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Sporting Lisbon v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Nov, 18:00 BST, Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

We’ve Liga NOS action to look forward to on Sunday evening, as Rui Manuel Gomes Borges and his Sporting Lisbon side host João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu’s Estrela Amadora at the Estádio José Alvalade. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you explore. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

As the S. Lisbon players prepare themselves for this game, the bookmakers have predicted success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Estádio José Alvalade hasn't been an easy place to go for Estrela Amadora in the past, and we expect more of the same come Sunday evening. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S. Lisbon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 71% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.07.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
71%
1.071.12
Draw
17%
11.00
38%
9.50
Estrela Amadora
11%
19.00
10%
21.00
S. Lisbon 2-0
12%
6.506.00
S. Lisbon 1-0
11%
9.508.00
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
11.00
8%
9.50
S. Lisbon 3-0
9%
6.506.00
Draw 1-1
8%
21.00
40%
15.00
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
11.00
8%
10.00
S. Lisbon 4-0
5%
8.007.50
Draw 0-0
5%
26.00
24%
19.00
S. Lisbon 4-1
4%
15.0013.00
Draw 2-2
4%
41.00
21%
26.00
Estrela Amadora 1-0
4%
34.00
17%
29.00
Estrela Amadora 2-1
3%
41.00
20%
34.00
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
34.0026.00
S. Lisbon 5-0
2%
13.0011.00
S. Lisbon 5-1
2%
23.0017.00
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1.36
3%
1.40
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
3.10
8%
2.80
Home 1st Goal
61%
1.181.14
Away 1st Goal
37%
4.505.75
No 1st Goal
3%
26.00
24%
17.00
BTTS - Yes
49%
2.382.40
BTTS - No
51%
1.531.53
BTTS - Home Win
30%
2.882.90
BTTS - Draw
13%
13.00
30%
11.00
BTTS - Away Win
6%
26.00
24%
26.00
Home/draw
89%
1.021.01
Away/draw
29%
7.006.00
Home/away
82%
1.05
3%
1.06
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.111.11
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
6.505.75
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
1.911.95
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1.801.75
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
3.253.10
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.331.33
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
6.005.25
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.131.13
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.01
1%
1.00
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
26.00
24%
17.00
Home DNB
83%
1.03
1%
1.01
Away DNB
24%
15.00
21%
15.00
S. Lisbon win to nil
41%
1.67-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
6%
23.00
21%
-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
56%
1.441.48
S. Lisbon / Estrela Amadora
1%
67.00
17%
61.00
S. Lisbon / Draw
3%
26.0026.00
Draw / S. Lisbon
21%
3.754.00
Draw / Estrela Amadora
2%
41.0026.00
Draw / Draw
7%
13.0011.00
Estrela Amadora / S. Lisbon
4%
21.0019.00
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
3%
34.00
17%
23.00
Estrela Amadora / Draw
3%
34.0026.00
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

S. Lisbon have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Liga NOS league table. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 10 games against teams below them in the league and kept 6 clean sheets out of 10 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 1 and lost no matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have scored in every game. S. Lisbon have outscored their opponents by 27 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

S. Lisbon have played 5 games at home winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 13 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 12th position in the Liga NOS on 11 points having played 11 matches so far this season. Estrela Amadora are winless in the 6 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 6 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Estrela Amadora have conceded 9 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1110102131 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 8
Apr 25
Dec 14
2
S. Lisbon119112128 
-
-
Apr 11
Nov 30
3
Benfica117401725 
Apr 18
Dec 5
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
4
Gil Vicente117221123 
May 16
Jan 4
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
5
Famalicao11542619 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
May 9
Dec 28
6
Moreirense11605118 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
Dec 21
May 2
7
Braga11443816 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
Jan 4
May 16
8
V. Guimaraes11425-714 
May 2
Dec 21
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
9
Estoril11344213 
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
10
Nacional11335-412 
Feb 1
w
 
1-4A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 3
11
Rio Ave11263-512 
Dec 28
May 9
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
12
Estrela Amadora11254-111 
Nov 30
Apr 11
-
-
13
Santa Clara11326-411 
Apr 3
w
 
1-2A
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
14
Alverca11326-711 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
d
 
2-2A
Feb 1
15
Casa Pia11236-119 
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
Mar 22
w
 
3-5A
16
Arouca11236-179 
w
 
6-0F
Jan 25
Dec 7
Apr 18
17
Tondela11137-146 
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
18
AVS11038-173 
Dec 14
Apr 25
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
Win / draw / win form
3
S. Lisbon have won 3 consecutive league games
7
S. Lisbon have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
S. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 1Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 1Famalicao
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
S. Lisbon3 - 1Sporting Farense
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
S. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
S. Lisbon3 - 2Boavista
S. Lisbon0 - 1Santa Clara
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon3 - 0AVS
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Tondela
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Famalicao
HS. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
AS. Lisbon4 - 1Nacional
HS. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
AS. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
HS. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Gil Vicente
AS. Lisbon5 - 0Boavista
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Estrela Amadora
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Famalicao
Estrela Amadora 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Boavista0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AVS1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense1 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
AEstrela Amadora5 - 3Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Tondela
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Estoril
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Estoril
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Nacional
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Liga NOS games. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

S. Lisbon 2nd Estrela Amadora 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
S. Lisbon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-36
Estrela Amadora have scored 36% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
2.3
0.8
Attack rating
50%
better
SCL
view stats
Games scored11
6
Failed to score0
5
Scored first7
2
Goals scored27
13
Avg. goals scored2.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game15
9
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
13
Avg. XG for2.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+50%
Defence rating
42%
better
SCL
view stats
Games conceded5
8
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first4
7
Goals conceded6
14
Avg. goals conceded0.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded5
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
14%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+42%

S. Lisbon v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11853
G InácioP GonçalvesP GonçalvesM Hjulmand
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Inácio DEF112
2
-
M Hjulmand MID1121
3
-
L Suárez FWD1172
1
-
P Gonçalves FWD1185
3
-
G. Quenda FWD1114
-
F Trincão FWD1132
-
R Silva GLK9
-
I Fresneda DEF9
3
-
G Kochorashvili MID9
-
G Catamo  MID91
1
-
A Santos FWD91
-
G Vagiannidis DEF81
2
-
M Vilches DEF81
1
1
Z Debast DEF8
2
-
H Morita MID8
-
F Ioannidis FWD72
-
R Mangas DEF62
2
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID5
1
-
O Diomande DEF4
1
-
J Virgínia GLK2
-
M Reis DEF21
-
E Quaresma DEF1
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11523
R RibeiroS CabralS CabralA Chernev
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK11
1
-
L Patrick DEF11
2
-
S Cabral DEF1152
2
-
A Chernev DEF11
3
-
P. Valente Moreira MID102
2
1
I Stoica FWD102
1
-
Kikas FWD1031
-
A Marcus FWD102
-
B Schappo DEF9
3
-
R Pinho FWD91
1
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD91
-
J Encada DEF8
1
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID8
2
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF7
1
-
A Godoy FWD61
1
-
J Cabral FWD6
2
-
O Ngom MID51
2
1
R Sousa DEF4
-
J. Gastão FWD41
2
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID3
1
-
L Antonetti FWD3
-
I Dramé DEF1
-