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Arouca v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 28th Sep, 20:30 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Home advantage makes a difference in the Liga NOS, and Vasco Seabra’s Arouca will have the luxury of it on Sunday afternoon. Francesco Baldini’s FC Porto are their visitors to the Estadio Municipal de Arouca. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've searched our expansive database and pulled out the stats that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. The best odds are there to ensure you get the best price.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
28%
--
Draw
27%
--
Porto
45%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Porto 1-0
12%
--
Arouca 1-0
9%
--
Porto 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Porto 2-0
8%
--
Arouca 2-1
7%
--
Arouca 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Porto 3-1
4%
--
Porto 3-0
4%
--
Arouca 3-1
2%
--
Porto 3-2
2%
--
Arouca 3-0
2%
--
Arouca 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Home 1st Goal
44%
--
Away 1st Goal
51%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
49%
--
BTTS - No
51%
--
BTTS - Home Win
12%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
--
Home/draw
55%
--
Away/draw
72%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
47%
--
Away DNB
64%
--
Arouca win to nil
16%
--
Porto win to nil
26%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto55001115 
Sep 28
Mar 1
-
-
2
S. Lisbon54011112 
Jan 25
l
 
6-0A
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
3
Moreirense5401412 
Nov 2
Mar 22
Mar 15
Oct 27
4
Benfica4310510 
Mar 15
Oct 25
Oct 5
Mar 8
5
Famalicao5311410 
Oct 5
Mar 8
Apr 4
Nov 9
6
Gil Vicente5311310 
Dec 28
May 10
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
7
Braga522158 
Dec 1
Apr 12
Nov 2
Mar 22
8
V. Guimaraes5212-27 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
9
Casa Pia5203-46 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
w
 
4-0F
Feb 1
10
Estoril512205 
Apr 4
Nov 7
Nov 30
Apr 12
11
Santa Clara5122-35 
May 3
Dec 21
May 17
Jan 4
12
Arouca5122-65 
-
-
Mar 1
Sep 28
13
Alverca5113-44 
Dec 14
Apr 26
May 3
Dec 21
14
Nacional5113-44 
Feb 22
Sep 20
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
15
Rio Ave4031-23 
d
 
3-3F
Feb 1
Feb 22
Sep 19
16
Estrela Amadora5032-33 
Apr 19
Dec 7
Dec 14
Apr 26
17
AVS5014-71 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 18
Dec 28
May 10
18
Tondela5014-81 
May 17
Jan 4
Apr 19
Dec 7
Win / draw / win form
Arouca 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 1AVS
Arouca4 - 1Boavista
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 2Famalicao
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Arouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Santa Clara
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Arouca1 - 2Braga
Arouca1 - 1AVS
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
Arouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArouca0 - 2Casa Pia
AArouca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 3Rio Ave
AArouca0 - 6S. Lisbon
HArouca3 - 1AVS
HArouca4 - 1Boavista
AArouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
HArouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AArouca0 - 2Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca2 - 2Benfica
HArouca1 - 2Famalicao
AArouca1 - 2Braga
HArouca1 - 1Estoril
AArouca1 - 0AVS
HArouca0 - 2Porto
HArouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
AArouca2 - 2S. Lisbon
HArouca1 - 1Rio Ave
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense0 - 1Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente3 - 1Porto
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Moreirense0 - 3Porto
Famalicao1 - 1Porto
Benfica4 - 1Porto
AVS0 - 5Porto
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
Santa Clara0 - 2Porto
Braga0 - 1Porto
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
APorto2 - 0Gil Vicente
HPorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto3 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1Boavista
HPorto3 - 1Moreirense
APorto0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HPorto2 - 1Famalicao
APorto1 - 0Casa Pia
HPorto1 - 4Benfica
APorto2 - 1Estoril
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto0 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 0Arouca
HPorto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Sporting Farense
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto2 - 2Rio Ave
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Arouca since 2015
Arouca
Porto
Goals: Scored
4
14
Games: Scored
2 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
4 / 6
ARO
1
PTO
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
0 - 2Porto
Arouca3 - 2
0 - 1Porto
0 - 2Porto
0 - 4Porto
1 - 3Porto
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Arouca
Goals: Scored
17
4
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
ARO
1
D
1
PTO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Porto5 - 1
Porto3 - 0
Porto3 - 0
1 - 2Arouca
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's defensive record is to be admired, Francesco Baldini's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Liga NOS games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Arouca makes sense in this context.

Arouca 12th Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Porto will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Arouca have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-4
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1.1
1.4
Attack rating
ARO
PTO
41%
better
view stats
Games scored3
5
Failed to score2
0
Scored first2
5
Goals scored7
12
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.4
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for18
20
Avg. XG for0.6
1.8
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
ARO
PTO
83%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
1
Clean sheets0
4
Conceded first3
0
Goals conceded13
1
Avg. goals conceded2.6
0.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
33
Conversion rate against25%
3%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.7
KickOff rating
+83%

Arouca v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
J ValidoA TrezzaH. LeeJ Fontán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Valido GLK5
-
A Dante DEF5
-
J Fontán DEF51
2
-
H. Lee MID52
1
-
P Santos MID5
-
T Fukui MID51
-
A Trezza FWD532
-
N Djouahra  FWD53
-
T Esgaio DEF4
1
-
B Pinto MID4
1
-
D Nandin FWD4
1
1
M Puche FWD4
1
-
B Mansilla FWD41
-
Barbero FWD4
1
-
B Popovic DEF3
-
A Pinto DEF3
1
-
A Solà DEF3
1
-
M. Flores Lozano MID3
-
M Rocha DEF2
1
-
P Gozálbez MID2
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5342
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK5
1
-
J Bednarek DEF5
2
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
Zaidu  DEF51
-
V. Froholdt MID512
1
-
A Varela MID5
1
-
B Sainz FWD521
2
-
A Baio DEF44
-
S Eustaquio MID4
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID4
-
G Veiga MID41
2
-
L Jong FWD41
1
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD42
2
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD43
2
-
F Moura DEF3
-
D. Prpić DEF3
-
Pepê FWD32
-
P Rosario MID2
1
-
D Gül FWD2
-
J Kiwior DEF1
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF1
-