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FC Porto v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 29th Nov, 20:30 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca is aiming for a crucial away win in the Liga NOS on Sunday night, as he takes his Sporting Lisbon side to the Estádio do Dragão to visit FC Porto and Francesco Farioli. In this preview you'll find odds for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head-to-head data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 80% chance of Porto and S. Lisbon serving up a minimum of a couple of goals in this Liga NOS tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
46%
10/11-
Draw
24%
12/5
3%
-
S. Lisbon
30%
27/10
3%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
7%
-
Porto 2-1
9%
15/2-
Porto 1-0
8%
13/2
6%
-
S. Lisbon 2-1
7%
12/1-
Porto 2-0
7%
17/2
5%
-
S. Lisbon 1-0
7%
10/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
-
Porto 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
10/1
8%
-
S. Lisbon 2-0
4%
18/1-
Porto 3-0
4%
16/1-
Porto 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
S. Lisbon 3-1
3%
28/1-
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
33/1-
Porto 4-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
9/10
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
9/10
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/8
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - No
41%
1/1
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6/1
8%
-
Home/draw
70%
2/7-
Away/draw
54%
4/5-
Home/away
76%
3/10
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
5/2
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
9/4
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1/3
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
11/2
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/9
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
8%
-
Home DNB
63%
4/9-
Away DNB
47%
13/8-
Porto win to nil
22%
5/2-
S. Lisbon win to nil
14%
11/2-
Porto / Porto
26%
11/5
3%
-
Porto / S. Lisbon
2%
33/1
17%
-
Porto / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Porto
17%
4/1-
Draw / S. Lisbon
10%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
S. Lisbon / Porto
4%
22/1-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
14%
5/1-
S. Lisbon / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto have won all their 11 games against teams below them in the table and kept 6 clean sheets in those games. Porto have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 3 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 0 and lost no matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Porto have outscored their opponents by 27 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 5 games at home winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

 
Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1111002233 
-
-
Apr 11
Nov 29
2
Benfica119112028 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
May 9
Dec 27
3
S. Lisbon117311324 
Nov 29
Apr 11
-
-
4
Santa Clara11632821 
Apr 18
Dec 5
Jan 10
May 16
5
Arouca11623520 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
d
 
2-2F
Feb 28
6
Academico Viseu11623220 
Feb 7
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-2A
Mar 14
7
Gil Vicente11533218 
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
Apr 25
Dec 12
8
Braga11524217 
May 16
Jan 10
Mar 7
w
 
1-3A
9
Moreirense11425-514 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 14
w
 
1-0F
Apr 4
10
Famalicao11344113 
May 2
Dec 20
Feb 21
d
 
1-1F
11
Alverca11335-112 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 17
w
 
3-1F
Jan 31
12
Estrela Amadora11245-510 
Dec 13
Apr 25
Jan 17
d
 
2-2F
13
Nacional11317-810 
Dec 27
May 9
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
14
V. Guimaraes11236-19 
Apr 4
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-2F
Jan 24
15
Maratimo10226-128 
Mar 7
w
 
1-2A
Dec 4
Apr 18
16
Casa Pia11227-148 
Feb 21
w
 
1-4A
Mar 21
w
 
0-2F
17
Rio Ave11218-157 
Jan 24
w
 
0-2F
Feb 7
w
 
0-4F
18
Estoril10028-142 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 21
Dec 20
May 2
Win / draw / win form
12
Porto have won 12 consecutive league games
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
12
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Porto3 - 1Benfica
Porto2 - 1Moreirense
Porto2 - 0Arouca
Porto2 - 0Alverca
Porto1 - 0Santa Clara
Porto1 - 0Alverca
Porto2 - 0Tondela
Porto2 - 2Famalicao
Porto3 - 0Moreirense
Porto3 - 1Arouca
Porto1 - 0Rio Ave
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
Porto1 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto0 - 0Benfica
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
18
D
1
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto2 - 1V. Guimaraes
HPorto4 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto2 - 1Maratimo
HPorto3 - 1Benfica
APorto4 - 1Casa Pia
HPorto2 - 1Moreirense
APorto3 - 0Academico Viseu
HPorto2 - 0Arouca
APorto2 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto2 - 0Alverca
HPorto1 - 0Santa Clara
APorto1 - 3AVS
HPorto1 - 0Alverca
APorto2 - 1Estrela Amadora
HPorto2 - 0Tondela
APorto3 - 1Estoril
HPorto2 - 2Famalicao
APorto2 - 1Braga
HPorto3 - 0Moreirense
S. Lisbon 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
Braga1 - 3S. Lisbon
Famalicao1 - 1S. Lisbon
Rio Ave0 - 4S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora2 - 2S. Lisbon
Rio Ave1 - 4S. Lisbon
AVS1 - 1S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora0 - 1S. Lisbon
Alverca1 - 4S. Lisbon
Braga2 - 2S. Lisbon
Moreirense0 - 3S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Arouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente1 - 1S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Santa Clara1 - 2S. Lisbon
Tondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Famalicao1 - 2S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Lisbon1 - 0Moreirense
AS. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
HS. Lisbon1 - 2Academico Viseu
AS. Lisbon3 - 1Braga
HS. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Famalicao
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
AS. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Alverca
HS. Lisbon3 - 2V. Guimaraes
AS. Lisbon2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Gil Vicente
AS. Lisbon4 - 1Rio Ave
HS. Lisbon5 - 1V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon2 - 2Tondela
AS. Lisbon1 - 1AVS
HS. Lisbon1 - 2Benfica
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HS. Lisbon4 - 2Santa Clara
AS. Lisbon4 - 1Alverca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
18
12
Games: Scored
10 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
1 / 11
PTO
5
D
5
SCL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Porto3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Porto2 - 0
Porto2 - 1
Porto2 - 1
Porto2 - 1
1 - 3S. Lisbon
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Porto
Goals: Scored
14
10
Games: Scored
9 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
2 / 11
PTO
3
D
4
SCL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
1 - 2Porto
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon2 - 0
1 - 2Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Porto
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
S. Lisbon2 - 1
S. Lisbon2 - 0
Goal Statistics

FC Porto have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 37 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.7 against Sporting Lisbon on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

FC Porto's defensive record is to be admired, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive Liga NOS games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Sporting Lisbon makes sense in this context.

Porto 1st S. Lisbon 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that S. Lisbon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+10
S. Lisbon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2026/2027 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
%
better
PTO
SCL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
PTO
SCL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Porto v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11663
D CostaB SainzPepêI Hwang
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK11
-
J Kiwior DEF1111
1
-
J Bednarek DEF111
1
-
G Veiga MID1154
1
-
P Rosario MID112
2
-
Pepê FWD116
1
-
A Silva FWD1142
-
B Sainz FWD1161
1
-
A Baio DEF101
-
V. Froholdt MID103
-
I Hwang MID911
3
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD822
-
N Pérez DEF71
-
Zaidu  DEF7
-
A Varela MID7
2
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF61
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD5
-
F Moura DEF4
1
-
S Giménez FWD41
-
S Fofana MID3
-
O. Pietuszewski FWD21
1
-
J. de Souza Menezes DEF1
-
D. Prpić DEF1
-
G. Ferreira de Carvalho FWD1
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11944
S AltimiraL SuárezI FresnedaL Suárez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Fresneda DEF114
1
-
I. Doumbia MID112
1
-
S Altimira MID111
2
-
G Catamo  FWD1124
3
-
L Suárez FWD1191
4
-
M Vilches DEF1012
4
-
G Inácio DEF1011
2
-
F. Gonçalves FWD1031
1
-
F Ioannidis FWD1022
-
R Zalazar  MID921
-
S. Andersen MID9
1
-
N Irankunda FWD91
1
-
L Santos FWD9
-
R Silva GLK8
-
E Quaresma DEF7
2
-
Z Debast DEF5
1
G Vagiannidis DEF5
-
J. Derry FWD4
1
-
K Azarias GLK3
-
P Barros MID31
-
I. Ba DEF2
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID2
-
R. Amores Dias DEF1
-
R. Nel FWD1
-