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Benfica v Gil Vicente FC : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 13th Sep, 18:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Liga NOS, and Marco Alexandre Saraiva Da Silva’s Benfica will have the blessing of it on Sunday evening. Luís Miguel Correia Pinto’s Gil Vicente FC are their visitors to the Estádio da Luz. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Liga NOS match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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Best Tip: Benfica to win

We're predicting Benfica will claim victory after 90 mins on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when the game draws to a close at Estádio da Luz.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
84%
1.12-
Draw
11%
7.50-
Gil Vicente
5%
17.00-
Benfica 2-0
14%
6.00-
Benfica 3-0
13%
6.50-
Benfica 1-0
10%
8.00-
Benfica 4-0
9%
9.00-
Benfica 2-1
7%
11.00-
Benfica 3-1
7%
12.00-
Draw 1-1
5%
15.00-
Benfica 5-0
5%
15.00-
Benfica 4-1
5%
17.00-
Draw 0-0
4%
17.00-
Benfica 5-1
3%
26.00-
Benfica 6-0
2%
29.00-
Draw 2-2
2%
34.00-
Gil Vicente 1-0
2%
34.00-
Benfica 3-2
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1.48-
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
2.60-
Home 1st Goal
68%
1.20-
Away 1st Goal
30%
4.50-
No 1st Goal
2%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
39%
2.38-
BTTS - No
61%
1.53-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
3.10-
BTTS - Draw
8%
10.00-
BTTS - Away Win
2%
29.00-
Home/draw
95%
1.03-
Away/draw
16%
5.50-
Home/away
89%
1.10-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.14-
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
5.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
2.20-
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
1.62-
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
3.75-
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1.25-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
7.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1.10-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.00-
Home DNB
92%
1.03-
Away DNB
13%
15.00-
Benfica win to nil
55%
1.67-
Gil Vicente win to nil
3%
26.00-
Benfica / Benfica
54%
1.53-
Benfica / Gil Vicente
1%
67.00-
Benfica / Draw
4%
23.00-
Draw / Benfica
22%
3.75-
Draw / Gil Vicente
2%
34.00-
Draw / Draw
8%
11.00-
Gil Vicente / Benfica
4%
21.00-
Gil Vicente / Gil Vicente
2%
34.00-
Gil Vicente / Draw
3%
29.00-
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Gil Vicente
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto55001015 
Feb 28
Sep 20
Oct 24
Mar 14
2
S. Lisbon5410913 
Dec 27
May 9
Dec 13
Apr 25
3
Santa Clara5320611 
Mar 14
Oct 26
Apr 4
Nov 8
4
Benfica43101110 
-
-
Feb 21
Sep 13
5
Arouca430149 
May 16
Jan 10
Dec 27
May 9
6
Gil Vicente421127 
Sep 13
Feb 21
-
-
7
Braga321027 
Dec 13
Apr 25
Jan 24
-
8
Maratimo5212-27 
Feb 14
w
 
0-3F
Sep 19
Feb 28
9
Estrela Amadora413016 
Apr 4
Nov 8
Apr 18
Dec 6
10
Academico Viseu5122-35 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 17
l
 
0-1A
Feb 14
11
Nacional5113-24 
Apr 18
Dec 6
May 16
Jan 10
12
V. Guimaraes5113-24 
Oct 11
Mar 7
Nov 2
Mar 21
13
Moreirense4112-44 
Jan 31
Sep 9
Mar 7
Oct 9
14
Famalicao5032-23 
Nov 30
Apr 11
Feb 7
d
 
0-00-0
15
Rio Ave5104-93 
May 2
Dec 20
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
16
Alverca5023-52 
Nov 2
Mar 21
May 2
Dec 20
17
Estoril4013-51 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 7
Nov 29
Apr 11
18
Casa Pia5014-111 
Jan 24
w
 
0-7F
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
Win / draw / win form
3
Gil Vicente have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Benfica 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
Gil Vicente 6TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Benfica have beaten Gil Vicente in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Benfica since 2019
Benfica
Gil Vicente
Goals: Scored
17
7
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
BEF
5
GIL
2
League games at Gil Vicente since 2020
Gil Vicente
Benfica
Goals: Scored
3
15
Games: Scored
2 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
5 / 7
BEF
7
Goal Statistics

Benfica's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 10 consecutive Liga NOS games. A PG of 2.8 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

Benfica 4th Gil Vicente 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.8
goals
0.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
5+
21%
There is a 83% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
59%
1
31%
2
3
4+
There is a 59% probability that Gil Vicente will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Benfica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Gil Vicente have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2026/2027 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Gil Vicente
2.8
0.5
Attack rating
62%
better
BEF
GIL
view stats
Games scored4
2
Failed to score0
1
Scored first4
2
Goals scored14
3
Avg. goals scored3.5
0.8
Avg. shots per game15
6
Avg. shots per goal4
8
Conversion rate for24
13
Avg. XG for2.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+62%
Defence rating
BEF
GIL
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
0
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded3
0
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0
Avg. shots/game conceded4
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
0
Conversion rate against18%
0%
Avg. XG against0.5
0.4
KickOff rating
+29%

Benfica v Gil Vicente Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4522
S SoaresV PavlidisV PavlidisT Araújo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Soares GLK4
-
S Dahl DEF4
-
A Bah DEF41
-
T Araújo DEF41
2
-
C Lenglet DEF41
-
H Sudakov MID4
2
-
L Barreiro MID421
-
E Barrenechea MID41
-
J Durán FWD41
-
A Schjelderup FWD4
-
G Prestianni FWD431
-
V Pavlidis FWD452
-
R Silva FWD412
-
D Lukébakio FWD3
-
J Palhinha MID2
-
A Circati DEF1
1
-
Manu MID1
-
J Kaminski FWD1
-
Gil Vicente Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4211
L LucãoH HernándezH HernándezR Esgaio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Lucão GLK4
-
R Esgaio DEF4
1
-
M Gilbert DEF4
1
-
J Buatu DEF4
-
Weverson DEF4
1
-
A. Sejr Lausen MID4
-
Z Carlos MID4
-
G. Pinto Martins MID41
-
H Hernández FWD421
1
-
J Fernandes FWD4
-
D. Ferreira Prioste MID3
-
M Souza FWD3
-
T. Chabrol Touré FWD3
-
D. Madeira Moreira DEF2
-
J. Silva DEF2
-
S García MID2
-
M. Kaba FWD2
-
C Eduardo FWD2
-
M Benítez MID1
-
A. Moreira Morales FWD1
-