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Casa Pia v Sporting Braga : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Apr, 20:15 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

We’ve Liga NOS action to look forward to on Thursday night, as João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira and his Casa Pia side host Carlos Vicens’s Sporting Braga at the Estádio Pina Manique. All of the key statistics for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this in-depth preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Casa Pia and Braga will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira or Carlos Vicens has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.25 equating to roughly a 80% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Casa Pia 23%	-	5/1
Draw 23%	-	16/5
Braga 54%	-	11/20
Draw 1-1 11%	-	6/1
Braga 2-1 10%	-	13/2
Braga 1-0 9%	-	11/2
Braga 2-0 9%	-	11/2
Braga 3-1 6%	-	10/1
Casa Pia 2-1 6%	-	14/1
Casa Pia 1-0 6%	-	11/1
Draw 2-2 6%	-	14/1
Braga 3-0 5%	-	17/2
Draw 0-0 5%	-	9/1
Braga 3-2 3%	-	20/1
Casa Pia 2-0 3%	-	20/1
Braga 4-1 3%	-	18/1
Braga 4-0 3%	-	14/1
Casa Pia 3-1 2%	-	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	-	4/5
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	-	10/11
Home 1st Goal 44%	-	11/5
Away 1st Goal 54%	-	4/9
No 1st Goal 3%	-	17/2
BTTS - Yes 58%	-	19/20
BTTS - No 42%	-	4/5
BTTS - Home Win 13%	-	9/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	17/4
BTTS - Away Win 27%	-	12/5
Home/draw 46%	-	7/5
Away/draw 77%	-	1/8
Home/away 77%	-	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	-	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	-	13/5
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	-	2/1
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	-	7/20
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	-	9/2
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	-	1/8
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	-	10/1
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	-	1/33
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	-	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	-	9/1
Home DNB 39%	-	10/3
Away DNB 70%	-	2/11
Casa Pia win to nil 10%	-	-
Braga win to nil 27%	-	-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia 9%	-	15/2
Casa Pia / Braga 4%	-	18/1
Casa Pia / Draw 5%	-	14/1
Draw / Casa Pia 7%	-	10/1
Draw / Braga 18%	-	10/3
Draw / Draw 14%	-	9/2
Braga / Casa Pia 2%	-	33/1
Braga / Braga 34%	-	5/4
Braga / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 10 and won 3. Casa Pia have conceded 48 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Casa Pia have played 14 games at home, winning 2, drawing 8 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Braga lay in 4th place on 53 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 50 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Braga have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Braga have played 14 away games, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Casa Pia Braga
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Porto	30	25	4	1	47	79	w 2-1F	l 4-0A	l 1-2F	l 2-1A
2	Benfica	30	21	9	0	44	72	d 1-1A	d 2-2A	d 2-2A	May 10
3	S. Lisbon	29	22	5	2	55	71	l 0-2A	l 3-0A	d 2-2A	d 1-1A
4	Braga	29	15	8	6	28	53	Apr 23	l 4-0A	-	-
5	Famalicao	30	13	9	8	11	48	d 1-1A	l 2-0A	d 2-2F	w 1-2F
6	Gil Vicente	30	12	10	8	13	46	d 1-1A	Apr 26	l 0-1A	l 2-1F
7	V. Guimaraes	30	11	6	13	-7	39	d 0-00-0	May 10	w 3-2F	d 1-1F
8	Estoril	29	10	7	12	1	37	d 2-2A	d 0-00-0	May 3	l 1-0A
9	Moreirense	29	10	6	13	-9	36	d 1-1F	l 2-1F	w 2-1F	w 0-1F
10	Alverca	30	9	8	13	-16	35	l 0-2A	l 3-1F	w 5-0F	w 0-3F
11	Arouca	30	10	5	15	-20	35	w 3-2A	w 0-2F	w 1-0F	w 0-4F
12	Rio Ave	30	8	10	12	-17	34	May 17	l 3-1A	w 3-0F	d 2-2A
13	Santa Clara	30	7	8	15	-11	29	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	Apr 26
14	Nacional	30	7	7	16	-9	28	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0	l 0-1A	w 1-2F
15	Estrela Amadora	30	6	10	14	-16	28	l 3-5F	l 4-0A	May 17	d 3-3F
16	Casa Pia	29	5	11	13	-24	26	-	-	w 4-0F	Apr 23
17	Tondela	29	4	9	16	-27	21	May 3	w 1-2A	w 3-0F	w 0-1F
18	AVS	30	1	10	19	-43	13	d 3-3F	w 0-2F	d 2-2F	w 0-4F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Casa Pia have drawn 3 consecutive home league games

Casa Pia have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia	0 - 0	Santa Clara
Casa Pia	1 - 1	Benfica
Casa Pia	1 - 1	Moreirense
Casa Pia	3 - 2	Arouca
Casa Pia	2 - 1	Porto
Casa Pia	3 - 3	AVS
Casa Pia	0 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia	1 - 1	Gil Vicente
Casa Pia	0 - 2	Alverca
Casa Pia	3 - 5	Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia	2 - 2	Estoril
Casa Pia	1 - 1	Famalicao
Casa Pia	0 - 2	Nacional
Casa Pia	0 - 2	S. Lisbon
Casa Pia	2 - 1	Braga
Casa Pia	1 - 3	Estoril
Casa Pia	0 - 1	Porto
Casa Pia	2 - 1	Rio Ave
Casa Pia	1 - 3	S. Lisbon
Casa Pia	1 - 0	Gil Vicente

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Casa Pia	0 - 0	Santa Clara
A	Casa Pia	1 - 3	Alverca
H	Casa Pia	1 - 1	Benfica
A	Casa Pia	0 - 4	Estrela Amadora
A	Casa Pia	0 - 0	Estoril
H	Casa Pia	1 - 1	Moreirense
A	Casa Pia	0 - 2	Famalicao
H	Casa Pia	3 - 2	Arouca
A	Casa Pia	0 - 0	Nacional
H	Casa Pia	2 - 1	Porto
H	Casa Pia	3 - 3	AVS
A	Casa Pia	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
A	Casa Pia	1 - 3	Rio Ave
H	Casa Pia	0 - 0	V. Guimaraes
A	Casa Pia	2 - 1	Tondela
H	Casa Pia	1 - 1	Gil Vicente
A	Casa Pia	0 - 1	Santa Clara
H	Casa Pia	0 - 2	Alverca
A	Casa Pia	2 - 2	Benfica
H	Casa Pia	3 - 5	Estrela Amadora

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense	0 - 1	Braga
Nacional	1 - 2	Braga
Gil Vicente	2 - 1	Braga
AVS	0 - 4	Braga
Tondela	0 - 1	Braga
Estrela Amadora	3 - 3	Braga
Estoril	1 - 0	Braga
Famalicao	1 - 2	Braga
Arouca	0 - 4	Braga
Porto	2 - 1	Braga
S. Lisbon	1 - 1	Braga
V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Braga
Rio Ave	2 - 2	Braga
Alverca	0 - 3	Braga
Casa Pia	2 - 1	Braga
Famalicao	1 - 1	Braga
Estoril	0 - 2	Braga
S. Lisbon	1 - 1	Braga
Sporting Farense	0 - 1	Braga
Rio Ave	2 - 1	Braga

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Braga	2 - 2	Famalicao
H	Braga	1 - 0	Arouca
A	Braga	1 - 0	Moreirense
H	Braga	1 - 2	Porto
H	Braga	2 - 2	S. Lisbon
A	Braga	2 - 1	Nacional
H	Braga	3 - 2	V. Guimaraes
A	Braga	1 - 2	Gil Vicente
H	Braga	3 - 0	Rio Ave
A	Braga	4 - 0	AVS
H	Braga	5 - 0	Alverca
A	Braga	1 - 0	Tondela
A	Braga	3 - 3	Estrela Amadora
H	Braga	2 - 2	Benfica
A	Braga	0 - 1	Estoril
H	Braga	1 - 0	Santa Clara
A	Braga	2 - 1	Famalicao
A	Braga	4 - 0	Arouca
H	Braga	2 - 1	Moreirense
A	Braga	1 - 2	Porto

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Casa Pia

Braga

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

1 / 3

BRG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
Casa Pia	2 - 1
	1 - 3	Braga
	0 - 1	Braga

Braga

Casa Pia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

BRG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
Braga	4 - 0
	1 - 2	Casa Pia
Braga	4 - 3
	0 - 1	Casa Pia

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Casa Pia of late. It has been 7 Liga NOS games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Thursday night against Sporting Braga.

Sporting Braga have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 13 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.9 against Casa Pia on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Casa Pia 16th	Braga 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Braga will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Casa Pia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+9 Braga’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season

BRG

43%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		25
Failed to score	13		3
Scored first	8		20
Goals scored	28		55
Avg. goals scored	1		1.9
Avg. shots per game	7		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		5
Conversion rate for	15		21
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.9
KickOff rating		+43%

BRG

34%

better

view stats

Games conceded	23		17
Clean sheets	6		11
Conceded first	17		8
Goals conceded	52		27
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	18%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1
KickOff rating		+34%

Casa Pia v Braga Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	5	8	12
J Livolant	Cassiano	J Livolant	D Sousa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Livolant FWD	29	3	8	2 -
G Larrazabal DEF	28	3	4	6 -
Cassiano FWD	28	5		5 -
P Sequeira GLK	24			3 1
A Geraldes DEF	23			5 -
S Pérez MID	23			5 -
D Sousa DEF	21	2		12 -
R Brito MID	21	2	1	3 -
J Goulart DEF	20	1		3 -
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD	19			2 -
A Conté DEF	18		2	1 -
I Mohamed MID	18	1		4 -
R. Nhaga MID	18	2		4 -
T Morais FWD	18			1 -
J Fonte DEF	17	1		3 -
O Osundina FWD	15	2		1 -
M Sousa MID	12		2	3 -
D. Bandeira DEF	10			5 -
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF	10			2 -
Claudio FWD	10	1		1 1
K Nsona FWD	10	1	1	-
K. Prieto Machado MID	8			-
Y Oukili MID	8			2 -
K Rocha DEF	6	1		-
M Svensson FWD	6			1 -
D Tchamba DEF	5	1		2 -
X Severina FWD	5			1 -
R Batista GLK	4			-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	15	8	7
Cassiano	J Livolant	J Livolant	J Livolant

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Cassiano FWD	5	10		1
J Livolant FWD	3	15	8	7
G Larrazabal DEF	3	15	4	5
D Sousa DEF	2	4
R Brito MID	2	4	1	3
R. Nhaga MID	2	3		1
O Osundina FWD	2	2		3
J Goulart DEF	1	2
I Mohamed MID	1	1		1
J Fonte DEF	1	3		2
Claudio FWD	1	3
K Nsona FWD	1	2	1	1
K Rocha DEF	1	1
D Tchamba DEF	1	1
A Geraldes DEF		1
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD		5		1
A Conté DEF			2	6
T Morais FWD		4		2
M Sousa MID			2	3
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF				2
Y Oukili MID		1
M Svensson FWD		3		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
738	49	180
D Sousa	G Larrazabal	J Livolant

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Sousa DEF	738	33	106
G Larrazabal DEF	710	49	103
J Livolant FWD	671	31	180
J Fonte DEF	644	11	67
P Sequeira GLK	636	1	16
S Pérez MID	598	33	70
A Geraldes DEF	566	22	48
J Goulart DEF	441	18	72
R. Nhaga MID	406	32	97
A Conté DEF	405	22	50
R Brito MID	389	21	60
I Mohamed MID	264	22	43
Cassiano FWD	243	20	130
D Tchamba DEF	241	5	22
K Rocha DEF	233	5	20
D. Bandeira DEF	175	13	49
T Morais FWD	165	10	29
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF	152	20	39
R Batista GLK	119		2
M Sousa MID	114	10	31
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD	107	5	46
Y Oukili MID	104	10	28
O Osundina FWD	92	11	31
K Nsona FWD	92	8	27
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK	92		1
K. Prieto Machado MID	56	9	18
M Svensson FWD	45	1	7
Claudio FWD	37	1	15
X Severina FWD	23	3	5

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	15	4	7
L Hornicek	R Zalazar	P Victor	G Lagerbielke

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Hornicek GLK	29			1 -
V Gómez DEF	29	1	3	1 -
P Victor FWD	28	7	4	4 -
J Moutinho MID	27	1	1	4 -
R Horta FWD	26	14	4	4 1
G Martínez FWD	25		3	3 1
L Lelo DEF	24		4	1 -
G Lagerbielke DEF	24	2		6 1
R Zalazar MID	24	15	4	6 -
Gorby MID	24			4 -
F Navarro FWD	24	6	1	2 -
B Arrey-Mbi DEF	23			3 -
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID	20	1	2	2 -
F Grillitsch MID	19	1	1	3 -
G Salles MID	18			3 -
M Dorgeles MID	17	1		-
P Oliveira DEF	13			2 -
V Carvalho MID	12	2	1	4 -
S Niakaté DEF	11			2 -
A Ouazzani FWD	11	2		-
S. Rodrigues Vidigal FWD	4			1 -
Y. da Rocha MID	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	31	4	8
R Zalazar	R Horta	P Victor	L Lelo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Zalazar MID	15	27	4	8
R Horta FWD	14	31	4	6
P Victor FWD	7	19	4	5
F Navarro FWD	6	12	1	1
G Lagerbielke DEF	2	4
V Carvalho MID	2	3	1	2
A Ouazzani FWD	2	5
V Gómez DEF	1	9	3	6
J Moutinho MID	1	8	1	4
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID	1	3	2	2
F Grillitsch MID	1	2	1	1
M Dorgeles MID	1	1		2
G Martínez FWD		9	3	2
L Lelo DEF		1	4	8
Gorby MID		3		1
G Salles MID		1		1
P Oliveira DEF		1
S Niakaté DEF		1		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1849	41	145
J Moutinho	J Moutinho	R Zalazar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Moutinho MID	1849	41	83
G Lagerbielke DEF	1806	23	133
V Gómez DEF	1379	38	90
B Arrey-Mbi DEF	1198	34	64
Gorby MID	1162	23	50
L Hornicek GLK	1022		13
R Horta FWD	1006	29	56
F Grillitsch MID	960	20	72
R Zalazar MID	918	19	145
L Lelo DEF	866	21	66
P Victor FWD	732	22	94
S Niakaté DEF	731	10	56
V Carvalho MID	730	7	43
M Dorgeles MID	522	8	30
P Oliveira DEF	507	6	18
G Martínez FWD	504	28	82
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID	490	19	42
G Salles MID	376	18	45
F Navarro FWD	164	8	36
A Ouazzani FWD	95	2	23
S. Rodrigues Vidigal FWD	14	1	9
Y. da Rocha MID	10