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FC Porto v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Piero Braglia is aiming for a vital away win in the Liga NOS on Friday night, as he takes his Sporting Lisbon side to the Estádio do Dragão to visit FC Porto and Martin Svedik. Below you'll find unique stats for the biggest betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

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FC Porto's next match is v Roma at 17:45 on Thursday 20th February
Sporting Lisbon's next match is v Dortmund at 17:45 on Wednesday 19th February
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Porto and S. Lisbon was on Friday 7th February 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
February 7th 2025
Porto 1
1 S. Lisbon
 
D. Loader 90'42' I. Fresneda Corraliza
 
PTO
SCL
Shots On
2
3
Shots Off
6
6
Corners
6
3
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
16
14
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/2
 
PortoS. Lisbon
 
D. Meireles Costa
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
F. Moura (G. Albuquerque Borges 69')
N. Pérez (F. Ferreira Vieira 62')
J. Neto Lopes (W. Gomes Carvalho Santos 78')
T. Embalo Djaló
S. Antunes Eustáquio
R. Mora Carvalho
A. Varela (D. Loader 78')
E. Aquino Cossa
S. Omorodion Aghehowa
R. Dantas da Silva
football iconI. Fresneda Corraliza
O. Diomande
G. Inácio
(M. Reis de Lima 86') M. Araújo Vilches
M. Hjulmand
(Z. Debast 23') J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões
(H. Morita 69') D. Santos Bragança
(V. Gyökeres 69') C. Harder
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
G. Quenda

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of strong, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective bosses Martin Svedik or Piero Braglia deliver a defensive plan that will shut out the opposition? Latest form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
38%
9/5
5%
7/4
12%
Draw
24%
21/10
6%
21/10
S. Lisbon
38%
8/517/10
13%
Draw 1-1
11%
5/1
8%
19/4
S. Lisbon 2-1
8%
9/18/1
5%
Porto 2-1
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
12%
Porto 1-0
7%
7/1
16%
13/2
12%
S. Lisbon 1-0
7%
7/1
21%
6/1
26%
Draw 2-2
7%
14/1
15%
12/1
30%
S. Lisbon 2-0
5%
11/1
8%
10/1
15%
Porto 2-0
5%
12/110/1
Porto 3-1
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
27%
S. Lisbon 3-1
4%
20/1
10%
16/1
Draw 0-0
4%
15/2
27%
6/1
18%
Porto 3-2
4%
33/1
17%
25/1
37%
S. Lisbon 3-2
4%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
S. Lisbon 3-0
3%
25/120/1
9%
Porto 3-0
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
23/20
16%
23/20
19%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
4/6
14%
13/20
14%
Home 1st Goal
49%
6/5
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
10/11
2%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
15/2
27%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
10/11
12%
17/20
14%
BTTS - No
37%
10/11
7%
17/20
16%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
5/1
20%
9/2
31%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
10/3
11%
BTTS - Away Win
22%
9/2
20%
17/4
5%
Home/draw
62%
1/210/21
9%
Away/draw
62%
2/5
3%
4/9
6%
Home/away
76%
4/11
2%
7/20
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
4/11
9%
4/11
9%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
2/1
20%
15/8
18%
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
11/4
23%
11/4
30%
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1/4
8%
1/4
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
8/1
50%
13/2
43%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/14
4%
1/14
5%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
18/1
46%
14/1
50%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/50
2%
1/100
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/14
2%
1/12
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15/2
18%
6/1
18%
Home DNB
55%
10/1110/11
14%
Away DNB
55%
4/55/6
13%
Porto win to nil
16%
7/2
4%
-
S. Lisbon win to nil
16%
10/3
4%
-
Porto / Porto
18%
7/2
4%
17/5
13%
Porto / S. Lisbon
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
Porto / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Draw / Porto
14%
5/119/4
5%
Draw / S. Lisbon
14%
5/119/4
12%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
14%
16/5
3%
S. Lisbon / Porto
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
19%
10/316/5
13%
S. Lisbon / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Porto have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 2 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games. Porto are unbeaten at home after 10 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won zero. Porto have conceded 6 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Porto have played 10 games at home, winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 3 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

S. Lisbon lay in 1st place on 50 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 56 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 10 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 3.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon Away2216424152 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
-
-
2
Benfica2216243250 
Apr 6
l
 
4-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 11
3
Porto Home2214442846 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
4
Braga2213541844 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
Apr 6
w
 
2-4A
5
Santa Clara221228238 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
6
Casa Pia22967133 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 13
w
 
2-0F
Mar 9
7
V. Guimaraes227105531 
Feb 24
w
 
0-3F
May 17
d
 
4-4F
8
Estoril22877-631 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 30
Mar 2
w
 
0-3F
9
Famalicao226106028 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
Mar 16
w
 
0-3F
10
Moreirense227510-526 
May 4
w
 
0-3F
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
11
Rio Ave22688-1226 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
12
Arouca226610-1324 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 2
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
13
Nacional226511-923 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-6F
14
Gil Vicente225710-1122 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
15
Estrela Amadora225512-1520 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
w
 
5-1F
Mar 30
16
AVS223109-1519 
Mar 16
w
 
0-5F
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
17
Sporting Farense223613-1815 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-5F
18
Boavista222614-2312 
w
 
4-0F
May 11
w
 
3-2F
Apr 27
Win / draw / win form
Porto 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
S. Lisbon 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
58
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Porto have not lost to S. Lisbon in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
16
10
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
PTO
5
D
3
SCL
1
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Porto
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
8 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
2 / 10
PTO
2
D
4
SCL
4
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday night, not least because Sporting Lisbon have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga NOS games. A PG of 1.6 for Martin Svedik's side suggests that run should continue.

Porto 3rd S. Lisbon 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that S. Lisbon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
Porto have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
+27
S. Lisbon have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
2.9
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285239/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
1.6
1.6
Attack rating
%
better
PTO
SCL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
PTO
SCL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Porto v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221356
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaF MouraA Varela
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK22
-
T Djaló DEF7
1
-
N Pérez DEF1711
5
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF10
1
-
J Mário MID163
5
-
A Varela MID202
6
-
S Eustaquio MID19
6
-
F Moura MID1515
-
Pepê FWD2132
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD18133
3
1
R. Mora Carvalho FWD1333
3
-
Subs
C Ramos GLK
-
Zaidu  DEF1
-
F Vieira MID1513
4
-
V Sousa MID12
1
-
T Pérez MID
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD1
-
D Namaso FWD193
2
-
D Gül FWD81
-
G Borges FWD1821
4
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
222295
F TrincãoV GyökeresF TrincãoM Vilches
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Silva GLK5
1
-
I Fresneda DEF102
2
-
O Diomande DEF201
1
1
G Inácio DEF1712
3
-
M Vilches DEF1811
5
-
M Hjulmand MID2021
4
1
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID91
-
F Trincão MID2289
-
D Bragança  MID1834
3
-
G. Quenda MID2213
2
-
C Harder FWD1754
-
Subs
F Israel GLK11
1
-
M Reis DEF182
4
1
J Juste DEF8
1
-
Z Debast DEF191
1
-
R Esgaio DEF3
-
E Quaresma DEF10
-
H Morita MID1723
1
-
V Gyökeres FWD21224
2
-
Biel  FWD1
-