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CD Nacional v Alverca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Apr, 15:30 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Custódio André Gune will be hoping for a vital away win in the Liga NOS on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Alverca side to the Estadio da Madeira to visit CD Nacional and Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head-to-head history, will update as you explore each of the 17 major markets via the tabs below. The best odds and, of course, our predictions will too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Nacional or Alverca are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 77% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
49%
23/20
5%
6/5
Draw
25%
12/55/2
Alverca
26%
11/5
6%
21/10
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Nacional 1-0
11%
15/2
6%
13/2
Nacional 2-1
9%
8/115/2
6%
Nacional 2-0
9%
10/19/1
5%
Alverca 1-0
7%
10/18/1
5%
Alverca 2-1
7%
11/117/2
5%
Draw 0-0
7%
10/19/1
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/110/1
Nacional 3-1
5%
16/112/1
13%
Nacional 3-0
5%
20/1
11%
14/1
12%
Alverca 2-0
4%
16/112/1
Nacional 3-2
3%
25/118/1
10%
Alverca 3-1
2%
25/118/1
Nacional 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
Alverca 3-2
2%
33/122/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
17/205/6
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
19/2010/11
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/5
4%
4/5
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/56/5
2%
No 1st Goal
4%
10/19/1
5%
BTTS - Yes
54%
7/107/10
BTTS - No
46%
21/2021/20
BTTS - Home Win
23%
10/316/5
5%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
13%
5/1
8%
9/2
Home/draw
74%
4/11
5%
7/20
Away/draw
51%
4/6
2%
13/20
Home/away
75%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/45/2
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
9/42/1
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/31/3
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5/119/4
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/81/9
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/19/1
5%
Home DNB
66%
4/7
3%
3/5
2%
Away DNB
43%
5/4
5%
6/5
2%
Nacional win to nil
26%
3/1
7%
-
Alverca win to nil
13%
5/1-
Nacional / Nacional
23%
13/5
6%
12/5
3%
Nacional / Alverca
3%
28/122/1
Nacional / Draw
6%
12/111/1
9%
Draw / Nacional
15%
9/29/2
Draw / Alverca
11%
6/1
7%
6/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Alverca / Nacional
4%
22/120/1
11%
Alverca / Alverca
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
Alverca / Draw
6%
14/110/1
8%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Nacional have conceded 38 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 14 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Alverca lay in 10th place on 35 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 19 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Alverca have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Alverca have played 14 away games, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Alverca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2924414576 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
May 3
2
S. Lisbon2822515671 
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
3
Benfica2920904369 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
4
Braga2815762852 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-0A
5
Famalicao2913881147 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 17
6
Gil Vicente29121071446 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-4A
d
 
2-2A
7
Estoril2910712137 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 10
l
 
4-1A
8
V. Guimaraes2910613-836 
May 17
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
9
Moreirense2910613-936 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
10
Alverca299812-1535 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
-
-
11
Rio Ave298912-1733 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
12
Arouca299515-2132 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
13
Santa Clara297715-1128 
d
 
3-3A
May 10
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
14
Estrela Amadora2961013-1528 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
15
Nacional296716-1025 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
16
Casa Pia2851013-2425 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
17
Tondela284915-2521 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
18
AVS291919-4312 
May 3
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional0 - 1Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Braga
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional4 - 0Rio Ave
Nacional3 - 3Santa Clara
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
Nacional0 - 1Famalicao
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Nacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional0 - 2Benfica
HNacional2 - 0Estrela Amadora
ANacional0 - 1Famalicao
HNacional0 - 1Estoril
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional1 - 2Braga
ANacional0 - 3Arouca
HNacional0 - 1Porto
HNacional0 - 0Casa Pia
ANacional1 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional4 - 0Rio Ave
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
Alverca 10TH
14 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
11 / 14
Conceded
13 / 14
Clean sheets
1 / 14
Failed to score
3 / 14
Won
3
Draw
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave1 - 2Alverca
Gil Vicente2 - 2Alverca
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
Tondela1 - 1Alverca
Benfica2 - 1Alverca
Braga5 - 0Alverca
Estoril4 - 1Alverca
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Casa Pia0 - 2Alverca
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AVS1 - 3Alverca
Santa Clara2 - 1Alverca
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
Moreirense2 - 1Alverca
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlverca3 - 1Casa Pia
AAlverca2 - 1Rio Ave
HAlverca1 - 4S. Lisbon
AAlverca2 - 2Gil Vicente
HAlverca0 - 0AVS
AAlverca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HAlverca1 - 1Santa Clara
AAlverca1 - 1Tondela
AAlverca1 - 2Benfica
HAlverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
AAlverca0 - 5Braga
HAlverca2 - 1Moreirense
HAlverca1 - 0Famalicao
AAlverca1 - 4Estoril
HAlverca0 - 3Porto
AAlverca0 - 1Arouca
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
Goal Statistics
Nacional 15th Alverca 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Alverca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+7
Alverca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Alverca
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
NAC
14%
better
view stats
Games scored19
22
Failed to score10
7
Scored first9
10
Goals scored31
32
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
2%
better
NAC
view stats
Games conceded24
23
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first19
18
Goals conceded41
47
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+2%

Nacional v Alverca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2814412
ChuchuChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Chuchu FWD2814
5
-
P Bóia FWD2842
5
-
L Santos DEF2732
12
-
M Dias MID271
6
1
Z Vitor DEF2641
7
1
Liziero  MID264
6
-
C. Abidi MID2411
5
1
K Azarias GLK23
2
-
Witi FWD231
3
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2214
2
-
J Silva MID17
1
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD17
2
1
L João FWD171
1
-
A Duarte DEF1612
2
-
J Aurélio DEF16
2
-
L Vallier DEF14
5
-
M Baeza MID141
1
-
D Jr MID13
3
-
F Soares MID13
2
-
A Sousa MID102
1
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF7
2
-
L França GLK6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27857
K NavesM MilovanovicLincolnK Naves
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Zoubdi DEF2813
5
-
M Milovanovic FWD2882
3
-
K Naves DEF271
6
1
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF26
4
1
A Gomes GLK25
3
-
S Gómez DEF25
1
-
Lincoln MID2525
5
-
D. Gui MID2311
3
-
C. Nuozzi FWD231
-
L Figueiredo FWD2252
2
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF19
3
-
A Filho MID192
3
-
S Abdulai MID171
4
1
I. James DEF162
3
-
Chiquinho FWD1623
3
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF11
1
-
S Baseya DEF9
1
-
G Esteves DEF51
1
-
T Mendes MID51
1
-
G Rodríguez MID5
1
-
M Mendes GLK4
1
-
S Diarra FWD2
-
S Lima FWD1
-