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Aberdeen v Kilmarnock : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Apr, 15:00 BST, Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Stephen Robinson and Stuart Kettlewell clash in the Premiership on Saturday afternoon, as Aberdeen face Kilmarnock at the Pittodrie Stadium. Analysing both teams' last 20 Premiership matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

All things considered, our prediction for Saturday's match is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Aberdeen and Kilmarnock to score 3 goals or more combined during the regulation 90 minutes. 2 goals or less would mean it's a losing tip but, with stats below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Aberdeen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Aberdeen 56%	21/20 8%	1/1
Draw 22%	12/5 3%	13/5
Kilmarnock 22%	12/5 11%	5/2
Draw 1-1 10%	11/2 7%	11/2
Aberdeen 2-1 10%	8/1 6%	7/1
Aberdeen 1-0 9%	15/2 6%	13/2
Aberdeen 2-0 9%	10/1 16%	8/1
Aberdeen 3-1 6%	16/1 13%	12/1
Kilmarnock 2-1 6%	11/1 8%	10/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	10/1
Aberdeen 3-0 6%	18/1 12%	14/1
Kilmarnock 1-0 5%	10/1 15%	9/1
Draw 0-0 4%	11/1	9/1
Aberdeen 3-2 4%	22/1	18/1
Aberdeen 4-1 3%	33/1 17%	22/1
Kilmarnock 2-0 3%	18/1 10%	14/1
Aberdeen 4-0 3%	40/1 21%	25/1
Kilmarnock 3-1 2%	25/1 10%	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	4/5	3/4
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	1/1	19/20
Home 1st Goal 54%	8/11 4%	7/10
Away 1st Goal 43%	6/5 8%	11/8
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1	9/1
BTTS - Yes 59%	7/10	7/10
BTTS - No 41%	21/20	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 29%	3/1 7%	11/4
BTTS - Draw 17%	10/3 4%	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 12%	5/1 14%	5/1
Home/draw 78%	3/10 4%	2/7
Away/draw 44%	8/11 9%	3/4
Home/away 78%	3/10 1%	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	1/4	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	3/1	27/10
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	11/5 7%	15/8
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	4/11 3%	4/11
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	9/2	17/4
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1/7	2/15
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	10/1	9/1
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/20	1/25
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/25	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	11/1	9/1
Home DNB 72%	1/2 7%	10/21
Away DNB 37%	6/4 9%	6/4
Aberdeen win to nil 27%	11/4 7%	-
Kilmarnock win to nil 10%	11/2 7%	-
Aberdeen / Aberdeen 25%	12/5 13%	2/1
Aberdeen / Kilmarnock 3%	28/1	22/1
Aberdeen / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Aberdeen 15%	9/2 10%	17/4
Draw / Kilmarnock 11%	13/2 12%	13/2
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4
Kilmarnock / Aberdeen 4%	22/1 10%	16/1
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock 15%	9/2 15%	17/4
Kilmarnock / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Relegation Group table

Aberdeen have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Premiership league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 37 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

Aberdeen have played 16 games at home winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored 25 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 21 goals at home.

Kilmarnock are in 11th position in the Premiership on 28 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 38 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 8 and won 5. Kilmarnock have conceded 62 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Aberdeen Kilmarnock
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	Date	HOME	AWAY	HOME
1	Dundee Utd	33	-9	40	-	May 2	-	-
2	Aberdeen	33	-15	33	-	-	Apr 25	-
3	Dundee	33	-19	33	-	May 12	-	-
4	St. Mirren	33	-21	30	-	-	May 9	-
5	Kilmarnock	33	-28	28	-	-	-	-
6	Livingston	33	-31	16	-	-	May 17	-

Win / draw / win form

Kilmarnock have not won in 13 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aberdeen	2 - 0	Hibernian
Aberdeen	1 - 1	Falkirk
Aberdeen	1 - 2	Celtic
Aberdeen	2 - 3	Dundee
Aberdeen	6 - 2	Livingston
Aberdeen	0 - 2	Rangers
Aberdeen	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
Aberdeen	2 - 1	Kilmarnock
Aberdeen	3 - 3	St. Mirren
Aberdeen	1 - 0	Hearts
Aberdeen	1 - 1	Motherwell
Aberdeen	1 - 2	Hibernian
Aberdeen	4 - 0	Dundee
Aberdeen	0 - 0	Livingston
Aberdeen	0 - 1	Falkirk
Aberdeen	0 - 2	Celtic
Aberdeen	1 - 5	Celtic
Aberdeen	1 - 0	Hibernian
Aberdeen	2 - 2	Rangers
Aberdeen	4 - 1	Motherwell

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Aberdeen	2 - 0	Hibernian
A	Aberdeen	0 - 2	St. Mirren
A	Aberdeen	1 - 4	Rangers
H	Aberdeen	1 - 1	Falkirk
H	Aberdeen	1 - 2	Celtic
A	Aberdeen	0 - 1	Hearts
A	Aberdeen	0 - 0	Dundee Utd
H	Aberdeen	2 - 3	Dundee
A	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Motherwell
A	Aberdeen	0 - 3	Kilmarnock
H	Aberdeen	6 - 2	Livingston
H	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Rangers
A	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Rangers
A	Aberdeen	0 - 1	Falkirk
A	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Hibernian
H	Aberdeen	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
A	Aberdeen	1 - 3	Celtic
H	Aberdeen	2 - 1	Kilmarnock
A	Aberdeen	3 - 1	Dundee
H	Aberdeen	3 - 3	St. Mirren

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hibernian	3 - 0	Kilmarnock
Falkirk	5 - 1	Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
Rangers	5 - 1	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	4 - 0	Kilmarnock
Livingston	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
Dundee	2 - 1	Kilmarnock
St. Mirren	0 - 0	Kilmarnock
Aberdeen	2 - 1	Kilmarnock
Hearts	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
Celtic	4 - 0	Kilmarnock
Falkirk	3 - 1	Kilmarnock
Rangers	3 - 1	Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	2 - 2	Kilmarnock
Hibernian	2 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	3 - 0	Kilmarnock
St. Johnstone	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
Celtic	5 - 1	Kilmarnock
St. Mirren	5 - 1	Kilmarnock

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hibernian
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Livingston
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Hearts
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Falkirk
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 3	Celtic
H	Kilmarnock	4 - 3	St. Mirren
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Rangers
H	Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Aberdeen
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 4	Motherwell
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Livingston
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Hibernian
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Falkirk
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Aberdeen
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Rangers
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hearts
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Aberdeen have beaten Kilmarnock in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Aberdeen

Kilmarnock

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

16 / 19

10 / 19

Clean sheets

9 / 19

3 / 19

ABD

KIL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Aberdeen
Aberdeen	2 - 1
Aberdeen	1 - 0
Aberdeen	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
Aberdeen	2 - 0
Aberdeen	4 - 1
Aberdeen	1 - 0
Aberdeen	1 - 0
Aberdeen	3 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
Aberdeen	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Aberdeen	5 - 1
Aberdeen	2 - 1
Aberdeen	2 - 0
Aberdeen	1 - 0
Aberdeen	2 - 1
Aberdeen	2 - 1

Kilmarnock

Aberdeen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 19

14 / 19

Clean sheets

5 / 19

9 / 19

ABD

KIL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	4 - 0
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
Kilmarnock	2 - 1
	0 - 2	Aberdeen
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Aberdeen
	1 - 2	Aberdeen
	0 - 2	Aberdeen
	1 - 3	Aberdeen
	1 - 2	Aberdeen
	0 - 4	Aberdeen
	0 - 4	Aberdeen
	1 - 2	Aberdeen
	0 - 2	Aberdeen
	0 - 1	Aberdeen

Goal Statistics

	Aberdeen 8th	Kilmarnock 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 14% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that Aberdeen will score 1 or more goals	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Kilmarnock will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+14 Aberdeen have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted	-8 Kilmarnock’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.7 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	2.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

ABD

KIL

15%

better

view stats

Games scored	18		24
Failed to score	15		9
Scored first	11		12
Goals scored	33		37
Avg. goals scored	1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	13		14
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.2
KickOff rating		+15%

13%

better

ABD

KIL

view stats

Games conceded	25		26
Clean sheets	8		7
Conceded first	20		19
Goals conceded	48		65
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		2
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		5
Conversion rate against	14%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.6		2.1
KickOff rating		+13%

Aberdeen v Kilmarnock Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Aberdeen Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	9	4	8
D Mitov	K Nisbet	S Armstrong	N Devlin

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Milne DEF	30			3 1
K Nisbet FWD	30	9	1	3 -
T Keskinen FWD	30	3	3	4 -
D Mitov GLK	29			2 -
G Shinnie MID	28		2	6 1
M Lazetić FWD	27	4	1	6 -
N Devlin DEF	26	1		7 1
A Jensen DEF	25			2 -
S Armstrong MID	25	1	4	5 -
M Knoester DEF	23		1	6 -
K Bilalovic FWD	17	3		1 -
D Lobban DEF	13			4 1
G Molloy DEF	13			1 -
N. Milanovic FWD	13			1 -
E. Gyamfi DEF	12	1		3 -
T Olusanya FWD	11		1	1 -
A Palaversa MID	10		1	3 -
L Cameron MID	10			1 -
L Morrison DEF	9			3 1
M. Frame DEF	7		1	1 -
K Kjartansson MID	7		1	1 -
D Geiger MID	7	1		3 -
A Aremu MID	5		1	1 -
P Bratveit GLK	4			-
T Mcintyre DEF	3			1 -
E Bwomono DEF	1			-
K Tobers DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	20	4	7
K Nisbet	K Nisbet	S Armstrong	S Armstrong

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Nisbet FWD	9	20	1	4
M Lazetić FWD	4	6	1
T Keskinen FWD	3	12	3	4
K Bilalovic FWD	3	3
N Devlin DEF	1	5
S Armstrong MID	1	9	4	7
E. Gyamfi DEF	1	2		1
D Geiger MID	1	1		1
J Milne DEF		2
G Shinnie MID		3	2
A Jensen DEF		2
M Knoester DEF		1	1
D Lobban DEF		2		1
N. Milanovic FWD		4		1
T Olusanya FWD		1	1	2
A Palaversa MID		1	1	1
L Cameron MID		1		2
L Morrison DEF		1
M. Frame DEF			1	2
K Kjartansson MID		1	1	1
A Aremu MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1306	78	155
J Milne	G Shinnie	G Shinnie

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Milne DEF	1306	33	91
M Knoester DEF	1183	36	143
S Armstrong MID	985	29	78
D Mitov GLK	922		28
G Shinnie MID	887	78	155
N Devlin DEF	702	32	106
A Jensen DEF	701	32	87
K Nisbet FWD	380	11	75
G Molloy DEF	364	15	57
L Cameron MID	348	11	40
L Morrison DEF	343	6	34
T Keskinen FWD	299	24	84
D Lobban DEF	242	23	47
D Geiger MID	237	11	26
A Palaversa MID	230	7	24
E. Gyamfi DEF	226	21	44
M. Frame DEF	186	12	28
N. Milanovic FWD	156	7	29
T Mcintyre DEF	154	2	9
A Aremu MID	146	10	17
P Bratveit GLK	134		1
M Lazetić FWD	132	10	44
K Bilalovic FWD	96	5	31
K Kjartansson MID	77	6	14
T Olusanya FWD	76	3	32
K Tobers DEF	25	2	2
E Bwomono DEF	5

Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	8	4	10
R Deas	T John-Jules	G Kiltie	R Deas

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Thompson DEF	32		1	4 1
R Deas DEF	31	1	1	10 -
B Anderson FWD	31	4	2	2 -
D Watson MID	30	3	1	8 1
B Lyons MID	29	1	1	8 -
G Kiltie FWD	29	4	4	4 -
L Polworth MID	28	1	1	3 -
L Mayo DEF	21			2 -
T John-Jules FWD	18	8	2	2 -
E. Brown DEF	17			1 -
T Lowery MID	16			2 1
G Stanger DEF	15	2		4 1
J Thomson MID	15			2 1
R McKenzie FWD	15			-
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	13	2		1 -
M Watkins FWD	13	1	1	-
S Tiffoney FWD	12	1	1	-
K Roos GLK	11			-
J Brandon DEF	11			2 -
J Hugill FWD	10	3	2	1 -
A Tshibola MID	9			3 -
F. Curtis FWD	9	1	1	1 -
M Stryjek GLK	7			-
Z Williams DEF	7			-
D. Daniels FWD	7	2		2 -
K Magennis MID	3			1 -
N Clescenco FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	20	4	8
T John-Jules	T John-Jules	G Kiltie	G Kiltie

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T John-Jules FWD	8	20	2	3
B Anderson FWD	4	14	2	1
G Kiltie FWD	4	13	4	8
D Watson MID	3	11	1	2
J Hugill FWD	3	7	2	3
G Stanger DEF	2	3
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	2	5		1
D. Daniels FWD	2	3
R Deas DEF	1	5	1	1
B Lyons MID	1	9	1	2
L Polworth MID	1	4	1	3
M Watkins FWD	1	4	1	2
S Tiffoney FWD	1	3	1	2
F. Curtis FWD	1	7	1	3
D Thompson DEF		3	1	4
L Mayo DEF		3
E. Brown DEF		3		1
R McKenzie FWD				1
Z Williams DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1229	53	163
R Deas	D Watson	R Deas

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Deas DEF	1229	40	163
B Lyons MID	852	35	136
L Polworth MID	819	40	82
D Thompson DEF	730	36	92
L Mayo DEF	704	27	78
D Watson MID	623	53	142
E. Brown DEF	558	18	71
G Kiltie FWD	467	28	104
G Stanger DEF	395	11	50
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	369	12	38
T John-Jules FWD	330	12	92
K Roos GLK	322		3
T Lowery MID	304	10	24
A Tshibola MID	285	14	29
B Anderson FWD	270	9	65
J Brandon DEF	259	35	57
J Thomson MID	212	22	29
M Stryjek GLK	201	1	4
F. Curtis FWD	187	21	56
Z Williams DEF	145	10	21
R McKenzie FWD	131	9	18
S Tiffoney FWD	114	7	28
J Hugill FWD	95	3	13
M Watkins FWD	67	4	24
D. Daniels FWD	54	7	17
K Magennis MID	8	1	2
N Clescenco FWD	3