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FC Porto v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Sep, 19:00 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

FC Porto are in Liga NOS action on Saturday evening, as Francesco Baldini attempts to outsmart Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido and his CD Nacional side at the Estádio do Dragão. You'll see stats supporting our top of below, but there are 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Liga NOS performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
68%
--
Draw
21%
--
Nacional
11%
--
Porto 1-0
16%
--
Porto 2-0
15%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Porto 3-0
9%
--
Porto 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Porto 3-1
6%
--
Nacional 1-0
5%
--
Porto 4-0
4%
--
Nacional 2-1
3%
--
Draw 2-2
3%
--
Porto 4-1
3%
--
Porto 3-2
2%
--
Porto 5-0
2%
--
Nacional 2-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Home 1st Goal
61%
--
Away 1st Goal
33%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
38%
--
BTTS - No
62%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
12%
--
BTTS - Away Win
4%
--
Home/draw
89%
--
Away/draw
32%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
83%
--
Away DNB
26%
--
Porto win to nil
46%
--
Nacional win to nil
7%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Nacional
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto44001012 
-
-
Feb 15
Sep 13
2
Famalicao4310510 
Apr 3
Nov 9
Nov 2
Mar 22
3
S. Lisbon4301109 
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-4F
Feb 1
4
Benfica330059 
Oct 4
Mar 8
Nov 30
Apr 11
5
Moreirense430129 
Mar 15
Oct 25
Oct 4
Mar 8
6
Braga422068 
Nov 2
Mar 22
Mar 1
Sep 27
7
Gil Vicente421127 
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
8
Arouca4121-45 
Mar 1
Sep 27
Sep 20
Feb 22
9
Nacional4112-34 
Sep 13
Feb 15
-
-
10
V. Guimaraes4112-44 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
May 16
Jan 4
11
Rio Ave303003 
Feb 22
Sep 20
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
12
Estrela Amadora4031-13 
Dec 14
Apr 25
Apr 3
Nov 9
13
Casa Pia4103-63 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 1
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
14
Estoril3021-12 
Nov 30
Apr 11
Mar 15
Oct 25
15
Santa Clara3012-41 
May 16
Jan 4
Dec 28
May 9
16
Alverca4013-51 
May 2
Dec 21
Apr 18
Dec 7
17
AVS4013-51 
Dec 28
May 9
May 2
Dec 21
18
Tondela4013-71 
Apr 18
Dec 7
Dec 14
Apr 25
Win / draw / win form
5
Porto have won 5 consecutive home league games
5
Porto have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
3
Porto have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Porto3 - 1Moreirense
Porto2 - 1Famalicao
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1Santa Clara
Porto4 - 0Boavista
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Porto2 - 1Sporting Farense
Porto2 - 0Rio Ave
Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
Porto2 - 1Boavista
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
APorto2 - 0Gil Vicente
HPorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto3 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1Boavista
HPorto3 - 1Moreirense
APorto0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HPorto2 - 1Famalicao
APorto1 - 0Casa Pia
HPorto1 - 4Benfica
APorto2 - 1Estoril
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto0 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 0Arouca
HPorto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Sporting Farense
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto2 - 2Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 1Santa Clara
Nacional 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Rio Ave1 - 1Nacional
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Sporting Farense0 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
Gil Vicente2 - 1Nacional
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia1 - 0Nacional
Famalicao0 - 0Nacional
Estoril1 - 0Nacional
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
AVS1 - 1Nacional
Famalicao3 - 0Nacional
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1Rio Ave
HNacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
ANacional0 - 3Porto
HNacional3 - 3Rio Ave
HNacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
ANacional1 - 0Boavista
HNacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
ANacional0 - 1Santa Clara
HNacional3 - 1Casa Pia
ANacional0 - 3Benfica
HNacional2 - 1Famalicao
ANacional0 - 1Braga
HNacional2 - 2Estoril
ANacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Porto have beaten Nacional in 5 consecutive home league meetings
5
Porto have not lost to Nacional in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Nacional
Goals: Scored
19
1
Games: Scored
5 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
0 / 5
PTO
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto3 - 0
Porto2 - 0
Porto3 - 1
Porto7 - 0
Porto4 - 0
League games at Nacional since 2015
Nacional
Porto
Goals: Scored
3
11
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
PTO
4
NAC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Nacional2 - 0
0 - 1Porto
0 - 4Porto
0 - 4Porto
1 - 2Porto
Goal Statistics

FC Porto have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.9 against CD Nacional on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

With a PG of just 0.6, CD Nacional look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that FC Porto haven't conceded a goal in 4 consecutive Liga NOS games, and it could be a long evening for T. Carvalho Margarido's men.

Porto 1st Nacional 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 55% probability that Nacional will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-38
Nacional have scored 38% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
1.9
0.6
Attack rating
63%
better
PTO
NAC
view stats
Games scored3
2
Failed to score0
1
Scored first3
1
Goals scored9
2
Avg. goals scored2.3
0.5
Avg. shots per game11
5
Avg. shots per goal5
11
Conversion rate for21
10
Avg. XG for1.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+63%
Defence rating
64%
better
PTO
NAC
view stats
Games conceded0
3
Clean sheets3
0
Conceded first0
2
Goals conceded0
7
Avg. goals conceded0
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded5
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
6
Conversion rate against0%
18%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.9
KickOff rating
+64%

Porto v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4242
D CostaB SainzA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK4
1
-
A Baio DEF44
-
J Bednarek DEF4
2
-
N Pérez DEF41
-
Zaidu  DEF41
-
V. Froholdt MID412
1
-
A Varela MID4
1
-
L Jong FWD41
1
-
B Sainz FWD421
2
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD42
2
-
D. Prpić DEF3
-
S Eustaquio MID3
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID3
-
G Veiga MID31
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD32
1
-
F Moura DEF2
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF2
-
Pepê FWD22
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF1
-
P Rosario MID1
1
-
D Gül FWD1
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4224
L FrançaChuchuJ. Mendes GomesUlisses
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK4
1
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF42
-
J Aurélio DEF4
-
L Santos DEF41
-
Liziero  MID41
1
-
F Soares MID4
2
-
M Dias MID4
1
-
Witi FWD4
-
Chuchu FWD42
1
-
P Bóia FWD41
1
-
Ulisses DEF3
3
1
Z Vitor DEF3
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues MID3
-
J Silva MID3
-
C. Abidi MID3
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD2
1
1
L João FWD2
-
L Vallier DEF1
-
A Sousa MID1
-
M. Nourani FWD1
-