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FC Porto v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th May, 01:00 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

CD Nacional, led by manager Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido, visit Martin Svedik and his FC Porto side at the Estádio do Dragão on Saturday morning in the Liga NOS. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
58%
--
Draw
24%
--
Nacional
18%
--
Porto 1-0
14%
--
Porto 2-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Porto 2-1
10%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Porto 3-0
7%
--
Nacional 1-0
7%
--
Porto 3-1
5%
--
Nacional 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Porto 4-0
3%
--
Nacional 2-0
3%
--
Porto 4-1
2%
--
Porto 3-2
2%
--
Nacional 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Home 1st Goal
56%
--
Away 1st Goal
38%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
82%
--
Away/draw
42%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
75%
--
Away DNB
34%
--
Porto win to nil
36%
--
Nacional win to nil
10%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 15 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Porto have outscored their opponents by 60 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 16 games at home winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 36 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Nacional are in 11th position in the Liga NOS on 33 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Nacional have conceded 29 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Nacional
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Benfica3225345678 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
2
S. Lisbon3123625875 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-6A
l
 
2-0A
3
Porto Home3220573165 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
May 17
4
Braga3219852665 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
5
V. Guimaraes32141261354 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
6
Santa Clara3215611251 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
7
Famalicao32111110544 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
8
Estoril3211912-942 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
9
Casa Pia3111812-541 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
10
Moreirense329914-1136 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
11
Nacional Away329617-1533 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
-
-
12
Arouca318914-1733 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
13
Rio Ave318914-1833 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
May 10
l
 
2-1A
14
Gil Vicente318815-1232 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
15
Estrela Amadora317816-1929 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
16
Sporting Farense325918-2124 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
17
AVS3141215-3224 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-5F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
18
Boavista315620-3221 
w
 
4-0F
May 11
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Porto 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto3 - 1Moreirense
Porto2 - 1Famalicao
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1Santa Clara
Porto4 - 0Boavista
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Porto2 - 1Sporting Farense
Porto2 - 0Rio Ave
Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
Porto2 - 1Boavista
Porto2 - 2S. Lisbon
Porto2 - 2Famalicao
Porto1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto3 - 1Moreirense
APorto0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HPorto2 - 1Famalicao
APorto1 - 0Casa Pia
HPorto1 - 4Benfica
APorto2 - 1Estoril
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto0 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 0Arouca
HPorto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Sporting Farense
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto2 - 2Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 1Santa Clara
APorto1 - 3Gil Vicente
APorto0 - 2Nacional
HPorto4 - 0Boavista
APorto3 - 0Moreirense
HPorto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
APorto1 - 1Famalicao
Nacional 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Sporting Farense0 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
Gil Vicente2 - 1Nacional
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia1 - 0Nacional
Famalicao0 - 0Nacional
Estoril1 - 0Nacional
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
AVS1 - 1Nacional
Famalicao3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense2 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Tondela2 - 1Nacional
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
ANacional1 - 0Boavista
HNacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
ANacional0 - 1Santa Clara
HNacional3 - 1Casa Pia
ANacional0 - 3Benfica
HNacional2 - 1Famalicao
ANacional0 - 1Braga
HNacional2 - 2Estoril
ANacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional3 - 1AVS
HNacional2 - 0Porto
ANacional1 - 2Rio Ave
ANacional2 - 2V. Guimaraes
HNacional0 - 2Benfica
HNacional1 - 0Moreirense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Porto have beaten Nacional in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Nacional
Goals: Scored
16
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
PTO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto2 - 0
Porto3 - 1
Porto7 - 0
Porto4 - 0
League games at Nacional since 2015
Nacional
Porto
Goals: Scored
3
11
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
PTO
4
NAC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Nacional2 - 0
0 - 1Porto
0 - 4Porto
0 - 4Porto
1 - 2Porto
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for CD Nacional fans, as should a 5 Liga NOS games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Porto 3rd Nacional 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-37
Nacional have scored 37% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285339/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
44%
better
PTO
NAC
view stats
Games scored28
17
Failed to score4
14
Scored first19
11
Goals scored60
28
Avg. goals scored1.9
0.9
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
11
Conversion rate for17
9
Avg. XG for1.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
21%
better
PTO
NAC
view stats
Games conceded17
23
Clean sheets15
8
Conceded first13
18
Goals conceded29
42
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+21%

Porto v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301899
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaF MouraA Varela
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK30
-
S Eustaquio MID29
7
-
A Varela MID292
9
-
Pepê FWD2932
2
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD28183
3
1
D Namaso FWD2731
3
-
G Borges FWD2622
6
1
F Moura DEF2529
2
-
J Mário DEF253
5
-
N Pérez DEF2411
9
-
F Vieira MID2444
6
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF235
5
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID2184
3
-
O Silva DEF192
8
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF18
2
-
A Franco MID161
4
-
D Gül FWD141
-
V Sousa MID12
1
-
I Marcano DEF9
-
T Djaló DEF8
2
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD7
-
T Pérez MID4
1
-
Zaidu  DEF3
-
C Ramos GLK2
1
-
M Grujić MID2
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
324311
L FrançaD PenhaG GarcíaZ Vitor
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK32
4
-
G García DEF323
4
-
L Esteves MID313
5
-
Ulisses DEF292
5
1
Z Vitor DEF292
11
-
D Penha MID2941
2
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2731
3
-
I Tomich FWD2631
4
-
A Appiah FWD25
3
-
R Macedo FWD251
-
M Dias MID242
6
-
D. Soumaré MID2111
10
1
Dudu FWD2132
-
B Costa MID1821
-
C. Abidi MID161
3
-
L Santos DEF14
2
-
P Bóia FWD1312
1
-
J Aurélio DEF121
1
-
J Tagueu FWD122
1
-
F Yamada FWD1212
1
1
A Sousa MID11
3
-
D Sousa FWD7
-
M Baeza MID51
-
R Encarnação GLK2
1
1