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Alaves v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 30th Aug, 16:00 BST, Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Saturday afternoon sees Eduardo Coudet’s Alaves and Diego Simeone’s Atletico de Madrid go head to head in a La Liga battle at the Mendizorroza. All the odds are delivered straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to La Liga match data, including head-to-head performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during the standard 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of A.Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alaves
22%
4.504.40
Draw
25%
3.503.50
A.Madrid
53%
1.831.85
A.Madrid 1-0
13%
6.506.00
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.50
A.Madrid 2-0
10%
8.007.50
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
8.508.00
Draw 0-0
8%
9.007.50
Alaves 1-0
7%
11.009.50
A.Madrid 3-0
6%
15.0012.00
Alaves 2-1
5%
15.0012.00
A.Madrid 3-1
5%
15.0013.00
Draw 2-2
4%
17.0015.00
Alaves 2-0
3%
21.0017.00
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
29.0023.00
A.Madrid 4-0
2%
34.0023.00
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
34.0026.00
Alaves 3-1
2%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
2.102.10
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1.731.67
Home 1st Goal
41%
2.602.70
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.621.62
No 1st Goal
5%
9.007.50
BTTS - Yes
48%
1.952.00
BTTS - No
52%
1.801.75
BTTS - Home Win
10%
9.508.00
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.004.80
BTTS - Away Win
22%
4.334.00
Home/draw
47%
1.911.91
Away/draw
78%
1.181.20
Home/away
75%
1.291.30
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.361.36
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.202.90
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
4.003.70
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.251.25
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8.007.00
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.081.08
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
17.0015.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.071.07
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9.007.50
Home DNB
39%
3.253.10
Away DNB
71%
1.331.33
Alaves win to nil
12%
7.00-
A.Madrid win to nil
32%
2.75-
Alaves / Alaves
11%
7.506.50
Alaves / A.Madrid
4%
23.0021.00
Alaves / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Alaves
9%
9.008.50
Draw / A.Madrid
18%
4.504.50
Draw / Draw
17%
5.004.60
A.Madrid / Alaves
2%
41.0029.00
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
28%
2.882.88
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Alaves
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Villarreal220076 
Mar 15
Jan 11
Sep 14
May 24
2
Barcelona220046 
May 13
Nov 30
Apr 5
Jan 11
3
Real Madrid220046 
Dec 14
Apr 22
Sep 28
Mar 22
4
Espanyol211014 
Nov 2
Feb 1
Feb 22
l
 
2-1F
5
Real Betis211014 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Feb 8
Oct 26
6
R.Vallecano110023 
May 24
Oct 26
Sep 24
Feb 15
7
Getafe110023 
Feb 8
Sep 24
Mar 15
Nov 23
8
A.Bilbao110013 
May 3
Sep 14
Apr 19
Dec 7
9
Alaves210103 
-
-
Jan 18
Aug 30
10
Osasuna210103 
Apr 5
Dec 21
Oct 19
May 13
11
R.Sociedad202002 
Dec 7
Apr 12
Mar 8
Jan 4
12
Elche202002 
Oct 5
May 10
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
13
A.Madrid2011-11 
Aug 30
Jan 18
-
-
14
Valencia2011-11 
Oct 19
Mar 8
Dec 14
May 3
15
Celta2011-21 
Nov 23
Mar 22
May 10
Oct 5
16
Mallorca2011-31 
Apr 19
Sep 28
Jan 25
Sep 21
17
Sevilla1001-10 
Sep 21
Feb 15
Nov 2
Apr 12
18
Levante2002-20 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
Nov 9
Feb 1
19
Real Oviedo2002-50 
Jan 4
May 17
Nov 30
Mar 1
20
Girona2002-70 
Feb 22
Nov 9
May 17
Dec 21
Win / draw / win form
5
Alaves have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Alaves 9TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alaves2 - 1Levante
Alaves1 - 1Osasuna
Alaves1 - 0Valencia
Alaves0 - 0A.Madrid
Alaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
Alaves1 - 0Villarreal
Alaves0 - 1Espanyol
Alaves0 - 1Getafe
Alaves1 - 1Celta
Alaves0 - 1Girona
Alaves1 - 1A.Bilbao
Alaves1 - 1Leganes
Alaves1 - 0Mallorca
Alaves2 - 3Valladolid
Alaves0 - 3Barcelona
Alaves2 - 1Sevilla
Alaves2 - 0Las Palmas
Alaves0 - 0Real Betis
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlaves0 - 1Real Betis
HAlaves2 - 1Levante
HAlaves1 - 1Osasuna
AAlaves1 - 0Valladolid
HAlaves1 - 0Valencia
AAlaves0 - 1A.Bilbao
HAlaves0 - 0A.Madrid
HAlaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
AAlaves1 - 1Sevilla
HAlaves0 - 1Real Madrid
AAlaves1 - 0Girona
HAlaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
AAlaves2 - 2Las Palmas
HAlaves1 - 0Villarreal
AAlaves1 - 1Mallorca
HAlaves0 - 1Espanyol
AAlaves3 - 3Leganes
HAlaves0 - 1Getafe
AAlaves0 - 1Barcelona
HAlaves1 - 1Celta
A.Madrid 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Espanyol2 - 1A.Madrid
Girona0 - 4A.Madrid
Osasuna2 - 0A.Madrid
Alaves0 - 0A.Madrid
Las Palmas1 - 0A.Madrid
Sevilla1 - 2A.Madrid
Espanyol1 - 1A.Madrid
Getafe2 - 1A.Madrid
Valencia0 - 3A.Madrid
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Leganes1 - 0A.Madrid
Barcelona1 - 2A.Madrid
Valladolid0 - 5A.Madrid
Mallorca0 - 1A.Madrid
Real Betis1 - 0A.Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 1A.Madrid
Celta0 - 1A.Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 1A.Madrid
A.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
Villarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid1 - 1Elche
AA.Madrid1 - 2Espanyol
AA.Madrid4 - 0Girona
HA.Madrid4 - 1Real Betis
AA.Madrid0 - 2Osasuna
HA.Madrid4 - 0R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid0 - 0Alaves
HA.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
AA.Madrid0 - 1Las Palmas
HA.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
AA.Madrid2 - 1Sevilla
AA.Madrid1 - 1Espanyol
HA.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
AA.Madrid1 - 2Getafe
HA.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
HA.Madrid1 - 1Celta
AA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Alaves have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with A.Madrid
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
5
8
Games: Scored
4 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
4 / 8
ALV
2
D
3
ATM
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
Draw0 - 0Draw
Alaves2 - 0
Alaves1 - 0
1 - 2A.Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4A.Madrid
0 - 1A.Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at A.Madrid since 2016
A.Madrid
Alaves
Goals: Scored
16
5
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
D
1
ATM
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid4 - 1
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive La Liga outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Alaves on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Alaves 9th A.Madrid 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Alaves scoring 1 goal or less
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-36
Alaves have scored 36% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
A.Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
0.9
1.6
Attack rating
0%
better
ALV
ATM
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
ALV
ATM
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Alaves v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
A SiveraN TenagliaC AleñáF Garcés
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK2
-
F Garcés DEF2
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF21
-
V. Parada González DEF2
-
J Castro DEF2
-
C Aleñá MID21
-
Calebe MID2
-
A Guevara MID2
-
J Guridi MID2
-
A Blanco MID2
1
-
P Ibáñez MID2
1
-
A Rebbach FWD2
-
T Martínez FWD21
-
C Vicente FWD2
-
M Díaz FWD2
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF1
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
J OblakJ ÁlvarezD HanckoR Normand
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK2
-
D Hancko DEF21
-
M Ruggeri DEF2
-
R Normand DEF2
1
-
M Llorente DEF2
1
-
T Almada MID2
-
Johnny MID2
1
-
C Gallagher MID2
-
P Barrios MID2
-
G Raspadori FWD2
-
J Álvarez FWD21
-
A Griezmann FWD2
-
G Simeone FWD2
-
A Sörloth FWD21
-
J Galán DEF1
-
N Molina DEF1
-
Álex Baena MID1
-
Koke MID1
-