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Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 13:00 BST, Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, Madrid

Athletic Bilbao, led by manager Edin Terzic, visit Beñat San José Gil and his Rayo Vallecano side at the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas on Saturday afternoon in the La Liga. You'll see statistics supporting our top of below, but there are 16 other markets we're covering too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with La Liga performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that R.Vallecano and A.Bilbao will score 2 or more goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Beñat San José Gil or Edin Terzic has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.29 equating to roughly a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of A.Bilbao coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Vallecano
34%
19/10
3%
-
Draw
25%
12/5-
A.Bilbao
41%
13/10
2%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
A.Bilbao 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
-
A.Bilbao 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
-
R.Vallecano 1-0
8%
9/1-
R.Vallecano 2-1
8%
10/1-
A.Bilbao 2-0
7%
11/1
9%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
R.Vallecano 2-0
5%
14/1-
A.Bilbao 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
-
R.Vallecano 3-1
3%
22/1-
A.Bilbao 3-0
3%
20/1-
A.Bilbao 3-2
3%
25/1-
R.Vallecano 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
-
R.Vallecano 3-0
2%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
10/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
10/11-
Home 1st Goal
46%
11/10-
Away 1st Goal
50%
5/6
2%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
7/10
3%
-
BTTS - No
44%
21/20
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
7/2-
Home/draw
59%
4/7
3%
-
Away/draw
66%
2/5
3%
-
Home/away
75%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Home DNB
51%
11/10
5%
-
Away DNB
59%
4/6
3%
-
R.Vallecano win to nil
17%
9/2-
A.Bilbao win to nil
21%
3/1-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
18%
15/4
5%
-
R.Vallecano / A.Bilbao
3%
25/1-
R.Vallecano / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / R.Vallecano
12%
6/1-
Draw / A.Bilbao
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
A.Bilbao / R.Vallecano
3%
28/1-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
22%
11/4
4%
-
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona77002421 
Mar 21
l
 
5-2F
Feb 28
l
 
2-0A
2
A.Madrid7511916 
Jan 3
May 16
w
 
3-0F
May 23
3
Real Betis7511216 
May 23
Nov 29
Dec 20
Apr 18
4
Real Madrid75021015 
Jan 31
l
 
4-1A
Dec 6
Feb 14
5
Sevilla7412113 
Jan 17
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-3A
Jan 31
6
Alaves7322511 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 7
7
Deportivo7241210 
May 9
Jan 10
Apr 21
Dec 13
8
R.Sociedad7313-410 
Apr 11
Nov 8
Nov 1
May 2
9
Villarreal722318 
May 2
Dec 13
Jan 10
Apr 11
10
A.Bilbao622218 
Oct 10
May 30
-
-
11
Getafe7223-38 
Feb 21
Oct 19
Oct 25
Jan 17
12
R.Vallecano7223-58 
-
-
May 30
Oct 10
13
Osasuna7223-78 
Mar 7
d
 
1-1A
Feb 7
Nov 8
14
Celta714227 
Nov 1
Feb 14
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
15
Espanyol721407 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 7
Nov 22
Mar 21
16
R.Santander7214-107 
w
 
3-2A
Feb 28
Apr 4
Jan 3
17
Levante6123-45 
Dec 6
Apr 4
Jan 24
Oct 21
18
Elche7124-65 
Oct 24
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
May 16
19
Valencia7115-94 
Nov 22
Apr 21
Mar 14
Oct 17
20
Malaga7034-93 
Dec 20
Mar 14
May 9
Nov 29
Win / draw / win form
R.Vallecano 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Vallecano2 - 1Espanyol
R.Vallecano3 - 2R.Santander
R.Vallecano1 - 1Alaves
R.Vallecano2 - 0Villarreal
R.Vallecano1 - 1Girona
R.Vallecano3 - 3R.Sociedad
R.Vallecano1 - 0Espanyol
R.Vallecano1 - 0Elche
R.Vallecano1 - 1Levante
R.Vallecano3 - 0Real Oviedo
R.Vallecano1 - 1A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano3 - 0A.Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 3Osasuna
R.Vallecano2 - 1Mallorca
R.Vallecano1 - 1Getafe
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Betis
R.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
R.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Osasuna
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Espanyol
AR.Vallecano1 - 4Real Madrid
HR.Vallecano3 - 2R.Santander
AR.Vallecano2 - 5Barcelona
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Alaves
AR.Vallecano1 - 2Sevilla
AR.Vallecano2 - 1Alaves
HR.Vallecano2 - 0Villarreal
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Girona
AR.Vallecano2 - 0Getafe
HR.Vallecano3 - 3R.Sociedad
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Espanyol
AR.Vallecano0 - 3Mallorca
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Elche
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Barcelona
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Levante
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Sevilla
HR.Vallecano3 - 0Real Oviedo
A.Bilbao 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celta0 - 2A.Bilbao
Barcelona2 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid4 - 2A.Bilbao
Espanyol2 - 0A.Bilbao
Alaves2 - 4A.Bilbao
A.Madrid3 - 2A.Bilbao
Getafe2 - 0A.Bilbao
Girona3 - 0A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano1 - 1A.Bilbao
Real Oviedo1 - 2A.Bilbao
Sevilla2 - 1A.Bilbao
Mallorca3 - 2A.Bilbao
Osasuna1 - 1A.Bilbao
Celta2 - 0A.Bilbao
Levante0 - 2A.Bilbao
Barcelona4 - 0A.Bilbao
R.Sociedad3 - 2A.Bilbao
Elche0 - 0A.Bilbao
Villarreal1 - 0A.Bilbao
Valencia2 - 0A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Bilbao0 - 0Alaves
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Elche
HA.Bilbao3 - 0A.Madrid
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Celta
AA.Bilbao0 - 2Barcelona
HA.Bilbao1 - 3Sevilla
AA.Bilbao2 - 4Real Madrid
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Celta
AA.Bilbao0 - 2Espanyol
HA.Bilbao0 - 1Valencia
AA.Bilbao4 - 2Alaves
AA.Bilbao2 - 3A.Madrid
HA.Bilbao1 - 0Osasuna
HA.Bilbao1 - 2Villarreal
AA.Bilbao0 - 2Getafe
HA.Bilbao2 - 1Real Betis
AA.Bilbao0 - 3Girona
HA.Bilbao0 - 1Barcelona
AA.Bilbao1 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Bilbao2 - 1Elche
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at R.Vallecano since 2014
R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
5
10
Games: Scored
4 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
4 / 8
VAL
1
D
3
ATH
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2A.Bilbao
0 - 1A.Bilbao
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1A.Bilbao
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano2 - 1
League games at A.Bilbao since 2015
A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
17
7
Games: Scored
8 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
0 / 8
VAL
1
ATH
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Bilbao
A.Bilbao1 - 0
A.Bilbao3 - 1
A.Bilbao4 - 0
A.Bilbao3 - 2
1 - 2R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao3 - 2
A.Bilbao1 - 0
A.Bilbao1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Athletic Bilbao's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Rayo Vallecano have conceded in each of their last 8 La Liga outings. A PG of 1.5 for E. Terzic's side suggests that run should continue.

R.Vallecano 12th A.Bilbao 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that R.Vallecano will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that A.Bilbao will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
R.Vallecano’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2026/2027 season
R.Vallecano
PG (predicted goals)
A.Bilbao
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
%
better
VAL
ATH
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
VAL
ATH
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

R.Vallecano v A.Bilbao La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7733
F LejeuneS CamelloU LópezP Ciss
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Lejeune DEF7
1
-
U López MID73
2
-
Óscar Valentín MID7
1
-
P Ciss MID7
3
-
Álvaro García FWD722
1
-
S Camello FWD771
2
-
A Rațiu DEF61
-
I Balliu DEF6
-
P Díaz MID61
-
A Alemão FWD6
3
-
A Pedrosa DEF511
1
-
G. Bouare Samake MID5
1
-
J Frutos FWD51
1
F Pérez FWD5
1
1
G Tsitaishvili FWD4
1
-
E Audero GLK3
-
D Cárdenas GLK3
-
M Sadick DEF3
-
R Nteka MID3
-
A Batalla GLK2
-
J Vertrouwd DEF2
-
P. Fernández Balboa DEF2
-
I Palazón FWD2
-
A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6223
U SimónR NavarroI WilliamsY Berchiche
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK6
-
A Laporte DEF6
-
O Sancet MID61
-
I Williams FWD612
-
Álex Berenguer FWD611
1
-
N Williams FWD61
-
J Louisjean DEF5
1
-
Y Berchiche DEF5
2
1
J Areso DEF5
1
-
B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia MID5
2
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID5
-
I Galarreta MID51
2
-
R Navarro FWD52
1
-
A Paredes DEF41
-
Y Álvarez DEF41
-
P. Canales Urtasun MID4
-
G Guruzeta FWD4
2
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD3
-
H. Rincón Lumbreras DEF2
-
Álvaro Djaló FWD1
-
N Serrano  FWD1
-