Arouca's team badge Rio Ave's team badge

Arouca v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Nov, 15:30 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Vasco César Freire De Seabra's Arouca side will have home backing in the Liga NOS on Saturday afternoon, as Vasco César Freire De Seabra's Rio Ave travel to the Estadio Municipal de Arouca. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 major markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Arouca to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this match, and it's Arouca. Their latest form statistics show what they've got in their locker at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Rio Ave too. The odds point towards Vasco César Freire De Seabra's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arouca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
62%
4/7
13%
-
Draw
23%
14/5
6%
-
Rio Ave
15%
4/1
28%
-
Arouca 1-0
15%
11/2
19%
-
Arouca 2-0
13%
13/2
21%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
-
Arouca 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
9%
10/1
8%
-
Arouca 3-0
8%
11/1
20%
-
Rio Ave 1-0
6%
12/1-
Arouca 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
-
Rio Ave 2-1
4%
16/1
31%
-
Arouca 4-0
3%
22/1
32%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
16/1
31%
-
Arouca 4-1
2%
25/1
10%
-
Rio Ave 2-0
2%
25/1
24%
-
Arouca 3-2
2%
25/1
13%
-
Arouca 5-0
1%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
19/20
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
17/20
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
59%
8/15
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
7/4
16%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
19/20
15%
-
BTTS - No
58%
4/5
12%
-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/2
22%
-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
9/1
43%
-
Home/draw
85%
1/6
6%
-
Away/draw
38%
5/4
18%
-
Home/away
77%
1/4
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/7
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
5/2
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
12/5
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
3/10
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
11/2
18%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/9
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
36%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10/1
8%
-
Home DNB
78%
1/4
11%
-
Away DNB
31%
11/4
36%
-
Arouca win to nil
41%
13/8
23%
-
Rio Ave win to nil
9%
8/1
29%
-
Arouca / Arouca
33%
6/4
17%
-
Arouca / Rio Ave
2%
40/1
41%
-
Arouca / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Arouca
19%
7/2
10%
-
Draw / Rio Ave
8%
10/1
29%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
-
Rio Ave / Arouca
4%
22/1
10%
-
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
9%
8/1
38%
-
Rio Ave / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Arouca have outscored their opponents by 13 goals to 9 goals.

Home League Performance

Arouca have played 5 games at home winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 9 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Rio Ave are in 17th position in the Liga NOS on 7 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Rio Ave have conceded 24 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Rio Ave
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1111002233 
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
Jan 24
2
Benfica119112028 
Jan 10
May 16
Dec 20
May 2
3
S. Lisbon117311324 
Feb 28
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-4A
Feb 7
4
Santa Clara11632821 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 21
Feb 14
l
 
4-0A
5
Arouca11623520 
-
-
Apr 11
Nov 28
6
Academico Viseu11623220 
Apr 25
Dec 11
Mar 21
l
 
2-1F
7
Gil Vicente11533218 
May 9
Dec 27
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
8
Braga11524217 
Apr 18
Dec 5
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
9
Moreirense11425-514 
w
 
4-0F
Jan 24
Jan 10
May 16
10
Famalicao11344113 
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-4A
Mar 14
11
Alverca11335-112 
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
Feb 28
l
 
1-0A
12
Estrela Amadora11245-510 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
d
 
3-3A
Feb 21
13
Nacional11317-810 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 21
w
 
3-2A
Mar 7
14
V. Guimaraes11236-19 
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
May 9
Dec 27
15
Maratimo10226-128 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 7
Apr 25
Dec 12
16
Casa Pia11227-148 
Dec 20
May 2
Dec 6
Apr 18
17
Rio Ave11218-157 
Nov 28
Apr 11
-
-
18
Estoril10028-142 
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 31
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
3
Rio Ave have lost 3 consecutive league games
Arouca 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 2Santa Clara
Arouca2 - 1Maratimo
Arouca4 - 0Moreirense
Arouca3 - 1Tondela
Arouca2 - 2Santa Clara
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca3 - 2Estoril
Arouca1 - 2Benfica
Arouca3 - 0Nacional
Arouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
Arouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Arouca0 - 4Braga
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Famalicao
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca0 - 1Famalicao
HArouca1 - 0Nacional
AArouca1 - 0Alverca
HArouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca2 - 2S. Lisbon
HArouca1 - 2Santa Clara
AArouca0 - 0Estoril
HArouca2 - 1Maratimo
AArouca0 - 2Porto
HArouca4 - 0Moreirense
AArouca1 - 0V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 1Tondela
AArouca3 - 1Gil Vicente
HArouca2 - 2Santa Clara
AArouca1 - 2Alverca
HArouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca0 - 1Braga
HArouca3 - 2Estoril
AArouca1 - 0Moreirense
HArouca1 - 2Benfica
Rio Ave 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Academico Viseu2 - 1Rio Ave
Alverca1 - 0Rio Ave
Santa Clara4 - 0Rio Ave
Estoril0 - 2Rio Ave
Gil Vicente1 - 0Rio Ave
Casa Pia1 - 1Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Rio Ave
Santa Clara0 - 2Rio Ave
Estoril1 - 2Rio Ave
Tondela0 - 1Rio Ave
Porto1 - 0Rio Ave
Braga3 - 0Rio Ave
Nacional4 - 0Rio Ave
S. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
Gil Vicente2 - 2Rio Ave
AVS1 - 2Rio Ave
Alverca1 - 1Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
Famalicao0 - 0Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRio Ave0 - 1Braga
ARio Ave1 - 2Academico Viseu
HRio Ave0 - 4Famalicao
HRio Ave3 - 2Nacional
ARio Ave0 - 1Alverca
HRio Ave3 - 3Estrela Amadora
ARio Ave0 - 4Santa Clara
HRio Ave0 - 4S. Lisbon
ARio Ave2 - 0Estoril
HRio Ave0 - 2Porto
ARio Ave0 - 1Gil Vicente
ARio Ave1 - 1Casa Pia
HRio Ave1 - 4S. Lisbon
HRio Ave0 - 0Gil Vicente
ARio Ave0 - 2V. Guimaraes
HRio Ave2 - 2AVS
ARio Ave2 - 0Santa Clara
HRio Ave1 - 2Alverca
ARio Ave2 - 1Estoril
HRio Ave2 - 1Estrela Amadora
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
9
9
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
ARO
1
D
4
RIO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 0
0 - 2Rio Ave
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Rio Ave since 2015
Rio Ave
Arouca
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
ARO
2
D
1
RIO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rio Ave
0 - 3Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Rio Ave1 - 0
0 - 2Arouca
Rio Ave3 - 0
Rio Ave3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Arouca's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Rio Ave have conceded in each of their last 8 Liga NOS games. A PG of 1.7 for V. Freire De Seabra's side suggests that run should continue.

Arouca 5th Rio Ave 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
There is a 82% probability that Arouca will score 1 or more goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of Rio Ave scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Arouca have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
-20
Rio Ave have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2026/2027 season
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
1.7
0.7
Attack rating
%
better
ARO
RIO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
ARO
RIO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Arouca v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11564
I ArruabarrenaBarberoN Djouahra J Fontán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Arruabarrena GLK11
1
-
J Fontán DEF112
4
-
O Lebedenko DEF11
2
-
T Esgaio DEF111
-
T Fukui MID111
-
E. van Ee MID111
3
-
A Trezza FWD111
-
Barbero FWD115
2
-
N Djouahra  FWD116
1
-
J Sánchez DEF101
4
-
M. Flores Lozano MID10
-
D Nandin FWD102
2
-
B Mansilla FWD10
2
-
P Santos MID91
3
-
P Gozálbez MID91
2
-
H. Lee MID71
1
-
G Rukavina FWD4
1
1
B Popovic DEF2
-
F Mayulu FWD2
-
D Monteiro DEF1
1
1
M. Climent Plá DEF1
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11333
J. Miller BlesaJ. Miller BlesaD. Bezerra de OliveiraF. Petrasso
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vrousai  DEF11
-
J. Miller Blesa FWD1131
2
-
D. Bezerra de Oliveira FWD1113
1
-
T. Folgado Monteiro FWD111
1
-
F. Petrasso DEF101
3
-
A Ndoj DEF9
1
2
G Liavas MID9
2
-
R. Galčík FWD91
1
-
E Gouw GLK8
-
G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição DEF8
-
M. Almeida Patrício MID81
1
-
J Tomé DEF71
1
1
M Sellouki MID7
-
D. Santos Nascimento MID7
1
-
T. Nikitscher MID7
2
-
S. Clemmensen FWD711
-
D Spikic FWD6
-
N Abby DEF4
1
-
V Mendonça GLK3
-
Z Carlos DEF3
1
-
S. Garcia DEF3
1
-
P Amaral DEF3
-
R. da Silva Pae MID3
-
J DEF2
-
J Brabec DEF2
1
-
C. Valença DEF2
-
A. Wenck MID1
-
B Aguilera MID1
-