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Real Madrid v Villarreal : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

the Santiago Bernabéu plays host on Saturday night, as José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho's Real Madrid are visited by Iñigo Pérez Soto's Villarreal in the La Liga. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

As the stadium fills and the Real Madrid players ready themselves for this match, the bookies are predicting a win for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we use in our predictive algorithms. The Santiago Bernabéu has rarely been an easy place to go for Villarreal in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Saturday night. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 73% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
73%
3/10
4%
-
Draw
15%
9/2
12%
-
Villarreal
12%
13/2
12%
-
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
8%
9/1-
Real Madrid 2-0
8%
9/1-
Real Madrid 3-0
7%
10/1
10%
-
Draw 1-1
6%
11/1
20%
-
Real Madrid 4-1
6%
12/1-
Real Madrid 1-0
6%
14/1-
Real Madrid 4-0
5%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Real Madrid 3-2
5%
16/1
11%
-
Villarreal 2-1
3%
22/1
12%
-
Real Madrid 5-1
3%
22/1
10%
-
Real Madrid 4-2
3%
22/1-
Real Madrid 5-0
3%
22/1
10%
-
Villarreal 1-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
2/7
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
25%
11/4
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
58%
4/11
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
2/1
8%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
28/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/15
3%
-
BTTS - No
37%
11/8
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
42%
5/4
2%
-
BTTS - Draw
13%
5/1
14%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9/1
17%
-
Home/draw
88%
1/10
2%
-
Away/draw
27%
12/5
9%
-
Home/away
85%
1/7
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/12
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
7/1
11%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
55%
8/11
4%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
45%
11/10
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
36%
13/8
5%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
64%
1/2
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
20%
7/2
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
80%
1/5
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/200-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
25/1
24%
-
Home DNB
83%
1/9
3%
-
Away DNB
23%
11/2
19%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
31%
7/4
5%
-
Villarreal win to nil
4%
18/1
10%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
46%
4/5
8%
-
Real Madrid / Villarreal
2%
40/1-
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
-
Draw / Real Madrid
18%
7/2
4%
-
Draw / Villarreal
4%
18/1
10%
-
Draw / Draw
8%
9/1
17%
-
Villarreal / Real Madrid
6%
14/1-
Villarreal / Villarreal
6%
12/1
24%
-
Villarreal / Draw
4%
18/1
10%
-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona77002421 
May 9
Oct 25
Feb 14
Nov 22
2
A.Madrid7511916 
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
Apr 21
d
 
2-2A
3
Real Betis7511216 
Jan 24
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
Feb 28
4
Real Madrid75021015 
-
-
Mar 7
Oct 10
5
Sevilla7412113 
Oct 18
Feb 21
Jan 3
May 16
6
Alaves7322511 
Nov 29
May 23
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
7
Deportivo7241210 
May 30
Dec 20
l
 
2-3F
Apr 4
8
R.Sociedad7313-410 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 7
Dec 6
May 30
9
Villarreal722318 
Oct 10
Mar 7
-
-
10
A.Bilbao622218 
Feb 14
Dec 6
Apr 11
Jan 10
11
Getafe7223-38 
Jan 3
Apr 18
Nov 8
Feb 7
12
R.Vallecano7223-58 
w
 
4-1F
Jan 31
Dec 13
May 2
13
Osasuna7223-78 
Dec 13
Apr 11
May 23
Dec 20
14
Celta714227 
Nov 22
Mar 21
May 9
Nov 29
15
Espanyol721407 
Mar 14
w
 
1-2F
Nov 1
Jan 24
16
R.Santander7214-107 
May 16
Nov 1
Jan 31
d
 
2-2A
17
Levante6123-45 
Jan 10
May 2
w
 
3-1F
Apr 18
18
Elche7124-65 
Apr 21
w
 
2-3F
Oct 17
Mar 14
19
Valencia7115-94 
Feb 28
Nov 8
Feb 21
Oct 24
20
Malaga7034-93 
w
 
4-0F
Jan 17
Mar 21
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
6
Real Madrid have won 6 consecutive home league games
Real Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid4 - 0Malaga
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Madrid4 - 2A.Bilbao
Real Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
Real Madrid2 - 1Alaves
Real Madrid1 - 1Girona
Real Madrid3 - 2A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Elche
Real Madrid0 - 1Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Levante
Real Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
Real Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
Real Madrid0 - 2Celta
Real Madrid4 - 0Valencia
Real Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
Real Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
Real Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid1 - 2A.Madrid
AReal Madrid3 - 2Elche
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid4 - 0Malaga
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 1Espanyol
HReal Madrid4 - 2A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
HReal Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
AReal Madrid0 - 2Barcelona
AReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid1 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 2Mallorca
HReal Madrid3 - 2A.Madrid
HReal Madrid4 - 1Elche
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid0 - 1Getafe
Villarreal 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Malaga1 - 3Villarreal
Alaves1 - 0Villarreal
A.Madrid2 - 2Villarreal
R.Santander2 - 2Villarreal
R.Vallecano2 - 0Villarreal
Mallorca1 - 1Villarreal
Real Oviedo1 - 1Villarreal
A.Bilbao1 - 2Villarreal
Girona1 - 0Villarreal
Alaves1 - 1Villarreal
Barcelona4 - 1Villarreal
Levante0 - 1Villarreal
Getafe2 - 1Villarreal
Osasuna2 - 2Villarreal
Real Betis2 - 0Villarreal
Elche1 - 3Villarreal
R.Sociedad2 - 3Villarreal
Espanyol0 - 2Villarreal
Valencia0 - 2Villarreal
Real Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVillarreal3 - 1Levante
AVillarreal3 - 1Malaga
HVillarreal1 - 2Real Betis
HVillarreal2 - 3Deportivo
AVillarreal0 - 1Alaves
AVillarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
AVillarreal2 - 2R.Santander
HVillarreal5 - 1A.Madrid
AVillarreal0 - 2R.Vallecano
HVillarreal2 - 3Sevilla
AVillarreal1 - 1Mallorca
HVillarreal5 - 1Levante
HVillarreal2 - 1Celta
AVillarreal1 - 1Real Oviedo
AVillarreal2 - 1A.Bilbao
AVillarreal0 - 1Girona
HVillarreal3 - 1R.Sociedad
AVillarreal1 - 1Alaves
HVillarreal2 - 1Elche
AVillarreal1 - 4Barcelona
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
23
12
Games: Scored
10 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
2 / 12
RMD
7
D
3
VIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
2 - 3Villarreal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid3 - 2
0 - 1Villarreal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Villarreal since 2014
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
17
21
Games: Scored
9 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
3 / 12
RMD
4
D
6
VIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Villarreal
0 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 2Real Madrid
Draw4 - 4Draw
Villarreal2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 0
0 - 2Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

Villarreal have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 5 consecutive La Liga games. This run could continue, with Real Madrid's PG an impressive 2.8.

Real Madrid 4th Villarreal 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
5+
21%
There is a 83% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Real Madrid have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+3
Villarreal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2026/2027 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Villarreal
2.8
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
RMD
VIL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
RMD
VIL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Real Madrid v Villarreal La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7733
T CourtoisK MbappéV JuniorI Konaté
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK7
-
M Cucurella  DEF7
-
J Bellingham MID732
1
-
F Valverde MID71
-
A Güler MID712
1
-
Y. Diomande FWD71
1
-
K Mbappé FWD772
-
V Junior FWD713
2
-
D Dumfries DEF6
1
-
I Konaté DEF6
3
-
D. Huijsen DEF6
1
B Silva MID61
-
E Camavinga MID6
2
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF41
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF41
1
-
C. Espí Escrihuela FWD42
-
A Rüdiger DEF31
-
A Tchouameni MID3
-
B Díaz FWD3
-
Endrick FWD1
-
Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7332
R VeigaP GueyeA MoleiroR Veiga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Veiga DEF71
2
-
P Gueye MID73
1
-
T Buchanan FWD7
2
-
A Pérez FWD712
-
A Moleiro FWD723
-
G Mikautadze FWD721
-
S Mouriño DEF6
2
-
A Freeman DEF6
-
S Comesaña MID6
1
-
N Pépé FWD62
1
-
G Moreno FWD62
-
I Akhomach FWD62
1
-
C Romero DEF5
1
-
L Júnior GLK4
-
N Saliba MID4
-
Carlos Macià MID4
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD4
-
P Gulácsi  GLK3
-
J Foyth DEF3
2
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF3
-
S Cardona DEF3
-
L Costa DEF1
-