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Sporting Braga v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Sunday evening sees Carlos Vicens’s Sporting Braga and Vasco César Freire De Seabra’s Arouca go up against one another in a Liga NOS clash at the Estádio Municipal de Braga. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.

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Sporting Braga's next match is v Famalicao at 20:30 on Sunday 19th April
Arouca's next match is v Estrela Amadora at 15:30 on Sunday 19th April
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Braga and Arouca was on Sunday 12th April 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
April 12th 2026
Braga 1
0 Arouca
 
Pau Victor 66'
 
BRG
ARO
Shots On
2
1
Shots Off
1
5
Corners
6
5
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
9
12
Yellow/red cards
1/1
2/0
 
BragaArouca
 
L. Horníček
V. Gómez Perea
L. Cruz Lelo (G. Martínez Aguilera 63')
V. Carvalho Vieira (P. Rodrigues de Oliveira 46')
J. Iria Santos Moutinho (G. Baptiste 76')
G. Moscardo de Salles
M. Dorgeles
B. Arrey-Mbi
D. Tıknaz
R. Horta (Pau Victor 63')
F. Navarro Aliaga (Y. da Rocha 89')
J. Vinarčík
J. Fontán Mondragón
J. Sánchez de Felipe
(A. Dante 65') B. Kuipers
(A. Trezza Hernández 65') P. Gozalbez Gilabert
(M. Flores Lozano 85') H. Lee
(P. Carvalho Santos 85') T. Fukui
E. van Ee
N. Djouahra
(F. Mayulu 90') T. Sousa Esgaio
I. Martínez Gonzálvez

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 81% chance of Braga and Arouca delivering at least 2 goals in this Liga NOS match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it would appear that the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Braga are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Braga
60%
21/501/200
Draw
21%
16/520/1
Arouca
19%
6/1750/1
Braga 2-1
10%
15/233/1
Draw 1-1
10%
7/15/1
Braga 2-0
9%
6/115/2
Braga 1-0
9%
6/11/4
Braga 3-1
7%
11/1125/1
Braga 3-0
6%
9/150/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1100/1
Arouca 2-1
5%
20/133/1
Arouca 1-0
5%
18/115/2
Draw 0-0
5%
11/17/5
Braga 3-2
4%
25/1150/1
Braga 4-1
3%
20/1200/1
Braga 4-0
3%
18/1100/1
Arouca 2-0
3%
33/133/1
Arouca 3-2
2%
50/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
8/1125/1
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
43/401/300
Home 1st Goal
55%
2/519/20
Away 1st Goal
42%
2/19/2
No 1st Goal
3%
11/17/5
BTTS - Yes
57%
10/1111/2
BTTS - No
43%
10/111/11
BTTS - Home Win
30%
9/428/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/25/1
BTTS - Away Win
10%
12/133/1
Home/draw
81%
1/101/1000
Away/draw
40%
13/86/1
Home/away
79%
2/91/14
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/918/5
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
3/11/6
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
7/490/1
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
2/51/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
9/2150/1
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/71/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/201/50
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/2
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/17/5
Home DNB
75%
1/71/1000
Away DNB
34%
9/228/1
Braga win to nil
30%
6/4-
Arouca win to nil
9%
12/1-
Braga / Braga
37%
6/59/1
Braga / Arouca
2%
40/155/1
Braga / Draw
5%
14/133/1
Draw / Braga
19%
10/321/20
Draw / Arouca
7%
12/15/1
Draw / Draw
12%
11/215/8
Arouca / Braga
4%
20/140/1
Arouca / Arouca
8%
10/122/1
Arouca / Draw
5%
16/133/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Braga have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Braga have outscored their opponents by 54 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Braga have played 13 games at home winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Arouca are in 12th position in the Liga NOS on 32 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 30 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Arouca have conceded 44 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Braga
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2924414576 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-1A
2
S. Lisbon2822515671 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
6-0A
3
Benfica2920904369 
d
 
2-2A
May 10
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-0A
4
Braga2815762852 
-
-
l
 
0-4A
l
 
1-0A
5
Famalicao2913881147 
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
6
Gil Vicente29121071446 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
May 10
7
Estoril2910712137 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-3F
8
V. Guimaraes2910613-836 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
9
Moreirense2910613-936 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
10
Alverca299812-1535 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
11
Rio Ave298912-1733 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-3F
12
Arouca299515-2132 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
-
-
13
Santa Clara297715-1128 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
14
Estrela Amadora2961013-1528 
May 17
d
 
3-3F
Apr 19
l
 
3-1A
15
Nacional296716-1025 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
16
Casa Pia2851013-2425 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 23
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2F
17
Tondela284915-2521 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 17
l
 
3-1F
18
AVS291919-4312 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Braga 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Arouca 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Braga have beaten Arouca in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Braga since 2015
Braga
Arouca
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
BRG
4
D
1
ARO
1
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
Braga
Goals: Scored
2
20
Games: Scored
2 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
5 / 7
BRG
5
D
2
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Sporting Braga in their clash with Arouca, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 39 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

Braga 4th Arouca 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Braga will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Braga have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
+4
Arouca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Braga
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
2
1.1
Attack rating
28%
better
BRG
ARO
view stats
Games scored24
20
Failed to score3
8
Scored first19
13
Goals scored54
37
Avg. goals scored2
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
16
Avg. XG for1.9
1
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
35%
better
BRG
ARO
view stats
Games conceded17
22
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first8
14
Goals conceded27
57
Avg. goals conceded1
2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
20%
Avg. XG against1
1.7
KickOff rating
+35%

Braga v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281345
L HornicekR HortaL LeloR Horta
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK28
1
-
V Gómez DEF2813
1
-
V Carvalho DEF112
4
-
B Arrey-Mbi DEF23
3
-
L Lelo DEF234
1
-
D Tıknaz MID5
-
G Salles MID17
3
-
J Moutinho MID2611
3
-
M Dorgeles FWD161
-
F Navarro FWD2351
2
-
R Horta FWD25134
4
1
Subs
T Sá GLK
-
P Oliveira DEF13
2
-
J. Zamith Oliveira Noro DEF
-
Gorby MID23
4
-
Y. da Rocha MID3
-
G Martínez FWD253
3
1
A Ouazzani FWD102
-
P Victor FWD2774
4
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28839
N Djouahra A TrezzaT EsgaioT Esgaio
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Vinarčík GLK1
-
T Esgaio DEF2413
9
-
J Sánchez DEF11
4
-
J Fontán DEF2623
6
3
B Kuipers DEF121
2
-
T Fukui MID2822
2
1
E. van Ee MID2111
5
-
P Gozálbez MID2311
4
-
H. Lee MID2653
5
1
N Djouahra  MID2963
2
-
Barbero FWD2672
5
-
Subs
J. Silva DEF3
-
M Rocha DEF8
2
2
B Popovic DEF171
3
-
A Dante DEF16
-
M. Flores Lozano MID7
1
-
P Santos MID13
2
-
F Mayulu FWD2
-
A Trezza FWD2783
1
1
B Mansilla FWD181
1
-