Casa Pia's team badge Alverca's team badge

Casa Pia v Alverca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Nov, 15:30 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira and Custódio André Gune pit their wits in the Liga NOS on Saturday afternoon, as Casa Pia face Alverca at the Estádio Pina Manique. Liga NOS stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. You can view it all, with infographics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Alverca and Casa Pia fans should get a chance to celebrate as their teams go head-to-head, with KickOff's prediction of both teams to score looking a far more convincing pick than any bet on the outright winner. The two sides have plenty in attack, as is borne out by the stats and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookies odds are not finding anything to pick between the sides, a sign of the qualities (or lack of) each side possesses. Both teams to score is our top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Alverca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
33%
7/5
2%
6/4
Draw
24%
41/2021/10
Alverca
43%
39/202/1
Draw 1-1
11%
5/119/4
Alverca 2-1
9%
10/19/1
Casa Pia 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Alverca 1-0
8%
7/16/1
Casa Pia 1-0
7%
6/111/2
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
13%
12/1
Alverca 2-0
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Alverca 3-1
5%
25/120/1
Casa Pia 2-0
5%
10/19/1
Draw 0-0
5%
13/2
6%
6/1
Casa Pia 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Alverca 3-2
4%
40/125/1
Alverca 3-0
3%
33/122/1
Casa Pia 3-2
3%
33/125/1
Casa Pia 3-0
2%
22/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
13/105/4
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
3/53/5
Home 1st Goal
47%
10/1119/20
Away 1st Goal
50%
6/56/5
No 1st Goal
3%
13/2
6%
6/1
BTTS - Yes
61%
19/2019/20
BTTS - No
39%
4/53/4
BTTS - Home Win
19%
9/217/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
24%
6/15/1
Home/draw
57%
4/112/5
Away/draw
67%
8/158/15
Home/away
76%
4/117/20
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/52/5
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
7/417/10
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
10/3
8%
3/1
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1/5
2%
1/5
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
9/17/1
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/161/16
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
20/116/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/661/150
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/121/12
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13/2
6%
6/1
Home DNB
50%
8/11
4%
7/10
Away DNB
60%
1/1
5%
1/1
Casa Pia win to nil
15%
11/4-
Alverca win to nil
20%
7/2
10%
-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
20%
3/129/10
Casa Pia / Alverca
3%
33/125/1
Casa Pia / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Casa Pia
15%
9/29/2
Draw / Alverca
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
18%
7/216/5
Alverca / Casa Pia
3%
28/122/1
Alverca / Alverca
17%
4/118/5
Alverca / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league. Casa Pia are winless in the 9 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game. Casa Pia are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won zero. Casa Pia have conceded 24 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 4 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Casa Pia have played 5 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Alverca lay in 14th place on 11 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 11 matches. Alverca have won all their 2 games against teams below them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 4 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Alverca have conceded 1 goal and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Alverca have played 5 away games, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Casa Pia
Alverca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1110102131 
Feb 1
l
 
4-0A
Dec 21
May 2
2
S. Lisbon119112128 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
Mar 22
l
 
2-0A
3
Benfica117401725 
Apr 3
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2A
Feb 8
4
Gil Vicente117221123 
Dec 14
Apr 25
l
 
0-4A
Mar 15
5
Famalicao11542619 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
Jan 4
May 16
6
Moreirense11605118 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
7
Braga11443816 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
8
V. Guimaraes11425-714 
Dec 28
May 9
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
9
Estoril11344213 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
May 9
Dec 28
10
Nacional11335-412 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
Dec 7
Apr 18
11
Rio Ave11263-512 
May 16
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
Apr 3
12
Estrela Amadora11254-111 
l
 
3-5F
Mar 22
Feb 1
d
 
2-2F
13
Santa Clara11326-411 
Apr 18
Dec 6
Feb 22
l
 
2-1A
14
Alverca11326-711 
Nov 29
Apr 11
-
-
15
Casa Pia11236-119 
-
-
Apr 11
Nov 29
16
Arouca11236-179 
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
Apr 25
Dec 14
17
Tondela11137-146 
May 2
Dec 21
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
18
AVS11038-173 
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
Mar 8
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
6
Casa Pia have not won in 6 consecutive league games
Casa Pia 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
Casa Pia2 - 1Braga
Casa Pia1 - 3Estoril
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Casa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
Casa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia1 - 0Gil Vicente
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
Casa Pia3 - 1Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 1AVS
Casa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
Casa Pia1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACasa Pia2 - 2Benfica
HCasa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia2 - 2Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 2Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia0 - 2Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 4Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 0AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia2 - 1Braga
ACasa Pia0 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia1 - 3Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 1AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 1Porto
ACasa Pia0 - 0Sporting Farense
HCasa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
ACasa Pia1 - 3Nacional
Alverca 14TH
5 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
7
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
4 / 5
Conceded
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
Failed to score
1 / 5
W
1
D
1
Lost
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AVS1 - 3Alverca
Santa Clara2 - 1Alverca
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
Moreirense2 - 1Alverca
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
8 / 11
Conceded
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
Failed to score
3 / 11
Won
3
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
AAlverca3 - 1AVS
HAlverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AAlverca1 - 2Santa Clara
HAlverca1 - 0Tondela
HAlverca1 - 2Benfica
AAlverca2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HAlverca0 - 3Braga
AAlverca1 - 2Moreirense
Goal Statistics

Alverca's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Casa Pia have conceded in each of their last 6 Liga NOS matches. A PG of 1.7 for C. Gune's side suggests that run should continue.

Casa Pia 15th Alverca 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Casa Pia will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Alverca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Casa Pia have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Alverca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
Alverca
1.4
1.7
Attack rating
3%
better
view stats
Games scored7
8
Failed to score4
3
Scored first4
3
Goals scored13
12
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
9
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first7
8
Goals conceded24
19
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against21%
18%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+6%

Casa Pia v Alverca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11335
G LarrazabalJ LivolantJ LivolantD Sousa 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Geraldes DEF11
1
-
G Larrazabal DEF111
2
-
Cassiano FWD112
2
-
J Livolant FWD1133
1
-
S Pérez MID10
2
-
R. Nhaga MID101
3
-
P Sequeira GLK9
2
-
J Fonte DEF91
1
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF8
2
-
I Mohamed MID81
3
-
M Sousa MID81
2
-
T Morais FWD8
1
-
D Sousa  DEF71
5
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD7
1
-
J Goulart DEF6
2
-
O Osundina FWD61
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
K Rocha DEF51
-
D Tchamba  DEF41
1
-
R Brito MID4
1
-
K Nsona  FWD41
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK3
1
-
K. Prieto Machado MID3
-
Y Oukili MID3
-
A Conté DEF21
-
X Severina FWD2
-
Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11324
A FilhoM MilovanovicLincolnK Naves
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Zoubdi DEF11
1
-
A Filho MID111
2
-
M Milovanovic FWD113
2
-
A Gomes GLK10
2
-
S Gómez DEF10
1
-
K Naves DEF10
3
1
C. Nuozzi FWD101
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF9
2
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF9
2
-
D. Gui MID91
1
-
Lincoln MID812
1
-
S Abdulai MID8
3
1
I. James DEF51
1
-
G Esteves DEF51
1
-
T Mendes MID51
1
-
G Rodríguez MID5
1
-
L Figueiredo FWD511
-
S Baseya DEF4
-
Chiquinho FWD4
2
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF3
-
S Diarra FWD2
-
M Mendes GLK1
-
S Lima FWD1
-