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Moreirense v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 3rd May, 01:00 BST, Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu, Moreira de Conegos

Moreirense are in Liga NOS action on Sunday morning, as Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa attempts to outsmart João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu and his Estrela Amadora side at the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Moreirense
44%
--
Draw
26%
--
Estrela Amadora
29%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Moreirense 1-0
11%
--
Moreirense 2-1
9%
--
Estrela Amadora 1-0
9%
--
Moreirense 2-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-0
5%
--
Moreirense 3-1
4%
--
Moreirense 3-0
4%
--
Estrela Amadora 3-1
3%
--
Moreirense 3-2
2%
--
Estrela Amadora 3-2
2%
--
Estrela Amadora 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
51%
--
BTTS - No
49%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
71%
--
Away/draw
56%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
63%
--
Away DNB
48%
--
Moreirense win to nil
25%
--
Estrela Amadora win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Moreirense have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 33 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Moreirense have played 14 games at home winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 28 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 8 and won 3. Estrela Amadora have conceded 44 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Moreirense
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3025414779 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
Apr 26
l
 
3-1A
2
Benfica3021904472 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 26
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
3
S. Lisbon2922525571 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
4
Braga2915862853 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
3-3A
May 17
5
Famalicao3013981148 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
May 10
w
 
2-3A
6
Gil Vicente30121081346 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
7
V. Guimaraes3011613-739 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
8
Estoril2910712137 
Apr 20
d
 
3-3F
l
 
0-5A
d
 
1-1A
9
Moreirense2910613-936 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
10
Alverca309813-1635 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
11
Arouca3010515-2035 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
12
Rio Ave3081012-1734 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
13
Santa Clara307815-1129 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Nacional307716-928 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
15
Estrela Amadora3061014-1628 
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
16
Casa Pia2951113-2426 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-5A
17
Tondela294916-2721 
w
 
1-0F
May 10
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
18
AVS3011019-4313 
May 17
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Moreirense 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense0 - 1Braga
Moreirense0 - 1Arouca
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Moreirense0 - 3S. Lisbon
Moreirense1 - 2Gil Vicente
Moreirense1 - 0Santa Clara
Moreirense1 - 0Tondela
Moreirense0 - 4Benfica
Moreirense2 - 2Famalicao
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Moreirense3 - 1Rio Ave
Moreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 1Alverca
Moreirense2 - 2Estoril
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Moreirense0 - 2Rio Ave
Moreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense1 - 0Boavista
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMoreirense1 - 1Famalicao
HMoreirense0 - 1Braga
HMoreirense0 - 1Arouca
AMoreirense0 - 3Porto
HMoreirense1 - 1Nacional
AMoreirense1 - 1Casa Pia
HMoreirense0 - 3S. Lisbon
AMoreirense2 - 1Rio Ave
HMoreirense1 - 2Gil Vicente
AMoreirense0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HMoreirense1 - 0Santa Clara
AMoreirense1 - 2Alverca
HMoreirense1 - 0Tondela
AMoreirense2 - 0AVS
AMoreirense0 - 0Estrela Amadora
HMoreirense0 - 4Benfica
AMoreirense3 - 3Estoril
HMoreirense2 - 2Famalicao
AMoreirense1 - 2Braga
AMoreirense2 - 0Arouca
Estrela Amadora 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave2 - 1Estrela Amadora
AVS0 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
Alverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Benfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao2 - 3Estrela Amadora
Porto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Nacional
HEstrela Amadora4 - 0Casa Pia
AEstrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0AVS
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2Tondela
AEstrela Amadora1 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Santa Clara
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Alverca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Benfica
HEstrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
HEstrela Amadora3 - 3Braga
AEstrela Amadora3 - 2Famalicao
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Moreirense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 3Porto
HEstrela Amadora3 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4S. Lisbon
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Moreirense since 2024
Moreirense
Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Moreirense
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Estrela Amadora since 2023
Estrela Amadora
Moreirense
Goals: Scored
2
2
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
MOR
1
D
1
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estrela Amadora
Draw0 - 0Draw
Estrela Amadora2 - 1
0 - 1Moreirense
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Moreirense of late. It has been 7 Liga NOS games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday morning against Estrela Amadora.

Moreirense 9th Estrela Amadora 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Moreirense will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Moreirense have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-29
Estrela Amadora have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Moreirense
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
16%
better
MOR
view stats
Games scored20
16
Failed to score9
13
Scored first14
7
Goals scored32
33
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game6
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
14
Avg. XG for0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
8%
better
MOR
view stats
Games conceded22
22
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first14
18
Goals conceded41
48
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+8%

Moreirense v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
289611
AlanzinhoG SchettineD PintoM Maracás
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Alanzinho MID2835
7
-
M Stjepanovic MID281
6
-
M Maracás DEF263
10
1
K Bondoso FWD263
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF2443
2
-
G Batista DEF24
3
-
D Pinto DEF2316
8
-
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF2311
5
-
R Alonso MID2232
4
-
A Ferreira GLK20
2
-
C Teguia FWD17
1
-
L Semedo FWD1721
-
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD1611
4
-
G Schettine FWD1591
1
-
?. Martínez Navarro DEF14
1
1
A. Cunha Almeida MID141
3
-
Bernardo MID1411
1
-
Marcelo DEF121
5
-
C Secco GLK9
2
-
V Sousa MID91
2
1
J. Gower MID7
-
Michel DEF4
1
-
L Ofori MID41
-
J Jorquera FWD4
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30658
R RibeiroKikasA MarcusP. Valente Moreira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK30
3
-
I Stoica FWD2922
4
-
L Patrick DEF28
3
1
A Marcus FWD2755
1
1
R Pinho FWD2641
3
-
B Schappo DEF25
5
-
P. Valente Moreira MID2532
7
1
J Cabral FWD235
5
-
J Encada DEF222
5
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD202
1
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID171
4
-
Kikas FWD1761
-
S Cabral DEF1553
3
-
A Chernev DEF15
4
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID14
2
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF11
2
-
O Ngom MID111
4
1
L Antonetti FWD10
-
A Godoy FWD61
1
-
R Sousa DEF4
-
J. Gastão FWD31
2
-
I Dramé DEF1
-