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Athletic Bilbao v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

San Mamés, Bilbao

The La Liga is the focus for both Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid on Wednesday night, as bosses Ernesto Valverde Tejedor and Carlo Ancelotti go head to head at the San Mamés. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history later on in the preview.

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Athletic Bilbao's next match is v Alaves at 15:15 on Sunday 15th December
Real Madrid's next match is v R.Vallecano at 20:00 on Saturday 14th December
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between A.Bilbao and Real Madrid was on Wednesday 4th December 2024
Spanish La Liga
December 4th 2024
A.Bilbao 2
1 Real Madrid
 
A. Berenguer Remiro 53'78' J. Bellingham
G. Guruzeta Rodríguez 80'
 
ATH
RMD
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
1
2
Corners
5
2
Possession
37%
63%
Fouls
21
9
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/0
 
A.BilbaoReal Madrid
 
J. Agirrezabala
A. Gorosabel Espinosa (Ó. de Marcos Arana 79')
B. Prados Díaz (I. Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria 63')
A. Boiro Boiro (Y. Berchiche Izeta 84')
Y. Álvarez López
D. Vivian Moreno
O. Sancet Tirapu (U. Gómez Etxebarria 79')
M. Jauregizar Alboniga
N. Williams Arthuer
I. Williams Arthuer
A. Berenguer Remirofootball icon (G. Guruzeta Rodríguez 64')
T. Courtois
R. Asencio del Rosario
A. Rüdiger
(L. Modrić 71') F. García Torres
(A. Guler 88') L. Vázquez Iglesias
football iconJ. Bellingham
(B. Abdelkader Diaz 58') D. Ceballos Fernández
(F. Mendy 71') A. Tchouaméni
F. Valverde Dipetta
(E. Moreira de Sousa 88') R. Silva de Goes
K. Mbappé

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by A.Bilbao and Real Madrid combined during 90 mins. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and we're suggest there's a 76% chance of it being right on the money. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Bilbao
33%
12/5
3%
23/10
6%
Draw
27%
23/10
3%
23/10
3%
Real Madrid
40%
6/5
7%
6/5
5%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
8%
Real Madrid 1-0
11%
15/27/1
7%
A.Bilbao 1-0
10%
11/117/2
5%
Draw 0-0
8%
10/18/1
5%
Real Madrid 2-1
8%
8/17/1
A.Bilbao 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Real Madrid 2-0
7%
10/19/1
5%
A.Bilbao 2-0
6%
16/1
11%
14/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1
8%
10/1
Real Madrid 3-1
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
Real Madrid 3-0
3%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
A.Bilbao 3-1
3%
25/118/1
10%
A.Bilbao 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Real Madrid 3-2
2%
22/118/1
12%
A.Bilbao 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
4/5
2%
4/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
1/1
2%
10/11
2%
Home 1st Goal
46%
13/10
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/6
1%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
50%
4/6
2%
4/6
BTTS - No
50%
11/1011/10
BTTS - Home Win
14%
5/1
8%
9/2
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1
8%
16/5
BTTS - Away Win
17%
10/3
8%
29/10
4%
Home/draw
60%
4/6
6%
13/20
5%
Away/draw
67%
3/10
2%
1/3
3%
Home/away
73%
1/31/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/4
2%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
3/15/2
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
2/119/10
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/5
2%
4/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/217/4
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/7
3%
2/15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/20
2%
1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/20
2%
1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/18/1
5%
Home DNB
52%
11/8
5%
13/10
6%
Away DNB
59%
8/1511/20
5%
A.Bilbao win to nil
18%
5/1
8%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
23%
3/1
7%
-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
17%
9/217/4
5%
A.Bilbao / Real Madrid
4%
22/118/1
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / A.Bilbao
12%
6/1
7%
6/1
Draw / Real Madrid
15%
9/24/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
Real Madrid / A.Bilbao
3%
28/122/1
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
22%
5/2
3%
12/5
5%
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Bilbao have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league. A.Bilbao have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 2 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won zero. A.Bilbao have conceded 3 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

A.Bilbao have played 8 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Real Madrid lay in 2nd place on 33 points in the La Liga league table having played 14 matches. Real Madrid are unbeaten in 13 games against teams below them in the league and kept 7 clean sheets out of 13 games. Real Madrid are unbeaten away after 6 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 30 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 7 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 6 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Bilbao
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1712233138 
May 25
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-4A
May 11
2
Real Madrid A1611322136 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
-
-
3
A.Madrid1610511935 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 2
Feb 9
d
 
1-1F
4
A.Bilbao Home179531132 
-
-
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
5
Villarreal15753226 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
6
Osasuna17674-325 
Mar 30
Dec 21
w
 
4-0F
Feb 16
7
R.Sociedad16736524 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
May 25
w
 
0-2F
8
Mallorca17737-424 
Mar 9
d
 
0-00-0
May 14
d
 
1-1F
9
Girona16646-122 
Feb 9
l
 
2-1A
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
10
Celta16637-221 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 19
May 4
w
 
1-2F
11
Real Betis16565-221 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 2
w
 
2-0F
Mar 2
12
R.Vallecano15546-119 
Apr 13
w
 
1-2A
Mar 9
Dec 14
13
Sevilla16547-619 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 16
Dec 22
May 18
14
Las Palmas16538-518 
Apr 23
w
 
2-3F
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
15
Getafe16376-216 
d
 
1-1F
May 14
w
 
2-0F
Apr 23
16
Alaves16439-915 
May 11
Dec 15
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
17
Leganes16367-915 
Jan 26
w
 
0-2F
Mar 30
w
 
0-3F
18
Espanyol164210-1314 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 16
w
 
4-1A
Feb 2
19
Valladolid173311-2212 
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
Jan 26
20
Valencia15249-1010 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
Apr 6
Jan 3
Win / draw / win form
A.Bilbao 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao1 - 1Real Betis
A.Bilbao4 - 1Espanyol
A.Bilbao1 - 1Sevilla
A.Bilbao3 - 1Celta
A.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0Valencia
A.Bilbao1 - 1Getafe
A.Bilbao2 - 0Sevilla
A.Bilbao2 - 2Osasuna
A.Bilbao1 - 1Granada
A.Bilbao1 - 1Villarreal
A.Bilbao2 - 0Alaves
A.Bilbao0 - 0Barcelona
A.Bilbao3 - 2Girona
A.Bilbao4 - 0Mallorca
A.Bilbao2 - 1R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao1 - 0Las Palmas
A.Bilbao2 - 0A.Madrid
A.Bilbao4 - 0R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Bilbao2 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Valladolid
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Real Betis
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Mallorca
HA.Bilbao4 - 1Espanyol
AA.Bilbao1 - 2Girona
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Sevilla
HA.Bilbao3 - 1Celta
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Leganes
AA.Bilbao3 - 2Las Palmas
HA.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
HA.Bilbao1 - 0Valencia
AA.Bilbao1 - 2Barcelona
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Getafe
AA.Bilbao1 - 0R.Vallecano
HA.Bilbao2 - 0Sevilla
AA.Bilbao1 - 2Celta
HA.Bilbao2 - 2Osasuna
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Getafe
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leganes0 - 3Real Madrid
Celta1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
R.Sociedad0 - 2Real Madrid
Las Palmas1 - 1Real Madrid
Mallorca1 - 1Real Madrid
Villarreal4 - 4Real Madrid
Granada0 - 4Real Madrid
R.Sociedad0 - 1Real Madrid
Mallorca0 - 1Real Madrid
Osasuna2 - 4Real Madrid
Valencia2 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 1Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 2Real Madrid
Las Palmas1 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Real Betis1 - 1Real Madrid
Cadiz0 - 3Real Madrid
Barcelona1 - 2Real Madrid
Sevilla1 - 1Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid2 - 0Getafe
AReal Madrid3 - 0Leganes
HReal Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
AReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid3 - 2Alaves
HReal Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
AReal Madrid1 - 1Las Palmas
HReal Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
AReal Madrid1 - 1Mallorca
HReal Madrid0 - 0Real Betis
AReal Madrid4 - 4Villarreal
HReal Madrid5 - 0Alaves
AReal Madrid4 - 0Granada
HReal Madrid3 - 0Cadiz
AReal Madrid1 - 0R.Sociedad
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Real Madrid have beaten A.Bilbao in 5 consecutive away league meetings
18
Real Madrid have not lost to A.Bilbao in 18 consecutive league meetings
League games at A.Bilbao since 2015
A.Bilbao
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
5
13
Games: Scored
5 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
5 / 10
ATH
1
D
2
RMD
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Bilbao
0 - 2Real Madrid
0 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 2Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
22
6
Games: Scored
9 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
1 / 10
D
3
RMD
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid4 - 2
Real Madrid5 - 0
Goal Statistics

Athletic Bilbao's defensive record is very strong, E. Valverde Tejedor's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive La Liga matches. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Real Madrid makes sense in this context.

A.Bilbao 4th Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that A.Bilbao will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Real Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+21
Real Madrid have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278343/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Bilbao
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
ATH
RMD
22%
better
view stats
Games scored13
13
Failed to score2
1
Scored first8
11
Goals scored22
30
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
19
Avg. XG for1.4
1.9
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
ATH
RMD
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
7
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first6
3
Goals conceded14
11
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against1
0.8
KickOff rating
+27%

A.Bilbao v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15747
I WilliamsO SancetI WilliamsB Prados
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Agirrezabala GLK14
1
1
A Gorosabel DEF61
1
-
D Vivian DEF142
1
-
Y Álvarez DEF9
2
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF6
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID141
3
1
B Prados MID141
7
-
I Williams MID1644
-
O Sancet MID1471
2
-
N Williams MID1513
1
-
Álex Berenguer FWD1634
2
-
Subs
U Simón GLK
-
A Paredes DEF102
3
1
U Núñez DEF3
1
-
I Lekue DEF7
1
-
Y Berchiche DEF14
2
-
Óscar de Marcos DEF134
-
M Vesga MID10
1
-
I Galarreta MID132
2
-
U Gómez MID161
1
-
Álvaro Djaló FWD111
-
G Guruzeta FWD1642
1
-
N Serrano  FWD3
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16943
F ValverdeK MbappéJ BellinghamL Modric
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK13
-
L Vázquez DEF1311
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF51
-
A Rüdiger DEF16
2
-
F García DEF13
-
F Valverde MID1632
2
-
A Tchouameni MID12
1
-
D Ceballos MID7
1
-
J Bellingham MID1254
1
-
Rodrygo FWD1331
-
K Mbappé FWD1591
2
-
Subs
S Mestre GLK
-
A Lunin GLK31
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
L. Aguado Herrera DEF
-
F Mendy DEF11
1
1
L Modric MID163
3
-
A Güler MID1211
1
-
B Díaz MID1112
-
G. García Torres FWD
-
Endrick FWD101
1
-