfica
Moreirense0 - 0Benfica
Chaves0 - 2Benfica
Estoril0 - 1Benfica
Portimonense1 - 3Benfica
Vizela1 - 2Benfica
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
ABenfica2 - 0Arouca
HBenfica4 - 1Porto
ABenfica2 - 1Sporting Farense
HBenfica5 - 0Rio Ave
HBenfica5 - 1Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 0Boavista
HBenfica4 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica1 - 1Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HBenfica3 - 0Casa Pia
ABenfica0 - 2Famalicao
ABenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 2Famalicao
HBenfica3 - 1Braga
ABenfica3 - 1Sporting Farense
HBenfica3 - 0Moreirense
ABenfica1 - 2S. Lisbon
HBenfica1 - 0Chaves
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Benfica have beaten Nacional in 4 consecutive away league meetings
8
Benfica have not lost to Nacional in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Benfica
Goals: Scored
3
14
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
BEF
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
1 - 3Benfica
0 - 4Benfica
1 - 3Benfica
1 - 4Benfica
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Nacional
Goals: Scored
18
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
D
1
BEF
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Draw1 - 1Draw
Benfica10 - 0
Benfica3 - 0
Benfica4 - 1
Goal Statistics

Benfica have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.7 against CD Nacional on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Nacional 16th Benfica 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Nacional have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-15
Benfica have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285132/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
0.9
1.7
Attack rating
NAC
BEF
62%
better
view stats
Games scored5
11
Failed to score7
1
Scored first3
7
Goals scored7
31
Avg. goals scored0.6
2.6
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal19
5
Conversion rate for5
21
Avg. XG for1.3
2
KickOff rating
+62%
Defence rating
NAC
BEF
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
6
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded17
7
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
11
Conversion rate against13%
9%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.6
KickOff rating
+36%

Nacional v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13225
L FrançaI TomichM DiasUlisses
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK13
3
-
G García DEF131
1
-
Z Vitor DEF13
3
-
Ulisses DEF111
4
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF13
1
-
L Esteves MID131
3
-
M Dias MID132
4
-
D. Soumaré MID5
1
-
A Appiah FWD11
1
-
I Tomich FWD102
3
-
N Thomas FWD91
3
-
Subs
R Encarnação GLK
1
-
L Santos DEF3
1
-
J Aurélio DEF2
-
D Penha MID101
-
A Sousa MID3
1
-
M Baeza MID51
-
B Costa MID7
-
R Macedo FWD111
-
A Butzke FWD101
2
-
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13635
A TrubinK AktürkogluO KökcüÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK13
-
A Bah DEF111
-
T Araújo DEF111
-
N Otamendi DEF1212
1
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF1321
5
-
F Aursnes MID1112
-
Florentino MID122
1
-
Ángel Di María MID1242
3
-
O Kökcü MID1223
5
-
K Aktürkoglu MID963
-
V Pavlidis FWD1332
1
-
Subs
S Soares GLK
-
A Silva DEF511
1
-
I Kaboré DEF2
-
J Beste DEF7
1
-
L Barreiro MID8
1
-
Z Amdouni FWD62
1
-
A Cabral FWD81
-
G Prestianni FWD7
1
-
B Rollheiser FWD611
1
-