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Alaves v Sevilla : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Sep, 16:00 BST, Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Matías Jesús Almeyda takes his Sevilla side to the Mendizorroza in the La Liga on Sunday night, with Eduardo Coudet's Alaves their challengers. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head stats across every market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this La Liga clash.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during 90 mins. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Alaves are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alaves
38%
6/4-
Draw
28%
9/4
5%
-
Sevilla
34%
19/10
1%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Alaves 1-0
12%
11/2
19%
-
Sevilla 1-0
11%
13/2
12%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
13/2
12%
-
Alaves 2-1
8%
9/1-
Sevilla 2-1
7%
10/1-
Alaves 2-0
7%
10/1
8%
-
Sevilla 2-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
27%
-
Alaves 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
-
Alaves 3-0
3%
22/1-
Sevilla 3-1
3%
25/1
13%
-
Sevilla 3-0
2%
28/1-
Alaves 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Sevilla 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
11/8
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
4/7
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/21-
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/5
5%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
21/20
14%
-
BTTS - No
52%
7/10
13%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5/1
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/1
17%
-
Home/draw
66%
2/5-
Away/draw
62%
1/2-
Home/away
72%
1/3
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/9
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
7/4
14%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
7/2
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/5
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/1
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/16
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1
24%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/12
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
13/2
12%
-
Home DNB
58%
8/11-
Away DNB
53%
1/1-
Alaves win to nil
23%
11/4
6%
-
Sevilla win to nil
20%
10/3
4%
-
Alaves / Alaves
21%
3/1-
Alaves / Sevilla
2%
33/1
17%
-
Alaves / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Alaves
15%
9/2
8%
-
Draw / Sevilla
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
9%
-
Sevilla / Alaves
3%
28/1-
Sevilla / Sevilla
16%
4/1
5%
-
Sevilla / Draw
5%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Alaves
Sevilla
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid330059 
Dec 14
Apr 22
May 17
Dec 21
2
A.Bilbao330039 
May 3
Sep 13
Jan 25
l
 
3-2A
3
Villarreal321077 
Mar 15
Jan 11
Sep 24
May 13
4
Barcelona321047 
May 13
Nov 30
Oct 5
Mar 15
5
Espanyol321027 
Nov 2
Feb 1
May 10
Nov 23
6
Getafe320106 
Feb 8
Sep 24
l
 
1-2A
Feb 22
7
Elche312025 
Oct 5
May 10
Sep 12
Jan 18
8
Real Betis412105 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Nov 30
Mar 1
9
Valencia311124 
Oct 19
Mar 8
Mar 22
Dec 7
10
R.Vallecano311114 
May 24
Oct 26
Mar 8
Sep 28
11
Alaves311104 
-
-
Feb 15
Sep 21
12
Sevilla310203 
Sep 21
Feb 15
-
-
13
Osasuna3102-13 
Apr 5
Dec 21
Nov 9
Apr 19
14
Real Oviedo3102-43 
Jan 4
May 17
Dec 14
Apr 5
15
Celta4031-23 
Nov 23
Mar 22
Jan 11
May 24
16
R.Sociedad3021-12 
Dec 7
Apr 12
May 3
Oct 26
17
A.Madrid3021-12 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
Apr 12
Nov 2
18
Mallorca3012-41 
Apr 19
Sep 27
Oct 19
Feb 1
19
Levante3003-40 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
Jan 4
Apr 22
20
Girona3003-90 
Feb 22
Nov 9
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
6
Alaves have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
Alaves 11TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alaves1 - 1A.Madrid
Alaves2 - 1Levante
Alaves1 - 1Osasuna
Alaves1 - 0Valencia
Alaves0 - 0A.Madrid
Alaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
Alaves1 - 0Villarreal
Alaves0 - 1Espanyol
Alaves0 - 1Getafe
Alaves1 - 1Celta
Alaves0 - 1Girona
Alaves1 - 1A.Bilbao
Alaves1 - 1Leganes
Alaves1 - 0Mallorca
Alaves2 - 3Valladolid
Alaves0 - 3Barcelona
Alaves2 - 1Sevilla
Alaves2 - 0Las Palmas
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlaves1 - 1A.Madrid
AAlaves0 - 1Real Betis
HAlaves2 - 1Levante
HAlaves1 - 1Osasuna
AAlaves1 - 0Valladolid
HAlaves1 - 0Valencia
AAlaves0 - 1A.Bilbao
HAlaves0 - 0A.Madrid
HAlaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
AAlaves1 - 1Sevilla
HAlaves0 - 1Real Madrid
AAlaves1 - 0Girona
HAlaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
AAlaves2 - 2Las Palmas
HAlaves1 - 0Villarreal
AAlaves1 - 1Mallorca
HAlaves0 - 1Espanyol
AAlaves3 - 3Leganes
HAlaves0 - 1Getafe
AAlaves0 - 1Barcelona
Sevilla 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Girona0 - 2Sevilla
A.Bilbao3 - 2Sevilla
Villarreal4 - 2Sevilla
Celta3 - 2Sevilla
Osasuna1 - 0Sevilla
Valencia1 - 0Sevilla
Real Betis2 - 1Sevilla
R.Sociedad0 - 1Sevilla
R.Vallecano1 - 1Sevilla
Valladolid0 - 4Sevilla
Getafe0 - 0Sevilla
Girona1 - 2Sevilla
Real Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
A.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
Leganes1 - 0Sevilla
Espanyol0 - 2Sevilla
Barcelona5 - 1Sevilla
A.Bilbao1 - 1Sevilla
Alaves2 - 1Sevilla
Mallorca0 - 0Sevilla
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASevilla2 - 0Girona
HSevilla1 - 2Getafe
ASevilla2 - 3A.Bilbao
ASevilla2 - 4Villarreal
HSevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
HSevilla1 - 0Las Palmas
ASevilla2 - 3Celta
HSevilla2 - 2Leganes
ASevilla0 - 1Osasuna
HSevilla1 - 1Alaves
ASevilla0 - 1Valencia
HSevilla1 - 2A.Madrid
ASevilla1 - 2Real Betis
HSevilla0 - 1A.Bilbao
ASevilla1 - 0R.Sociedad
ASevilla1 - 1R.Vallecano
HSevilla1 - 1Mallorca
ASevilla4 - 0Valladolid
HSevilla1 - 4Barcelona
ASevilla0 - 0Getafe
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Alaves have not lost to Sevilla in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
Sevilla
Goals: Scored
10
9
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
ALV
3
D
3
SEV
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
Alaves2 - 1
Alaves4 - 3
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Sevilla
0 - 1Sevilla
Draw1 - 1Draw
Alaves1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Sevilla since 2016
Sevilla
Alaves
Goals: Scored
12
8
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
ALV
1
D
3
SEV
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sevilla
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Alaves
Draw2 - 2Draw
Sevilla1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sevilla2 - 0
Sevilla1 - 0
Sevilla2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Alaves's defensive record is very strong, Eduardo Coudet's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive La Liga games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Sevilla makes sense in this context.

Alaves 11th Sevilla 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Alaves will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Sevilla will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-31
Alaves have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted
+21
Sevilla have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
Sevilla
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
ALV
SEV
21%
better
view stats
Games scored1
2
Failed to score1
0
Scored first1
0
Goals scored2
3
Avg. goals scored0.7
1
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal11
7
Conversion rate for10
14
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
31%
better
ALV
SEV
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded2
5
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded5
4
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
3
Conversion rate against13%
38%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.8
KickOff rating
+31%

Alaves v Sevilla La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
A SiveraN TenagliaC AleñáF Garcés
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK3
-
F Garcés DEF3
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF31
-
V. Parada González DEF3
1
-
J Castro DEF3
-
C Aleñá MID31
-
A Guevara MID3
-
J Guridi MID3
-
A Blanco MID3
1
-
P Ibáñez MID3
1
-
T Martínez FWD31
-
C Vicente FWD31
-
M Díaz FWD3
-
Calebe MID2
-
A Rebbach FWD2
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF1
-
M Diarra DEF1
1
-
D Suárez MID1
-
C Benavídez MID1
-
Sevilla La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3121
Örjan NylandL AgouméR VargasÖrjan Nyland
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Örjan Nyland GLK3
1
-
K Salas DEF3
-
J Carmona DEF3
1
-
L Agoumé MID31
1
-
N Gudelj MID3
-
J Sánchez MID31
-
C Ejuke FWD3
-
I. Romero Bernal FWD31
-
M Marcão DEF2
-
R Vargas FWD22
-
A Adams FWD21
-
P Fernández  FWD2
1
-
G Suazo DEF1
-
M Bueno MID1
-
D Sow MID1
-
A Januzaj FWD1
-
A González FWD11
-