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Vitoria Guimaraes v AVS : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 28th Nov, 20:15 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

João Pedro Borges de Sousa is aiming for a vital away win in the Liga NOS on Friday night, as he takes his AVS side to the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques to visit Vitoria Guimaraes and Luís Miguel Correia Pinto. We have custom-designed stats for every major market, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither V. Guimaraes or AVS are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 82% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think V. Guimaraes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
56%
4/78/13
Draw
22%
13/529/10
AVS
21%
19/49/2
Draw 1-1
10%
6/16/1
V. Guimaraes 2-1
10%
15/213/2
V. Guimaraes 1-0
10%
5/119/4
V. Guimaraes 2-0
9%
6/111/2
V. Guimaraes 3-1
6%
14/111/1
V. Guimaraes 3-0
6%
11/19/1
AVS 2-1
6%
16/114/1
AVS 1-0
5%
11/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
18/114/1
Draw 0-0
5%
8/115/2
V. Guimaraes 3-2
3%
28/122/1
V. Guimaraes 4-1
3%
28/120/1
AVS 2-0
3%
25/120/1
V. Guimaraes 4-0
3%
25/116/1
AVS 3-1
2%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
43/401/1
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
8/113/4
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/151/2
Away 1st Goal
42%
15/821/10
No 1st Goal
3%
8/115/2
BTTS - Yes
56%
1/121/20
BTTS - No
44%
3/47/10
BTTS - Home Win
28%
3/111/4
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/117/4
BTTS - Away Win
11%
10/19/1
Home/draw
79%
1/71/7
Away/draw
44%
5/45/4
Home/away
78%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/31/3
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
9/421/10
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
11/45/2
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1/42/7
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
7/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/121/11
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
16/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/401/50
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/141/18
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
8/115/2
Home DNB
72%
2/92/9
Away DNB
37%
3/13/1
V. Guimaraes win to nil
29%
6/4-
AVS win to nil
10%
8/1-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
32%
8/529/20
V. Guimaraes / AVS
2%
40/133/1
V. Guimaraes / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Draw / V. Guimaraes
19%
10/316/5
Draw / AVS
8%
10/19/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
AVS / V. Guimaraes
4%
22/118/1
AVS / AVS
10%
8/17/1
AVS / Draw
5%
16/114/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. V. Guimaraes have outscored their opponents by 10 goals to 8 goals.

Home League Performance

V. Guimaraes have played 5 games at home winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 7 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

AVS are in 18th position in the Liga NOS on 3 points having played 11 matches so far this season. AVS are winless in the 11 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game. AVS are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 3 and won zero. AVS have conceded 25 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
AVS
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1110102131 
Jan 18
l
 
3-0A
May 9
Dec 28
2
S. Lisbon119112128 
Dec 21
May 2
Apr 25
Dec 14
3
Benfica117401725 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
4
Gil Vicente117221123 
Dec 8
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
Apr 3
5
Famalicao11542619 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 8
6
Moreirense11605118 
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
Jan 4
May 16
7
Braga11443816 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
Feb 1
d
 
2-2A
8
V. Guimaraes11425-714 
-
-
Apr 11
Nov 28
9
Estoril11344213 
w
 
3-2A
Jan 25
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
10
Nacional11335-412 
Jan 4
May 16
Dec 21
May 2
11
Rio Ave11263-512 
Apr 25
Dec 14
Dec 6
Apr 18
12
Estrela Amadora11254-111 
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
Mar 1
l
 
3-0A
13
Santa Clara11326-411 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
14
Alverca11326-711 
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-3F
Mar 8
15
Casa Pia11236-119 
May 9
Dec 28
l
 
0-2A
Jan 25
16
Arouca11236-179 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
Jan 18
l
 
3-1A
17
Tondela11137-146 
Apr 3
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 22
18
AVS11038-173 
Nov 28
Apr 11
-
-
Win / draw / win form
3
AVS have lost 3 consecutive away league games
12
AVS have not won in 12 consecutive league games
V. Guimaraes 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
V. Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
V. Guimaraes4 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Boavista
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Tondela
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Alverca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
HV. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
AVS 18TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
12
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santa Clara2 - 0AVS
Estrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
Estoril3 - 1AVS
Braga2 - 2AVS
Arouca3 - 1AVS
Estrela Amadora0 - 1AVS
Benfica6 - 0AVS
Braga4 - 1AVS
Famalicao4 - 1AVS
Porto2 - 0AVS
Sporting Farense0 - 1AVS
Rio Ave1 - 1AVS
V. Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
Nacional3 - 1AVS
Moreirense1 - 1AVS
Boavista0 - 0AVS
Casa Pia1 - 1AVS
Estoril0 - 0AVS
Arouca1 - 1AVS
S. Lisbon3 - 0AVS
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
50
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
1
D
4
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAVS1 - 1Gil Vicente
HAVS2 - 2Tondela
AAVS0 - 2Santa Clara
HAVS1 - 3Alverca
AAVS0 - 3Estrela Amadora
HAVS0 - 3Benfica
AAVS1 - 3Estoril
HAVS0 - 1Famalicao
AAVS2 - 2Braga
HAVS0 - 2Casa Pia
AAVS1 - 3Arouca
HAVS0 - 3Moreirense
AAVS1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HAVS1 - 2Boavista
AAVS0 - 6Benfica
HAVS1 - 1Casa Pia
AAVS1 - 4Braga
HAVS0 - 3Estoril
AAVS1 - 4Famalicao
AAVS0 - 2Porto
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.9 against AVS on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is to be admired, L. Correia Pinto's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for AVS makes sense in this context.

V. Guimaraes 8th AVS 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that AVS will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
V. Guimaraes have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-30
AVS have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
AVS
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
17%
better
GUI
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score5
5
Scored first3
1
Goals scored10
8
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.7
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal10
11
Conversion rate for10
9
Avg. XG for1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
33%
better
GUI
view stats
Games conceded9
11
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first8
10
Goals conceded17
25
Avg. goals conceded1.5
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
22%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.9
KickOff rating
+33%

V. Guimaraes v AVS Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11213
MagaN OliveiraR AbascalN Oliveira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Maga DEF11
2
-
N Oliveira FWD112
3
-
R Abascal DEF101
-
J Mendes DEF10
3
-
Beni MID10
3
-
T Arcanjo FWD10
-
A Ndoye FWD92
-
O Rivas DEF8
1
-
M. Mitrovic MID81
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK7
1
-
O. Camara FWD71
1
-
Samu MID611
-
F Blanco FWD6
2
1
G. da Silva Cunha FWD611
1
-
V. Félix FWD6
2
-
M Nóbrega DEF51
-
O Lebedenko DEF5
-
Charles GLK4
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID3
1
-
G Nogueira MID3
1
-
T Strata DEF1
-
AVS Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11223
J GrauNenêB AkinsolaJ Grau
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Grau MID11
3
-
B Akinsola FWD112
1
-
Kiki DEF10
1
-
C Castro DEF10
2
-
R Barbosa MID1012
3
-
P Barros MID911
1
-
S Simão GLK8
1
-
D. Spencer Marques DEF811
2
-
L Rivas DEF81
1
-
D Duarte FWD81
-
Nenê FWD82
1
-
S Bane DEF71
1
-
Ángel Algobia MID7
-
T Tómané FWD7
1
-
B Lourenço FWD6
-
A Santos DEF5
1
-
T Galletto MID5
1
-
O Perea FWD51
-
G Assunção MID4
1
-
K Kodisang FWD4
-
J Gonçalves GLK3
-
P. Leal Sousa Lima DEF3
1
G Molina DEF31
-
G. Mendonça MID3
-
J Escobar FWD3
-
R Semedo DEF2
-