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FC Porto v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 21:15 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

FC Porto are in Liga NOS action on Sunday night, as Francesco Baldini looks to get one over on Jose Mourinho and his Benfica side at the Estádio do Dragão. We have custom-designed stats for the biggest betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
46%
--
Draw
25%
--
Benfica
29%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Porto 1-0
9%
--
Porto 2-1
9%
--
Porto 2-0
8%
--
Benfica 1-0
7%
--
Benfica 2-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Porto 3-1
5%
--
Benfica 2-0
4%
--
Porto 3-0
4%
--
Porto 3-2
3%
--
Benfica 3-1
3%
--
Benfica 3-2
2%
--
Porto 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
56%
--
BTTS - No
44%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
71%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
63%
--
Away DNB
47%
--
Porto win to nil
23%
--
Benfica win to nil
14%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto66001418 
-
-
Mar 8
Oct 5
2
S. Lisbon65011415 
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
Dec 5
Apr 18
3
Benfica6420814 
Oct 5
Mar 8
-
-
4
Gil Vicente6411513 
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
Sep 26
Mar 1
5
Moreirense6402112 
Mar 15
Oct 27
Apr 25
Dec 14
6
Famalicao6321411 
Apr 3
Nov 9
Dec 21
May 2
7
Braga623159 
Nov 2
Mar 22
May 9
Dec 28
8
V. Guimaraes6222-28 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
Mar 22
Nov 1
9
Santa Clara6222-28 
May 16
Jan 4
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
10
Arouca6222-58 
Mar 1
Sep 29
Oct 25
Mar 15
11
Casa Pia6213-47 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 1
Nov 9
Apr 3
12
Estoril6123-25 
Nov 30
Apr 11
Jan 4
May 16
13
Estrela Amadora6042-34 
Dec 14
Apr 25
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
14
Rio Ave6042-54 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
15
Alverca6114-54 
May 2
Dec 21
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
16
Nacional6114-54 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
Apr 11
Nov 29
17
Tondela6024-82 
Apr 18
Dec 7
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
18
AVS6015-101 
Dec 28
May 9
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
6
Porto have won 6 consecutive home league games
3
Benfica have won 3 consecutive away league games
6
Porto have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
11
Benfica have not lost in 11 consecutive away league games
4
Porto have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive home league games
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Porto3 - 1Moreirense
Porto2 - 1Famalicao
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1Santa Clara
Porto4 - 0Boavista
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Porto2 - 1Sporting Farense
Porto2 - 0Rio Ave
Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
APorto2 - 0Gil Vicente
HPorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto3 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1Boavista
HPorto3 - 1Moreirense
APorto0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HPorto2 - 1Famalicao
APorto1 - 0Casa Pia
HPorto1 - 4Benfica
APorto2 - 1Estoril
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto0 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 0Arouca
HPorto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Sporting Farense
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVS0 - 3Benfica
Alverca1 - 2Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
Braga1 - 1Benfica
Estoril1 - 2Benfica
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Gil Vicente0 - 3Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 3Benfica
Santa Clara0 - 1Benfica
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Casa Pia3 - 1Benfica
S. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
AVS1 - 1Benfica
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 2Benfica
Boavista0 - 3Benfica
Moreirense1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
ABenfica3 - 0AVS
HBenfica1 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica2 - 1Alverca
HBenfica3 - 0Tondela
ABenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica1 - 1Braga
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Estoril
HBenfica6 - 0AVS
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica2 - 2Arouca
ABenfica4 - 1Porto
HBenfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
ABenfica3 - 0Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 2Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 0Nacional
HBenfica3 - 0Boavista
ABenfica1 - 0Santa Clara
HBenfica3 - 2Moreirense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Porto since 2015
Porto
Benfica
Goals: Scored
16
12
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
PTO
4
D
3
BEF
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
1 - 4Benfica
Porto5 - 0
0 - 1Benfica
Porto3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Porto3 - 2
1 - 2Benfica
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Porto1 - 0
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Porto
Goals: Scored
10
11
Games: Scored
7 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
3 / 10
PTO
5
D
2
BEF
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica4 - 1
Benfica1 - 0
1 - 2Porto
0 - 1Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Porto
Benfica1 - 0
0 - 1Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Porto
Goal Statistics

FC Porto have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Benfica on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

FC Porto's defensive record is to be admired, Francesco Baldini's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Liga NOS games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Benfica makes sense in this context.

Porto 1st Benfica 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Benfica’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
20%
better
PTO
BEF
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score0
0
Scored first5
4
Goals scored12
7
Avg. goals scored2
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for1.8
2.3
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
35%
better
PTO
BEF
view stats
Games conceded1
2
Clean sheets4
2
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded1
2
Avg. goals conceded0.2
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded33
17
Conversion rate against3%
6%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+35%

Porto v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6442
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK6
1
-
J Bednarek DEF6
2
-
Zaidu  DEF61
-
V. Froholdt MID612
1
-
A Varela MID6
1
-
B Sainz FWD621
2
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
S Eustaquio MID5
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID5
-
G Veiga MID513
2
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD54
2
-
A Baio DEF44
-
F Moura DEF4
-
L Jong FWD41
1
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD42
2
-
Pepê FWD421
-
D. Prpić DEF3
-
P Rosario MID31
2
-
D Gül FWD3
-
J Kiwior DEF2
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF1
-
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6325
N OtamendiV PavlidisV PavlidisE Barrenechea
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dahl DEF6
1
-
N Otamendi DEF6
3
-
F Aursnes MID611
-
L Barreiro MID61
-
R Ríos MID6
2
-
E Barrenechea MID6
5
-
F Ivanovic FWD62
1
-
A Schjelderup FWD611
-
V Pavlidis FWD632
-
A Dedic DEF511
1
1
A Silva DEF5
1
-
G Prestianni FWD51
-
A Trubin GLK4
-
T Araújo DEF4
-
H Sudakov MID32
-
H Araújo FWD3
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
R Obrador DEF1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID1
-
D Lukébakio FWD11
-