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Vitoria Guimaraes v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 18:00 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu pays counterpart Luís Miguel Correia Pinto a visit on Saturday evening in the Liga NOS, as their Estrela Amadora and Vitoria Guimaraes teams face each other at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also given.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that V. Guimaraes and Estrela Amadora will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Luís Miguel Correia Pinto or João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.36 equating to approximately a 76% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think V. Guimaraes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
V. Guimaraes 51%	-	8/11
Draw 24%	-	13/5 3%
Estrela Amadora 25%	-	4/1
Draw 1-1 12%	-	11/2
V. Guimaraes 1-0 11%	-	9/2
V. Guimaraes 2-1 10%	-	7/1
V. Guimaraes 2-0 9%	-	11/2 7%
Estrela Amadora 1-0 7%	-	9/1
Draw 0-0 6%	-	13/2
Estrela Amadora 2-1 6%	-	14/1
V. Guimaraes 3-1 5%	-	12/1
Draw 2-2 5%	-	14/1
V. Guimaraes 3-0 5%	-	10/1
Estrela Amadora 2-0 4%	-	18/1
V. Guimaraes 3-2 3%	-	25/1
Estrela Amadora 3-1 2%	-	33/1 17%
V. Guimaraes 4-1 2%	-	22/1
V. Guimaraes 4-0 2%	-	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	-	23/20
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	-	13/20
Home 1st Goal 53%	-	11/20
Away 1st Goal 43%	-	2/1
No 1st Goal 4%	-	13/2
BTTS - Yes 54%	-	11/10
BTTS - No 46%	-	4/6
BTTS - Home Win 24%	-	16/5
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	4/1
BTTS - Away Win 12%	-	17/2
Home/draw 75%	-	1/6
Away/draw 49%	-	21/20
Home/away 76%	-	2/7 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	-	4/11
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	-	15/8
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	-	29/10 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	-	2/9
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	-	13/2
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	-	1/14
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	-	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	-	1/80
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	1/14
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	-	13/2
Home DNB 68%	-	1/4
Away DNB 42%	-	5/2
V. Guimaraes win to nil 27%	-	-
Estrela Amadora win to nil 13%	-	-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes 30%	-	8/5
V. Guimaraes / Estrela Amadora 2%	-	33/1
V. Guimaraes / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / V. Guimaraes 18%	-	17/5
Draw / Estrela Amadora 8%	-	17/2
Draw / Draw 16%	-	19/5 4%
Estrela Amadora / V. Guimaraes 4%	-	18/1 10%
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora 10%	-	13/2
Estrela Amadora / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 25 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

V. Guimaraes have played 11 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 11th position in the Liga NOS on 23 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Estrela Amadora have conceded 30 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	V. Guimaraes Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Porto	20	18	1	1	35	55	l 0-1A	l 3-0A	Apr 26	l 3-1A
2	S. Lisbon	20	16	3	1	43	51	l 1-4A	May 3	Apr 12	l 4-0A
3	Benfica	21	14	7	0	32	49	l 0-3A	Mar 22	l 0-1A	l 4-0A
4	Braga	21	11	6	4	26	39	d 1-1A	Feb 21	d 3-3A	May 17
5	Gil Vicente	21	10	7	4	14	37	d 0-00-0	Apr 19	Mar 8	l 2-0A
6	Estoril	21	8	6	7	8	30	w 3-2A	l 4-2F	l 0-5A	d 1-1A
7	Moreirense	21	9	3	9	-2	30	w 1-0F	l 2-0A	d 0-00-0	May 3
8	Famalicao	20	8	5	7	5	29	Mar 15	l 2-0A	May 10	w 2-3A
9	V. Guimaraes	21	8	4	9	-7	28	-	-	l 0-2A	Feb 14
10	Alverca	21	7	3	11	-15	24	Feb 28	l 2-0A	d 2-2A	d 1-1F
11	Estrela Amadora	21	5	8	8	-12	23	Feb 14	w 0-2F	-	-
12	Arouca	21	6	5	10	-20	23	d 1-1F	l 3-2F	w 3-1F	Apr 19
13	Nacional	21	5	6	10	-3	21	w 2-1F	May 17	d 1-1A	Apr 4
14	Rio Ave	21	4	8	9	-19	20	Apr 26	w 0-1F	l 1-2F	Mar 15
15	Casa Pia	21	4	7	10	-17	19	May 10	d 0-00-0	Mar 22	w 3-5A
16	Santa Clara	21	4	5	12	-10	17	w 2-1A	Mar 8	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
17	Tondela	21	3	5	13	-21	14	Apr 4	w 0-1F	Feb 20	d 0-00-0
18	AVS	20	0	5	15	-37	5	w 4-0F	Apr 12	w 3-0F	Feb 28

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Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Moreirense
V. Guimaraes	0 - 1	Porto
V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Nacional
V. Guimaraes	1 - 4	S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes	4 - 0	AVS
V. Guimaraes	0 - 3	Benfica
V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Braga
V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Arouca
V. Guimaraes	3 - 2	Estoril
V. Guimaraes	1 - 2	Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes	3 - 0	Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes	0 - 3	Benfica
V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes	0 - 0	Braga
V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	AVS
V. Guimaraes	2 - 2	Arouca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	V. Guimaraes	2 - 3	Arouca
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Moreirense
A	V. Guimaraes	2 - 4	Estoril
H	V. Guimaraes	0 - 1	Porto
H	V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Nacional
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 0	Casa Pia
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 4	S. Lisbon
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Rio Ave
H	V. Guimaraes	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
H	V. Guimaraes	4 - 0	AVS
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Tondela
H	V. Guimaraes	0 - 3	Benfica
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	Famalicao
H	V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Santa Clara
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	Alverca
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Braga
A	V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Arouca
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	Moreirense
H	V. Guimaraes	3 - 2	Estoril

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alverca	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Benfica	4 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Famalicao	2 - 3	Estrela Amadora
Porto	3 - 1	Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon	4 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia	3 - 5	Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Tondela	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Estoril	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Estoril	4 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Arouca	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Nacional	0 - 1	Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Moreirense	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Boavista	0 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Famalicao	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
AVS	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Estrela Amadora	1 - 0	Santa Clara
A	Estrela Amadora	1 - 1	Alverca
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 4	Benfica
H	Estrela Amadora	0 - 5	Estoril
H	Estrela Amadora	3 - 3	Braga
A	Estrela Amadora	3 - 2	Famalicao
H	Estrela Amadora	0 - 0	Moreirense
A	Estrela Amadora	1 - 3	Porto
H	Estrela Amadora	3 - 1	Arouca
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 4	S. Lisbon
H	Estrela Amadora	1 - 1	Nacional
A	Estrela Amadora	5 - 3	Casa Pia
H	Estrela Amadora	1 - 2	Rio Ave
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 2	Gil Vicente
H	Estrela Amadora	3 - 0	AVS
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 0	Tondela
H	Estrela Amadora	0 - 2	V. Guimaraes
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 0	Santa Clara
H	Estrela Amadora	2 - 2	Alverca
H	Estrela Amadora	0 - 1	Benfica

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

V. Guimaraes have not lost to Estrela Amadora in 5 consecutive league meetings

V. Guimaraes

Estrela Amadora

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 2

0 / 2

Clean sheets

2 / 2

0 / 2

GUI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes		2 - 0
V. Guimaraes		3 - 0

Estrela Amadora

V. Guimaraes

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 3

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

2 / 3

GUI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estrela Amadora
	0 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes

Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Estrela Amadora on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is very strong, L. Correia Pinto's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Estrela Amadora makes sense in this context.

	V. Guimaraes	Estrela Amadora
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-15 Estrela Amadora have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season

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Games scored	13		12
Failed to score	8		9
Scored first	9		5
Goals scored	23		25
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.2
Avg. shots per game	10		8
Avg. shots per goal	9		7
Conversion rate for	11		15
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+4%

18%

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view stats

Games conceded	14		16
Clean sheets	7		5
Conceded first	10		13
Goals conceded	30		37
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	15%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.8
KickOff rating		+18%

V. Guimaraes v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	4	2	6
R Abascal	O. Camara	R Abascal	J Mendes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Abascal DEF	20	1	2	4 -
J Mendes DEF	18			6 -
A Ndoye FWD	18	2		2 -
N Oliveira FWD	18	3		3 1
Maga DEF	17			5 -
M. Mitrovic MID	17	2		2 -
Beni MID	17	1		6 -
T Arcanjo FWD	17	1		1 2
O. Camara FWD	17	4	1	1 -
Samu MID	16	3	2	2 -
J. Castillo Reyes GLK	15			1 -
F Blanco FWD	14			3 1
M Nóbrega DEF	11	1		-
O Rivas DEF	11	1		1 -
D. Lobão Sousa MID	11		1	2 -
G Nogueira MID	11		2	2 -
O Lebedenko DEF	10			1 -
G. da Silva Cunha FWD	10	1	1	1 -
T Strata DEF	9		1	1 -
V. Félix FWD	8			3 -
Charles GLK	6			-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	10	2	4
O. Camara	N Oliveira	R Abascal	T Arcanjo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
O. Camara FWD	4	7	1
N Oliveira FWD	3	10
Samu MID	3	8	2	2
A Ndoye FWD	2	9
M. Mitrovic MID	2	4		1
R Abascal DEF	1	2	2	2
Beni MID	1	1		1
T Arcanjo FWD	1	6		4
M Nóbrega DEF	1	1
O Rivas DEF	1	3		1
G. da Silva Cunha FWD	1	6	1	1
J Mendes DEF		3		3
Maga DEF				2
F Blanco FWD		3		1
D. Lobão Sousa MID		3	1
G Nogueira MID			2	1
O Lebedenko DEF		1
T Strata DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1055	32	95
R Abascal	Beni	Beni

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Abascal DEF	1055	25	67
O Rivas DEF	622	6	34
J Mendes DEF	617	30	63
Beni MID	570	32	95
Maga DEF	509	25	52
M Nóbrega DEF	398	6	31
J. Castillo Reyes GLK	367	1	6
M. Mitrovic MID	363	9	33
Samu MID	331	24	56
G Nogueira MID	277	23	72
T Arcanjo FWD	260	15	61
D. Lobão Sousa MID	248	10	33
O. Camara FWD	222	6	35
T Strata DEF	202	6	28
Charles GLK	183		2
N Oliveira FWD	165	5	46
O Lebedenko DEF	142	11	20
G. da Silva Cunha FWD	129	12	46
A Ndoye FWD	108	5	56
V. Félix FWD	108	11	31
F Blanco FWD	103	5	25
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF	37	5	5

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	6	3	6
R Ribeiro	Kikas	S Cabral	P. Valente Moreira

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Ribeiro GLK	21			3 -
L Patrick DEF	21			2 -
I Stoica FWD	20	2	2	4 -
B Schappo DEF	19			4 -
P. Valente Moreira MID	19	2	1	5 1
A Marcus FWD	18	3	2	1 1
J Encada DEF	17		2	3 -
R Pinho FWD	17	1	1	2 -
Kikas FWD	17	6	1	-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD	16		2	-
S Cabral DEF	15	5	3	3 -
A Chernev DEF	15			4 -
J Cabral FWD	14	4		5 -
G. Serrão Montóia DEF	11			2 -
A. Mussolo Sola MID	11			1 -
O Ngom MID	11		1	4 1
R. Oliveira Botelho MID	11			3 -
L Antonetti FWD	7			-
A Godoy FWD	6		1	1 -
R Sousa DEF	4			-
J. Gastão FWD	3		1	2 -
I Dramé DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	3	8
Kikas	Kikas	S Cabral	A Marcus

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Kikas FWD	6	16	1	1
S Cabral DEF	5	13	3	7
J Cabral FWD	4	12
A Marcus FWD	3	6	2	8
I Stoica FWD	2	6	2	2
P. Valente Moreira MID	2	4	1	1
R Pinho FWD	1	3	1	1
B Schappo DEF		1
J Encada DEF		2	2	3
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD		2	2	1
A Chernev DEF		1
G. Serrão Montóia DEF		1		1
O Ngom MID		1	1	1
R. Oliveira Botelho MID				1
L Antonetti FWD		2
A Godoy FWD		1	1
J. Gastão FWD		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1012	37	125
L Patrick	B Schappo	B Schappo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Patrick DEF	1012	27	59
B Schappo DEF	843	37	125
R Ribeiro GLK	574		9
P. Valente Moreira MID	573	28	83
A Chernev DEF	434	20	48
O Ngom MID	427	28	69
J Encada DEF	392	19	42
A Marcus FWD	388	23	94
J Cabral FWD	364	23	84
S Cabral DEF	332	18	70
I Stoica FWD	236	12	39
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD	223	7	51
G. Serrão Montóia DEF	223	17	32
Kikas FWD	157	3	24
A. Mussolo Sola MID	143	6	22
R. Oliveira Botelho MID	125	6	19
R Pinho FWD	69	4	28
R Sousa DEF	67	2	3
A Godoy FWD	50	4	17
L Antonetti FWD	29	4	15
J. Gastão FWD	11	2	4
I Dramé DEF	5