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Real Madrid v Villarreal : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Home advantage can be vital in the La Liga, and Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid will have the joy of it on Saturday night. Marcelino Toral’s Villarreal are their visitors to the Santiago Bernabéu. La Liga statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

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Real Madrid's next match is v Celta at 20:00 on Saturday 19th October
Villarreal's next match is v Getafe at 17:30 on Sunday 20th October
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Real Madrid and Villarreal was on Saturday 5th October 2024
Spanish La Liga
October 5th 2024
Real Madrid 2
0 Villarreal
 
F. Valverde Dipetta 14'
V. Júnior 73'
 
RMD
VIL
Shots On
2
1
Shots Off
5
8
Corners
2
5
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
7
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
Real MadridVillarreal
 
A. Lunin
F. Mendy
A. Rüdiger
D. Carvajal Ramos
A. Tchouaméni
L. Modrić (L. Vázquez Iglesias 90')
F. Valverde Dipettafootball icon
E. Camavinga (É. Gabriel Militão 71')
J. Bellingham
K. Mbappé (R. Silva de Goes 71')
V. Júniorfootball icon (A. Guler 79')
D. Conde Alcolado
(E. Bailly 68') R. Albiol Tortajada
L. Costa
(J. Bernat Velasco 86') S. Cardona Bermúdez
F. Femenía Far
(R. Terrats Espacio 79') D. Parejo Muñoz
S. Comesaña Veiga
P. Gueye
T. Barry
(Ilias Chakkour 68') N. Pépé
(Y. Jesús Pino Santos 68') A. Rodríguez
Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this fixture, and it's Real Madrid. Their recent form stats show their ability in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Villarreal too. The odds point towards Carlo Ancelotti's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Saturday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
62%
1/4
4%
1/4
4%
Draw
19%
11/2
13%
11/2
13%
Villarreal
18%
8/1
10%
9/1
5%
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
17/2
5%
7/1
Draw 1-1
9%
12/1
13%
10/1
16%
Real Madrid 2-0
8%
8/17/1
23%
Real Madrid 1-0
7%
12/19/1
33%
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
9/18/1
5%
Real Madrid 3-0
6%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
Draw 2-2
6%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Villarreal 2-1
5%
25/120/1
11%
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Real Madrid 4-1
4%
12/110/1
15%
Villarreal 1-0
4%
33/122/1
21%
Real Madrid 4-0
4%
12/1
18%
10/1
Draw 0-0
3%
28/120/1
40%
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
25/118/1
17%
Villarreal 2-0
2%
50/140/1
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
3/103/10
12%
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
5/29/4
30%
Home 1st Goal
56%
2/9
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
3/1
8%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
28/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
8/13
5%
13/20
11%
BTTS - No
39%
6/5
7%
23/20
16%
BTTS - Home Win
34%
5/4
2%
5/4
17%
BTTS - Draw
16%
6/1
18%
6/1
8%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
12/111/1
8%
Home/draw
82%
1/14
1%
1/16
Away/draw
38%
11/4
13%
14/5
9%
Home/away
81%
1/9
1%
1/9
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/121/11
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
7/111/2
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
4/53/4
20%
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
1/119/20
20%
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
7/417/10
25%
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
4/94/9
15%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
7/217/5
32%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/52/11
7%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/1501/300
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
27%
Home DNB
76%
1/12
1%
1/14
1%
Away DNB
32%
7/1
11%
13/2
7%
Real Madrid win to nil
28%
6/4
11%
-
Villarreal win to nil
7%
20/1-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
45%
8/11
4%
7/10
7%
Real Madrid / Villarreal
2%
50/1
24%
40/1
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
18/1
10%
16/1
Draw / Real Madrid
19%
3/110/3
8%
Draw / Villarreal
5%
20/1
9%
16/1
13%
Draw / Draw
9%
10/1
8%
8/1
20%
Villarreal / Real Madrid
5%
14/114/1
12%
Villarreal / Villarreal
6%
16/1
19%
12/1
Villarreal / Draw
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table. Real Madrid are unbeaten in 8 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 8 games. Real Madrid have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 2 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Both Real Madrid and Villarreal have scored 17 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 4 games at home winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Villarreal are in 3rd position in the La Liga on 17 points having played 8 matches so far this season. Villarreal have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 0 of those games. Villarreal are unbeaten away after 4 games and have kept zero clean sheets in those matches.

Away League Performance

zero of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 4 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 game have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. Villarreal have conceded 5 goals, scored 1, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Real Madrid
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Villarreal
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Oct 26
May 11
 Barcelona98011924 
l
 
1-5A
May 18
-
-
 Real Madrid H96301321 
Mar 16
l
 
2-0A
Feb 9
d
 
1-1F
 A.Madrid9450817 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 26
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
 Villarreal Away9522017 
-
-
Nov 9
Feb 16
 Osasuna9432-115 
May 4
Nov 24
Apr 20
Jan 11
 A.Bilbao9423314 
Apr 6
Dec 8
May 14
d
 
1-1F
 Mallorca9423114 
Jan 19
w
 
1-2F
Mar 9
Dec 15
 R.Vallecano9342213 
Nov 2
Feb 23
May 4
Oct 19
 Celta9414113 
w
 
4-3A
Apr 23
w
 
2-0F
Mar 2
 Real Betis9333012 
Dec 15
Apr 13
Feb 23
Dec 8
 Girona9333-112 
Dec 1
May 11
Dec 22
May 18
 Sevilla9333-112 
May 25
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
 Alaves9315-410 
Nov 9
Mar 9
w
 
4-1A
Feb 2
 Espanyol9315-410 
Mar 2
w
 
1-2A
May 25
w
 
0-2F
 R.Sociedad9234-19 
Apr 20
Jan 11
Dec 1
Apr 23
 Getafe9153-18 
Oct 20
Mar 30
Mar 30
Nov 24
 Leganes9153-48 
May 14
Dec 22
Apr 6
Nov 2
 Valencia9135-86 
Feb 16
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
Jan 26
 Valladolid9126-145 
Feb 2
Oct 26
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
 Las Palmas9036-83 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 9
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid3 - 2Alaves
Real Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
Real Madrid0 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid5 - 0Alaves
Real Madrid3 - 0Cadiz
Real Madrid3 - 2Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid4 - 0Celta
Real Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
Real Madrid4 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 2Almeria
Real Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
Real Madrid4 - 1Villarreal
Real Madrid2 - 0Granada
Real Madrid5 - 1Valencia
Real Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid3 - 2Alaves
HReal Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
AReal Madrid1 - 1Las Palmas
HReal Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
AReal Madrid1 - 1Mallorca
HReal Madrid0 - 0Real Betis
AReal Madrid4 - 4Villarreal
HReal Madrid5 - 0Alaves
AReal Madrid4 - 0Granada
HReal Madrid3 - 0Cadiz
AReal Madrid1 - 0R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid3 - 2Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
HReal Madrid2 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid4 - 2Osasuna
HReal Madrid4 - 0Celta
AReal Madrid2 - 2Valencia
Villarreal 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Espanyol1 - 2Villarreal
Mallorca1 - 2Villarreal
Valencia1 - 1Villarreal
Sevilla1 - 2Villarreal
Osasuna1 - 1Villarreal
Girona0 - 1Villarreal
Celta3 - 2Villarreal
Almeria1 - 2Villarreal
A.Bilbao1 - 1Villarreal
Real Betis2 - 3Villarreal
R.Sociedad1 - 3Villarreal
Alaves1 - 1Villarreal
Barcelona3 - 5Villarreal
Las Palmas3 - 0Villarreal
Valencia3 - 1Villarreal
Real Madrid4 - 1Villarreal
Sevilla1 - 1Villarreal
A.Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
Granada2 - 3Villarreal
Getafe0 - 0Villarreal
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVillarreal3 - 1Las Palmas
AVillarreal2 - 1Espanyol
HVillarreal1 - 5Barcelona
AVillarreal2 - 1Mallorca
AVillarreal1 - 1Valencia
HVillarreal4 - 3Celta
AVillarreal2 - 1Sevilla
HVillarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
AVillarreal1 - 1Osasuna
HVillarreal4 - 4Real Madrid
AVillarreal1 - 0Girona
HVillarreal3 - 2Sevilla
AVillarreal2 - 3Celta
HVillarreal3 - 0R.Vallecano
AVillarreal2 - 1Almeria
AVillarreal1 - 1A.Bilbao
HVillarreal1 - 2A.Madrid
HVillarreal1 - 0Valencia
AVillarreal3 - 2Real Betis
HVillarreal5 - 1Granada
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
18
11
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
RMD
5
D
3
VIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1
2 - 3Villarreal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid3 - 2
0 - 1Villarreal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Villarreal since 2014
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
16
17
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
RMD
2
D
6
VIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Villarreal
Draw4 - 4Draw
Villarreal2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 0
0 - 2Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for Real Madrid in their meeting with Villarreal, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 42 consecutive La Liga outings.

Real Madrid 2nd Villarreal 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 66% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Real Madrid have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+33
Villarreal have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278248/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Villarreal
2.3
1.2
Attack rating
1%
better
RMD
VIL
view stats
Games scored8
8
Failed to score0
0
Scored first6
5
Goals scored17
17
Avg. goals scored2.1
2.1
Avg. shots per game13
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
19
Avg. XG for2.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
48%
better
RMD
VIL
view stats
Games conceded5
8
Clean sheets3
0
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded6
15
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
18%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+48%

Real Madrid v Villarreal La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9543
F ValverdeK MbappéV JuniorL Modric
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lunin GLK1
-
D Carvajal DEF81
1
-
A Tchouameni DEF8
-
A Rüdiger DEF9
-
F Mendy DEF7
1
1
F Valverde MID922
2
-
L Modric MID91
3
-
E Camavinga MID1
-
J Bellingham MID51
1
-
K Mbappé FWD851
1
-
V Junior FWD944
3
-
Subs
F. González Pérez GLK
-
S Mestre GLK
-
J. Naveros DEF
-
Éder Militão DEF911
2
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
F García DEF6
-
A Güler MID7
1
-
L Vázquez MID711
-
D Ceballos MID2
-
Rodrygo FWD931
-
Endrick FWD71
1
-
Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9253
D CondeT BarryÁlex BaenaK Femenía
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Conde GLK91
1
-
K Femenía DEF9
3
-
L Costa DEF71
-
Albiol DEF7
2
-
S Cardona DEF911
2
-
S Comesaña MID92
1
-
P Gueye MID8
2
-
D Parejo MID91
2
-
Álex Baena MID815
2
-
T Barry FWD821
1
-
N Pépé FWD711
1
-
Subs
L Júnior GLK
-
E Bailly DEF7
2
-
J Bernat DEF4
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF1
-
R Terrats MID6
1
-
Y Pino MID71
2
-
I Akhomach FWD8
1
-
P. Cabanes De La Torre FWD1
-