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Alaves v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 15:15 BST, Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Alaves are in La Liga action on Saturday afternoon, as Enrique Sánchez Flores aims to beat Diego Pablo Simeone and his Atletico de Madrid side at the Mendizorroza. Analysing both teams' last 20 La Liga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Alaves and A.Madrid will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Enrique Sánchez Flores or Diego Pablo Simeone has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.29 equating to approximately a 78% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Alaves and A.Madrid an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alaves
26%
14/5
9%
-
Draw
24%
5/2-
A.Madrid
50%
9/10
5%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
A.Madrid 1-0
10%
7/1-
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
15/2-
A.Madrid 2-0
8%
17/2
5%
-
Alaves 1-0
7%
11/1-
Alaves 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
-
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
14/1-
A.Madrid 3-0
5%
16/1-
Alaves 2-0
4%
20/1
11%
-
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
22/1-
Alaves 3-1
3%
28/1-
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
Alaves 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
10/11
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
10/11
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
44%
11/8
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/6
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - No
44%
1/1
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
25%
11/4
6%
-
Home/draw
50%
10/11
6%
-
Away/draw
74%
1/4
3%
-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/4
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
11/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/1
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/8
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
8%
-
Home DNB
43%
7/4
5%
-
Away DNB
67%
2/5
3%
-
Alaves win to nil
12%
6/1
8%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
26%
12/5
3%
-
Alaves / Alaves
13%
11/2
8%
-
Alaves / A.Madrid
4%
22/1-
Alaves / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Alaves
10%
15/2
6%
-
Draw / A.Madrid
17%
4/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
A.Madrid / Alaves
2%
33/1
17%
-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
28%
2/1
6%
-
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Alaves
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona77002421 
Jan 24
Nov 1
Nov 8
Feb 7
2
A.Madrid7511916 
Oct 10
May 2
-
-
3
Real Betis7511216 
Apr 11
Jan 3
Dec 6
May 30
4
Real Madrid75021015 
May 23
Nov 29
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
5
Sevilla7412113 
Mar 14
Nov 8
Apr 18
w
 
1-3F
6
Alaves7322511 
-
-
May 2
Oct 10
7
Deportivo7241210 
Nov 22
May 16
Oct 24
Jan 24
8
R.Sociedad7313-410 
Jan 10
Mar 21
Jan 17
w
 
0-3F
9
Villarreal722318 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
d
 
2-2F
Apr 21
10
A.Bilbao622218 
Mar 7
d
 
0-00-0
May 23
l
 
3-0A
11
Getafe7223-38 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 28
Mar 21
Nov 22
12
R.Vallecano7223-58 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
May 16
Jan 3
13
Osasuna7223-78 
w
 
5-2F
Apr 21
w
 
4-0F
Feb 14
14
Celta714227 
Feb 7
Oct 18
Mar 7
Dec 20
15
Espanyol721407 
Dec 6
May 30
Jan 31
Oct 17
16
R.Santander7214-107 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1F
Jan 10
Mar 14
17
Levante6123-45 
May 9
Dec 13
Apr 11
Nov 1
18
Elche7124-65 
Dec 20
Apr 4
Feb 21
Nov 29
19
Valencia7115-94 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 14
Dec 13
May 9
20
Malaga7034-93 
Oct 23
Jan 31
w
 
2-0F
Feb 28
Win / draw / win form
3
A.Madrid have won 3 consecutive league games
Alaves 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alaves0 - 1Valencia
Alaves5 - 2Osasuna
Alaves1 - 0Villarreal
Alaves3 - 0Getafe
Alaves1 - 2R.Vallecano
Alaves1 - 0Barcelona
Alaves2 - 4A.Bilbao
Alaves2 - 1Mallorca
Alaves2 - 2Osasuna
Alaves1 - 1Villarreal
Alaves2 - 2Girona
Alaves0 - 2Getafe
Alaves2 - 1Real Betis
Alaves1 - 1Real Oviedo
Alaves1 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
Alaves0 - 1Celta
Alaves2 - 1Espanyol
Alaves0 - 0Valencia
Alaves3 - 1Elche
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlaves0 - 0A.Bilbao
HAlaves0 - 1Valencia
AAlaves1 - 2R.Santander
HAlaves5 - 2Osasuna
HAlaves1 - 0Villarreal
AAlaves1 - 1R.Vallecano
HAlaves3 - 0Getafe
HAlaves1 - 2R.Vallecano
AAlaves1 - 0Real Oviedo
HAlaves1 - 0Barcelona
AAlaves1 - 1Elche
HAlaves2 - 4A.Bilbao
HAlaves2 - 1Mallorca
AAlaves1 - 2Real Madrid
AAlaves3 - 3R.Sociedad
HAlaves2 - 2Osasuna
AAlaves4 - 3Celta
HAlaves1 - 1Villarreal
AAlaves2 - 3Valencia
AAlaves0 - 2Levante
A.Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Sociedad0 - 3A.Madrid
A.Bilbao3 - 0A.Madrid
Sevilla1 - 3A.Madrid
Villarreal5 - 1A.Madrid
Osasuna1 - 2A.Madrid
Valencia0 - 2A.Madrid
Elche3 - 2A.Madrid
Sevilla2 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 2A.Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 1A.Madrid
R.Vallecano3 - 0A.Madrid
Levante0 - 0A.Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 1A.Madrid
Girona0 - 3A.Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0A.Madrid
Barcelona3 - 1A.Madrid
Getafe0 - 1A.Madrid
Real Betis0 - 2A.Madrid
Celta1 - 1A.Madrid
Mallorca1 - 1A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
1
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid2 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
AA.Madrid3 - 0R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid0 - 3A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid3 - 1Sevilla
HA.Madrid2 - 2Villarreal
HA.Madrid2 - 0Malaga
AA.Madrid1 - 5Villarreal
HA.Madrid1 - 0Girona
AA.Madrid2 - 1Osasuna
HA.Madrid0 - 1Celta
AA.Madrid2 - 0Valencia
HA.Madrid3 - 2A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid2 - 3Elche
AA.Madrid1 - 2Sevilla
HA.Madrid1 - 2Barcelona
AA.Madrid2 - 3Real Madrid
HA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid3 - 2R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid1 - 0Real Oviedo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
5 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
4 / 9
ALV
2
D
4
ATM
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Alaves2 - 0
Alaves1 - 0
1 - 2A.Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4A.Madrid
0 - 1A.Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at A.Madrid since 2016
A.Madrid
Alaves
Goals: Scored
17
5
Games: Scored
9 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
0 / 9
D
1
ATM
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid4 - 1
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Alaves 6th A.Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Alaves will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Alaves’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
A.Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2026/2027 season
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
%
better
ALV
ATM
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
ALV
ATM
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Alaves v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7433
A SiveraL BoyéM DíazA Blanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK71
1
-
V Koski DEF71
-
N Tenaglia DEF71
2
-
P Ibáñez MID71
1
-
A Blanco MID7
3
-
M Díaz FWD733
2
-
A. Pérez Hidalgo FWD73
-
A Rebbach FWD7
3
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF6
-
J Castro DEF6
-
C Aleñá MID61
-
D Suárez MID6
1
-
T Martínez FWD6
-
L Boyé FWD64
-
N Valentini DEF4
1
-
A. Mañas Buenadicha FWD4
-
M. Rodriguez Ulacia MID31
-
C Benavídez MID3
-
A Guevara MID3
-
M Rodríguez FWD3
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7422
J OblakÁlex BaenaD HanckoM Pubill
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK7
-
D Hancko DEF72
1
-
M Llorente DEF71
1
-
K Lee MID721
1
-
M Hjulmand MID7
1
-
Koke MID7
-
G Simeone FWD722
-
A Lookman FWD71
1
-
Álex Baena FWD741
1
-
A Grimaldo DEF621
-
M Pubill DEF61
2
-
Johnny MID51
1
-
A Ortiz FWD5
-
C Romero DEF4
1
-
R Normand DEF41
1
P Barrios MID41
-
R Mendoza MID3
-
J David FWD331
-
J Álvarez FWD3
-
J. Domínguez DEF1
1
-
D. Martinez Moreno DEF1
-