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Moreirense v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu, Moreira de Conegos

Sunday evening at the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu, and it’s a Liga NOS showdown between Moreirense and Estrela Amadora. Rui Manuel Gomes Borges and Sergio Agostinho de Oliveira Vieira going all-out to ensure the win. In this preview you'll find the best odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be viewed, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.

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Moreirense 's next match is v Portimonense at 15:30 on Sunday 28th April
Estrela Amadora's next match is v Sporting Farense at 20:15 on Monday 29th April
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Moreirense and Estrela Amadora was on Sunday 7th April 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
April 7th 2024
Moreirense 2
2 Estrela Amadora
 
A. de Castro Pereira 26'54' A. Inácio da Silva
B. Brigido de Oliveira (OG) 43'83' J. Alves Rodrigues
 
MOR
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
2
6
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
14
14
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/1
 
MoreirenseEstrela Amadora
 
K. Oliveira Silva
F. de Souza Silva
G. Owusu Frimpong
C. dos Santos Rodrigues
J. de Brito Gonzaga
G. Franco
R. Valente Ramos
A. de Castro Pereirafootball icon (M. Barrozo Rodrigues 78')
V. Mingotti (L. Nlavo Asue 70')
J. Gomes Camacho
K. Kodisang (P. Santos Aparício 70')
football iconB. Brigido de Oliveira
(J. Nogueira da Silva 84') H. Ciriaco Santos
D. Fernandes Fonseca
H. Almeida Costa Lopes
(R. Rocha Lima 59') K. Gaspar
J. Lima Santos
L. Bucca
(L. Cordeiro de Lima Silva 46') A. de Souza Genézio
football iconA. Inácio da Silva
(J. Alves Rodrigues 46') R. Rodrigues Tavares
(R. N'do 46') L. Rodrigues Lima
Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Moreirense and Estrela Amadora go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the teams in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The stats don't give us any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.70 with the bookmakers, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day for this tie.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Moreirense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Moreirense
48%
6/5
15%
23/20
8%
11/10
8%
21/20
5%
Draw
29%
21/10
9%
11/5
3%
11/5
6%
9/4
2%
Estrela Amadora
23%
12/5
15%
5/2
10%
11/4
6%
13/5
6%
Moreirense 1-0
16%
11/25/1
9%
5/1
8%
5/1
5%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
5/111/227/5
2%
Draw 0-0
12%
13/2
12%
6/1
8%
13/2
17%
13/2
Moreirense 2-0
10%
17/2
12%
15/2
13%
8/115/2
6%
Estrela Amadora 1-0
10%
15/2
15%
7/18/1
18%
15/2
Moreirense 2-1
8%
17/2
6%
15/28/1
6%
8/1
Estrela Amadora 2-1
5%
11/1
20%
10/1
8%
12/123/2
4%
Moreirense 3-0
4%
20/1
40%
14/1
15%
18/1
12%
16/1
6%
Estrela Amadora 2-0
4%
14/1
29%
12/1
13%
16/1
11%
15/1
6%
Moreirense 3-1
3%
20/1
24%
14/118/1
12%
17/1
Draw 2-2
3%
16/114/116/1
13%
16/1
6%
Moreirense 3-2
1%
33/1
17%
25/133/1
17%
33/1
Moreirense 4-0
1%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
50/1
24%
40/1
14%
Estrela Amadora 3-1
1%
33/122/1
12%
33/130/1
11%
Moreirense 4-1
1%
40/1
21%
28/150/1
24%
45/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
27/20
12%
-11/8
19%
7/5
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
4/7
8%
-8/15
12%
13/25
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/11
10%
-4/5
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
6/4
9%
-6/4-
No 1st Goal
9%
13/2
12%
-6/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
40%
1/1
3%
21/20
5%
11/10
15%
11/10
2%
BTTS - No
60%
3/4
3%
8/11
5%
4/6
9%
4/6
2%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
9/2
22%
19/54/1
19%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/418/5
4%
18/5
2%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
7/1
6%
6/1
13%
7/1
7%
-
Home/draw
77%
3/10
7%
3/10
4%
2/7
3%
7/25
2%
Away/draw
52%
4/6
9%
4/6
7%
8/11
5%
8/11
4%
Home/away
71%
4/11
5%
1/31/3
2%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
4/9
6%
-4/9
6%
11/25
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
13/8
13%
-13/8
12%
33/20
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
10/3
15%
-7/2
20%
18/5
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/5
4%
-1/6
6%
1/6
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
9/1
25%
-8/1
29%
19/2
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/16
2%
-1/20
3%
1/40
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
20/1
11%
---
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/66
1%
---
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/12
1%
-1/12
2%
1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
7/1
6%
-6/1
13%
13/2
Home DNB
68%
8/15
13%
1/2
7%
4/9
3%
12/25
4%
Away DNB
44%
11/8
21%
7/5
11%
13/8
4%
13/8
8%
Moreirense win to nil
32%
12/5
13%
-2/1
3%
-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
15%
4/1
23%
-9/2
15%
-
Moreirense / Moreirense
24%
11/4
21%
12/5
10%
12/5
10%
12/5
6%
Moreirense / Estrela Amadora
2%
33/125/1
10%
40/140/1
11%
Moreirense / Draw
6%
14/112/114/114/1
Draw / Moreirense
16%
4/1
5%
19/5
4%
4/1
9%
21/5
2%
Draw / Estrela Amadora
11%
6/1
18%
6/1
7%
15/2
6%
7/1
6%
Draw / Draw
19%
7/2
10%
16/5
3%
10/3
13%
18/5
3%
Estrela Amadora / Moreirense
3%
28/1
12%
20/128/1
12%
28/1
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
14%
9/2
21%
9/2
8%
5/1
8%
5/1
5%
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/112/114/114/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Moreirense have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Moreirense have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Moreirense have played 13 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 26 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Estrela Amadora have conceded 36 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Moreirense
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Estrela Amadora
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
 S. Lisbon3026226080 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
 Benfica3023434473 
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-0A
 Porto3019563162 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
 Braga3019562262 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
 V. Guimaraes3017671357 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Arouca30135121144 
l
 
1-4F
May 5
-
-
 Moreirense Home3012711-443 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Famalicao3081210-536 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-4F
May 12
 Casa Pia308814-1332 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Sporting Farense308715-531 
Apr 29
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-4F
 Rio Ave305169-631 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Gil Vicente308715-1131 
May 19
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Boavista307914-2130 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 19
w
 
1-3F
 Estoril308616-730 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
 Estrela Amadora A3061113-1429 
-
-
w
 
5-2F
Apr 28
 Portimonense307716-3028 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Chaves305817-3223 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
May 5
d
 
0-00-0
 Vizela304917-3321 
d
 
1-1F
May 12
Win / draw / win form
Moreirense 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Estrela Amadora 15TH
13 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
8
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
6 / 13
Conceded
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
Failed to score
7 / 13
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Moreirense of late. It has been 10 Liga NOS matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday evening against Estrela Amadora.

Moreirense 7th Estrela Amadora 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Moreirense will score no more than 1 goal
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Moreirense have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-40
Estrela Amadora have scored 40% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/265185/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Moreirense
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.3
0.8
Attack rating
MOR
4%
better
view stats
Games scored18
20
Failed to score12
10
Scored first15
13
Goals scored30
32
Avg. goals scored1
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate12%
13%
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
26%
better
MOR
view stats
Games conceded17
25
Clean sheets13
5
Conceded first11
15
Goals conceded34
46
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate13%
14%
KickOff rating
+26%

Moreirense v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29347
KewinJ CamachoG FrancoG Franco
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Kewin GLK29
1
-
F Silva DEF2111
4
-
Ponck DEF14
2
-
M Maracás DEF262
6
-
G Frimpong DEF2612
1
-
A Castro MID101
1
-
Ismael MID16
4
-
G Franco MID284
7
-
K Kodisang MID2713
-
J Camacho MID2534
2
-
V Mingotti FWD11
2
-
Subs
Mika GLK
-
P Amador DEF201
-
Marcelo DEF222
4
-
G Batista DEF1
-
D Pinto DEF112
3
-
P Aparício MID151
2
-
M. Fernandes Rebelo MID
-
M Aiás FWD142
-
L Nlavo FWD10
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25748
L CordeiroKikasL JabáK Gaspar
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Brígido GLK21
-
K Gaspar DEF231
8
-
M Lopes DEF14
2
1
D Fonseca DEF5
-
Hevertton MID241
2
1
A Aloísio MID2211
6
-
L Bucca MID101
2
-
Mansur MID151
4
-
A Luiz MID224
2
-
L Jabá FWD2654
3
-
R Tavares FWD223
2
-
Subs
A Filipe GLK3
-
P Mendes DEF11
1
-
J Felipe DEF2112
-
R Lima DEF101
3
-
Nanu DEF9
1
-
P Sá  MID16
1
-
L Cordeiro MID283
4
-
R Ndo FWD1811
4
-
Kikas FWD2671
4
-