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CD Nacional v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Sep, 16:00 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

the Estadio da Madeira crowd welcome Arouca's fans on Sunday afternoon, as Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido's CD Nacional take on Vasco Seabra's team in the Liga NOS. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are provided too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
45%
--
Draw
24%
--
Arouca
32%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Nacional 2-1
9%
--
Nacional 1-0
8%
--
Arouca 2-1
8%
--
Nacional 2-0
7%
--
Arouca 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Nacional 3-1
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Arouca 2-0
4%
--
Nacional 3-0
4%
--
Nacional 3-2
4%
--
Arouca 3-1
3%
--
Arouca 3-2
3%
--
Nacional 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
61%
--
BTTS - No
39%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
18%
--
Home/draw
68%
--
Away/draw
55%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
61%
--
Away DNB
48%
--
Nacional win to nil
21%
--
Arouca win to nil
14%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto44001012 
Feb 15
Sep 13
Sep 28
Mar 1
2
Famalicao4310510 
Nov 2
Mar 22
Oct 5
Mar 8
3
Benfica330059 
Nov 30
Apr 12
Mar 15
Oct 26
4
S. Lisbon4301109 
l
 
1-4F
Feb 1
Jan 25
l
 
6-0A
5
Moreirense430129 
Oct 5
Mar 8
Nov 2
Mar 22
6
Braga422068 
Mar 1
Sep 28
Nov 30
Apr 12
7
Gil Vicente421127 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
Dec 28
May 10
8
Arouca4121-45 
Sep 21
Feb 22
-
-
9
Nacional4112-34 
-
-
Feb 22
Sep 21
10
Santa Clara4112-34 
Dec 28
May 10
May 3
Dec 21
11
V. Guimaraes4112-44 
May 17
Jan 4
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
12
Rio Ave303003 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3F
Feb 1
13
Estrela Amadora4031-13 
Apr 4
Nov 9
Apr 19
Dec 7
14
Casa Pia4103-63 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
Sep 14
Feb 15
15
Estoril4022-22 
Mar 15
Oct 26
Apr 4
Nov 9
16
Alverca4013-51 
Apr 19
Dec 7
Dec 14
Apr 26
17
AVS4013-51 
May 3
Dec 21
w
 
3-1F
Jan 18
18
Tondela4013-71 
Dec 14
Apr 26
May 17
Jan 4
Win / draw / win form
6
Nacional have not won in 6 consecutive home league games
6
Arouca have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Nacional 9TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Nacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional3 - 1AVS
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
Nacional1 - 0Moreirense
Nacional0 - 0Boavista
Nacional2 - 0Santa Clara
Nacional0 - 3Braga
Nacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
Nacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 2Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1Rio Ave
HNacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
ANacional0 - 3Porto
HNacional3 - 3Rio Ave
HNacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
ANacional1 - 0Boavista
HNacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
ANacional0 - 1Santa Clara
HNacional3 - 1Casa Pia
ANacional0 - 3Benfica
HNacional2 - 1Famalicao
ANacional0 - 1Braga
HNacional2 - 2Estoril
ANacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
Arouca 8TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
S. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
Gil Vicente1 - 1Arouca
Santa Clara2 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Braga2 - 1Arouca
AVS0 - 1Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
Boavista1 - 3Arouca
Casa Pia3 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
Famalicao0 - 0Arouca
Estoril4 - 1Arouca
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Sporting Farense0 - 1Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 0Arouca
Moreirense3 - 1Arouca
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 3Rio Ave
AArouca0 - 6S. Lisbon
HArouca3 - 1AVS
HArouca4 - 1Boavista
AArouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
HArouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AArouca0 - 2Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca2 - 2Benfica
HArouca1 - 2Famalicao
AArouca1 - 2Braga
HArouca1 - 1Estoril
AArouca1 - 0AVS
HArouca0 - 2Porto
HArouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
AArouca2 - 2S. Lisbon
HArouca1 - 1Rio Ave
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca1 - 0Moreirense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Arouca have not lost to Nacional in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Arouca
Goals: Scored
4
5
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
2
ARO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
1 - 2Arouca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
Nacional
Goals: Scored
6
0
Games: Scored
3 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
0 / 3
ARO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
Arouca1 - 0
Arouca2 - 0
Arouca3 - 0
Goal Statistics

CD Nacional's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Arouca have conceded in each of their last 6 Liga NOS matches. A PG of 1.7 for T. Carvalho Margarido's side suggests that run should continue.

Nacional 9th Arouca 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
Arouca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
1.7
1.4
Attack rating
NAC
ARO
37%
better
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score1
1
Scored first1
2
Goals scored2
6
Avg. goals scored0.5
1.5
Avg. shots per game5
6
Avg. shots per goal11
4
Conversion rate for10
26
Avg. XG for1.1
0.8
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
6%
better
NAC
ARO
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded7
10
Avg. goals conceded1.8
2.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
4
Conversion rate against18%
26%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+6%

Nacional v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4224
L FrançaChuchuJ. Mendes GomesUlisses
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK4
1
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF42
-
J Aurélio DEF4
-
L Santos DEF41
-
Liziero  MID41
1
-
F Soares MID4
2
-
M Dias MID4
1
-
Chuchu FWD42
1
-
P Bóia FWD41
1
-
Witi FWD4
-
Ulisses DEF3
3
1
Z Vitor DEF3
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues MID3
-
J Silva MID3
-
C. Abidi MID3
-
L João FWD2
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD2
1
1
L Vallier DEF1
-
A Sousa MID1
-
M. Nourani FWD1
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4322
J ValidoA TrezzaH. LeeJ Fontán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Valido GLK4
-
J Fontán DEF41
2
-
A Dante DEF4
-
H. Lee MID42
1
-
P Santos MID4
-
T Fukui MID41
-
A Trezza FWD432
-
N Djouahra  FWD43
-
A Pinto DEF3
1
-
A Solà DEF3
1
-
B Popovic DEF3
-
T Esgaio DEF3
1
-
M. Flores Lozano MID3
-
B Pinto MID3
-
Barbero FWD3
1
-
D Nandin FWD3
1
M Puche FWD3
1
-
B Mansilla FWD31
-
M Rocha DEF1
1
-
P Gozálbez MID1
-