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Arouca v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 18:00 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Casa Pia are on the road on Sunday evening, as manager João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira takes his men to visit Arouca and Vasco Seabra at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca in the Liga NOS. We have odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. All can be selected using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arouca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
41%
19/20
11%
-
Draw
27%
11/5
2%
-
Casa Pia
32%
5/2
6%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
8%
-
Arouca 1-0
12%
6/1-
Casa Pia 1-0
10%
9/1
11%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
8/1
6%
-
Arouca 2-1
8%
8/1
5%
-
Arouca 2-0
8%
8/1
10%
-
Casa Pia 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
-
Casa Pia 2-0
6%
18/1
27%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Arouca 3-1
4%
16/1
11%
-
Arouca 3-0
3%
16/1
19%
-
Casa Pia 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
-
Arouca 3-2
2%
28/1-
Casa Pia 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
-
Casa Pia 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
11/10
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
7/10
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/13
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
8/5
8%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - No
51%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
7/2
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
7/1
14%
-
Home/draw
68%
1/4
6%
-
Away/draw
59%
8/11
4%
-
Home/away
73%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1/3
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
9/4
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/12
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/1
6%
-
Home DNB
60%
4/9
8%
-
Away DNB
51%
13/8
16%
-
Arouca win to nil
24%
12/5
3%
-
Casa Pia win to nil
18%
5/1
9%
-
Arouca / Arouca
26%
9/4
10%
-
Arouca / Casa Pia
2%
33/1-
Arouca / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Arouca
17%
4/1
9%
-
Draw / Casa Pia
10%
7/1
14%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
5%
-
Casa Pia / Arouca
3%
25/1-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
14%
5/1
9%
-
Casa Pia / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Arouca have conceded 38 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Arouca have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Casa Pia lay in 9th place on 41 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 24 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Casa Pia have conceded 18 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Casa Pia have played 15 away games, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3123625875 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
2
Benfica3124345575 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
3
Braga3119752664 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
May 10
w
 
1-2F
4
Porto3119572962 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
5
V. Guimaraes31131261251 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
6
Santa Clara3115511250 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
7
Famalicao3111119644 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
May 17
8
Estoril3111911-842 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1F
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-2F
9
Casa Pia Away3111812-541 
May 4
l
 
3-1A
-
-
10
Moreirense319913-936 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-2A
11
Nacional319616-1433 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
12
Arouca Home318914-1733 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
May 4
13
Rio Ave318914-1833 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
14
Gil Vicente318815-1232 
d
 
1-1A
May 10
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
15
Estrela Amadora317816-1929 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
AVS3141215-3224 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
17
Sporting Farense314918-2221 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
18
Boavista315620-3221 
May 17
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
6
Casa Pia have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Arouca 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 2Famalicao
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Arouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Santa Clara
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Arouca1 - 2Braga
Arouca1 - 1AVS
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
Arouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Arouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca2 - 1Boavista
Arouca2 - 1Sporting Farense
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca0 - 2Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca2 - 2Benfica
HArouca1 - 2Famalicao
AArouca1 - 2Braga
HArouca1 - 1Estoril
AArouca1 - 0AVS
HArouca0 - 2Porto
HArouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
AArouca2 - 2S. Lisbon
HArouca1 - 1Rio Ave
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca1 - 0Moreirense
AArouca2 - 2V. Guimaraes
AArouca3 - 1Boavista
HArouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
AArouca1 - 3Casa Pia
HArouca1 - 0Santa Clara
AArouca1 - 2Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 2Benfica
Casa Pia 9TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVS1 - 1Casa Pia
Sporting Farense0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense3 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara2 - 1Casa Pia
Boavista2 - 3Casa Pia
Braga1 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
S. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
Gil Vicente1 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
Benfica3 - 0Casa Pia
Famalicao1 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 3Casa Pia
Portimonense2 - 2Casa Pia
Vizela0 - 4Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia1 - 3Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 1AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 1Porto
ACasa Pia0 - 0Sporting Farense
HCasa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
ACasa Pia1 - 3Nacional
HCasa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HCasa Pia1 - 0Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia2 - 3Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia1 - 2Santa Clara
HCasa Pia3 - 1Benfica
ACasa Pia3 - 2Boavista
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 1Braga
HCasa Pia3 - 1Arouca
ACasa Pia2 - 0Estoril
HCasa Pia1 - 1AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 2Porto
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Casa Pia have beaten Arouca in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Arouca since 2023
Arouca
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
ARO
1
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
0 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca2 - 0
League games at Casa Pia since 2022
Casa Pia
Arouca
Goals: Scored
4
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
D
1
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
Casa Pia3 - 1
Casa Pia1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics
Arouca 12th Casa Pia 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-34
Arouca have scored 34% fewer goals at home than predicted
+27
Casa Pia have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285322/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
ARO
6%
better
view stats
Games scored23
23
Failed to score8
8
Scored first15
13
Goals scored30
36
Avg. goals scored1
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
ARO
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
25
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first15
17
Goals conceded47
41
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+4%

Arouca v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29529
N MantlJasonC LambaJ Fontán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trezza FWD3141
4
-
M Sylla FWD3021
4
-
N Mantl GLK29
6
-
Jason FWD2951
5
-
P Santos MID28
5
-
T Fukui MID281
4
-
J Fontán DEF271
9
-
T Esgaio DEF2521
2
-
C Lamba DEF2412
6
-
B Pinto MID241
8
-
Weverson DEF2312
4
-
G Yalcin FWD2141
4
1
H Araújo FWD2151
3
-
M Loum MID19
4
1
M Puche FWD19
-
P Gozálbez MID171
1
-
B Popovic DEF14
1
A Dante DEF14
1
-
D Nandin FWD1221
2
-
A Pinto DEF11
3
-
B Mansilla FWD9
-
M Rocha DEF4
1
1
J Valido GLK2
-
N Galovic DEF1
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311049
L LeloCassianoL LeloG Larrazabal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Lelo DEF3114
2
-
P Sequeira GLK30
2
-
J Goulart DEF302
5
-
G Larrazabal DEF2913
8
1
M Sousa MID24
3
-
J Livolant FWD2432
1
1
J Fonte DEF23
6
-
A Geraldes DEF231
4
-
A Kraev MID231
7
-
Cassiano FWD23101
3
-
M Svensson FWD2313
3
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD2211
1
-
R Kluivert DEF211
6
-
R Brito MID211
5
-
Pablo MID20
4
-
D Tchamba  DEF1921
4
-
Cauê FWD101
1
-
I Mohamed MID8
1
-
O Osundina FWD6
-
T Dias DEF5
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF5
-
R Batista GLK1
1