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Casa Pia v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Campo do Cevadeiro, Vila Franca de Xira

João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira's Casa Pia side enjoy home advantage in the Liga NOS on Monday night, as Ian Cathro's Estoril arrive at the Campo do Cevadeiro. Below you'll find predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible using the tabs below.

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Casa Pia's next match is v Braga at 20:30 on Saturday 10th May
Estoril's next match is v Moreirense at 18:00 on Sunday 11th May
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Casa Pia and Estoril was on Tuesday 29th April 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
April 29th 2025
Casa Pia 1
3 Estoril
 
C. Dias Moreira 43'21' Y. Begraoui
82' A. Marqués Méndez
87' J. Antunes Carvalho
 
EST
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
2
4
Corners
4
4
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
12
14
Yellow/red cards
2/1
1/1
 
Casa PiaEstoril
 

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Casa Pia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
43%
7/5
9%
-
Draw
25%
15/8
7%
-
Estoril
32%
23/10
6%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
9/2
8%
-
Casa Pia 1-0
9%
11/2
7%
-
Casa Pia 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
-
Estoril 1-0
8%
15/2
6%
-
Estoril 2-1
8%
12/1-
Casa Pia 2-0
7%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
11/2
19%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
13%
-
Estoril 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
-
Casa Pia 3-1
5%
22/1
21%
-
Casa Pia 3-0
4%
22/1
10%
-
Estoril 3-1
3%
28/1-
Casa Pia 3-2
3%
40/1
21%
-
Estoril 3-2
2%
40/1-
Estoril 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
7/5
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
8/15
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
7/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
11/2
19%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1/1
3%
-
BTTS - No
44%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
5/1
20%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
7/1
7%
-
Home/draw
68%
1/3
3%
-
Away/draw
57%
8/15
8%
-
Home/away
75%
2/5
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
4/9
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
13/8
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
7/2
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
2/11
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
10/1
22%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/20
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
22/1
21%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/80
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/10
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
6/1
13%
-
Home DNB
60%
8/13
6%
-
Away DNB
50%
6/5
8%
-
Casa Pia win to nil
22%
11/4
7%
-
Estoril win to nil
16%
4/1
9%
-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
21%
3/1
7%
-
Casa Pia / Estoril
2%
33/1-
Casa Pia / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Casa Pia
15%
9/2
10%
-
Draw / Estoril
13%
11/2
7%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
4%
-
Estoril / Casa Pia
3%
28/1-
Estoril / Estoril
16%
4/1
9%
-
Estoril / Draw
5%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 38 goals to 35 goals.

Home League Performance

Casa Pia have played 15 games at home winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Estoril are in 9th position in the Liga NOS on 39 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 20 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Estoril have conceded 32 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Casa Pia
Estoril
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3224625978 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Benfica3225345678 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
3
Porto3220573165 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-0A
4
Braga3219852665 
May 10
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
5
V. Guimaraes32141261354 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
6
Santa Clara3215611251 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-4F
w
 
2-3F
7
Famalicao32111110544 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
8
Casa Pia Home3211912-542 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-3F
9
Estoril Away3211912-942 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-2F
-
-
10
Moreirense329914-1136 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2A
May 11
11
Rio Ave329914-1636 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
12
Arouca3281014-1734 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
13
Nacional329617-1533 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
14
Gil Vicente328816-1332 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
15
Estrela Amadora327817-2129 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 17
w
 
2-4F
16
Sporting Farense325918-2124 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
17
Boavista326620-3124 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
18
AVS3241216-3324 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Casa Pia 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Estoril 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Casa Pia since 2023
Casa Pia
Estoril
Goals: Scored
2
2
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
D
2
League games at Estoril since 2023
Estoril
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
1
EST
2
Goal Statistics
Casa Pia 8th Estoril 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Casa Pia will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Casa Pia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+24
Estoril have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285313/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
Estoril
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
3%
better
EST
view stats
Games scored22
19
Failed to score8
11
Scored first13
12
Goals scored35
38
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for1
1.1
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
8%
better
EST
view stats
Games conceded24
24
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first16
15
Goals conceded38
48
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+8%

Casa Pia v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321049
L LeloCassianoL LeloG Larrazabal
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Lelo DEF3214
2
-
P Sequeira GLK31
3
-
J Goulart DEF312
5
-
G Larrazabal DEF3013
8
1
J Fonte DEF24
6
1
A Geraldes DEF241
5
-
A Kraev MID241
8
-
M Sousa MID24
3
-
Cassiano FWD24101
4
-
J Livolant FWD2432
1
1
M Svensson FWD2413
3
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD2311
1
-
R Kluivert DEF211
6
-
R Brito MID211
5
-
Pablo MID21
4
-
D Tchamba  DEF1921
4
-
Cauê FWD111
3
-
I Mohamed MID9
1
-
T Dias DEF6
1
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF6
1
-
O Osundina FWD6
-
R Batista GLK1
1
Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301048
P ÁlvaroA MarquésW. Cardoso PinaP Álvaro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Begraoui FWD3283
1
-
A Marqués FWD3110
1
-
P Álvaro DEF3011
8
-
W. Cardoso Pina DEF2924
5
1
J Robles GLK28
3
-
V Zanocelo MID282
8
-
P Amaral DEF272
3
-
K Boma DEF271
7
-
J Carvalho MID2663
4
1
J Holsgrove MID2613
5
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD2542
3
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD24
3
-
J Orellana MID2311
3
-
F Bacher DEF2111
6
-
R Guitane MID194
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF18
1
-
G Costa DEF162
1
-
Xeka  MID1411
6
-
I. Salazar Piriz FWD11
-
E Mangala DEF9
4
-
K Chamorro GLK3
-