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CD Nacional v Alverca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Sep, 15:30 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

CD Nacional and their manager João Pedro Baptista dos Santos Brito Gião will be looking to get one over on Custódio André Gune and his Alverca side on Sunday morning, as the pair go head to head at the Estadio da Madeira in the Liga NOS. The predictions shown are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen major markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
48%
--
Draw
24%
--
Alverca
28%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Nacional 1-0
10%
--
Nacional 2-1
9%
--
Nacional 2-0
8%
--
Alverca 1-0
7%
--
Alverca 2-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Nacional 3-1
5%
--
Nacional 3-0
4%
--
Alverca 2-0
4%
--
Nacional 3-2
3%
--
Alverca 3-1
3%
--
Alverca 3-2
2%
--
Nacional 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
56%
--
BTTS - No
44%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
52%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
65%
--
Away DNB
45%
--
Nacional win to nil
24%
--
Alverca win to nil
13%
--
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Correct score Liga NOS table
Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Alverca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto55001015 
May 9
Dec 27
Jan 17
l
 
2-0A
2
S. Lisbon5410913 
Feb 14
l
 
2-0A
Jan 31
l
 
3-1A
3
Benfica43101110 
Dec 6
Apr 18
Mar 21
Nov 2
4
Arouca430149 
Mar 21
Nov 1
Oct 24
Mar 14
5
Santa Clara422028 
Jan 17
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 7
6
Gil Vicente321037 
Jan 10
May 16
Dec 20
May 2
7
Braga321027 
Oct 25
Mar 14
l
 
1-2F
Feb 14
8
Maratimo5212-27 
Apr 11
Nov 27
Jan 10
May 16
9
Estrela Amadora413016 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
Jan 24
10
Nacional5113-24 
-
-
Feb 21
Sep 12
11
Moreirense4112-44 
Dec 20
May 2
Dec 6
Apr 18
12
Famalicao5032-23 
Sep 19
Feb 28
Mar 7
Oct 12
13
V. Guimaraes4103-23 
Jan 31
l
 
1-0A
Apr 25
Dec 13
14
Rio Ave4103-53 
Mar 7
Oct 11
Sep 19
Feb 28
15
Academico Viseu4022-42 
Nov 7
Apr 4
Apr 11
Nov 28
16
Alverca5023-52 
Sep 12
Feb 21
-
-
17
Estoril4013-51 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 24
May 9
Dec 27
18
Casa Pia4004-110 
Apr 25
Dec 13
Nov 7
Apr 4
Correct score form
5
Alverca have not scored more than 1 goal for 5 consecutive away league games
Nacional 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
2-0
4-1
-2
or more
1-0
1-0
1-0
2-1
2-1
2-1
2-1
3-2
-1
goal
0-0
3-3
3-3
x
1-0
3-2
+1
goal
2-0
2-0
2-0
3-1
4-0
+2
or more
2-0
2-0
2-0
3-0
-2
or more
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
2-1
2-1
2-1
3-2
-1
goal
0-0
1-1
2-2
x
1-0
+1
goal
2-0
2-0
2-0
2-0
+2
or more
Alverca 16TH
19 league games
Away
5
Overall
2-0
2-0
3-1
4-1
5-0
-2
or more
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
2-1
2-1
2-1
-1
goal
1-1
1-1
2-2
2-2
x
2-1
+1
goal
2-0
3-1
+2
or more
2-0
3-1
4-1
-2
or more
1-0
1-0
1-0
2-1
2-1
-1
goal
0-0
1-1
1-1
1-1
1-1
1-1
1-1
2-2
2-2
x
2-1
2-1
+1
goal
3-1
+2
or more
Goal Statistics

CD Nacional's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Alverca have conceded in each of their last 13 Liga NOS games. A PG of 1.6 for J. Baptista dos Santos Brito Gião's side suggests that run should continue.

Nacional 10th Alverca 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Alverca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Alverca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2026/2027 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Alverca
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
22%
better
NAC
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
1
Goals scored6
4
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.8
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for18
11
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
35%
better
NAC
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded6
8
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
5
Conversion rate against12%
22%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.7
KickOff rating
+35%

Nacional v Alverca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
R. Bellucci MarinW Gasolina L SantosF Soares
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R. Bellucci Marin GLK5
-
W Gasolina  DEF51
1
-
L Santos DEF511
-
Z Vitor DEF51
1
-
M Baeza MID51
-
D Jr MID51
1
-
M Dias MID5
1
-
M Jensen FWD5
1
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD51
-
S Gavriel FWD5
-
D. de la Cruz DEF4
-
Liziero  MID411
-
F Soares MID4
2
-
W Kokolo MID31
1
-
M Djaló MID3
-
Deivison Souza Brito MID3
-
A Obando FWD3
-
J Silva MID2
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF1
-
C. Abidi MID1
-
M. José Iseppe MID1
-
Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
M MendesV SemedoI. JamesY. Bojang
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Mendes GLK5
1
-
Y. Bojang DEF5
2
-
I. James DEF52
-
S Baseya DEF5
-
I Boetto MID51
1
-
V Semedo FWD52
1
-
L Figueiredo FWD51
1
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF4
-
R Souza MID41
-
Zoubdi MID4
1
-
D. Gui MID4
2
-
S. Merheg Enciso FWD4
-
Z. Kessary MID3
-
V. Silva Moreira MID31
-
A Vidigal FWD3
-
Chiquinho FWD31
1
1
S Gómez DEF2
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF2
-
D. Spencer Marques DEF2
-
T. Tamarit Tamarit DEF1
-
D Camara FWD1
-
C. Nuozzi FWD1
-