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Vitoria Guimaraes v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Nov, 20:30 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido welcomes Pedro Miguel Marques da Costa Filipe to the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques on Saturday night, as their Vitoria Guimaraes and Estrela Amadora charges go head to head in the Liga NOS. You'll find stats supporting our top of below, but don't forget to explore 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Liga NOS performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither V. Guimaraes or Estrela Amadora are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives V. Guimaraes and Estrela Amadora an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
50%
4/6-
Draw
24%
27/10-
Estrela Amadora
26%
7/2-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
7%
-
V. Guimaraes 2-1
10%
15/2-
V. Guimaraes 1-0
10%
13/2-
V. Guimaraes 2-0
8%
15/2
6%
-
Estrela Amadora 2-1
7%
14/1
12%
-
Estrela Amadora 1-0
7%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1-
V. Guimaraes 3-1
6%
12/1-
V. Guimaraes 3-0
5%
12/1
8%
-
Estrela Amadora 2-0
4%
22/1
12%
-
V. Guimaraes 3-2
3%
22/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-1
3%
40/1-
V. Guimaraes 4-1
2%
25/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
8/5
1%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/5-
BTTS - No
43%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
5/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
15/2
11%
-
Home/draw
74%
2/11
1%
-
Away/draw
50%
11/10
7%
-
Home/away
76%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/1
8%
-
Home DNB
67%
2/7
3%
-
Away DNB
43%
5/2
7%
-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
25%
2/1
9%
-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
12%
8/1-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
32%
13/8
5%
-
V. Guimaraes / Estrela Amadora
2%
33/1-
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / V. Guimaraes
18%
15/4
6%
-
Draw / Estrela Amadora
8%
9/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Estrela Amadora / V. Guimaraes
4%
20/1-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
10%
7/1
6%
-
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 1. V. Guimaraes have conceded 12 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 6 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Estrela Amadora lay in 12th place on 10 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 11 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 6 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Estrela Amadora have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Estrela Amadora have played 5 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1111002233 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 4
Apr 25
Dec 13
2
Benfica119112028 
Mar 7
l
 
2-0A
l
 
2-3A
Apr 4
3
S. Lisbon117311324 
Jan 24
l
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2A
Jan 17
4
Santa Clara11632821 
May 2
Dec 20
May 9
Dec 27
5
Arouca11623520 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
6
Academico Viseu11623220 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 28
7
Gil Vicente11533218 
Mar 21
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 6
Apr 18
8
Braga11524217 
Feb 7
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Jan 31
9
Moreirense11425-514 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 28
Mar 21
l
 
2-1A
10
Famalicao11344113 
May 16
Jan 10
d
 
2-2A
Feb 14
11
Alverca11335-112 
Dec 13
Apr 25
Jan 24
d
 
2-2F
12
Estrela Amadora11245-510 
Nov 28
Apr 11
-
-
13
Nacional11317-810 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
Feb 7
w
 
2-3A
14
V. Guimaraes11236-19 
-
-
Apr 11
Nov 28
15
Maratimo10226-128 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 14
Dec 20
May 2
16
Casa Pia11227-148 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 14
l
 
0-2A
Mar 14
17
Rio Ave11218-157 
Dec 27
May 9
Feb 21
d
 
3-3F
18
Estoril10028-142 
Apr 18
Dec 6
Jan 10
May 16
Win / draw / win form
5
Estrela Amadora have lost 5 consecutive league games
V. Guimaraes 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Estrela Amadora 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2024
V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
GUI
3
League games at Estrela Amadora since 2023
Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
2
5
Games: Scored
1 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
2 / 3
GUI
2
D
1
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Estrela Amadora on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is to be admired, T. Carvalho Margarido's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Estrela Amadora makes sense in this context.

V. Guimaraes 14th Estrela Amadora 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Estrela Amadora have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2026/2027 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
GUI
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
GUI
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

V. Guimaraes v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11235
J MendesA JakupovicJ. Costa NogueiraT Borevkovic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mendes DEF11
1
-
T Strata DEF111
2
-
L Doucet MID11
1
-
Beni MID11
-
G Nogueira MID111
3
-
Samu MID1111
2
-
O. Camara FWD111
1
-
J. Costa Nogueira FWD103
2
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD1011
4
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF9
3
-
A Ndoye FWD91
1
O Zych GLK8
-
A Jakupovic FWD72
1
-
T Borevkovic DEF61
5
-
A. Sidibé DEF5
-
O Rivas DEF5
2
-
Alanzinho MID512
-
V Ouotro FWD5
-
M. Mitrovic MID4
1
-
T Arcanjo FWD4
-
L Santos GLK3
-
Maga DEF3
-
V Andersson FWD3
-
Y. Mosquera Mosquera DEF11
-
S. Verdi Oliveira Silva MID1
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11534
L LinckL AntonettiR SoaresE. Doué
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Linck GLK11
-
R Soares DEF113
-
M. Scholze DEF1111
3
-
L. Zvonarek MID112
1
-
L Antonetti FWD1151
1
-
A Marcus FWD1141
1
-
I Stoica FWD1142
-
L Patrick DEF10
2
-
S Lekovic DEF9
3
-
E. Doué MID93
4
-
B. Loussakou Souza FWD911
1
-
J Encada DEF8
1
-
S. Ferreira Serra MID8
1
-
J Jordán MID61
1
-
K Jansson MID6
-
A. Souza de Jesus FWD6
1
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID51
1
-
B Schappo DEF4
-
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF3
-
E. Pedro Vanga MID3
1
-
T. Moustier MID3
-
R. Mitongo Muteba FWD2
-
A Chernev DEF1
-