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Real Madrid v Villarreal : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho welcomes Iñigo Pérez Soto to the Santiago Bernabéu on Saturday night, as their Real Madrid and Villarreal troops clash in the La Liga. Stats for our tip of Real Madrid to win are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

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Real Madrid's next match is v Sevilla at 20:00 on Sunday 18th October
Villarreal's next match is v Elche at 15:15 on Saturday 17th October
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Real Madrid and Villarreal was on Saturday 10th October 2026
Spanish La Liga
October 10th 2026
Real Madrid 1
0 Villarreal
 
Y. Diomande 62'
 
RMD
VIL
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
4
7
Corners
9
3
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
8
13
Yellow/red cards
5/1
2/0
 
Real MadridVillarreal
 
T. Courtois
T. Alexander-Arnold (V. Júnior 52')
J. Bellingham
F. Valverde Dipetta
A. Tchouaméni
A. Guler (E. Camavinga 77')
K. Mbappé
I. Konaté
A. Carreras (M. Cucurella 46')
A. Rüdiger
Y. Diomandefootball icon (D. Dumfries 86')
A. Freeman
P. Navarro Badenes
(C. Romero Serrano 56') J. Foyth
R. Palma Veiga
(N. El Jmili Ben Hamou 86') A. Moleiro González
(G. Moreno Balaguero 67') Ilias Chakkour
(N. Saliba 56') S. Comesaña Veiga
P. Gulácsi
(G. Mikautadze 67') S. Cardona Bermúdez
P. Gueye
A. Pérez Gutiérrez

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

As the stadium fills and the Real Madrid players ready themselves for this match, the bookies are predicting a win for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we use in our predictive algorithms. The Santiago Bernabéu has rarely been an easy place to go for Villarreal in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Saturday night. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 71% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
71%
1/3
6%
-
Draw
16%
5/1
4%
-
Villarreal
13%
13/2
12%
-
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
8/1
10%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
8%
9/1-
Real Madrid 2-0
8%
9/1-
Real Madrid 3-0
7%
10/1
10%
-
Draw 1-1
7%
12/1
20%
-
Real Madrid 1-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Real Madrid 4-1
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Real Madrid 4-0
5%
14/1
15%
-
Real Madrid 3-2
5%
16/1
11%
-
Villarreal 2-1
4%
20/1
19%
-
Real Madrid 4-2
3%
22/1-
Real Madrid 5-1
3%
22/1
10%
-
Real Madrid 5-0
3%
25/1
24%
-
Villarreal 1-0
2%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
3/10
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
5/2
15%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/11
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
2/1
8%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
28/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/15
3%
-
BTTS - No
37%
11/8
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
41%
5/4
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
14%
11/2
7%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/1
17%
-
Home/draw
87%
1/10
2%
-
Away/draw
29%
9/4
13%
-
Home/away
84%
1/8-
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/12
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
7/1
22%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
4/5
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
1/1
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
34%
7/4
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
4/9
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
7/2
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1/5
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/200-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
28/1
15%
-
Home DNB
82%
1/8
5%
-
Away DNB
24%
5/1
25%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
31%
7/4
5%
-
Villarreal win to nil
4%
16/1
19%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
43%
5/6
10%
-
Real Madrid / Villarreal
2%
40/1-
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
-
Draw / Real Madrid
19%
10/3-
Draw / Villarreal
5%
16/1
19%
-
Draw / Draw
9%
9/1
17%
-
Villarreal / Real Madrid
6%
14/1-
Villarreal / Villarreal
7%
12/1
24%
-
Villarreal / Draw
4%
18/1
10%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona88002724 
May 9
Oct 25
Feb 14
Nov 22
2
A.Madrid86111019 
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
Apr 21
d
 
2-2A
3
Real Betis8611519 
Jan 24
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
Feb 28
4
Real Madrid86021118 
-
-
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
5
Sevilla8422114 
Oct 18
Feb 21
Jan 3
May 16
6
R.Sociedad8413-313 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 7
Dec 6
May 30
7
Alaves8323411 
Nov 29
May 23
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
8
Deportivo9252111 
May 30
Dec 20
l
 
2-3F
Apr 4
9
Celta815228 
Nov 22
Mar 21
May 9
Nov 29
10
A.Bilbao622218 
Feb 14
Dec 6
Apr 11
Jan 10
11
Villarreal822408 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
-
-
12
Espanyol822408 
Mar 14
w
 
1-2F
Oct 30
Jan 24
13
R.Vallecano7223-58 
w
 
4-1F
Jan 31
Dec 13
May 2
14
Getafe8224-68 
Jan 3
Apr 18
Nov 8
Feb 7
15
R.Santander8224-108 
May 16
Nov 1
Jan 31
d
 
2-2A
16
Osasuna8224-108 
Dec 13
Apr 11
May 23
Dec 20
17
Levante8143-47 
Jan 10
May 2
w
 
3-1F
Apr 18
18
Elche8134-66 
Apr 21
w
 
2-3F
Oct 17
Mar 14
19
Valencia8125-95 
Feb 28
Nov 7
Feb 21
Oct 24
20
Malaga8044-94 
w
 
4-0F
Jan 17
Mar 21
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid4 - 0Malaga
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Madrid4 - 2A.Bilbao
Real Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
Real Madrid2 - 1Alaves
Real Madrid1 - 1Girona
Real Madrid3 - 2A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Elche
Real Madrid0 - 1Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Levante
Real Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
Real Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
Real Madrid0 - 2Celta
Real Madrid4 - 0Valencia
Real Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
Real Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
Real Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid1 - 2A.Madrid
AReal Madrid3 - 2Elche
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid4 - 0Malaga
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 1Espanyol
HReal Madrid4 - 2A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
HReal Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
AReal Madrid0 - 2Barcelona
AReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid1 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 2Mallorca
HReal Madrid3 - 2A.Madrid
HReal Madrid4 - 1Elche
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid0 - 1Getafe
Villarreal 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Malaga1 - 3Villarreal
Alaves1 - 0Villarreal
A.Madrid2 - 2Villarreal
R.Santander2 - 2Villarreal
R.Vallecano2 - 0Villarreal
Mallorca1 - 1Villarreal
Real Oviedo1 - 1Villarreal
A.Bilbao1 - 2Villarreal
Girona1 - 0Villarreal
Alaves1 - 1Villarreal
Barcelona4 - 1Villarreal
Levante0 - 1Villarreal
Getafe2 - 1Villarreal
Osasuna2 - 2Villarreal
Real Betis2 - 0Villarreal
Elche1 - 3Villarreal
R.Sociedad2 - 3Villarreal
Espanyol0 - 2Villarreal
Valencia0 - 2Villarreal
Real Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVillarreal3 - 1Levante
AVillarreal3 - 1Malaga
HVillarreal1 - 2Real Betis
HVillarreal2 - 3Deportivo
AVillarreal0 - 1Alaves
AVillarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
AVillarreal2 - 2R.Santander
HVillarreal5 - 1A.Madrid
AVillarreal0 - 2R.Vallecano
HVillarreal2 - 3Sevilla
AVillarreal1 - 1Mallorca
HVillarreal5 - 1Levante
HVillarreal2 - 1Celta
AVillarreal1 - 1Real Oviedo
AVillarreal2 - 1A.Bilbao
AVillarreal0 - 1Girona
HVillarreal3 - 1R.Sociedad
AVillarreal1 - 1Alaves
HVillarreal2 - 1Elche
AVillarreal1 - 4Barcelona
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Real Madrid have beaten Villarreal in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
23
12
Games: Scored
10 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
2 / 12
RMD
7
D
3
VIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
2 - 3Villarreal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid3 - 2
0 - 1Villarreal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Villarreal since 2014
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
17
21
Games: Scored
9 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
3 / 12
RMD
4
D
6
VIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Villarreal
0 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 2Real Madrid
Draw4 - 4Draw
Villarreal2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 0
0 - 2Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

Villarreal have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 5 consecutive La Liga outings. This run could continue, with Real Madrid's PG an impressive 2.7.

Real Madrid 4th Villarreal 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
21%
There is a 82% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Real Madrid have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+3
Villarreal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2026/2027 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Villarreal
2.7
1.1
Attack rating
13%
better
RMD
VIL
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score1
1
Scored first5
3
Goals scored18
13
Avg. goals scored2.6
1.9
Avg. shots per game14
12
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
16
Avg. XG for2.4
2.3
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
37%
better
RMD
VIL
view stats
Games conceded6
7
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first2
4
Goals conceded8
12
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
21%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+37%

Real Madrid v Villarreal La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8734
T CourtoisK MbappéV JuniorI Konaté
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK8
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF51
-
I Konaté DEF7
4
-
A Rüdiger DEF41
1
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF51
1
-
F Valverde MID82
-
A Tchouameni MID4
1
-
A Güler MID812
1
-
J Bellingham MID832
2
-
Y. Diomande MID811
1
-
K Mbappé FWD872
1
-
Subs
A Lunin GLK
-
S Mestre GLK
-
M Cucurella  DEF8
-
D Dumfries DEF7
1
-
E Camavinga MID7
2
-
B Silva MID61
-
B Díaz MID3
-
T. Pitarch Pinar MID
-
V Junior FWD813
2
1
Endrick FWD1
-
C. Espí Escrihuela FWD42
-
Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8333
R VeigaP GueyeA MoleiroR Veiga
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gulácsi  GLK4
-
A Freeman DEF7
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF4
1
-
J Foyth DEF4
2
-
R Veiga DEF81
3
-
S Cardona DEF4
-
S Comesaña MID7
1
-
P Gueye MID83
1
-
A Moleiro MID823
-
A Pérez FWD812
-
I Akhomach FWD72
1
-
Subs
L Júnior GLK4
-
L Costa DEF1
-
S Mouriño DEF6
2
-
C Romero DEF6
1
-
A. Diatta MID
-
Carlos Macià MID4
-
N Saliba MID5
-
G Moreno FWD72
-
G Mikautadze FWD821
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD4
-
N. El Jmili Ben Hamou FWD1
-
J. Gaitán Diaz FWD
-