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FC Porto v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Nov, 20:30 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

the Estádio do Dragão is the setting on Sunday night, as Francesco Farioli's FC Porto host Ian Cathro's Estoril in the Liga NOS. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are included as well.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Porto to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this game, and it's Porto. Their latest form stats show their ability on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Estoril too. The odds point towards Francesco Farioli's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Sunday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
63%
1.24
2%
1.29
3%
Draw
20%
5.00
9%
5.75
4%
Estoril
17%
12.00
8%
10.00
9%
Porto 2-0
10%
6.50
8%
6.00
Porto 2-1
10%
9.00
5%
8.00
Porto 1-0
10%
8.006.50
7%
Draw 1-1
10%
10.00
9%
9.50
5%
Porto 3-0
7%
8.00
7%
7.50
7%
Porto 3-1
7%
11.009.50
Draw 2-2
5%
21.00
9%
19.00
Draw 0-0
5%
15.0013.00
Estoril 2-1
5%
29.00
15%
21.00
9%
Estoril 1-0
5%
26.00
10%
19.00
Porto 4-0
4%
12.00
9%
11.00
10%
Porto 4-1
4%
17.0015.00
15%
Porto 3-2
3%
29.0021.00
Estoril 2-0
2%
51.0034.00
Porto 4-2
2%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
1.571.57
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
2.352.25
5%
Home 1st Goal
57%
1.30
1%
1.29
3%
Away 1st Goal
41%
3.60
10%
4.00
5%
No 1st Goal
3%
15.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
54%
2.00
5%
2.05
BTTS - No
46%
1.75
5%
1.70
BTTS - Home Win
30%
3.00
3%
2.90
1%
BTTS - Draw
16%
6.50
13%
7.00
7%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
21.00
9%
15.00
Home/draw
83%
1.05
1%
1.05
Away/draw
37%
3.753.60
5%
Home/away
80%
1.17
3%
1.13
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.171.18
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
5.004.40
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
2.382.40
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1.531.50
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4.334.20
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.201.20
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9.007.50
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.071.07
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
15.0013.00
Home DNB
77%
1.06
1%
1.07
1%
Away DNB
31%
10.00
9%
7.50
6%
Porto win to nil
33%
2.00
9%
-
Estoril win to nil
8%
19.00
10%
-
Porto / Porto
45%
1.80
8%
1.80
3%
Porto / Estoril
2%
51.0041.00
11%
Porto / Draw
4%
19.00
10%
17.00
11%
Draw / Porto
21%
3.753.90
Draw / Estoril
4%
23.0017.00
Draw / Draw
10%
8.50
6%
7.50
6%
Estoril / Porto
4%
19.0017.00
Estoril / Estoril
5%
19.00
17%
13.00
13%
Estoril / Draw
4%
21.00
9%
19.00
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto are unbeaten in 11 games against teams below them in the league and kept 8 clean sheets out of 11 games. Porto are unbeaten at home after 5 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 1 and lost no matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Porto have outscored their opponents by 24 goals to 19 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 5 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 10 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 1 goal at home.

Estoril are in 9th position in the Liga NOS on 13 points having played 11 matches so far this season. Estoril have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 3 matches and failed to score in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. Estoril have conceded 6 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Estoril
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1110102131 
-
-
Apr 11
Nov 30
2
S. Lisbon119112128 
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
3
Benfica117401725 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
May 16
Jan 4
4
Gil Vicente117221123 
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
Feb 22
l
 
2-0A
5
Famalicao11542619 
Apr 3
w
 
0-1F
Apr 25
Dec 14
6
Moreirense11605118 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
Dec 7
Apr 18
7
Braga11443816 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
Dec 21
May 2
8
V. Guimaraes11425-714 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
Jan 25
l
 
3-2F
9
Estoril11344213 
Nov 30
Apr 11
-
-
10
Nacional11335-412 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
11
Rio Ave11263-512 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
Mar 22
w
 
0-4F
12
Estrela Amadora11254-111 
Dec 14
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
13
Santa Clara11326-411 
May 16
Jan 4
l
 
0-1A
Feb 1
14
Alverca11326-711 
May 2
Dec 21
Dec 28
May 9
15
Casa Pia11236-119 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 1
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
16
Arouca11236-179 
Mar 1
w
 
0-4F
w
 
4-3A
Apr 3
17
Tondela11137-146 
Apr 18
Dec 7
Feb 8
d
 
2-2F
18
AVS11038-173 
Dec 28
May 9
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
Win / draw / win form
3
Porto have won 3 consecutive league games
14
Porto have not lost in 14 consecutive league games
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto0 - 0Benfica
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Porto3 - 1Moreirense
Porto2 - 1Famalicao
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1Santa Clara
Porto4 - 0Boavista
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Porto2 - 1Sporting Farense
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
APorto2 - 0Gil Vicente
HPorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto3 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1Boavista
HPorto3 - 1Moreirense
APorto0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HPorto2 - 1Famalicao
APorto1 - 0Casa Pia
HPorto1 - 4Benfica
APorto2 - 1Estoril
HPorto2 - 0AVS
Estoril 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave0 - 4Estoril
Casa Pia2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estoril
Tondela2 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
Moreirense2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia1 - 3Estoril
Famalicao3 - 0Estoril
AVS0 - 3Estoril
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente1 - 2Estoril
Santa Clara2 - 3Estoril
Estrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
Benfica3 - 0Estoril
Braga2 - 2Estoril
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Sporting Farense1 - 0Estoril
Rio Ave2 - 2Estoril
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstoril4 - 3Arouca
AEstoril4 - 0Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 1Nacional
AEstoril2 - 2Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstoril0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstoril3 - 1AVS
HEstoril0 - 1Santa Clara
AEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril2 - 3V. Guimaraes
HEstoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HEstoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril2 - 2Moreirense
HEstoril1 - 2Benfica
AEstoril3 - 1Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 2Braga
AEstoril0 - 3Famalicao
AEstoril3 - 0AVS
HEstoril1 - 2Porto
AEstoril1 - 1Arouca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Porto since 2015
Porto
Estoril
Goals: Scored
16
3
Games: Scored
6 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
1 / 7
PTO
6
EST
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto4 - 0
0 - 1Estoril
Porto3 - 2
Porto2 - 0
Porto4 - 0
Porto1 - 0
Porto2 - 0
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
Porto
Goals: Scored
8
14
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
PTO
5
D
1
EST
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
1 - 2Porto
Estoril1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Porto
1 - 3Porto
1 - 2Porto
1 - 3Porto
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for FC Porto in their clash with Estoril, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 22 consecutive Liga NOS outings.

FC Porto's defensive record is to be admired, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 14 consecutive Liga NOS games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Estoril makes sense in this context.

Porto 1st Estoril 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Porto will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Estoril scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+61
Estoril have scored 61% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Estoril
2.1
1
Attack rating
27%
better
PTO
EST
view stats
Games scored10
8
Failed to score1
3
Scored first9
6
Goals scored24
19
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.7
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
71%
better
PTO
EST
view stats
Games conceded3
10
Clean sheets8
1
Conceded first1
5
Goals conceded3
17
Avg. goals conceded0.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded21
6
Conversion rate against5%
17%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+71%

Porto v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11654
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK11
1
-
J Bednarek DEF11
4
-
V. Froholdt MID1123
1
-
A Varela MID11
2
-
B Sainz FWD1132
4
-
G Veiga MID1014
2
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD1061
2
-
F Moura DEF911
1
-
A Baio DEF95
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID91
-
Pepê FWD922
1
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD82
2
-
D Gül FWD82
1
-
Zaidu  DEF711
-
J Kiwior DEF71
-
P Rosario MID71
4
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
S Eustaquio MID5
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF4
2
1
L Jong FWD41
1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-
Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11534
J RoblesY BegraouiJ CarvalhoJ Carvalho
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK11
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF112
3
-
F Bacher DEF11
1
-
J Carvalho MID1133
4
-
J Holsgrove MID1113
4
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1111
-
Y Begraoui FWD1151
1
-
K Boma DEF101
4
-
R Guitane FWD1022
-
T. Parente DEF91
1
-
N Lominadze MID92
3
-
Ferro DEF8
1
-
P Paula MID8
4
-
P Amaral DEF7
2
-
A Marqués FWD7
1
-
Pizzi MID6
-
R Sánchez DEF511
2
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD5
-
T Brito MID4
1
-
G Costa DEF3
1
-
A Tsoungui DEF3
-
J Orellana MID2
-
O. Israelov DEF1
-