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FC Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 13:00 BST, Camp Nou, Barcelona

FC Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano go head to head at the Camp Nou on Sunday afternoon, with both Hans-Dieter Flick and Iñigo Pérez Soto seeking a win in the La Liga. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across 17 major markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.


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Best Tip: Barcelona to win

We think there's an outright winner in this match, and it's Barcelona. Their latest form statistics show their ability in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat R.Vallecano too. The odds point towards Hans-Dieter Flick's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Sunday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Barcelona are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 76% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Barcelona
76%
2/9
2%
3/10
4%
Draw
15%
11/2
8%
5/1
14%
R.Vallecano
8%
9/115/2
11%
Barcelona 2-0
13%
15/27/1
7%
Barcelona 3-0
11%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
Barcelona 1-0
10%
11/117/2
Barcelona 2-1
9%
9/17/1
6%
Barcelona 3-1
7%
9/18/1
Draw 1-1
7%
12/1
8%
9/1
9%
Barcelona 4-0
7%
11/110/1
10%
Barcelona 4-1
5%
12/111/1
Draw 0-0
4%
25/1
13%
18/1
10%
Barcelona 5-0
3%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
11%
14/1
12%
R.Vallecano 1-0
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Barcelona 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
R.Vallecano 2-1
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Barcelona 5-1
2%
20/1
9%
18/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1/3
2%
7/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
12/5
6%
2/1
3%
Home 1st Goal
63%
3/102/7
3%
Away 1st Goal
34%
12/527/10
5%
No 1st Goal
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
9%
BTTS - Yes
46%
3/47/10
6%
BTTS - No
54%
1/121/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
31%
11/8
1%
7/5
2%
BTTS - Draw
11%
13/2
7%
11/2
13%
BTTS - Away Win
4%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Home/draw
91%
1/161/14
Away/draw
24%
3/1
7%
5/2
10%
Home/away
85%
1/9
2%
1/8
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/101/10
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
6/111/2
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
10/1117/20
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
10/1117/20
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
2/115/8
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/54/11
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
4/119/5
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/62/13
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/801/300
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
25/1
13%
18/1
10%
Home DNB
87%
1/12
1%
1/10
2%
Away DNB
19%
7/1
11%
11/2
13%
Barcelona win to nil
45%
5/4-
R.Vallecano win to nil
4%
18/1
10%
-
Barcelona / Barcelona
48%
4/64/5
8%
Barcelona / R.Vallecano
2%
40/140/1
11%
Barcelona / Draw
5%
18/116/1
11%
Draw / Barcelona
19%
10/317/5
4%
Draw / R.Vallecano
4%
20/116/1
11%
Draw / Draw
8%
10/117/2
14%
R.Vallecano / Barcelona
5%
14/116/1
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
5%
18/111/1
8%
R.Vallecano / Draw
4%
20/118/1
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Barcelona have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the La Liga league table. Barcelona have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 7 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 1 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Barcelona have outscored their opponents by 72 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Barcelona have played 13 games at home winning 13, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 41 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

R.Vallecano are in 13th position in the La Liga on 31 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 8 and won 2. R.Vallecano have conceded 25 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Barcelona
R.Vallecano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2722144667 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
2
Real Madrid2720343363 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
3
A.Madrid2716652154 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 5
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-2A
4
Villarreal2717371854 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
May 17
l
 
4-0A
5
Real Betis2711106843 
May 17
w
 
3-5A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
6
Celta2710107740 
Apr 22
w
 
2-4F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
7
Espanyol2710710-637 
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
Apr 22
l
 
1-0A
8
R.Sociedad279810-135 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
9
Getafe2710512-635 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
May 3
10
A.Bilbao2710512-735 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
11
Osasuna279711034 
w
 
2-0F
May 3
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
12
Valencia278811-1132 
w
 
6-0F
May 24
d
 
1-1F
May 13
13
R.Vallecano2771010-631 
Mar 22
d
 
1-1F
-
-
14
Sevilla278712-731 
Mar 15
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
15
Girona2771010-1531 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
May 10
w
 
1-3F
16
Alaves277614-1227 
w
 
3-1A
May 13
w
 
1-0F
May 24
17
Elche2751111-626 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
Apr 5
l
 
4-0A
18
Mallorca276714-1325 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
19
Levante275715-1622 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3A
Mar 16
w
 
0-3F
20
Real Oviedo273915-2718 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Barcelona 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
60
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
18
D
1
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Barcelona4 - 1Villarreal
Barcelona3 - 0Levante
Barcelona3 - 0Mallorca
Barcelona3 - 0Real Oviedo
Barcelona2 - 0Osasuna
Barcelona3 - 1A.Madrid
Barcelona3 - 1Alaves
Barcelona4 - 0A.Bilbao
Barcelona3 - 1Elche
Barcelona2 - 1Girona
Barcelona2 - 1R.Sociedad
Barcelona3 - 0Getafe
Barcelona6 - 0Valencia
Barcelona2 - 3Villarreal
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Barcelona1 - 0Mallorca
Barcelona4 - 3Celta
Barcelona1 - 1Real Betis
Barcelona4 - 1Girona
Barcelona3 - 0Osasuna
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABarcelona1 - 0A.Bilbao
HBarcelona4 - 1Villarreal
HBarcelona3 - 0Levante
ABarcelona1 - 2Girona
HBarcelona3 - 0Mallorca
ABarcelona3 - 1Elche
HBarcelona3 - 0Real Oviedo
ABarcelona1 - 2R.Sociedad
ABarcelona2 - 0Espanyol
ABarcelona2 - 0Villarreal
HBarcelona2 - 0Osasuna
ABarcelona5 - 3Real Betis
HBarcelona3 - 1A.Madrid
HBarcelona3 - 1Alaves
HBarcelona4 - 0A.Bilbao
ABarcelona4 - 2Celta
HBarcelona3 - 1Elche
ABarcelona1 - 2Real Madrid
HBarcelona2 - 1Girona
ABarcelona1 - 4Sevilla
R.Vallecano 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sevilla1 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Betis1 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Celta3 - 0R.Vallecano
Elche4 - 0R.Vallecano
Espanyol1 - 0R.Vallecano
Real Oviedo0 - 0R.Vallecano
Villarreal4 - 0R.Vallecano
Levante0 - 3R.Vallecano
R.Sociedad0 - 1R.Vallecano
A.Madrid3 - 2R.Vallecano
Osasuna2 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao1 - 0R.Vallecano
Girona1 - 3R.Vallecano
Celta1 - 2R.Vallecano
Las Palmas0 - 1R.Vallecano
A.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao3 - 1R.Vallecano
Alaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Sevilla
HR.Vallecano3 - 0Real Oviedo
HR.Vallecano1 - 1A.Bilbao
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Real Betis
HR.Vallecano3 - 0A.Madrid
AR.Vallecano1 - 2Real Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 3Osasuna
AR.Vallecano0 - 3Celta
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Mallorca
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Getafe
AR.Vallecano0 - 4Elche
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Betis
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Espanyol
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
AR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Oviedo
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
AR.Vallecano0 - 4Villarreal
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
AR.Vallecano3 - 0Levante
AR.Vallecano1 - 0R.Sociedad
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Barcelona have not lost to R.Vallecano in 5 consecutive league meetings
3
Barcelona have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with R.Vallecano
League games at Barcelona since 2015
Barcelona
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
18
5
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
BCN
5
D
1
VAL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Barcelona
Barcelona1 - 0
Barcelona3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1R.Vallecano
Barcelona3 - 1
Barcelona5 - 2
Barcelona6 - 1
League games at R.Vallecano since 2014
R.Vallecano
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
9
15
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
BCN
4
D
2
VAL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Barcelona
Draw1 - 1Draw
R.Vallecano2 - 1
R.Vallecano1 - 0
2 - 3Barcelona
1 - 5Barcelona
0 - 2Barcelona
Goal Statistics

FC Barcelona's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive La Liga games. A PG of 2.5 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

Barcelona 1st R.Vallecano 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
24%
There is a 71% probability that Barcelona will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of R.Vallecano scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+25
Barcelona have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted
-8
R.Vallecano’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
3.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Barcelona
PG (predicted goals)
R.Vallecano
2.5
0.7
Attack rating
53%
better
BCN
VAL
view stats
Games scored27
17
Failed to score0
10
Scored first18
10
Goals scored72
27
Avg. goals scored2.7
1
Avg. shots per game15
10
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for18
10
Avg. XG for2.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+53%
Defence rating
18%
better
BCN
VAL
view stats
Games conceded16
19
Clean sheets11
8
Conceded first9
14
Goals conceded26
33
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+18%

Barcelona v R.Vallecano La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Barcelona La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251495
E GarcíaL YamalL YamalG. Martín Langreo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E García DEF2712
3
-
J Koundé DEF2513
4
-
F Torres FWD25121
2
-
L Yamal FWD23149
-
M Rashford FWD2347
2
-
G. Martín Langreo DEF22
5
-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF221
2
-
D Olmo MID2266
-
R Lewandowski  FWD22111
2
-
J García GLK21
1
-
A Balde DEF212
2
-
F. López Marín MID2157
2
-
Pedri MID1927
1
1
F Jong MID1914
4
1
Raphinha FWD1883
3
-
M Torras MID171
-
R Araújo DEF162
2
-
R Bardghji FWD1511
-
M. Bernal Casas MID1421
4
-
A Christensen DEF12
1
-
W Szczęsny GLK6
-
Gavi MID21
-
R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271048
A BatallaJ FrutosÁlvaro GarcíaI Palazón
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Batalla GLK27
4
-
F Lejeune DEF27
4
-
Álvaro García FWD2744
3
-
I Palazón FWD2633
8
-
J Frutos FWD25101
2
-
A Rațiu DEF243
7
-
P Chavarría DEF2412
5
1
P Díaz MID24
2
-
Óscar Valentín MID231
2
1
F Pérez FWD2321
3
-
A Espino DEF202
2
-
U López MID203
5
1
G Gumbau MID191
4
-
P Ciss MID191
4
2
N Mendy DEF172
4
1
A Alemão FWD161
1
-
S Camello FWD13
2
1
I Balliu DEF10
2
-
L Felipe DEF9
1
-
R Nteka MID8
-
J Vertrouwd DEF7
-
Óscar Trejo MID6
2
-