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CD Nacional v CD Santa Clara : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Jan, 15:30 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Sunday afternoon sees Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido’s CD Nacional and Vasco Miguel Lopes Matos’s CD Santa Clara go head to head in a Liga NOS battle at the Estadio da Madeira. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's fairly unlikely that this game will have 4+ goals, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Nacional and Santa Clara have rarely served up thrillers of late, whether that be in Liga NOS individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Santa Clara coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
35%
41/20-
Draw
27%
39/20-
Santa Clara
38%
4/3-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Santa Clara 1-0
11%
11/2-
Nacional 1-0
10%
13/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
11/2-
Santa Clara 2-1
8%
9/1-
Nacional 2-1
8%
11/1-
Santa Clara 2-0
7%
9/1-
Nacional 2-0
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1-
Santa Clara 3-1
3%
22/1-
Nacional 3-1
3%
28/1-
Santa Clara 3-0
3%
22/1-
Nacional 3-0
2%
33/1-
Santa Clara 3-2
2%
40/1-
Nacional 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
6/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
1/2-
Home 1st Goal
47%
5/4-
Away 1st Goal
48%
10/11-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/2-
BTTS - Yes
50%
11/10-
BTTS - No
50%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
7/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/1-
Home/draw
62%
8/15-
Away/draw
65%
4/11-
Home/away
73%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
6/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
25/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/100-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/9-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
11/2-
Home DNB
54%
6/5-
Away DNB
57%
8/13-
Nacional win to nil
20%
7/2-
Santa Clara win to nil
22%
5/2-
Nacional / Nacional
15%
9/2-
Nacional / Santa Clara
3%
28/1-
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Nacional
13%
11/2-
Draw / Santa Clara
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Santa Clara / Nacional
2%
33/1-
Santa Clara / Santa Clara
21%
3/1-
Santa Clara / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. Nacional have outscored their opponents by 17 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Nacional have played 7 games at home winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 5 games. They have scored 9 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Santa Clara are in 14th position in the Liga NOS on 16 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Santa Clara have conceded 13 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Santa Clara
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1514102943 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
Jan 4
May 17
2
S. Lisbon1512213438 
l
 
1-4F
Feb 1
l
 
1-2F
Apr 4
3
Benfica1510502335 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
Feb 15
d
 
1-1A
4
Gil Vicente157531026 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 17
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
5
Braga157441325 
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
6
Famalicao16655723 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
Jan 18
l
 
3-0A
7
Moreirense15636-321 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
l
 
0-1A
Jan 24
8
V. Guimaraes15636-521 
May 17
Jan 2
Mar 8
l
 
2-1F
9
Estoril16556120 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
w
 
0-1F
10
Estrela Amadora16466-418 
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
11
Rio Ave15384-517 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
12
Alverca16529-1117 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Feb 22
13
Nacional15447-416 
-
-
May 10
Jan 11
14
Santa Clara15447-416 
Jan 11
May 10
-
-
15
Casa Pia15348-1313 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
16
Arouca15348-2213 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
17
Tondela152310-189 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
18
AVS150411-284 
May 3
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
Win / draw / win form
5
Santa Clara have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Nacional 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
Nacional0 - 1Famalicao
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Nacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional3 - 1AVS
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
Nacional1 - 0Moreirense
Nacional0 - 0Boavista
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1Rio Ave
HNacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
ANacional0 - 3Porto
HNacional3 - 3Rio Ave
HNacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Santa Clara 14TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga1 - 0Santa Clara
Rio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
Gil Vicente1 - 0Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica1 - 1Santa Clara
Estoril0 - 1Santa Clara
Famalicao3 - 0Santa Clara
Sporting Farense1 - 2Santa Clara
Braga1 - 1Santa Clara
Rio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
Gil Vicente0 - 1Santa Clara
Boavista1 - 0Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
AVS1 - 2Santa Clara
Porto1 - 1Santa Clara
Famalicao1 - 2Santa Clara
Arouca1 - 0Santa Clara
S. Lisbon0 - 1Santa Clara
Nacional2 - 0Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSanta Clara0 - 0Arouca
ASanta Clara0 - 1Braga
HSanta Clara1 - 0Casa Pia
ASanta Clara1 - 1Rio Ave
HSanta Clara1 - 2S. Lisbon
ASanta Clara0 - 1Gil Vicente
HSanta Clara2 - 0AVS
ASanta Clara1 - 2V. Guimaraes
HSanta Clara1 - 2Tondela
HSanta Clara2 - 1Alverca
ASanta Clara1 - 1Benfica
ASanta Clara1 - 0Estoril
HSanta Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
HSanta Clara0 - 1Moreirense
ASanta Clara0 - 3Famalicao
ASanta Clara2 - 1Sporting Farense
HSanta Clara2 - 1Famalicao
ASanta Clara1 - 1Braga
HSanta Clara2 - 0Arouca
ASanta Clara1 - 1Rio Ave
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nacional since 2018
Nacional
Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
3
6
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
NAC
1
SCL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Nacional2 - 0
1 - 3Santa Clara
0 - 3Santa Clara
League games at Santa Clara since 2019
Santa Clara
Nacional
Goals: Scored
8
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
SCL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santa Clara
Santa Clara1 - 0
Santa Clara5 - 1
Santa Clara2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for CD Santa Clara of late. It has been 6 Liga NOS matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against CD Nacional.

Nacional 13th Santa Clara 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Santa Clara will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-28
Santa Clara have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Santa Clara
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
%
better
NAC
SCL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
NAC
SCL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Nacional v Santa Clara Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15935
Liziero ChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Liziero  MID153
4
-
Chuchu FWD159
4
-
P Bóia FWD1521
3
-
L Santos DEF142
5
-
M Dias MID14
1
1
Witi FWD14
2
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF1313
1
-
Z Vitor DEF133
3
1
C. Abidi MID131
3
-
J Aurélio DEF12
2
-
F Soares MID10
2
-
K Azarias GLK9
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD9
1
1
L João FWD9
-
J Silva MID7
-
L França GLK6
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
L Vallier DEF5
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
A Sousa MID51
1
-
A Duarte DEF4
-
M Baeza MID4
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF3
1
-
Santa Clara Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15426
G BatistaV LopesW. da Silva CostaS. Pena De Lima
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Batista GLK15
-
S. Pena De Lima DEF15
5
1
A Firmino MID15
5
1
S. Lobo Araújo MID1531
5
-
P Ferreira MID15
2
-
P Victor DEF12
4
1
F Venâncio DEF121
2
-
MT MID121
2
-
L Soares MID12
2
-
Brenner FWD12
1
-
V Lopes FWD124
3
-
W. da Silva Costa FWD1112
2
-
M Pereira DEF101
2
-
Calila MID10
3
-
G Silva FWD101
1
-
L Rocha DEF9
3
-
Luquinhas FWD8
1
-
J. Augusto Mourão Costa FWD71
-
E Manoel FWD6
1
-
A. Carter FWD51
1
-