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Moreirense v Tondela : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Jan, 18:00 BST, Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu, Moreira de Conegos

the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu faithful welcome Tondela's travelling contingent on Sunday evening, as Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa's Moreirense go head to head with Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira's charges in the Liga NOS. We have predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head stats across every market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Liga NOS clash.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Moreirense and Tondela will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa or Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.40 equating to about a 77% probability.

There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Moreirense and Tondela an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Moreirense 50%	6/5	-
Draw 24%	41/20	-
Tondela 26%	11/5	-
Draw 1-1 11%	5/1	-
Moreirense 1-0 10%	6/1	-
Moreirense 2-1 10%	17/2	-
Moreirense 2-0 8%	9/1	-
Tondela 1-0 7%	15/2	-
Tondela 2-1 7%	11/1	-
Draw 0-0 6%	7/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	-
Moreirense 3-1 5%	20/1	-
Moreirense 3-0 5%	20/1	-
Tondela 2-0 4%	14/1	-
Moreirense 3-2 3%	33/1	-
Tondela 3-1 3%	28/1	-
Moreirense 4-1 2%	40/1	-
Tondela 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	5/4	-
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	8/13	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	5/6	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	6/5	-
No 1st Goal 3%	7/1	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	19/20	-
BTTS - No 44%	4/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 24%	9/2	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	6/1	-
Home/draw 74%	4/11	-
Away/draw 50%	8/13	-
Home/away 76%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	2/5	-
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	7/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	3/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	2/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	8/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/14	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	18/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/50	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/12	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	7/1	-
Home DNB 67%	8/13	-
Away DNB 43%	6/5	-
Moreirense win to nil 26%	11/4	-
Tondela win to nil 13%	4/1	-
Moreirense / Moreirense 22%	11/4	-
Moreirense / Tondela 2%	33/1	-
Moreirense / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Moreirense 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Tondela 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4	-
Tondela / Moreirense 3%	28/1	-
Tondela / Tondela 17%	4/1	-
Tondela / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Moreirense have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Moreirense have outscored their opponents by 21 goals to 9 goals.

Home League Performance

Moreirense have played 7 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 11 goals at home.

Tondela are in 17th position in the Liga NOS on 9 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Tondela have conceded 25 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Moreirense Tondela
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Porto	15	14	1	0	29	43	l 1-2F	Mar 15	l 0-2A	Apr 19
2	S. Lisbon	15	12	2	1	34	38	Feb 22	l 3-0A	l 0-3A	Mar 15
3	Benfica	15	10	5	0	23	35	l 0-4A	Apr 26	Feb 1	l 3-0A
4	Gil Vicente	15	7	5	3	10	26	Feb 8	l 2-0A	Apr 12	w 0-1F
5	Braga	15	7	4	4	13	25	Apr 4	l 2-1A	Jan 18	l 3-0A
6	Famalicao	16	6	5	5	7	23	d 2-2A	Apr 12	l 0-1A	Jan 25
7	Moreirense	15	6	3	6	-3	21	-	-	May 10	Jan 11
8	V. Guimaraes	15	6	3	6	-5	21	w 2-0F	Feb 1	l 0-1A	Apr 4
9	Estoril	16	5	5	6	1	20	Apr 19	d 3-3F	d 2-2A	Feb 8
10	Estrela Amadora	16	4	6	6	-4	18	May 3	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	Feb 22
11	Rio Ave	15	3	8	4	-5	17	w 3-1F	Feb 15	Mar 8	l 3-0A
12	Alverca	16	5	2	9	-11	17	w 2-1F	Jan 17	Feb 15	l 1-0A
13	Nacional	15	4	4	7	-4	16	Mar 8	l 3-2F	Apr 26	l 3-1F
14	Santa Clara	15	4	4	7	-4	16	Jan 24	w 0-1F	Mar 1	w 1-2F
15	Casa Pia	15	3	4	8	-13	13	w 2-1A	Mar 1	l 1-2F	May 3
16	Arouca	15	3	4	8	-22	13	Mar 22	w 0-2F	Jan 3	May 17
17	Tondela	15	2	3	10	-18	9	Jan 11	May 10	-	-
18	AVS	15	0	4	11	-28	4	May 17	Jan 3	Mar 22	d 2-2F

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Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense	0 - 4	Benfica
Moreirense	2 - 2	Famalicao
Moreirense	1 - 2	Porto
Moreirense	2 - 1	Casa Pia
Moreirense	3 - 1	Rio Ave
Moreirense	2 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Moreirense	2 - 1	Alverca
Moreirense	2 - 2	Estoril
Moreirense	1 - 1	Nacional
Moreirense	0 - 2	Rio Ave
Moreirense	2 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Moreirense	1 - 0	Boavista
Moreirense	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Moreirense	3 - 2	Casa Pia
Moreirense	1 - 2	Braga
Moreirense	0 - 0	Sporting Farense
Moreirense	1 - 1	AVS
Moreirense	0 - 3	Porto
Moreirense	2 - 1	S. Lisbon
Moreirense	3 - 2	Gil Vicente

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Moreirense	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	Moreirense	0 - 4	Benfica
A	Moreirense	3 - 3	Estoril
H	Moreirense	2 - 2	Famalicao
A	Moreirense	1 - 2	Braga
A	Moreirense	2 - 0	Arouca
H	Moreirense	1 - 2	Porto
A	Moreirense	2 - 3	Nacional
H	Moreirense	2 - 1	Casa Pia
A	Moreirense	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
H	Moreirense	3 - 1	Rio Ave
A	Moreirense	0 - 2	Gil Vicente
H	Moreirense	2 - 0	V. Guimaraes
A	Moreirense	1 - 0	Santa Clara
H	Moreirense	2 - 1	Alverca
A	Moreirense	3 - 0	AVS
H	Moreirense	2 - 2	Estoril
A	Moreirense	1 - 3	Porto
H	Moreirense	1 - 1	Nacional
A	Moreirense	1 - 3	S. Lisbon

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional	3 - 1	Tondela
Gil Vicente	0 - 1	Tondela
AVS	2 - 2	Tondela
Rio Ave	3 - 0	Tondela
Santa Clara	1 - 2	Tondela
Alverca	1 - 0	Tondela
Benfica	3 - 0	Tondela
Braga	3 - 0	Tondela
Gil Vicente	3 - 0	Tondela
P. Ferreira	1 - 1	Tondela
Moreirense	2 - 0	Tondela
Maratimo	1 - 3	Tondela
Porto	4 - 0	Tondela
Famalicao	2 - 1	Tondela
Estoril	1 - 0	Tondela
Portimonense	1 - 2	Tondela
Santa Clara	2 - 2	Tondela
Boavista	1 - 1	Tondela
V. Guimaraes	5 - 2	Tondela
S. Lisbon	2 - 0	Tondela

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Tondela	1 - 2	Casa Pia
A	Tondela	1 - 3	Nacional
H	Tondela	0 - 2	Porto
A	Tondela	1 - 0	Gil Vicente
H	Tondela	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
A	Tondela	2 - 2	AVS
H	Tondela	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
A	Tondela	0 - 3	Rio Ave
A	Tondela	2 - 1	Santa Clara
H	Tondela	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
A	Tondela	0 - 1	Alverca
H	Tondela	2 - 2	Estoril
A	Tondela	0 - 3	Benfica
H	Tondela	0 - 1	Famalicao
A	Tondela	0 - 3	Braga
H	Tondela	2 - 2	Boavista
A	Tondela	0 - 3	Gil Vicente
A	Tondela	1 - 1	P. Ferreira
H	Tondela	1 - 1	V. Guimaraes
A	Tondela	0 - 2	Moreirense

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Moreirense

Tondela

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

1 / 7

MOR

CDT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Moreirense
Moreirense	2 - 0
	2 - 3	Tondela
	1 - 2	Tondela
Moreirense	2 - 0
	0 - 3	Tondela
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Tondela

Tondela

Moreirense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

1 / 7

MOR

CDT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tondela
Tondela	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Tondela	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Moreirense
	1 - 2	Moreirense
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Tondela of late. It has been 5 Liga NOS matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday evening against Moreirense .

	Moreirense 7th	Tondela 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Moreirense will score 1 or more goals	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Tondela will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+13 Moreirense have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted	-16 Tondela have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season

better

MOR

CDT

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

MOR

CDT

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Moreirense v Tondela Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	8	6	6
D Pinto	G Schettine	D Pinto	M Maracás

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Pinto DEF	15	1	6	4 -
M Stjepanovic MID	15			3 -
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF	14	1	1	3 -
Alanzinho MID	14	2	4	5 -
G Schettine FWD	14	8	1	1 -
M Maracás DEF	13	1		5 1
Bernardo MID	12	1	1	1 -
K Bondoso FWD	12		2	-
D. Martins Travassos DEF	11	2		1 -
G Batista DEF	11			1 -
Marcelo DEF	11	1		5 -
C Teguia FWD	11			1 -
V Sousa MID	9	1		2 1
A Ferreira GLK	8			1 -
R Alonso MID	8		1	1 -
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD	8	1	1	2 -
C Secco GLK	7			1 -
A. Cunha Almeida MID	7	1		2 -
?. Martínez Navarro DEF	6			1 -
L Semedo FWD	6	1		-
L Ofori MID	4		1	-
J Jorquera FWD	4			-
Michel DEF	2			-
J. Gower MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	14	6	5
G Schettine	G Schettine	D Pinto	D Pinto

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Schettine FWD	8	14	1	1
Alanzinho MID	2	6	4	5
D. Martins Travassos DEF	2	4		1
D Pinto DEF	1	5	6	5
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF	1	1	1
M Maracás DEF	1	2
Bernardo MID	1	8	1	1
Marcelo DEF	1	2
V Sousa MID	1	3
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD	1	2	1	1
A. Cunha Almeida MID	1	1
L Semedo FWD	1	2
M Stjepanovic MID		1		2
K Bondoso FWD		1	2	3
G Batista DEF		2
R Alonso MID			1	1
C Secco GLK				1
L Ofori MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
735	35	87
M Maracás	D Pinto	D Pinto

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Maracás DEF	735	13	56
M Stjepanovic MID	579	15	29
Marcelo DEF	564	11	55
D Pinto DEF	540	35	87
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF	514	26	46
Alanzinho MID	446	13	38
G Batista DEF	345	4	15
A Ferreira GLK	267		4
D. Martins Travassos DEF	241	18	51
Bernardo MID	231	18	42
K Bondoso FWD	231	13	32
G Schettine FWD	204	6	50
V Sousa MID	189	7	28
C Secco GLK	188	1	4
C Teguia FWD	171	9	25
A. Cunha Almeida MID	138	4	8
?. Martínez Navarro DEF	107	4	11
R Alonso MID	89	4	9
Michel DEF	82	2	6
L Ofori MID	69	4	11
L Semedo FWD	52	1	12
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD	49	4	23
J Jorquera FWD	10	1	3
J. Gower MID	2		1

Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	3	2	7
B Fontes	P Henryque	R Lopes	B Medina

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Fontes GLK	15			1 -
T. Silva Manso DEF	15	1		4 -
J. Rodríguez López MID	15			3 -
P Henryque FWD	15	3	1	4 -
C Marques DEF	13			2 -
E Maviram DEF	13	1		2 -
B Medina DEF	12			5 2
S Sithole MID	12	1		3 -
I Cavaleiro FWD	12	2		1 -
Jordan FWD	11			2 -
Y. Augusto FWD	11			-
H Tavares MID	10			1 1
H. Sequeira MID	10			1 -
Bebeto DEF	9			3 -
J Hodge MID	8			-
J. Rodriguez FWD	8			1 -
R Lopes FWD	7	1	2	1 -
M. Sie Ouattara FWD	7			-
J Afonso DEF	6			2 -
C. Alves Santana MID	6			2 -
R Vita DEF	4			2 -
Xabi Huarte MID	4			-
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID	4			-
A Rodrigues FWD	4			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	17	2	3
P Henryque	P Henryque	R Lopes	P Henryque

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Henryque FWD	3	17	1	3
I Cavaleiro FWD	2	4		3
T. Silva Manso DEF	1	4		2
E Maviram DEF	1	2		2
S Sithole MID	1	1
R Lopes FWD	1	5	2	3
J. Rodríguez López MID		1		1
C Marques DEF		1		1
B Medina DEF		1
Jordan FWD		7
Y. Augusto FWD		3		2
H. Sequeira MID		3		1
J Hodge MID				1
J. Rodriguez FWD		2
C. Alves Santana MID		1
Xabi Huarte MID		2
A Rodrigues FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
481	31	77
C Marques	B Medina	P Henryque

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Marques DEF	481	12	36
B Fontes GLK	438	2	7
B Medina DEF	389	31	60
S Sithole MID	380	14	38
J. Rodríguez López MID	373	21	45
T. Silva Manso DEF	304	24	57
E Maviram DEF	300	15	36
P Henryque FWD	254	27	77
Bebeto DEF	253	29	50
I Cavaleiro FWD	225	4	31
H. Sequeira MID	207	6	23
J Afonso DEF	199	12	34
J Hodge MID	154	5	10
R Lopes FWD	135	6	11
Jordan FWD	127	2	35
C. Alves Santana MID	116	9	19
H Tavares MID	100	10	20
R Vita DEF	95	4	9
Y. Augusto FWD	77	7	26
M. Sie Ouattara FWD	60	1	19
Xabi Huarte MID	32	5	7
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID	30	3	6
J. Rodriguez FWD	24	5	12
A Rodrigues FWD	20	2	8