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Casa Pia v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Campo do Cevadeiro, Vila Franca de Xira

Casa Pia and their boss João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira will be hoping for victory against Francesco Farioli and his FC Porto side on Monday night, as the pair clash at the Campo do Cevadeiro in the Liga NOS. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.

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Casa Pia's next match is v Arouca at 15:30 on Saturday 14th February
FC Porto's next match is v Nacional at 15:30 on Sunday 15th February
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Casa Pia and Porto was on Monday 2nd February 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
February 2nd 2026
Casa Pia 2
1 Porto
 
G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea 12'46' P. Rosario
T. da Silva (OG) 45'
 
PTO
Shots On
2
6
Shots Off
2
4
Corners
10
Possession
32%
68%
Fouls
14
14
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/1
 
Casa PiaPorto
 
P. Sequeira Mejías
D. Bandeira
J. Goulart Silva
A. Conté
R. Brito
David Sousa
G. Larrazabal Goikoetxeafootball icon
L. Ofori
T. Fontoura Fonseca Morais (O. Osundina 56')
J. Livolant
C. Dias Moreira (C. Mendes Vicente 82')
D. Meireles Costa
(D. Gül 71') football iconT. da Silva
J. Bednarek
G. Veiga Novas
football iconP. Rosario
S. Omorodion Aghehowa
(O. Pietuszewski 70') E. Aquino Cossa
(V. Froholdt 57') A. Varela
(W. Gomes Carvalho Santos 57') B. Sainz Eguskiza
(A. Costa 46') M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes
F. Moura

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Porto to win

Winning away from home in Liga NOS is always cause for celebration, and we're predicting that Francesco Farioli and his Porto charges will end the game jubilant at Estádio Pina Manique on Monday night. The statistics below, including historical head-to-head (H2H) records, show they're more than capable of delivering, and the bookies are expecting exactly that. Top odds are 1.29 on Porto to win. That's where we expect the smart money to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 72% chance of Porto coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
10%
-1/12
Draw
18%
-13/2
Porto
72%
-55/1
Porto 2-0
14%
-19/5
5%
Porto 1-0
13%
-4/1
13%
Porto 3-0
10%
-11/2
Porto 2-1
9%
-14/5
6%
Draw 1-1
9%
-5/2
Porto 3-1
7%
-6/1
9%
Draw 0-0
6%
-8/1
Porto 4-0
5%
-10/1
Casa Pia 1-0
4%
-4/1
12%
Porto 4-1
4%
-12/1
Draw 2-2
3%
-3/1
Casa Pia 2-1
3%
-8/15
Porto 5-0
2%
-18/1
11%
Porto 3-2
2%
-16/1
12%
Porto 5-1
2%
-28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
-2/15
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
-17/4
6%
Home 1st Goal
34%
-4/1
4%
Away 1st Goal
62%
-1/4
No 1st Goal
4%
-8/1
BTTS - Yes
43%
-2/11
8%
BTTS - No
57%
-17/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
5%
-2/7
BTTS - Draw
12%
-3/1
7%
BTTS - Away Win
26%
-14/1
8%
Home/draw
28%
-1/1000
Away/draw
90%
-6/1
Home/away
82%
-1/14
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
-2/13
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
-4/1
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
-19/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
-2/13
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
-28/1
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
-1/1000
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
-90/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
-1/1000
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
-1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
-8/1
Home DNB
23%
-1/50
Away DNB
84%
-11/1
Casa Pia win to nil
6%
--
Porto win to nil
45%
--
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
5%
-11/5
Casa Pia / Porto
4%
-6/4
Casa Pia / Draw
4%
-9/4
Draw / Casa Pia
5%
-45/1
Draw / Porto
20%
-8/1
Draw / Draw
11%
-20/1
Porto / Casa Pia
2%
-1/50
Porto / Porto
44%
-40/1
3%
Porto / Draw
4%
-100/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league. Casa Pia are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 4 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Casa Pia have conceded 34 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Casa Pia have played 9 games at home, winning 0, drawing 5 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 1st place on 55 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 19 matches. Porto are unbeaten in 19 games against teams below them in the league and kept 15 clean sheets out of 19 games. Porto have a great away record this season winning all their away games and keeping 8 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 10 away games, winning 10, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Casa Pia
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2118213556 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
-
-
2
S. Lisbon2116414352 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
3
Benfica2114703249 
Apr 4
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
4
Braga2111642639 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
5
Gil Vicente2110741437 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
6
Famalicao21957732 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 23
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
7
Estoril21867830 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
8
Moreirense21939-230 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
9
V. Guimaraes21849-728 
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
10
Alverca217311-1524 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 12
May 3
w
 
0-3F
11
Estrela Amadora21588-1223 
l
 
3-5F
Mar 22
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
12
Arouca216510-2023 
Feb 14
w
 
0-2F
Feb 27
w
 
0-4F
13
Nacional215610-321 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
14
Rio Ave21489-1920 
May 17
l
 
3-1A
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
15
Casa Pia214710-1719 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
16
Santa Clara214512-1017 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
May 17
w
 
0-1F
17
Tondela213513-2114 
May 3
w
 
1-2A
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS210516-395 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
Casa Pia 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia3 - 3AVS
Casa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
Casa Pia0 - 2Alverca
Casa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
Casa Pia2 - 1Braga
Casa Pia1 - 3Estoril
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Casa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
Casa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia1 - 0Gil Vicente
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
Casa Pia3 - 1Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 1AVS
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia3 - 3AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 3S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 3Rio Ave
HCasa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia2 - 1Tondela
HCasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia0 - 1Santa Clara
HCasa Pia0 - 2Alverca
ACasa Pia2 - 2Benfica
HCasa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia2 - 2Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 2Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia0 - 2Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 4Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 0AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 2Famalicao
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
Santa Clara0 - 1Porto
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Famalicao0 - 1Porto
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense0 - 1Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente3 - 1Porto
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
4
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
4 / 20
Clean sheets
16 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
19
D
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto3 - 0Alverca
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
APorto2 - 0Gil Vicente
HPorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto3 - 0Nacional
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Porto have beaten Casa Pia in 6 consecutive league meetings
7
Porto have not lost to Casa Pia in 7 consecutive league meetings
3
Porto have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Casa Pia
League games at Casa Pia since 2023
Casa Pia
Porto
Goals: Scored
1
3
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
D
1
PTO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
0 - 1Porto
1 - 2Porto
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Porto since 2023
Porto
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
11
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
PTO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto4 - 0
Porto2 - 0
Porto3 - 1
Porto2 - 1
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.7, Casa Pia look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that FC Porto haven't conceded a goal in 5 consecutive Liga NOS matches, and it could be a long night for J. Gândara Mendes Pereira's men.

Casa Pia have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Liga NOS outings. This run could continue, with FC Porto's PG an impressive 2.1.

Casa Pia 15th Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.7
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
51%
1
34%
2
11%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Casa Pia will fail to score
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Porto will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Casa Pia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
0.7
2.1
Attack rating
PTO
46%
better
view stats
Games scored11
18
Failed to score8
1
Scored first5
17
Goals scored20
40
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.1
Avg. shots per game6
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
19
Avg. XG for0.9
1.9
KickOff rating
+46%
Defence rating
PTO
78%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
4
Clean sheets3
15
Conceded first13
1
Goals conceded38
4
Avg. goals conceded2
0.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
30
Conversion rate against20%
3%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.6
KickOff rating
+78%

Casa Pia v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21369
G LarrazabalG LarrazabalJ LivolantD Sousa 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Sequeira GLK16
2
1
J Goulart DEF121
3
-
D. Bandeira DEF4
1
-
D Sousa  DEF152
9
-
G Larrazabal MID2133
4
-
R Brito MID131
2
-
L Ofori MID3
1
-
A Conté MID121
1
-
T Morais FWD14
1
-
Cassiano FWD212
4
-
J Livolant FWD2136
2
-
Subs
I Mandic GLK
-
A Geraldes DEF18
5
-
I Mohamed MID101
4
-
J Marques MID1
-
K Nsona  FWD911
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD12
2
-
O Osundina FWD92
-
K. Prieto Machado FWD6
-
Claudio FWD41
1
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211367
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK21
1
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF141
2
1
T Silva DEF4
-
J Bednarek DEF20
7
-
F Moura DEF1722
4
-
A Varela MID192
4
-
P Rosario MID1521
5
-
G Veiga MID1914
3
-
Pepê FWD1824
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD20131
2
-
B Sainz FWD2052
5
-
Subs
C Ramos GLK1
-
A Baio DEF186
3
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
J Kiwior DEF161
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1711
-
V. Froholdt MID2123
2
-
O. Pietuszewski FWD3
1
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD175
3
1
D Gül FWD162
2
-